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Sylvain Marsat

Publications and source records attributed to Sylvain Marsat.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The minimum measurable eccentricity from gravitational waves of LISA massive black hole binaries

We explore the eccentricity measurement threshold of LISA for gravitational waves radiated by massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) with redshifted BH masses $M_z$ in the range $10^{4.5}$-$10^{7.5}~{\rm M}_\odot$ at redshift $z=1$. The eccentricity can be an important tracer of the environment where MBHBs evolve to reach the merger phase. To consider LISA's motion and apply the time delay interferometry, we employ the lisabeta software and produce year-long eccentric waveforms using the inspiral-only post-Newtonian model TaylorF2Ecc. We study the minimum measurable eccentricity ($e_{\rm min}$, defined one year before the merger) analytically by computing matches and Fisher matrices, and numerically via Bayesian inference by varying both intrinsic and extrinsic parameters. We find that $e_{\rm min}$ strongly depends on $M_z$ and weakly on mass ratio and extrinsic parameters. Match-based signal-to-noise ratio criterion suggest that LISA will be able to detect $e_{\rm min}\sim10^{-2.5}$ for lighter systems ($M_z\lesssim10^{5.5}~{\rm M}_\odot$) and $\sim10^{-1.5}$ for heavier MBHBs with a $90$ per cent confidence. Bayesian inference with Fisher initialization and a zero noise realization pushes this limit to $e_{\rm min}\sim10^{-2.75}$ for lower-mass binaries, assuming a $<50$ per cent relative error. Bayesian inference can recover injected eccentricities of $0.1$ and $10^{-2.75}$ for a $10^5~{\rm M}_\odot$ system with a $\sim10^{-2}$ per cent and a $\sim10$ per cent relative errors, respectively. Stringent Bayesian odds criterion ($\ln{B}>8$) provides nearly the same inference. Both analytical and numerical methodologies provide almost consistent results for our systems of interest. LISA will launch in a decade, making this study valuable and timely for unlocking the mysteries of the MBHB evolution.

astro-ph.GA↗

Does religiosity influence corporate greenwashing behavior?

We analyze the influence of religious social norms on corporate greenwashing behavior. Specifically, we focus on a specific form of greenwashing: selective disclosure. Using a large sample of US firms between 2005 and 2019, we show that firms located in counties where religious adherence is high are less likely to engage in greenwashing. We also find that a stronger religious adherence within the county in which a company is located reduces the magnitude of greenwashing, when observed. We further analyze the mechanism underlying this relationship and show that religious adherence impacts greenwashing behaviors through the channel of risk aversion. A comprehensive set of robustness tests aimed at addressing potential endogeneity concerns confirms that religion is a relevant driver of corporate greenwashing behavior.

q-fin.GN↗

Implications of the pulsar timing array detections for massive black hole mergers in the LISA band

The recent evidence of a stochastic background of gravitational waves in the nHz band by pulsar-timing array (PTA) experiments has shed new light on the formation and evolution of massive black hole binaries with masses $\sim 10^8$--$10^9 M_\odot$. The PTA data are consistent with a population of such binaries merging efficiently after the coalescence of their galactic hosts, and presenting masses slightly larger than previously expected. This momentous discovery calls for investigating the prospects of detecting the smaller ($\sim 10^5$--$10^7 M_\odot$) massive black hole binaries targeted by the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). By using semi-analytic models for the formation and evolution of massive black hole binaries calibrated against the PTA results, we find that LISA will observe at least a dozen and up to thousands of black hole binaries during its mission duration. The minimum number of detections rises to $\sim 70$ if one excludes models that only marginally reproduce the quasar luminosity function at $z=6$. We also assess LISA's parameter estimation capabilities with state-of-the-art waveforms including higher modes and realistic instrumental response, and find that the masses, sky position, and distance will typically be estimated to within respectively 1%, 10 square degrees, and 10% for the detected systems (assuming a 4-year mission).

astro-ph.GA↗

Dark siren cosmology with binary black holes in the era of third-generation gravitational wave detectors

Third-generation (3G) gravitational wave detectors, in particular Einstein Telescope (ET) and Cosmic Explorer (CE), will explore unprecedented cosmic volumes in search for compact binary mergers, providing us with tens of thousands of detections per year. In this study, we simulate and employ binary black holes detected by 3G interferometers as dark sirens, to extract and infer cosmological parameters by cross-matching gravitational wave data with electromagnetic information retrieved from a simulated galaxy catalog. Considering a standard $Λ$CDM model, we apply a suitable Bayesian framework to obtain joint posterior distributions for the Hubble constant $H_0$ and the matter energy density parameter $Ω_m$ in different scenarios. Assuming a galaxy catalog complete up to $z=1$ and dark sirens detected with a network signal-to-noise ratio greater than 300, we show that a network made of ET and two CEs can constrain $H_0$ ($Ω_m$) to a promising $0.8\%$ ($10.0\%$) at $90\%$ confidence interval within one year of continuous observations. Additionally, we find that most of the information on $H_0$ is contained in local, single-host dark sirens, and that dark sirens at $z>1$ do not substantially improve these estimates. Our results imply that a sub-percent measure of $H_0$ can confidently be attained by a network of 3G detectors, highlighting the need for characterising all systematic effects to a higher accuracy.

astro-ph.CO↗

On the detectability of higher harmonics with LISA

Supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs) are expected to be detected by the future space-based gravitational-wave detector LISA with a large signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). This prospect enhances the possibility of differentiating higher harmonics in the inspiral-merger-ringdown (IMR) waveform. In this study, we test the ability of LISA to identify the presence of different modes in the IMR waveform from a SMBHB. We analyze the contribution of each mode to the total SNR for different sources. Higher modes, in particular the mode $(3, 3)$ and $(4, 4)$, can dominate the signal observed through the LISA detector for SMBHB of the order of $10^8 M_\odot$. With Bayesian analysis, we can discriminate models with different harmonics. While spherical harmonics are often considered orthogonal, we observe it is not the case in the merger-ringdown phase observed by LISA. Omitting harmonics not only diminishes the SNR but can also lead to biased parameter estimates. We analyze the bias for each model in a source example and quantify the threshold SNR where we can expect the parameter bias to be comparable to the statistical error. By computing the waveform model error with the Fisher approximation and comparing it with the posterior distribution from our sampler results, we can evaluate the veracity of the analytical bias, which converges with the sampler results as more harmonics are introduced. To conclude, SMBHB events with SNR of a few hundred, as expected in LISA, are required to use templates with at least modes $(2, 2)$, $(2, 1)$, $(3, 3)$, $(3, 2)$, $(4, 4)$, $(4, 3)$ to estimate all intrinsic parameters correctly. Our work highlights the importance of higher modes to describe the gravitational waveform of events detected by LISA.

gr-qc↗

Observability of lensing of gravitational waves from massive black hole binaries with LISA

The gravitational waves emitted by massive black hole binaries in the LISA band can be lensed. Wave-optics effects in the lensed signal are crucial when the Schwarzschild radius of the lens is smaller than the wavelength of the radiation. These frequency-dependent effects can enable us to infer the lens parameters, possibly with a single detection alone. In this work, we assess the observability of wave-optics effects with LISA by performing an information-matrix analysis using analytical solutions for both point-mass and singular isothermal sphere lenses. We use gravitational-waveform models that include the merger, ringdown, higher harmonics, and aligned spins to study how waveform models and source parameters affect the measurement errors in the lens parameters. We find that previous work underestimated the observability of wave-optics effects and that LISA can detect lensed signals with higher impact parameters and lower lens masses.

astro-ph.CO↗

Observing the inspiral of coalescing massive black hole binaries with LISA in the era of Multi-Messenger Astrophysics

Massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) of $10^5 \, \rm M_\odot - 3 \times 10^7 \, \rm M_\odot $ merging in low redshift galaxies ($z\le4$) are sufficiently loud to be detected weeks before coalescence with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). This allows us to perform the parameter estimation $on$ $the$ $fly$, i.e. as a function of the time to coalescence during the inspiral phase, relevant for early warning of the planned LISA protected periods and for searches of electromagnetic signals. In this work, we study the evolution of the sky position, luminosity distance, chirp mass and mass ratio uncertainties as function of time left before merger. Overall, light systems with total intrinsic mass $\rm M_{\rm tot} = 3 \times 10^5 \, \rm M_\odot$ are characterized by smaller uncertainties than heavy ones ($\rm M_{\rm tot} = 10^7 \, \rm M_\odot$) during the inspiral. Luminosity distance, chirp mass and mass ratio are well constrained at the end of the inspiral. Concerning sky position, at $z=1$, MBHBs with $\rm M_{\rm tot} = 3 \times 10^5 \, \rm M_\odot$ can be localized with a median precision of $\simeq 10^2 \, \rm deg^2 (\simeq 1 \, \rm deg^2)$ at 1 month (1 hour) from merger, while the sky position of heavy MBHBs can be determined to $10 \, \rm deg^2$ only 1 hour before merger. However the uncertainty around the median values broadens with time, ranging in between 0.04 -- 20 $\rm deg^2$ (0.3 -- 3 $\times 10^3 \, \rm deg^2$) for light (heavy) systems at 1 hour before merger. At merger the sky localization improves down to $\simeq 10^{-1} \, \rm deg^2$ for all masses. For the benefit of the observer community, we provide the full set of data from our simulations and simple and ready-to-use analytical fits to describe the time evolution of uncertainties in the aforementioned parameters, valid for systems with total mass between $10^5$--$10^7 \, \rm M_\odot$ and redshift $0.3$--$3$.

astro-ph.HE↗

Detectability and parameter estimation of GWTC-3 events with LISA

Multiband observations of coalescing stellar-mass black holes binaries could deliver valuable information on the formation of those sources and potential deviations from General Relativity. Some of these binaries might be first detected by the space-based detector LISA and, then, several years later, observed with ground-based detectors. Due to large uncertainties in astrophysical models, it is hard to predict the population of such binaries that LISA could observe. In this work, we assess the ability of LISA to detect the events of the third catalogue of gravitational wave sources released by the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA collaboration. We consider the possibility of directly detecting the source with LISA and performing archival searches in the LISA data stream, after the event has been observed with ground-based detectors. We also assess how much could LISA improve the determination of source parameters. We find that it is not guaranteed that any event other than GW150914 would have been detected. Nevertheless, if any event is detected by LISA, even with a very low signal-to-noise ratio, the measurement of source parameters would improve by combining observations of LISA and ground based detectors, in particular for the chirp mass.

gr-qc↗

Observing GW190521-like binary black holes and their environment with LISA

Binaries of relatively massive black holes like GW190521 have been proposed to form in dense gas environments, such as the disks of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGNs), and they might be associated with transient electromagnetic counterparts. The interactions of this putative environment with the binary could leave a significant imprint at the low gravitational wave frequencies observable with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). We show that LISA will be able to detect up to ten GW190521-like black hole binaries, with sky position errors $\lesssim1$ deg$^2$. Moreover, it will measure directly various effects due to the orbital motion around the supermassive black hole at the center of the AGN, especially the Doppler modulation and the Shapiro time delay. Thanks to a careful treatment of their frequency domain signal, we were able to perform the full parameter estimation of Doppler and Shapiro-modulated binaries as seen by LISA. We find that the Doppler and Shapiro effects will allow for measuring the AGN parameters (radius and inclination of the orbit around the AGN, central black hole mass) with up to percent-level precision. Properly modeling these low-frequency environmental effects is crucial to determine the binary formation history, as well as to avoid biases in the reconstruction of the source parameters and in tests of general relativity with gravitational waves.

gr-qc↗

Spin contributions to the gravitational-waveform modes for spin-aligned binaries at the 3.5PN order

We complete the post-Newtonian (PN) prediction at the 3.5PN order for the spin contributions to the gravitational waveforms emitted by inspiraling compact binaries, in the case of quasi-circular, equatorial orbits, where both spins are aligned with the orbital angular momentum. Using results from the multipolar post-Minkowskian wave generation formalism, we extend previous works that derived the dynamics and gravitational-wave energy flux and phasing, by computing the full waveform decomposed in spin-weighted spherical harmonics. This new calculation requires the computation of multipolar moments of higher multipolar order, new quadratic-in-spin contributions to the hereditary tail terms entering at the 3.5PN order, as well as other non-linear interactions between moments. When specialized to the test-mass limit, our results are equivalent to those obtained in the literature for the waveform emitted by a test-mass in equatorial, circular orbits around a Kerr black hole. We also compute the factorized modes for use in effective-one-body waveform models, correcting the 2.5PN nonspinning and 3PN quadratic-in-spin terms in the (2,1) mode used in current models.

gr-qc↗

Discriminating between different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes with LISA

Electromagnetic observations have provided strong evidence for the existence of massive black holes in the center of galaxies, but their origin is still poorly known. Different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes lead to different predictions for their properties and merger rates. LISA observations of coalescing massive black hole binaries could be used to reverse engineer the problem and shed light on these mechanisms. In this paper, we introduce a pipeline based on hierarchical Bayesian inference to infer the mixing fraction between different theoretical models by comparing them to LISA observations of massive black hole mergers. By testing this pipeline against simulated LISA data, we show that it allows us to accurately infer the properties of the massive black hole population as long as our theoretical models provide a reliable description of the Universe. We also show that measurement errors, including both instrumental noise and weak lensing errors, have little impact on the inference.

gr-qc↗

Constraining cosmological extra dimensions with gravitational wave standard sirens: from theory to current and future multi-messenger observations

The propagation of gravitational waves (GWs) at cosmological distances offers a new way to test the gravitational interaction at the largest scales. Many modified theories of gravity, usually introduced to explain the observed acceleration of the universe, can be probed in an alternative and complementary manner with respect to standard electromagnetic (EM) observations. In this paper we consider a homogeneous and isotropic cosmology with extra spatial dimensions at large scales, which represents a simple phenomenological prototype for extra-dimensional modified gravity cosmological models. By assuming that gravity propagates through the higher-dimensional spacetime, while photons are constrained to the usual four dimensions of general relativity, we derive from first principles the relation between the luminosity distance measured by GW detectors and the one inferred by EM observations. We then use this relation to constrain the number of cosmological extra dimensions with the binary neutron star event GW170817 and the binary black hole merger GW190521. We further provide forecasts for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) by simulating multi-messenger observations of massive black hole binary (MBHB) mergers. This paper extends and updates previous analyses which crucially neglected an additional redshift dependency in the GW-EM luminosity distance relation which affects results obtained from multi-messenger GW events at high redshift, in particular constraints expected from LISA MBHBs.

gr-qc↗

Detectable environmental effects in GW190521-like black-hole binaries with LISA

GW190521 is the compact binary with the largest masses observed to date, with at least one in the pair-instability gap. This event has also been claimed to be associated with an optical flare observed by the Zwicky Transient Facility in an Active Galactic Nucleus (AGN), possibly due to the post-merger motion of the merger remnant in the AGN gaseous disk. We show that the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detect up to ten of such gas-rich black hole binaries months to years before their detection by LIGO/Virgo-like interferometers, localizing them in the sky within $\approx1$ deg$^2$. LISA will also measure directly deviations from purely vacuum and stationary waveforms, arising from gas accretion, dynamical friction, and orbital motion around the AGN's massive black hole (acceleration, strong lensing, and Doppler modulation). LISA will therefore be crucial to alert and point electromagnetic telescopes ahead of time on this novel class of gas-rich sources, to gain direct insight on their physics, and to disentangle environmental effects from corrections to General Relativity that may also appear in the waveforms at low frequencies.

astro-ph.HE↗

Tests of general relativity with stellar-mass black hole binaries observed by LISA

We consider the observation of stellar-mass black holes binaries with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Preliminary results based on Fisher information matrix analyses have suggested that gravitational waves from those sources could be very sensitive to possible deviations from the theory of general relativity and from the strong equivalence principle during the low-frequency binary inspiral. We perform a full Markov Chain Monte Carlo Bayesian analysis to quantify the sensitivity of these signals to two phenomenological modifications of general relativity, namely a putative gravitational dipole emission and a non-zero mass for the graviton, properly accounting for the detector's response. Moreover, we consider a scenario where those sources could be observed also with Earth-based detectors, which should measure the coalescence time with precision better than $1 \ {\rm ms}$. This constraint on the coalescence time further improves the bounds that we can set on those phenomenological deviations from general relativity. We show that tests of dipole radiation and the graviton's mass should improve respectively by seven and half an order(s) of magnitude over current bounds. Finally, we discuss under which conditions one may claim the detection of a modification to general relativity.

gr-qc↗

Parameter estimation of stellar-mass black hole binaries with LISA

Stellar-mass black hole binaries (SBHBs), like those currently being detected with the ground-based gravitational-wave (GW) observatories LIGO and Virgo, are also an anticipated GW source for LISA. LISA will observe them during the early inspiral stage of evolution; some of them will chirp through the LISA band and reappear some time later in the band of $3^{rd}$ generation ground-based detectors. SBHBs could serve as laboratories for testing the theory of General Relativity and inferring the astrophysical properties of the underlying population. In this study, we assess LISA's ability to infer the parameters of those systems, a crucial first step in understanding and interpreting the observation of those binaries and their use in fundamental physics and astrophysics. We simulate LISA observations for several fiducial sources and perform a full Bayesian analysis. We demonstrate and explain degeneracies in the parameters of some systems. We show that the redshifted chirp mass and the sky location are always very well determined, with typical errors below $10^{-4}$ (fractional) and $0.4 \ {\rm deg^2}$. The luminosity distance to the source is typically measured within $40-60\%$, resulting in a measurement of the chirp mass in the source frame of $\mathcal{O}(1 \%)$. The error on the time to coalescence improves from $\mathcal{O}(1 \ {\rm day})$ to $\mathcal{O}(30 \ {\rm s})$ as we observe the systems closer to their merger. We introduce an augmented Fisher-matrix analysis which gives reliable predictions for the intrinsic parameters compared to the full Bayesian analysis. Finally, we show that combining the use of the long-wavelength approximation for the LISA instrumental response together with the introduction of a degradation function at high frequencies yields reliable results for the posterior distribution when used self-consistently, but not in the analysis of real LISA data.

gr-qc↗

The mass quadrupole moment of compact binary systems at the fourth post-Newtonian order

The mass-type quadrupole moment of inspiralling compact binaries (without spins) is computed at the fourth post-Newtonian (4PN) approximation of general relativity. The multipole moments are defined by matching between the field in the exterior zone of the matter system and the PN field in the near zone, following the multipolar-post-Minkowskian (MPM)-PN formalism. The matching implies a specific regularization for handling infra-red (IR) divergences of the multipole moments at infinity, based on the Hadamard finite part procedure. On the other hand, the calculation entails ultra-violet (UV) divergences due to the modelling of compact objects by delta-functions, that are treated with dimensional regularization (DR). In future work we intend to systematically study the IR divergences by means of dimensional regularization as well. Our result constitutes an important step in the goal of obtaining the gravitational wave templates of inspiralling compact binary systems with 4PN/4.5PN accuracy.

gr-qc↗

GPU-accelerated massive black hole binary parameter estimation with LISA

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is slated for launch in the early 2030s. A main target of the mission is massive black hole binaries that have an expected detection rate of $\sim20$ yr$^{-1}$. We present a parameter estimation analysis for a variety of massive black hole binaries. This analysis is performed with a graphics processing unit (GPU) implementation comprising the phenomhm waveform with higher-order harmonic modes and aligned spins; a fast frequency-domain LISA detector response function; and a GPU-native likelihood computation. The computational performance achieved with the GPU is shown to be 500 times greater than with a similar CPU implementation, which allows us to analyze full noise-infused injections at a realistic Fourier bin width for the LISA mission in a tractable and efficient amount of time. With these fast likelihood computations, we study the effect of adding aligned spins to an analysis with higher-order modes by testing different configurations of spins in the injection, as well as the effect of varied and fixed spins during sampling. Within these tests, we examine three different binaries with varying mass ratios, redshifts, sky locations, and detector-frame total masses ranging over three orders of magnitude. We discuss varied correlations between the total masses and mass ratios; unique spin posteriors for the larger mass binaries; and the constraints on parameters when fixing spins during sampling, allowing us to compare to previous analyses that did not include aligned spins.

gr-qc↗

Gravitational-wave detection and parameter estimation for accreting black-hole binaries and their electromagnetic counterpart

We study the impact of gas accretion on the orbital evolution of black-hole binaries initially at large separation in the band of the planned Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). We focus on two sources: (i)~stellar-origin black-hole binaries~(SOBHBs) that can migrate from the LISA band to the band of ground-based gravitational-wave observatories within weeks/months; and (ii) intermediate-mass black-hole binaries~(IMBHBs) in the LISA band only. Because of the large number of observable gravitational-wave cycles, the phase evolution of these systems needs to be modeled to great accuracy to avoid biasing the estimation of the source parameters. Accretion affects the gravitational-wave phase at negative ($-4$) post-Newtonian order, and is therefore dominant for binaries at large separations. If accretion takes place at the Eddington or at super-Eddington rate, it will leave a detectable imprint on the dynamics of SOBHBs. In optimistic astrophysical scenarios, a multiwavelength strategy with LISA and a ground-based interferometer can detect about $10$ (a few) SOBHB events for which the accretion rate can be measured at $50\%$ ($10\%$) level. In all cases the sky position can be identified within much less than $0.4\,{\rm deg}^2$ uncertainty. Likewise, accretion at $\gtrsim 10\%$ ($\gtrsim 100\%$) of the Eddington rate can be measured in IMBHBs up to redshift $z\approx 0.1$ ($z\approx 0.5$), and the position of these sources can be identified within less than $0.01\,{\rm deg}^2$ uncertainty. Altogether, a detection of SOBHBs or IMBHBs would allow for targeted searches of electromagnetic counterparts to black-hole mergers in gas-rich environments with future X-ray detectors (such as Athena) and radio observatories (such as SKA).

astro-ph.HE↗