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Taichi Murayama

Publications and source records attributed to Taichi Murayama.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Disentangled Mode-Specific Representations for Tensor Time Series via Contrastive Learning

Multi-mode tensor time series (TTS) can be found in many domains, such as search engines and environmental monitoring systems. Learning representations of a TTS benefits various applications, but it is also challenging since the complexities inherent in the tensor hinder the realization of rich representations. In this paper, we propose a novel representation learning method designed specifically for TTS, namely MoST. Specifically, MoST uses a tensor slicing approach to reduce the complexity of the TTS structure and learns representations that can be disentangled into individual non-temporal modes. Each representation captures mode-specific features, which are the relationship between variables within the same mode, and mode-invariant features, which are in common in representations of different modes. We employ a contrastive learning framework to learn parameters; the loss function comprises two parts intended to learn representation in a mode-specific way and mode-invariant way, effectively exploiting disentangled representations as augmentations. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show that MoST consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of classification and forecasting accuracy. Code is available at https://github.com/KoheiObata/MoST.

cs.LG

Impression Zombies: Characteristics Analysis and Classification of New Harmful Accounts on Social Media

``Impression Zombies'', a type of malicious account designed to artificially inflate engagement metrics, have recently emerged as a significant threat on X (formerly Twitter). These accounts disseminate a high volume of low-quality, irrelevant posts, which degrade the user experience. This study aims (1) to quantitatively characterize their behavioral patterns and (2) to develop a method for detecting such accounts. To address the first objective, we collected data from 9,909 accounts and compared the characteristics of Impression Zombies and general users within this dataset. We find that, Impression Zombies post more than three times the average total number of posts per day and tend to gather followers by using phrases such as ``follow back.'' Addressing the second objective, we constructed a classification model for Impression Zombies that leverages the contextual incoherence often observed between parent posts and the replies from Impression Zombies. Experimental results show that our model achieved approximately 92\% accuracy in detecting Impression Zombies. This study provides the first quantitative insights into Impression Zombies and offers a practical framework for detecting such accounts, contributing to platform transparency and the health of social media ecosystems.

cs.SI

Data-driven Methods of Extracting Text Structure and Information Transfer

The Anna Karenina Principle (AKP) holds that success requires satisfying a small set of essential conditions, whereas failure takes diverse forms. We test AKP, its reverse, and two further patterns described as ordered and noisy across novels, online encyclopedias, research papers, and movies. Texts are represented as sequences of functional blocks, and convergence is assessed in transition order and position. Results show that structural principles vary by medium: novels follow reverse AKP in order, Wikipedia combines AKP with ordered patterns, academic papers display reverse AKP in order but remain noisy in position, and movies diverge by genre. Success therefore depends on structural constraints that are specific to each medium, while failure assumes different shapes across domains.

cs.AI

Global Patterns of Knowledge: Language, Genre, and the Geography of Knowledge

Online platforms, particularly Wikipedia, have become critical infrastructures for providing diverse linguistic and cultural contexts. This human-curated knowledge now forms the foundation for modern AI. However, we have not yet fully explored how knowledge production capability vary across languages and domains. Here, we address this gap by applying economic complexity analysis to understand the editing history of Wikipedia platforms. This approach allows us to infer the latent mode of ``knowledge-production'' of each language community from the diversity and specialization of its contributed content. We reveal that different language communities exhibit distinct specializations, particularly in cultural subjects. Furthermore, we map the global landscape of these production modes, finding that the structure of knowledge production strongly reflects geopolitical boundaries. Our findings suggest that while a common mode of knowledge production exists for standardized topics such as science, it is more diverse for cultural topics or controversial subjects such as conspiracy theories. The association between differences in knowledge production capability and geopolitical factors implies how linguistic and cultural dynamics shape our worldview and the biases embedded in Wikipedia data, a unique, massive, and essential dataset for modern AI.

cs.CY

D-Tracker: Modeling Interest Diffusion in Social Activity Tensor Data Streams

Large quantities of social activity data, such as weekly web search volumes and the number of new infections with infectious diseases, reflect peoples' interests and activities. It is important to discover temporal patterns from such data and to forecast future activities accurately. However, modeling and forecasting social activity data streams is difficult because they are high-dimensional and composed of multiple time-varying dynamics such as trends, seasonality, and interest diffusion. In this paper, we propose D-Tracker, a method for continuously capturing time-varying temporal patterns within social activity tensor data streams and forecasting future activities. Our proposed method has the following properties: (a) Interpretable: it incorporates the partial differential equation into a tensor decomposition framework and captures time-varying temporal patterns such as trends, seasonality, and interest diffusion between locations in an interpretable manner; (b) Automatic: it has no hyperparameters and continuously models tensor data streams fully automatically; (c) Scalable: the computation time of D-Tracker is independent of the time series length. Experiments using web search volume data obtained from GoogleTrends, and COVID-19 infection data obtained from COVID-19 Open Data Repository show that our method can achieve higher forecasting accuracy in less computation time than existing methods while extracting the interest diffusion between locations. Our source code and datasets are available at {https://github.com/Higashiguchi-Shingo/D-Tracker.

cs.SI

Linguistic Landscape of Generative AI Perception: A Global Twitter Analysis Across 14 Languages

The advent of generative AI tools has had a profound impact on societies globally, transcending geographical boundaries. Understanding these tools' global reception and utilization is crucial for service providers and policymakers in shaping future policies. Therefore, to unravel the perceptions and engagements of individuals within diverse linguistic communities with regard to generative AI tools, we extensively analyzed over 6.8 million tweets in 14 different languages. Our findings reveal a global trend in the perception of generative AI, accompanied by language-specific nuances. While sentiments toward these tools vary significantly across languages, there is a prevalent positive inclination toward Image tools and a negative one toward Chat tools. Notably, the ban of ChatGPT in Italy led to a sentiment decline and initiated discussions across languages. Furthermore, we established a taxonomy for interactions with chatbots, creating a framework for social analysis underscoring variations in generative AI usage among linguistic communities. We find that the Chinese community predominantly employs chatbots as substitutes for search, while the Italian community tends to use chatbots for tasks such as problem-solving assistance and engaging in entertainment or creative tasks. Our research provides a robust foundation for further explorations of the social dynamics surrounding generative AI tools and offers invaluable insights for decision-makers in policy, technology, and education.

cs.CY

The "recognition," "belief," and "action" regarding conspiracy theories: An empirical study using large-scale samples from Japan and the United States

Conspiracy theories present significant societal challenges, shaping political behavior, eroding public trust, and disrupting social cohesion. Addressing their impact requires recognizing that conspiracy engagement is not a singular act but a multi-stage process involving distinct cognitive and behavioral transitions. In this study, we investigate this sequential progression, "recognition," "belief," and "action" (demonstrative action and diffusion action), using nationally representative surveys from the United States (N=13,578) and Japan (N=16,693). Applying a Bayesian hierarchical model, we identify the key social, political, and economic factors that drive engagement at each stage, providing a structured framework for understanding the mechanisms underlying conspiracy theory adoption and dissemination. We find that recognition serves as a crucial gateway determining who transitions to belief, and that demonstrative and diffusion actions are shaped by distinct factors. Demonstrative actions are more prevalent among younger, higher-status individuals with strong political alignments, whereas diffusion actions occur across broader demographics, particularly among those engaged with diverse media channels. Our findings further reveal that early-life economic and cultural capital significantly influence the shape of conspiratorial engagement, emphasizing the role of life-course experiences. These insights highlight the necessity of distinguishing between different forms of conspiracy engagement and highlight the importance of targeted interventions that account for structural, cultural, and psychological factors to mitigate their spread and societal impact.

cs.CY

Fredformer: Frequency Debiased Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook high-frequency features, showing a frequency bias. This bias prevents the model from accurately capturing important high-frequency data features. In this paper, we undertook empirical analyses to understand this bias and discovered that frequency bias results from the model disproportionately focusing on frequency features with higher energy. Based on our analysis, we formulate this bias and propose Fredformer, a Transformer-based framework designed to mitigate frequency bias by learning features equally across different frequency bands. This approach prevents the model from overlooking lower amplitude features important for accurate forecasting. Extensive experiments show the effectiveness of our proposed approach, which can outperform other baselines in different real-world time-series datasets. Furthermore, we introduce a lightweight variant of the Fredformer with an attention matrix approximation, which achieves comparable performance but with much fewer parameters and lower computation costs. The code is available at: https://github.com/chenzRG/Fredformer

cs.LG

Public Perception of Generative AI on Twitter: An Empirical Study Based on Occupation and Usage

The emergence of generative AI has sparked substantial discussions, with the potential to have profound impacts on society in all aspects. As emerging technologies continue to advance, it is imperative to facilitate their proper integration into society, managing expectations and fear. This paper investigates users' perceptions of generative AI using 3M posts on Twitter from January 2019 to March 2023, especially focusing on their occupation and usage. We find that people across various occupations, not just IT-related ones, show a strong interest in generative AI. The sentiment toward generative AI is generally positive, and remarkably, their sentiments are positively correlated with their exposure to AI. Among occupations, illustrators show exceptionally negative sentiment mainly due to concerns about the unethical usage of artworks in constructing AI. People use ChatGPT in diverse ways, and notably the casual usage in which they "play with" ChatGPT tends to associate with positive sentiments. After the release of ChatGPT, people's interest in AI in general has increased dramatically; however, the topic with the most significant increase and positive sentiment is related to crypto, indicating the hype-worthy characteristics of generative AI. These findings would offer valuable lessons for policymaking on the emergence of new technology and also empirical insights for the considerations of future human-AI symbiosis.

cs.SI

The Chance of Winning Election Impacts on Social Media Strategy

Social media has been a paramount arena for election campaigns for political actors. While many studies have been paying attention to the political campaigns related to partisanship, politicians also can conduct different campaigns according to their chances of winning. Leading candidates, for example, do not behave the same as fringe candidates in their elections, and vice versa. We, however, know little about this difference in social media political campaign strategies according to their odds in elections. We tackle this problem by analyzing candidates' tweets in terms of users, topics, and sentiment of replies. Our study finds that, as their chances of winning increase, candidates narrow the targets they communicate with, from people in general to the electrical districts and specific persons (verified accounts or accounts with many followers). Our study brings new insights into the candidates' campaign strategies through the analysis based on the novel perspective of the candidate's electoral situation.

cs.CY

Political Honeymoon Effect on Social Media: Characterizing Social Media Reaction to the Changes of Prime Minister in Japan

New leaders in democratic countries typically enjoy high approval ratings immediately after taking office. This phenomenon is called the honeymoon effect and is regarded as a significant political phenomenon; however, its mechanism remains underexplored. Therefore, this study examines how social media users respond to changes in political leadership in order to better understand the honeymoon effect in politics. In particular, we constructed a 15-year Twitter dataset on eight change timings of Japanese prime ministers consisting of 6.6M tweets and analyzed them in terms of sentiments, topics, and users. We found that, while not always, social media tend to show a honeymoon effect at the change timings of prime minister. The study also revealed that sentiment about prime ministers differed by topic, indicating that public expectations vary from one prime minister to another. Furthermore, the user base was largely replaced before and after the change in the prime minister, and their sentiment was also significantly different. The implications of this study would be beneficial for administrative management.

cs.SI

Mining Reaction and Diffusion Dynamics in Social Activities

Large quantifies of online user activity data, such as weekly web search volumes, which co-evolve with the mutual influence of several queries and locations, serve as an important social sensor. It is an important task to accurately forecast the future activity by discovering latent interactions from such data, i.e., the ecosystems between each query and the flow of influences between each area. However, this is a difficult problem in terms of data quantity and complex patterns covering the dynamics. To tackle the problem, we propose FluxCube, which is an effective mining method that forecasts large collections of co-evolving online user activity and provides good interpretability. Our model is the expansion of a combination of two mathematical models: a reaction-diffusion system provides a framework for modeling the flow of influences between local area groups and an ecological system models the latent interactions between each query. Also, by leveraging the concept of physics-informed neural networks, FluxCube achieves high interpretability obtained from the parameters and high forecasting performance, together. Extensive experiments on real datasets showed that FluxCube outperforms comparable models in terms of the forecasting accuracy, and each component in FluxCube contributes to the enhanced performance. We then show some case studies that FluxCube can extract useful latent interactions between queries and area groups.

cs.SI

Annotation-Scheme Reconstruction for "Fake News" and Japanese Fake News Dataset

Fake news provokes many societal problems; therefore, there has been extensive research on fake news detection tasks to counter it. Many fake news datasets were constructed as resources to facilitate this task. Contemporary research focuses almost exclusively on the factuality aspect of the news. However, this aspect alone is insufficient to explain "fake news," which is a complex phenomenon that involves a wide range of issues. To fully understand the nature of each instance of fake news, it is important to observe it from various perspectives, such as the intention of the false news disseminator, the harmfulness of the news to our society, and the target of the news. We propose a novel annotation scheme with fine-grained labeling based on detailed investigations of existing fake news datasets to capture these various aspects of fake news. Using the annotation scheme, we construct and publish the first Japanese fake news dataset. The annotation scheme is expected to provide an in-depth understanding of fake news. We plan to build datasets for both Japanese and other languages using our scheme. Our Japanese dataset is published at https://hkefka385.github.io/dataset/fakenews-japanese/.

cs.CL

Dataset of Fake News Detection and Fact Verification: A Survey

The rapid increase in fake news, which causes significant damage to society, triggers many fake news related studies, including the development of fake news detection and fact verification techniques. The resources for these studies are mainly available as public datasets taken from Web data. We surveyed 118 datasets related to fake news research on a large scale from three perspectives: (1) fake news detection, (2) fact verification, and (3) other tasks; for example, the analysis of fake news and satire detection. We also describe in detail their utilization tasks and their characteristics. Finally, we highlight the challenges in the fake news dataset construction and some research opportunities that address these challenges. Our survey facilitates fake news research by helping researchers find suitable datasets without reinventing the wheel, and thereby, improves fake news studies in depth.

cs.LG

Mitigation of Diachronic Bias in Fake News Detection Dataset

Fake news causes significant damage to society.To deal with these fake news, several studies on building detection models and arranging datasets have been conducted. Most of the fake news datasets depend on a specific time period. Consequently, the detection models trained on such a dataset have difficulty detecting novel fake news generated by political changes and social changes; they may possibly result in biased output from the input, including specific person names and organizational names. We refer to this problem as \textbf{Diachronic Bias} because it is caused by the creation date of news in each dataset. In this study, we confirm the bias, especially proper nouns including person names, from the deviation of phrase appearances in each dataset. Based on these findings, we propose masking methods using Wikidata to mitigate the influence of person names and validate whether they make fake news detection models robust through experiments with in-domain and out-of-domain data.

cs.CL

Single Model for Influenza Forecasting of Multiple Countries by Multi-task Learning

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online user-generated contents have been proposed in previous studies, no flu forecasting model targeting multiple countries using two types of data exists at present. Our paper leverages multi-task learning to tackle the challenge of building one flu forecasting model targeting multiple countries; each country as each task. Also, to develop the flu prediction model with higher performance, we solved two issues; finding suitable search queries, which are part of the user-generated contents, and how to leverage search queries efficiently in the model creation. For the first issue, we propose the transfer approaches from English to other languages. For the second issue, we propose a novel flu forecasting model that takes advantage of search queries using an attention mechanism and extend the model to a multi-task model for multiple countries' flu forecasts. Experiments on forecasting flu epidemics in five countries demonstrate that our model significantly improved the performance by leveraging the search queries and multi-task learning compared to the baselines.

cs.LG

Modeling the spread of fake news on Twitter

Fake news can have a significant negative impact on society because of the growing use of mobile devices and the worldwide increase in Internet access. It is therefore essential to develop a simple mathematical model to understand the online dissemination of fake news. In this study, we propose a point process model of the spread of fake news on Twitter. The proposed model describes the spread of a fake news item as a two-stage process: initially, fake news spreads as a piece of ordinary news; then, when most users start recognizing the falsity of the news item, that itself spreads as another news story. We validate this model using two datasets of fake news items spread on Twitter. We show that the proposed model is superior to the current state-of-the-art methods in accurately predicting the evolution of the spread of a fake news item. Moreover, a text analysis suggests that our model appropriately infers the correction time, i.e., the moment when Twitter users start realizing the falsity of the news item. The proposed model contributes to understanding the dynamics of the spread of fake news on social media. Its ability to extract a compact representation of the spreading pattern could be useful in the detection and mitigation of fake news.

cs.SI

Influenza Surveillance using Search Engine, SNS, On-line Shopping, Q&A Service and Past Flu Patients

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily in the form of social media posts or search query logs, are generally used for prediction for reaction to sudden and unusual outbreaks. However, most studies rely only on the UGC as their resource and do not use various UGCs. Our study aims to solve these questions about Influenza prediction: Which model is the best? What combination of multiple UGCs works well? What is the nature of each UGC? We adapt some models, LASSO Regression, Huber Regression, Support Vector Machine regression with Linear kernel (SVR) and Random Forest, to test the influenza volume prediction in Japan during 2015 - 2018. For that, we use on-line five data resources: (1) past flu patients, (2) SNS (Twitter), (3) search engines (Yahoo! Japan), (4) shopping services (Yahoo! Shopping), and (5) Q&A services (Yahoo! Chiebukuro) as resources of each model. We then validate respective resources contributions using the best model, Huber Regression, with all resources except one resource. Finally, we use Bayesian change point method for ascertaining whether the trend of time series on any resources is reflected in the trend of flu patient count or not. Our experiments show Huber Regression model based on various data resources produces the most accurate results. Then, from the change point analysis, we get the result that search query logs and social media posts for three years represents these resources as a good predictor. Conclusions: We show that Huber Regression based on various data resources is strong for outliers and is suitable for the flu prediction. Additionally, we indicate the characteristics of each resource for the flu prediction.

cs.CY