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Takahiro Yabe

Publications and source records attributed to Takahiro Yabe.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2022

Universal decomposition algebras and the classification of 2-generated non-primitive axial algebras of Jordan type

Decomposition algebras and axial decomposition algebras are classes of commutative nonassociative algebras which are generalizations of axial algebras. The classes decomposition algebras, axial decomposition al;gebras and non-primitive axial algebras also have univesal algebras. Furthermore, by using the existence of a universal algebra, 2-generated non-primitive axial algebras of Jordan type is classified.

math.RA↗
arXiv2022

Pseudo-PFLOW: Development of nationwide synthetic open dataset for people movement based on limited travel survey and open statistical data

People flow data are utilized in diverse fields such as urban and commercial planning and disaster management. However, people flow data collected from mobile phones, such as using global positioning system and call detail records data, are difficult to obtain because of privacy issues. Even if the data were obtained, they would be difficult to handle. This study developed pseudo-people-flow data covering all of Japan by combining public statistical and travel survey data from limited urban areas. This dataset is not a representation of actual travel movements but of typical weekday movements of people. Therefore it is expected to be useful for various purposes. Additionally, the dataset represents the seamless movement of people throughout Japan, with no restrictions on coverage, unlike the travel surveys. In this paper, we propose a method for generating pseudo-people-flow and describe the development of a "Pseudo-PFLOW" dataset covering the entire population of approximately 130 million people. We then evaluated the accuracy of the dataset using mobile phone and trip survey data from multiple metropolitan areas. The results showed that a coefficient of determination of more than 0.5 was confirmed for comparisons regarding population distribution and trip volume.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2021

Quantifying Spatial Homogeneity of Urban Road Networks via Graph Neural Networks

Quantifying the topological similarities of different parts of urban road networks (URNs) enables us to understand the urban growth patterns. While conventional statistics provide useful information about characteristics of either a single node's direct neighbors or the entire network, such metrics fail to measure the similarities of subnetworks considering local indirect neighborhood relationships. In this study, we propose a graph-based machine-learning method to quantify the spatial homogeneity of subnetworks. We apply the method to 11,790 urban road networks across 30 cities worldwide to measure the spatial homogeneity of road networks within each city and across different cities. We find that intra-city spatial homogeneity is highly associated with socioeconomic statuses such as GDP and population growth. Moreover, inter-city spatial homogeneity obtained by transferring the model across different cities, reveals the inter-city similarity of urban network structures originating in Europe, passed on to cities in the US and Asia. Socioeconomic development and inter-city similarity revealed using our method can be leveraged to understand and transfer insights across cities. It also enables us to address urban policy challenges including network planning in rapidly urbanizing areas and combating regional inequality.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2021

Mobilkit: A Python Toolkit for Urban Resilience and Disaster Risk Management Analytics using High Frequency Human Mobility Data

Increasingly available high-frequency location datasets derived from smartphones provide unprecedented insight into trajectories of human mobility. These datasets can play a significant and growing role in informing preparedness and response to natural disasters. However, limited tools exist to enable rapid analytics using mobility data, and tend not to be tailored specifically for disaster risk management. We present an open-source, Python-based toolkit designed to conduct replicable and scalable post-disaster analytics using GPS location data. Privacy, system capabilities, and potential expansions of \textit{Mobilkit} are discussed.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2021

Mobile Phone Location Data for Disasters: A Review from Natural Hazards and Epidemics

Rapid urbanization and climate change trends are intertwined with complex interactions of various social, economic, and political factors. The increased trends of disaster risks have recently caused numerous events, ranging from unprecedented category 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean to the COVID-19 pandemic. While regions around the world face urgent demands to prepare for, respond to, and to recover from such disasters, large-scale location data collected from mobile phone devices have opened up novel approaches to tackle these challenges. Mobile phone location data have enabled us to observe, estimate, and model human mobility dynamics at an unprecedented spatio-temporal granularity and scale. The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred the use of mobile phone location data for pandemic and disaster response. However, there is a lack of a comprehensive review that synthesizes the last decade of work leveraging mobile phone location data and case studies of natural hazards and epidemics. We address this gap by summarizing the existing work, and pointing promising areas and future challenges for using data to support disaster response and recovery.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2021

Location Data Reveals Disproportionate Disaster Impact Amongst the Poor: A Case Study of the 2017 Puebla Earthquake Using Mobilkit

Location data obtained from smartphones is increasingly finding use cases in disaster risk management. Where traditionally, CDR has provided the predominant digital footprint for human mobility, GPS data now has immense potential in terms of improved spatiotemporal accuracy, volume, availability, and accessibility. GPS data has already proven invaluable in a range of pre- and post-disaster use cases, such as quantifying displacement, measuring rates of return and recovery, evaluating accessibility to critical resources, planning for resilience. Despite its popularity and potential, however, the use of GPS location data in DRM is still nascent, with several use cases yet to be explored. In this paper, we consider the 2017 Puebla Earthquake in Mexico to (i) validate and expand upon post-disaster analysis applications using GPS data, and (ii) illustrate the use of a new toolkit, Mobilkit, to facilitate scalable, replicable extensions of this work for a wide range of disasters, including earthquakes, typhoons, flooding, and beyond.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2021

On the classification of 2-generated axial algebras of Majorana type

A class of axial algebras generated by two axes with eigenvalues 0, 1, $η$ and $ξ$ called axial algebras of Majorana type is introduced and classified when they are 2-generated, over fields of characteristics neither 2 nor 5 and there exists an automorphism switching generating axes.. The class includes deformations of nine Norton-Sakuma algebras. Over fields of characteristics 5, the axial algebras of Majorana type with the axial dimension at most 5 are clasified.

math.RA↗
arXiv2021

Resilience of Interdependent Urban Socio-Physical Systems using Large-Scale Mobility Data: Modeling Recovery Dynamics

Cities are complex systems comprised of socioeconomic systems relying on critical services delivered by multiple physical infrastructure networks. Due to interdependencies between social and physical systems, disruptions caused by natural hazards may cascade across systems, amplifying the impact of disasters. Despite the increasing threat posed by climate change and rapid urban growth, how to design interdependencies between social and physical systems to achieve resilient cities have been largely unexplored. Here, we study the socio-physical interdependencies in urban systems and their effects on disaster recovery and resilience, using large-scale mobility data collected from Puerto Rico during Hurricane Maria. We find that as cities grow in scale and expand their centralized infrastructure systems, the recovery efficiency of critical services improves, however, curtails the self-reliance of socio-economic systems during crises. Results show that maintaining self-reliance among social systems could be key in developing resilient urban socio-physical systems for cities facing rapid urban growth.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2021

Mobility-based contact exposure explains the disparity of spread of COVID-19 in urban neighborhoods

The rapid early spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. was experienced very differently by different socioeconomic groups and business industries. In this study, we study aggregate mobility patterns of New York City and Chicago to identify the relationship between the amount of interpersonal contact between people in urban neighborhoods and the disparity in the growth of positive cases among these groups. We introduce an aggregate Contact Exposure Index (CEI) to measure exposure due to this interpersonal contact and combine it with social distancing metrics to show its effect on positive case growth. With the help of structural equations modeling, we find that the effect of exposure on case growth was consistently positive and that it remained consistently higher in lower-income neighborhoods, suggesting a causal path of income on case growth via contact exposure. Using the CEI, schools and restaurants are identified as high-exposure industries, and the estimation suggests that implementing specific mobility restrictions on these point-of-interest categories are most effective. This analysis can be useful in providing insights for government officials targeting specific population groups and businesses to reduce infection spread as reopening efforts continue to expand across the nation.

econ.GN↗
arXiv2020

Early Warning of COVID-19 Hotspots using Mobility of High Risk Users from Web Search Queries

COVID-19 has disrupted the global economy and well-being of people at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. To contain the disease, an effective early warning system that predicts the locations of outbreaks is of crucial importance. Studies have shown the effectiveness of using large-scale mobility data to monitor the impacts of non-pharmaceutical interventions (e.g., lockdowns) through population density analysis. However, predicting the locations of potential outbreak occurrence is difficult using mobility data alone. Meanwhile, web search queries have been shown to be good predictors of the disease spread. In this study, we utilize a unique dataset of human mobility trajectories (GPS traces) and web search queries with common user identifiers (> 450K users), to predict COVID-19 hotspot locations beforehand. More specifically, web search query analysis is conducted to identify users with high risk of COVID-19 contraction, and social contact analysis was further performed on the mobility patterns of these users to quantify the risk of an outbreak. Our approach is empirically tested using data collected from users in Tokyo, Japan. We show that by integrating COVID-19 related web search query analytics with social contact networks, we are able to predict COVID-19 hotspot locations 1-2 weeks beforehand, compared to just using social contact indexes or web search data analysis. This study proposes a novel method that can be used in early warning systems for disease outbreak hotspots, which can assist government agencies to prepare effective strategies to prevent further disease spread.

cs.SI↗
arXiv2020

Non-Compulsory Measures Sufficiently Reduced Human Mobility in Tokyo during the COVID-19 Epidemic

While large scale mobility data has become a popular tool to monitor the mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, the impacts of non-compulsory measures in Tokyo, Japan on human mobility patterns has been under-studied. Here, we analyze the temporal changes in human mobility behavior, social contact rates, and their correlations with the transmissibility of COVID-19, using mobility data collected from more than 200K anonymized mobile phone users in Tokyo. The analysis concludes that by April 15th (1 week into state of emergency), human mobility behavior decreased by around 50%, resulting in a 70% reduction of social contacts in Tokyo, showing the effectiveness of non-compulsory measures. Furthermore, the reduction in data-driven human mobility metrics showed correlation with the decrease in estimated effective reproduction number of COVID-19 in Tokyo. Such empirical insights could inform policy makers on deciding sufficient levels of mobility reduction to contain the disease.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2020

Quantifying the Economic Impact of Extreme Shocks on Businesses using Human Mobility Data: a Bayesian Causal Inference Approach

In recent years, extreme shocks, such as natural disasters, are increasing in both frequency and intensity, causing significant economic loss to many cities around the world. Quantifying the economic cost of local businesses after extreme shocks is important for post-disaster assessment and pre-disaster planning. Conventionally, surveys have been the primary source of data used to quantify damages inflicted on businesses by disasters. However, surveys often suffer from high cost and long time for implementation, spatio-temporal sparsity in observations, and limitations in scalability. Recently, large scale human mobility data (e.g. mobile phone GPS) have been used to observe and analyze human mobility patterns in an unprecedented spatio-temporal granularity and scale. In this work, we use location data collected from mobile phones to estimate and analyze the causal impact of hurricanes on business performance. To quantify the causal impact of the disaster, we use a Bayesian structural time series model to predict the counterfactual performances of affected businesses (what if the disaster did not occur?), which may use performances of other businesses outside the disaster areas as covariates. The method is tested to quantify the resilience of 635 businesses across 9 categories in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. Furthermore, hierarchical Bayesian models are used to reveal the effect of business characteristics such as location and category on the long-term resilience of businesses. The study presents a novel and more efficient method to quantify business resilience, which could assist policy makers in disaster preparation and relief processes.

q-fin.GN↗
arXiv2020

Learning Fine Grained Place Embeddings with Spatial Hierarchy from Human Mobility Trajectories

Place embeddings generated from human mobility trajectories have become a popular method to understand the functionality of places. Place embeddings with high spatial resolution are desirable for many applications, however, downscaling the spatial resolution deteriorates the quality of embeddings due to data sparsity, especially in less populated areas. We address this issue by proposing a method that generates fine grained place embeddings, which leverages spatial hierarchical information according to the local density of observed data points. The effectiveness of our fine grained place embeddings are compared to baseline methods via next place prediction tasks using real world trajectory data from 3 cities in Japan. In addition, we demonstrate the value of our fine grained place embeddings for land use classification applications. We believe that our technique of incorporating spatial hierarchical information can complement and reinforce various place embedding generating methods.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2019

City2City: Translating Place Representations across Cities

Large mobility datasets collected from various sources have allowed us to observe, analyze, predict and solve a wide range of important urban challenges. In particular, studies have generated place representations (or embeddings) from mobility patterns in a similar manner to word embeddings to better understand the functionality of different places within a city. However, studies have been limited to generating such representations of cities in an individual manner and has lacked an inter-city perspective, which has made it difficult to transfer the insights gained from the place representations across different cities. In this study, we attempt to bridge this research gap by treating \textit{cities} and \textit{languages} analogously. We apply methods developed for unsupervised machine language translation tasks to translate place representations across different cities. Real world mobility data collected from mobile phone users in 2 cities in Japan are used to test our place representation translation methods. Translated place representations are validated using landuse data, and results show that our methods were able to accurately translate place representations from one city to another.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2019

Predicting Evacuation Decisions using Representations of Individuals' Pre-Disaster Web Search Behavior

Predicting the evacuation decisions of individuals before the disaster strikes is crucial for planning first response strategies. In addition to the studies on post-disaster analysis of evacuation behavior, there are various works that attempt to predict the evacuation decisions beforehand. Most of these predictive methods, however, require real time location data for calibration, which are becoming much harder to obtain due to the rising privacy concerns. Meanwhile, web search queries of anonymous users have been collected by web companies. Although such data raise less privacy concerns, they have been under-utilized for various applications. In this study, we investigate whether web search data observed prior to the disaster can be used to predict the evacuation decisions. More specifically, we utilize a "session-based query encoder" that learns the representations of each user's web search behavior prior to evacuation. Our proposed approach is empirically tested using web search data collected from users affected by a major flood in Japan. Results are validated using location data collected from mobile phones of the same set of users as ground truth. We show that evacuation decisions can be accurately predicted (84%) using only the users' pre-disaster web search data as input. This study proposes an alternative method for evacuation prediction that does not require highly sensitive location data, which can assist local governments to prepare effective first response strategies.

cs.SI↗
arXiv2019

Universality of population recovery patterns after disasters

Despite the rising importance of enhancing community resilience to disasters, our understanding on how communities recover from catastrophic events is limited. Here we study the population recovery dynamics of disaster affected regions by observing the movements of over 2.5 million mobile phone users across three countries before, during and after five major disasters. We find that, although the regions affected by the five disasters have significant differences in socio-economic characteristics, we observe a universal recovery pattern where displaced populations return in an exponential manner after all disasters. Moreover, the heterogeneity in initial and long-term displacement rates across communities across the three countries were explained by a set of key universal factors including the community's median income level, population size, housing damage rate, and the connectedness to other cities. These universal properties of recovery dynamics extracted from large scale evidence could impact efforts on urban resilience and sustainability across various disciplines.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2018

Cross-comparative analysis of evacuation behavior after earthquakes using mobile phone data

Despite the importance of predicting evacuation mobility dynamics after large scale disasters for effective first response and disaster relief, our general understanding of evacuation behavior remains limited because of the lack of empirical evidence on the evacuation movement of individuals across multiple disaster instances. Here we investigate the GPS trajectories of a total of more than 1 million anonymized mobile phone users whose positions are tracked for a period of 2 months before and after four of the major earthquakes that occurred in Japan. Through a cross comparative analysis between the four disaster instances, we find that in contrast with the assumed complexity of evacuation decision making mechanisms in crisis situations, the individuals' evacuation probability is strongly dependent on the seismic intensity that they experience. In fact, we show that the evacuation probabilities in all earthquakes collapse into a similar pattern, with a critical threshold at around seismic intensity 5.5. This indicates that despite the diversity in the earthquakes profiles and urban characteristics, evacuation behavior is similarly dependent on seismic intensity. Moreover, we found that probability density functions of the distances that individuals evacuate are not dependent on seismic intensities that individuals experience. These insights from empirical analysis on evacuation from multiple earthquake instances using large scale mobility data contributes to a deeper understanding of how people react to earthquakes, and can potentially assist decision makers to simulate and predict the number of evacuees in urban areas with little computational time and cost, by using population density information and seismic intensity which can be observed instantaneously after the shock.

cs.CE↗