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Takuji Arai

Publications and source records attributed to Takuji Arai.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Local risk-minimization for exponential additive processes

We explore local risk-minimization, a quadratic hedging method for incomplete markets, in exponential additive models. The objectives are to derive explicit mathematical expressions and to conduct numerical experiments. While local risk-minimization is well studied for Lévy processes, little is known for the additive process case because, unlike Lévy processes, the Lévy measure for an additive process depends on time, which significantly complicates the mathematical framework. This paper shall provide a set of necessary conditions for deriving expressions for LRM strategies in exponential additive models, as integrability conditions on the Lévy measure, which allow us to confirm whether these conditions are satisfied for given concrete models. In the final section, we introduce the variance-gamma scaled self-decomposable process, a Sato process that generalizes the variance-gamma process, as a primary example, and perform numerical experiments.

q-fin.MF

Numerical analysis on locally risk-minimizing strategies for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models

We develop a numerical method for locally risk-minimizing (LRM) strategies for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BNS) models. Arai et al. (2017) derived a mathematical expression for LRM strategies in BNS models using Malliavin calculus for Lévy processes and presented some numerical results only for the case where the asset price process is a martingale. Subsequently, Arai and Imai (2024) developed the first Monte Carlo (MC) method available for non-martingale BNS models with infinite active jumps. Here, we modify the expression obtained by Arai et al. (2017) into a numerically tractable form, and, using the MC method developed by Arai and Imai (2024), propose a numerical method of LRM strategies available for non-martingale BNS models with infinite active jumps. In the final part of this paper, we will conduct some numerical experiments.

q-fin.CP

Option pricing for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model by supervised deep learning

This paper aims to develop a supervised deep-learning scheme to compute call option prices for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model with a non-martingale asset price process having infinite active jumps. In our deep learning scheme, teaching data is generated through the Monte Carlo method developed by Arai and Imai (2024). Moreover, the BNS model includes many variables, which makes the deep learning accuracy worse. Therefore, we will create another input variable using the Black-Scholes formula. As a result, the accuracy is improved dramatically.

q-fin.CP

Constrained optimal stopping under a regime-switching model

We investigate an optimal stopping problem for the expected value of a discounted payoff on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion under two constraints on the possible stopping times: only at exogenous random times and only during a specific regime. The main objectives are to show that an optimal stopping time exists as a threshold type under some boundary conditions and to derive expressions of the value functions and the optimal threshold. To this end, we solve the corresponding variational inequality and show that its solution coincides with the value functions. Some numerical results are also introduced. Furthermore, we investigate some asymptotic behaviors.

math.PR

Alòs type decomposition formula for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model

The objective is to provide an Alòs type decomposition formula of call option prices for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model: an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type stochastic volatility model driven by a subordinator without drift. Alòs (2012) introduced a decomposition expression for the Heston model by using Ito's formula. In this paper, we extend it to the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model. As far as we know, this is the first result on the Alòs type decomposition formula for models with infinite active jumps.

q-fin.MF

A Clark-Ocone type formula via Ito calculus and its application to finance

An explicit martingale representation for random variables described as a functional of a Levy process will be given. The Clark-Ocone theorem shows that integrands appeared in a martingale representation are given by conditional expectations of Malliavin derivatives. Our goal is to extend it to random variables which are not Malliavin differentiable. To this end, we make use of Ito's formula, instead of Malliavin calculus. As an application to mathematical finance, we shall give an explicit representation of locally risk-minimizing strategy of digital options for exponential Levy models. Since the payoff of digital options is described by an indicator function, we also discuss the Malliavin differentiability of indicator functions with respect to Levy processes.

q-fin.MF

Pricing and hedging of VIX options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models

The VIX call options for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models will be discussed. Derivatives written on the VIX, which is the most popular volatility measurement, have been traded actively very much. In this paper, we give representations of the VIX call option price for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: non-Gaussian Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type stochastic volatility models. Moreover, we provide representations of the locally risk-minimizing strategy constructed by a combination of the underlying riskless and risky assets. Remark that the representations obtained in this paper are efficient to develop a numerical method using the fast Fourier transform. Thus, numerical experiments will be implemented in the last section of this paper.

q-fin.MF

Numerical analysis on quadratic hedging strategies for normal inverse Gaussian models

The authors aim to develop numerical schemes of the two representative quadratic hedging strategies: locally risk minimizing and mean-variance hedging strategies, for models whose asset price process is given by the exponential of a normal inverse Gaussian process, using the results of Arai et al. \cite{AIS}, and Arai and Imai. Here normal inverse Gaussian process is a framework of Lévy processes frequently appeared in financial literature. In addition, some numerical results are also introduced.

q-fin.CP

A closed-form representation of mean-variance hedging for additive processes via Malliavin calculus

We focus on mean-variance hedging problem for models whose asset price follows an exponential additive process. Some representations of mean-variance hedging strategies for jump type models have already been suggested, but none is suited to develop numerical methods of the values of strategies for any given time up to the maturity. In this paper, we aim to derive a new explicit closed-form representation, which enables us to develop an efficient numerical method using the fast Fourier transforms. Note that our representation is described in terms of Malliavin derivatives. In addition, we illustrate numerical results for exponential Lévy models.

q-fin.MF

On the difference between locally risk-minimizing and delta hedging strategies for exponential Lévy models

We discuss the difference between locally risk-minimizing and delta hedging strategies for exponential Lévy models, where delta hedging strategies in this paper are defined under the minimal martingale measure. We give firstly model-independent upper estimations for the difference. In addition we show numerical examples for two typical exponential Lévy models: Merton models and variance gamma models.

q-fin.CP

Local risk-minimization for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models

We obtain explicit representations of locally risk-minimizing strategies of call and put options for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, which are Ornstein--Uhlenbeck-type stochastic volatility models. Using Malliavin calculus for Levy processes, Arai and Suzuki (2015) obtained a formula for locally risk-minimizing strategies for Levy markets under many additional conditions. Supposing mild conditions, we make sure that the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models satisfy all the conditions imposed in Arai and Suzuki (2015). Among others, we investigate the Malliavin differentiability of the density of the minimal martingale measure. Moreover, some numerical experiments for locally risk-minimizing strategies are introduced.

q-fin.MF

Numerical analysis on local risk-minimization forexponential Lévy models

We illustrate how to compute local risk minimization (LRM) of call options for exponential Lévy models. We have previously obtained a representation of LRM for call options; here we transform it into a form that allows use of the fast Fourier transform method suggested by Carr & Madan. In particular, we consider Merton jump-diffusion models and variance gamma models as concrete applications.

q-fin.CP

Local risk-minimization for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models with volatility risk premium

We derive representations of local risk-minimization of call and put options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: jump type stochastic volatility models whose squared volatility process is given by a non-Gaussian rnstein-Uhlenbeck process. The general form of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models includes two parameters: volatility risk premium $β$ and leverage effect $ρ$. Arai and Suzuki (2015, arxiv:1503.08589) dealt with the same problem under constraint $β=-\frac{1}{2}$. In this paper, we relax the restriction on $β$; and restrict $ρ$ to $0$ instead. We introduce a Malliavin calculus under the minimal martingale measure to solve the problem.

q-fin.MF

Good deal bounds with convex constraints

We investigate the structure of good deal bounds, which are subintervals of a no-arbitrage pricing bound, for financial market models with convex constraints as an extension of Arai and Fukasawa (2014). The upper and lower bounds of a good deal bound are naturally described by a convex risk measure. We call such a risk measure a good deal valuation; and study its properties. We also discuss superhedging cost and Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for convex constrained markets.

q-fin.MF

Convex risk measures for good deal bounds

We study convex risk measures describing the upper and lower bounds of a good deal bound, which is a subinterval of a no-arbitrage pricing bound. We call such a convex risk measure a good deal valuation and give a set of equivalent conditions for its existence in terms of market. A good deal valuation is characterized by several equivalent properties and in particular, we see that a convex risk measure is a good deal valuation only if it is given as a risk indifference price. An application to shortfall risk measure is given. In addition, we show that the no-free-lunch (NFL) condition is equivalent to the existence of a relevant convex risk measure which is a good deal valuation. The relevance turns out to be a condition for a good deal valuation to be reasonable. Further we investigate conditions under which any good deal valuation is relevant.

q-fin.PR

Good deal bounds induced by shortfall risk

We shall provide in this paper good deal pricing bounds for contingent claims induced by the shortfall risk with some loss function. Assumptions we impose on loss functions and contingent claims are very mild. We prove that the upper and lower bounds of good deal pricing bounds are expressed by convex risk measures on Orlicz hearts. In addition, we obtain its representation with the minimal penalty function. Moreover, we give a representation, for two simple cases, of good deal bounds and calculate the optimal strategies when a claim is traded at the upper or lower bounds of its good deal pricing bound.

q-fin.RM