arXiv subjects

Takuya Kurihana

Publications and source records attributed to Takuya Kurihana.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Aerial Wildfire Suppression Planning with a Hybrid CNN-Cellular Automata Fire Model

Aerial wildfire suppression requires decisions about when, where, and how to deploy limited aircraft. We present an intervention-design framework built on a frozen hybrid convolutional neural network and cellular automaton (CNN-CA) simulator trained jointly on six historical wildfires. First, we jointly optimize binary drop execution and continuous location and orientation, with aircraft-specific footprints, wind drift, and availability, turnaround, and grounded-day constraints. Second, we model water as an immediate transfer of burning probability to the unburned state and retardant as a persistent reduction in the fuel contribution to spread. Third, we remove drops by a rollout-verified backward elimination while limiting degradation in selected fire-performance metrics. Fourth, we evaluate fixed schedules under daily state sampling and a separate spatially correlated probability-field sensitivity test. Fifth, we compare the optimizer with random, tactical, greedy, and derivative-free planners under shared fleet, drop-budget, and simulator-evaluation allowances, and measure computational scaling. A 2020 Bear Fire case study considers two objectives: total fire-affected area and protected-region exposure. The two-stage total-area schedule reduces deterministic terminal extent by 89.5% relative to the simulator baseline with 1,111 drops. The nominal schedule is sensitive to small pose and effectiveness perturbations. The tactical heuristic is more economical at small evaluation allowances; the gradient planner achieves better objectives with more computation.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Neural-Parameterized Cellular Automata for Wildfire Spread

Traditional wildfire models rely on rigid, low-dimensional parameters and static fuel maps, frequently underpredicting fire spread. To address this weakness, we introduce a hybrid deep-learning parameterized Probabilistic Cellular Automata (CA) framework implemented in JAX. Our approach employs a Multi-Scale Convolutional Neural Network to dynamically generate spatially varying parameters that govern fire-spread probability, wind alignment, and slope influence. This hybrid design captures complex, nonlinear environmental interactions while preserving the physical interpretability of the underlying three-state CA. The JAX implementation enables hardware acceleration and gradient-based parameter calibration. Evaluated on six large-scale wildfires in the western United States, the model maintains IoU > 0.6 over 72-hour forecast horizons after a 10-day data assimilation window during which the model is fitted incrementally to observed perimeters; the resulting forecast is a conditional projection of fire growth under the suppression regime already ncoded in those observations.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2025

Harnessing Rich Multi-Modal Data for Spatial-Temporal Homophily-Embedded Graph Learning Across Domains and Localities

Modern cities are increasingly reliant on data-driven insights to support decision making in areas such as transportation, public safety and environmental impact. However, city-level data often exists in heterogeneous formats, collected independently by local agencies with diverse objectives and standards. Despite their numerous, wide-ranging, and uniformly consumable nature, national-level datasets exhibit significant heterogeneity and multi-modality. This research proposes a heterogeneous data pipeline that performs cross-domain data fusion over time-varying, spatial-varying and spatial-varying time-series datasets. We aim to address complex urban problems across multiple domains and localities by harnessing the rich information over 50 data sources. Specifically, our data-learning module integrates homophily from spatial-varying dataset into graph-learning, embedding information of various localities into models. We demonstrate the generalizability and flexibility of the framework through five real-world observations using a variety of publicly accessible datasets (e.g., ride-share, traffic crash, and crime reports) collected from multiple cities. The results show that our proposed framework demonstrates strong predictive performance while requiring minimal reconfiguration when transferred to new localities or domains. This research advances the goal of building data-informed urban systems in a scalable way, addressing one of the most pressing challenges in smart city analytics.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

A 3D super-resolution of wind fields via physics-informed pixel-wise self-attention generative adversarial network

To mitigate global warming, greenhouse gas sources need to be resolved at a high spatial resolution and monitored in time to ensure the reduction and ultimately elimination of the pollution source. However, the complexity of computation in resolving high-resolution wind fields left the simulations impractical to test different time lengths and model configurations. This study presents a preliminary development of a physics-informed super-resolution (SR) generative adversarial network (GAN) that super-resolves the three-dimensional (3D) low-resolution wind fields by upscaling x9 times. We develop a pixel-wise self-attention (PWA) module that learns 3D weather dynamics via a self-attention computation followed by a 2D convolution. We also employ a loss term that regularizes the self-attention map during pretraining, capturing the vertical convection process from input wind data. The new PWA SR-GAN shows the high-fidelity super-resolved 3D wind data, learns a wind structure at the high-frequency domain, and reduces the computational cost of a high-resolution wind simulation by x89.7 times.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2022

Insight into cloud processes from unsupervised classification with a rotationally invariant autoencoder

Clouds play a critical role in the Earth's energy budget and their potential changes are one of the largest uncertainties in future climate projections. However, the use of satellite observations to understand cloud feedbacks in a warming climate has been hampered by the simplicity of existing cloud classification schemes, which are based on single-pixel cloud properties rather than utilizing spatial structures and textures. Recent advances in computer vision enable the grouping of different patterns of images without using human-predefined labels, providing a novel means of automated cloud classification. This unsupervised learning approach allows discovery of unknown climate-relevant cloud patterns, and the automated processing of large datasets. We describe here the use of such methods to generate a new AI-driven Cloud Classification Atlas (AICCA), which leverages 22 years and 800 terabytes of MODIS satellite observations over the global ocean. We use a rotation-invariant cloud clustering (RICC) method to classify those observations into 42 AI-generated cloud class labels at ~100 km spatial resolution. As a case study, we use AICCA to examine a recent finding of decreasing cloudiness in a critical part of the subtropical stratocumulus deck, and show that the change is accompanied by strong trends in cloud classes.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2022

Multi-scale Digital Twin: Developing a fast and physics-informed surrogate model for groundwater contamination with uncertain climate models

Soil and groundwater contamination is a pervasive problem at thousands of locations across the world. Contaminated sites often require decades to remediate or to monitor natural attenuation. Climate change exacerbates the long-term site management problem because extreme precipitation and/or shifts in precipitation/evapotranspiration regimes could re-mobilize contaminants and proliferate affected groundwater. To quickly assess the spatiotemporal variations of groundwater contamination under uncertain climate disturbances, we developed a physics-informed machine learning surrogate model using U-Net enhanced Fourier Neural Operator (U-FNO) to solve Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) of groundwater flow and transport simulations at the site scale.We develop a combined loss function that includes both data-driven factors and physical boundary constraints at multiple spatiotemporal scales. Our U-FNOs can reliably predict the spatiotemporal variations of groundwater flow and contaminant transport properties from 1954 to 2100 with realistic climate projections. In parallel, we develop a convolutional autoencoder combined with online clustering to reduce the dimensionality of the vast historical and projected climate data by quantifying climatic region similarities across the United States. The ML-based unique climate clusters provide climate projections for the surrogate modeling and help return reliable future recharge rate projections immediately without querying large climate datasets. In all, this Multi-scale Digital Twin work can advance the field of environmental remediation under climate change.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2022

AICCA: AI-driven Cloud Classification Atlas

Clouds play an important role in the Earth's energy budget and their behavior is one of the largest uncertainties in future climate projections. Satellite observations should help in understanding cloud responses, but decades and petabytes of multispectral cloud imagery have to date received only limited use. This study reduces the dimensionality of satellite cloud observations by grouping them via a novel automated, unsupervised cloud classification technique by using a convolutional neural network. Our technique combines a rotation-invariant autoencoder with hierarchical agglomerative clustering to generate cloud clusters that capture meaningful distinctions among cloud textures, using only raw multispectral imagery as input. Thus, cloud classes are defined without reliance on location, time/season, derived physical properties, or pre-designated class definitions. We use this approach to generate a unique new cloud dataset, the AI-driven cloud classification atlas (AICCA), which clusters 22 years of ocean images from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA's Aqua and Terra instruments - 800 TB of data or 198 million patches roughly 100 km x 100 km (128 x 128 pixels) - into 42 AI-generated cloud classes. We show that AICCA classes involve meaningful distinctions that employ spatial information and result in distinct geographic distributions, capturing, for example, stratocumulus decks along the West coasts of North and South America. AICCA delivers the information in multi-spectral images in a compact form, enables data-driven diagnosis of patterns of cloud organization, provides insight into cloud evolution on timescales of hours to decades, and helps democratize climate research by facilitating access to core data.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2022

Cloud Classification with Unsupervised Deep Learning

We present a framework for cloud characterization that leverages modern unsupervised deep learning technologies. While previous neural network-based cloud classification models have used supervised learning methods, unsupervised learning allows us to avoid restricting the model to artificial categories based on historical cloud classification schemes and enables the discovery of novel, more detailed classifications. Our framework learns cloud features directly from radiance data produced by NASA's Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite instrument, deriving cloud characteristics from millions of images without relying on pre-defined cloud types during the training process. We present preliminary results showing that our method extracts physically relevant information from radiance data and produces meaningful cloud classes.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2021

Data-driven Cloud Clustering via a Rotationally Invariant Autoencoder

Advanced satellite-born remote sensing instruments produce high-resolution multi-spectral data for much of the globe at a daily cadence. These datasets open up the possibility of improved understanding of cloud dynamics and feedback, which remain the biggest source of uncertainty in global climate model projections. As a step towards answering these questions, we describe an automated rotation-invariant cloud clustering (RICC) method that leverages deep learning autoencoder technology to organize cloud imagery within large datasets in an unsupervised fashion, free from assumptions about predefined classes. We describe both the design and implementation of this method and its evaluation, which uses a sequence of testing protocols to determine whether the resulting clusters: (1) are physically reasonable, (i.e., embody scientifically relevant distinctions); (2) capture information on spatial distributions, such as textures; (3) are cohesive and separable in latent space; and (4) are rotationally invariant, (i.e., insensitive to the orientation of an image). Results obtained when these evaluation protocols are applied to RICC outputs suggest that the resultant novel cloud clusters capture meaningful aspects of cloud physics, are appropriately spatially coherent, and are invariant to orientations of input images. Our results support the possibility of using an unsupervised data-driven approach for automated clustering and pattern discovery in cloud imagery.

cs.CV↗