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Tarn Duong

Publications and source records attributed to Tarn Duong.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

Interpretable contour level selection for heat maps for gridded data

Gridded data formats, where the observed multivariate data are aggregated into grid cells, ensure confidentiality and reduce storage requirements, with the trade-off that access to the underlying point data is lost. Heat maps are a highly pertinent visualisation for gridded data, and heat maps with a small number of well-selected contour levels offer improved interpretability over continuous contour levels. There are many possible contour level choices. Amongst them, density contour levels are highly suitable in many cases. Current methods for computing density contour levels requires access to the observed point data, so they are not applicable to gridded data. To remedy this, we introduce an approximation of density contour levels for gridded data. We then compare our proposed method to existing contour level selection methods, and conclude that our proposal provides improved interpretability for synthetic and experimental gridded data.

stat.CO

Statistical visualisation for tidy and geospatial data in R via kernel smoothing methods in the eks package

Kernel smoothers are essential tools for data analysis due to their ability to convey complex statistical information with concise graphical visualisations. Their inclusion in the base distribution and in the many user-contributed add-on packages of the R statistical analysis environment caters well to many practitioners. Though there remain some important gaps for specialised data, most notably for tidy and geospatial data. The proposed eks package fills in these gaps. In addition to kernel density estimation, this package also caters for more complex data analysis situations, such as density derivative estimation, density-based classification (supervised learning) and mean shift clustering (unsupervised learning). We illustrate with experimental data how to obtain and to interpret the statistical visualisations for these kernel smoothing methods.

stat.CO

Using iterated local alignment to aggregate trajectory data into a traffic flow map

Vehicle trajectories are a promising GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) data source to compute multi-scale traffic flow maps ranging from the city/regional level to the road level. The main obstacle is that trajectory data are prone to measurement noise. While this is negligible for city level, large-scale flow aggregation, it poses substantial difficulties for road level, small-scale aggregation. To overcome these difficulties, we introduce innovative local alignment algorithms, where we infer road segments to serve as local reference segments, and proceed to align nearby road segments to them. We deploy these algorithms in an iterative workflow to compute locally aligned flow maps. By applying this workflow to synthetic and empirical trajectories, we verify that our locally aligned flow maps provide high levels of accuracy and spatial resolution of flow aggregation at multiple scales for static and interactive maps.

stat.AP

Higher order differential analysis with vectorized derivatives

Higher order derivatives of functions are structured high dimensional objects which lend themselves to many alternative representations, with the most popular being multi-index, matrix and tensor representations. The choice between them depends on the desired analysis since each presents its own advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we highlight a vectorized representation, in which higher order derivatives are expressed as vectors. This allows us to construct an elegant and rigorous algebra of vector-valued functions of vector variables, which would be unwieldy, if not impossible, to do so using the other representations. The fundamental results that we establish for this algebra of differentials are the identification theorems, with concise existence and uniqueness properties, between differentials and derivatives of an arbitrary order. From these fundamental identifications, we develop further analytic tools, including a Leibniz rule for the product of functions, and a chain rule (Faà di Bruno's formula) for the composition of functions. To complete our exposition, we illustrate how existing tools (such as Taylor's theorem) can be incorporated into and generalized within our framework of higher order differential calculus.

math.CA

Relaxing door-to-door matching reduces passenger waiting times: a workflow for the analysis of driver GPS traces in a stochastic carpooling service

Carpooling has the potential to transform itself into a mass transportation mode by abandoning its adherence to deterministic passenger-driver matching for door-to-door journeys, and by adopting instead stochastic matching on a network of fixed meeting points. Stochastic matching is where a passenger sends out a carpooling request at a meeting point, and then waits for the arrival of a self-selected driver who is already travelling to the requested meeting point. Crucially there is no centrally dispatched driver. Moreover, the carpooling is assured only between the meeting points, so the onus is on the passengers to travel to/from them by their own means. Thus the success of a stochastic carpooling service relies on the convergence, with minimal perturbation to their existing travel patterns, to the meeting points which are highly frequented by both passengers and drivers. Due to the innovative nature of stochastic carpooling, existing off-the-shelf workflows are largely insufficient for this purpose. To fill the gap in the market, we introduce a novel workflow, comprising of a combination of data science and GIS (Geographic Information Systems), to analyse driver GPS traces. We implement it for an operational stochastic carpooling service in south-eastern France, and we demonstrate that relaxing door-to-door matching reduces passenger waiting times. Our workflow provides additional key operational indicators, namely the driver flow maps, the driver flow temporal profiles and the driver participation rates.

stat.AP

Bayesian hierarchical models for the prediction of the driver flow and passenger waiting times in a stochastic carpooling service

Carpooling is an integral component in smart carbon-neutral cities, in particular to facilitate homework commuting. We study an innovative carpooling service developed by the start-up Ecov which specialises in homework commutes in peri-urban and rural regions. When a passenger makes a carpooling request, a designated driver is not assigned as in a traditional carpooling service; rather the passenger waits for the first driver, from a population of non-professional drivers who are already en route, to arrive. We propose a two-stage Bayesian hierarchical model to overcome the considerable difficulties, due to the sparsely observed driver and passenger data from an embryonic stochastic carpooling service, to deliver high-quality predictions of driver flow and passenger waiting times. The first stage focuses on the driver flow, whose predictions are aggregated at the daily level to compensate the data sparsity. The second stage processes this single daily driver flow into sub-daily (e.g. hourly) predictions of the passenger waiting times. We demonstrate that our model mostly outperforms frequentist and non-hierarchical Bayesian methods for observed data from operational carpooling service in Lyon, France and we also validated our model on simulated data.

stat.AP

Nearest Neighbor Median Shift Clustering for Binary Data

We describe in this paper the theory and practice behind a new modal clustering method for binary data. Our approach (BinNNMS) is based on the nearest neighbor median shift. The median shift is an extension of the well-known mean shift, which was designed for continuous data, to handle binary data. We demonstrate that BinNNMS can discover accurately the location of clusters in binary data with theoretical and experimental analyses.

cs.LG

A Distributed and Approximated Nearest Neighbors Algorithm for an Efficient Large Scale Mean Shift Clustering

In this paper we target the class of modal clustering methods where clusters are defined in terms of the local modes of the probability density function which generates the data. The most well-known modal clustering method is the k-means clustering. Mean Shift clustering is a generalization of the k-means clustering which computes arbitrarily shaped clusters as defined as the basins of attraction to the local modes created by the density gradient ascent paths. Despite its potential, the Mean Shift approach is a computationally expensive method for unsupervised learning. Thus, we introduce two contributions aiming to provide clustering algorithms with a linear time complexity, as opposed to the quadratic time complexity for the exact Mean Shift clustering. Firstly we propose a scalable procedure to approximate the density gradient ascent. Second, our proposed scalable cluster labeling technique is presented. Both propositions are based on Locality Sensitive Hashing (LSH) to approximate nearest neighbors. These two techniques may be used for moderate sized datasets. Furthermore, we show that using our proposed approximations of the density gradient ascent as a pre-processing step in other clustering methods can also improve dedicated classification metrics. For the latter, a distributed implementation, written for the Spark/Scala ecosystem is proposed. For all these considered clustering methods, we present experimental results illustrating their labeling accuracy and their potential to solve concrete problems.

cs.LG

Exploratory data analysis for moderate extreme values using non-parametric kernel methods

In many settings it is critical to accurately model the extreme tail behaviour of a random process. Non-parametric density estimation methods are commonly implemented as exploratory data analysis techniques for this purpose as they possess excellent visualisation properties, and can naturally avoid the model specification biases implied by using parametric estimators. In particular, kernel-based estimators place minimal assumptions on the data, and provide improved visualisation over scatterplots and histograms. However kernel density estimators are known to perform poorly when estimating extreme tail behaviour, which is important when interest is in process behaviour above some large threshold, and they can over-emphasise bumps in the density for heavy tailed data. In this article we develop a transformation kernel density estimator, and demonstrate that its mean integrated squared error (MISE) efficiency is equivalent to that of standard, non-tail focused kernel density estimators. Estimator performance is illustrated in numerical studies, and in an expanded analysis of the ability of well known global climate models to reproduce observed temperature extremes in Sydney, Australia.

stat.ME

Efficient recursive algorithms for functionals based on higher order derivatives of the multivariate Gaussian density

Many developments in Mathematics involve the computation of higher order derivatives of Gaussian density functions. The analysis of univariate Gaussian random variables is a well-established field whereas the analysis of their multivariate counterparts consists of a body of results which are more dispersed. These latter results generally fall into two main categories: theoretical expressions which reveal the deep structure of the problem, or computational algorithms which can mask the connections with closely related problems. In this paper, we unify existing results and develop new results in a framework which is both conceptually cogent and computationally efficient. We focus on the underlying connections between higher order derivatives of Gaussian density functions, the expected value of products of quadratic forms in Gaussian random variables, and V-statistics of degree two based on Gaussian density functions. These three sets of results are combined into an analysis of non-parametric data smoothers.

stat.CO

Joint Modeling and Registration of Cell Populations in Cohorts of High-Dimensional Flow Cytometric Data

In systems biomedicine, an experimenter encounters different potential sources of variation in data such as individual samples, multiple experimental conditions, and multi-variable network-level responses. In multiparametric cytometry, which is often used for analyzing patient samples, such issues are critical. While computational methods can identify cell populations in individual samples, without the ability to automatically match them across samples, it is difficult to compare and characterize the populations in typical experiments, such as those responding to various stimulations or distinctive of particular patients or time-points, especially when there are many samples. Joint Clustering and Matching (JCM) is a multi-level framework for simultaneous modeling and registration of populations across a cohort. JCM models every population with a robust multivariate probability distribution. Simultaneously, JCM fits a random-effects model to construct an overall batch template -- used for registering populations across samples, and classifying new samples. By tackling systems-level variation, JCM supports practical biomedical applications involving large cohorts.

stat.ML

Data-driven density derivative estimation, with applications to nonparametric clustering and bump hunting

Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives of the density functions have received only relatively scant attention. Kernel estimators of density functions are widely used as they exhibit excellent theoretical and practical properties, though their generalization to density derivatives has progressed more slowly due to the mathematical intractabilities encountered in the crucial problem of bandwidth (or smoothing parameter) selection. This paper presents the first fully automatic, data-based bandwidth selectors for multivariate kernel density derivative estimators. This is achieved by synthesizing recent advances in matrix analytic theory which allow mathematically and computationally tractable representations of higher order derivatives of multivariate vector valued functions. The theoretical asymptotic properties as well as the finite sample behaviour of the proposed selectors are studied. {In addition, we explore in detail the applications of the new data-driven methods for two other statistical problems: clustering and bump hunting. The introduced techniques are combined with the mean shift algorithm to develop novel automatic, nonparametric clustering procedures which are shown to outperform mixture-model cluster analysis and other recent nonparametric approaches in practice. Furthermore, the advantage of the use of smoothing parameters designed for density derivative estimation for feature significance analysis for bump hunting is illustrated with a real data example.

math.ST