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Thanh Huy Nguyen

Publications and source records attributed to Thanh Huy Nguyen.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Towards Digital Twin in Flood Forecasting with Data Assimilation Satellite Earth Observations -- A Proof-of-Concept in the Alzette Catchment

Floods pose significant risks to human lives, infrastructure, and the environment. Timely and accurate flood forecasting plays a pivotal role in mitigating these risks. This study presents a proof-of-concept for a Digital Twin framework aimed at improving flood forecasting in the Alzette Catchment, Luxembourg. The approach integrates satellite-based Earth observations, specifically Sentinel-1 flood probability maps, into a particle filter-based data assimilation (DA) process to enhance flood predictions. By combining the GloFAS global flood monitoring and GloFAS streamflow forecasts products with DA using a high-resolution LISFLOOD-FP hydrodynamic model, the Digital Twin can provide daily flood forecasts for up to 30 days with reduced prediction uncertainties. Using the 2021 flood event as a case study, we evaluate the performance of the Digital Twin in assimilating EO data to refine hydraulic model simulations and issue accurate forecasts. While some limitations, such as uncertainties in GloFAS discharge forecasts, remain large, the approach successfully improves forecast accuracy compared to open-loop simulations. Future developments will focus on constructing more adaptively the hazard catalog, and reducing inherent uncertainties related to GloFAS streamflow forecasts and Sentinel-1 flood maps, to further enhance predictive capability. The framework demonstrates potential for advancing real-time flood forecasting and strengthening flood resilience.

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Assimilation of SWOT Altimetry Data for Riverine Flood Reanalysis: From Synthetic to Real Data

Floods are one of the most common and devastating natural disasters worldwide. The contribution of remote sensing is important for reducing the impact of flooding both during the event itself and for improving hydrodynamic models by reducing their associated uncertainties. This article presents the innovative capabilities of the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission, especially its river node products, to enhance the accuracy of riverine flood reanalysis, performed on a 50-km stretch of the Garonne River. The experiments incorporate various data assimilation strategies, based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), which allows for sequential updates of model parameters based on available observations. The experimental results show that while SWOT data alone offers some improvements, combining it with in-situ water level measurements provides the most accurate representation of flood dynamics, both at gauge stations and along the river. The study also investigates the impact of different SWOT revisit frequencies on the models performance, revealing that assimilating more frequent SWOT observations leads to more reliable flood reanalyses. In the real event, it was demonstrated that the assimilation of SWOT and in-situ data accurately reproduces the water level dynamics, offering promising prospects for future flood monitoring systems. Overall, this study emphasizes the complementary strengths of Earth Observation data in improving the representation of the flood dynamics in the riverbed and the floodplains.

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Processes $γγ\rightarrow ϕ_iϕ_j$ in Inert Higgs Doublet Models and Two Higgs Doublet Models

In this paper, we present a phenomenological analysis of one-loop induced processes $γγ\rightarrow ϕ_iϕ_j$, where the CP-even Higgs bosons are denoted as $ϕ_{i,j} \equiv h,~H$, in high-energy photon-photon collisions, within the frameworks of the Inert Higgs Doublet Model and the Two Higgs Doublet Model. The total cross sections are evaluated as functions of the center-of-mass energy, finding that the cross sections for the considered processes in all the models under investigation are significantly enhanced around the threshold for charged Higgs boson pair production ($\sim 2 M_{H^\pm}$). Furthermore, the enhancement factors, defined as the ratios of cross sections of $γγ\rightarrow ϕ_iϕ_j$ in the investigated models to those for $γγ\rightarrow hh$ in the Standard Model, are examined in the relevant regions of the model's parameter space. In the Inert Higgs Doublet Model, the factors are studied in the parameter space of $(M_{H^\pm},~μ^2_2)$ and $(M_{H^\pm},~λ_2)$. In the Two Higgs Doublet Model, the factors are examined in the planes defined by $(M_{H^\pm},~t_β)$ as well as in the space of the charged Higgs mass $M_{H^\pm}$ and the soft-breaking $Z_2$ parameter $m_{12}^2$. Two scenarios characterized by $c_{β-α} > 0$ and $c_{β-α} < 0$ are studied in further detail. The factors exhibit distinct behaviors between these two scenarios. As a result, it is possible to discriminate between them at future colliders. The dependence of the cross section for the process $γγ\rightarrow hH$ on $m_{12}^2$ provides a potential probe of the soft $Z_2$-breaking scale in the Two Higgs Doublet Model.

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General Formulas for Loop-Induced Decays of $A \to Zγγ$ and Their Applications

Within the framework of the Standard Model Higgs extensions, including the Two-Higgs-Doublet Model with vector-like fermions and the Triplet-Higgs Model, we derive general one-loop contributions to the rare decay process $A \rightarrow Z γγ$. The analytical expressions are formulated with Passarino-Veltman scalar functions, which represent the scalar coefficients of one-loop Lorentz-covariant tensor integrals. These functions are written in accordance with the input conventions of the {\tt LoopTools} and {\tt Collier} packages, facilitating the efficient numerical generation of decay rates and their distributions using these computational tools. As part of our phenomenological study, we examine the branching ratios of this decay channel within the viable parameter space of the considered models. Our results indicate that the branching ratio can reach $\mathcal{O}(10^{-4})$ in the Two-Higgs-Doublet Model and $\mathcal{O}(10^{-2})$ in the Triplet-Higgs Model at specific points within the allowed parameter regions. Furthermore, the inclusion of vector-like fermions in the loop leads to a significant modification of the partial decay rates, with an observed variation of approximately $10\%$. Additionally, we explore the dependence of the branching ratios on key model parameters, including the charged Higgs mass, mixing angles, and the soft-breaking scale, providing deeper insights into the phenomenological implications of these Higgs-extended frameworks.

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One-loop induced contributions to the rare decay of $A_0 \rightarrow h_0h_0γ$ in Two Higgs Doublet Models

The analytic expressions for one-loop contributions to the rare decay process $A_0 \rightarrow h_0h_0γ$ within the CP-conserving of Two Higgs Doublet Models are first reported in this paper. Analytic results are presented in term of scalar one-loop Passarino-Veltman functions following the standard output of the packages~{\tt LoopTools} and {\tt Collier}. In this context, physical results for the computed process are easily generated by using one of these packages. The numerical checks are proposed to verify for the analytic results in this paper. The checks rely on the renormalization conditions that the decay amplitude must be the ultraviolet finiteness and infrared finiteness. The amplitude consisting of an external photon always obeys the Ward identity. This will be confirmed numerically in this article. In phenomenological results, the decay rates of $A_0 \rightarrow h_0h_0γ$ are evaluated at several points in the allowed regions of the parameter space. Furthermore, the differential decay widths with respect to the invariant mass of Higgs-pair in final states are studied.

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Decay of CP-even Higgs $H\rightarrow h γγ$ in Two Higgs Doublet Model: one-loop analytic results, ward identity checks

The first analytic expressions for loop-induced contributions for the decay of CP-even Higgs $H\rightarrow h γγ$ with $h$ being Standard-Model-like Higgs boson within the framework of Two Higgs Doublet Model are presented in this paper. The one-loop form factors for the decay processes are written in terms of the scalar one-loop Passarino-Veltman functions following the notations of the packages~{\tt LoopTools} and {\tt Collier}. Subsequently, physical results for the decay processes can be generated numerically by using one of the above-mentioned packages. The analytic expressions shown in this paper are verified by several numerical checks, for examples, the ultraviolet and infrared finiteness of one-loop amplitude. Furthermore, the amplitude satisfies the Ward-Takahashi identity due to on-shell photons in final states. The identity is also verified numerically in this work. In phenomenological studies, the differential decay rates as functions of the invariant mass of two photons in final states of $H\rightarrow h γγ$ are first studied in parameter space of the Two Higgs Doublet Models.

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One-loop analytical expressions for $γγ\rightarrow ϕ_iϕ_j$ in Higgs Extensions of the Standard Models and its applications

General one-loop formulas for loop-induced processes $γγ\rightarrow ϕ_iϕ_j$ with $ϕ_iϕ_j = hh,~hH,~HH$ are presented in the paper. Analytic expressions evaluated in this work are valid for a class of Higgs Extensions of the Standard Models, e.g. Inert Doublet Higgs Models, Two Higgs Doublet Models, Zee-Babu Models as well as Triplet Higgs Models, etc. Analytic expressions for one-loop form factors are written in terms of the basic scalar one-loop two-, three- and four-point functions following the output format of both the packages~{\tt LoopTools} and {\tt Collier}. Physical results can be hence evaluated numerically by using one of the mentioned packages. Analytic results are tested by several checks such as the ultraviolet finiteness, infrared finiteness of the one-loop amplitudes. Furthermore, the amplitudes also obey the ward identity due to the on-shell initial photons. This identity is also verified numerically in this works. In the applications, we present the phenomenological results for Zee-Babu model as a typical example in this report. Production cross-section for the processes $γγ\rightarrow hh$ are scanned over the parameter space of the Zee-Babu Models.

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Remote Sensing Data Assimilation with a Chained Hydrologic-hydraulic Model for Flood Forecasting

A chained hydrologic-hydraulic model is implemented using predicted runoff from a large-scale hydrologic model (namely ISBA-CTRIP) as inputs to local hydrodynamic models (TELEMAC-2D) to issue forecasts of water level and flood extent. The uncertainties in the hydrological forcing and in friction parameters are reduced by an Ensemble Kalman Filter that jointly assimilates in-situ water levels and flood extent maps derived from remote sensing observations. The data assimilation framework is cycled in a real-time forecasting configuration. A cycle consists of a reanalysis and a forecast phase. Over the analysis, observations up to the present are assimilated. An ensemble is then initialized from the last analyzed states and issued forecasts for next 36 hr. Three strategies of forcing data for this forecast are investigated: (i) using CTRIP runoff for reanalysis and forecast, (ii) using observed discharge for analysis, then CTRIP runoff for forecast and (iii) using observed discharge for reanalysis and keep a persistent discharge value for forecast. It was shown that the data assimilation strategy provides a reliable reanalysis in hindcast mode. The combination of observed discharge and CTRIP runoff provides the most accurate results. For all strategies, the quality of the forecast decreases as the lead time increases. When the errors in CTRIP forcing are non-stationary, the forecast capability may be reduced. This work demonstrates that the forcing provided by a hydrologic model, while imperfect, can be efficiently used as input to a hydraulic model to issue reanalysis and forecasts, thanks to the assimilation of in-situ and remote sensing observations.

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One-loop contributions for $A^0 \rightarrow \ell \bar{\ell} V$ with $\ell \equiv e, μ$ and $V\equiv γ, Z$ in Higgs Extensions of the Standard Model

We present one-loop formulas for the decay of CP-odd Higgs $A^0 \rightarrow \ell \bar{\ell} V$ with $\ell \equiv e, μ$ and $V\equiv γ, Z$ in Higgs Extensions of the Standard Model, considering two higgs doublet model with a complex (and real) scalar, two higgs doublet model as well as triplet higgs model. Analytic results for one-loop amplitudes are expressed in terms of Passarino-Veltman functions following the standard notations of {\tt LoopTools}. As a result, physical results can be generated numerically by using the package. In phenomenological results, the total decay widths and the differential decay rates with respect to the invariant mass of lepton pair are analyzed for two typical models such as two higgs doublet model and triplet higgs model.

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Assimilation of SWOT Altimetry and Sentinel-1 Flood Extent Observations for Flood Reanalysis -- A Proof-of-Concept

In spite of astonishing advances and developments in remote sensing technologies, meeting the spatio-temporal requirements for flood hydrodynamic modeling remains a great challenge for Earth Observation. The assimilation of multi-source remote sensing data in 2D hydrodynamic models participates to overcome such a challenge. The recently launched Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) wide-swath altimetry satellite provides a global coverage of water surface elevation at a high resolution. SWOT provides complementary observation to radar and optical images, increasing the opportunity to observe and monitor flood events. This research work focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood extent maps derived from Sentinel-1 C-SAR imagery data, and water surface elevation from SWOT as well as in-situ water level measurements. An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) with a joint state-parameter analysis is implemented on top of a 2D hydrodynamic TELEMAC-2D model to account for errors in roughness, input forcing and water depth in floodplain subdomains. The proposed strategy is carried out in an Observing System Simulation Experiment based on the 2021 flood event over the Garonne Marmandaise catchment. This work makes the most of the large volume of heterogeneous data from space for flood prediction in hindcast mode paves the way for nowcasting.

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Early Flood Warning Using Satellite-Derived Convective System and Precipitation Data -- A Retrospective Case Study of Central Vietnam

This paper addresses the challenges of an early flood warning caused by complex convective systems (CSs), by using Low-Earth Orbit and Geostationary satellite data. We focus on a sequence of extreme events that took place in central Vietnam during October 2020, with a specific emphasis on the events leading up to the floods, i.e., those occurring before October 10th, 2020. In this critical phase, several hydrometeorological indicators could be identified thanks to an increasingly advanced and dense observation network composed of Earth Observation satellites, in particular those enabling the characterization and monitoring of a CS, in terms of low-temperature clouds and heavy rainfall. Himawari-8 images, both individually and in time-series, allow identifying and tracking convective clouds. This is complemented by the observation of heavy/violent rainfall through GPM IMERG data, as well as the detection of strong winds using radiometers and scatterometers. Collectively, these datasets, along with the estimated intensity and duration of the event from each source, form a comprehensive dataset detailing the intricate behaviors of CSs. All of these factors are significant contributors to the magnitude of flooding and the short-term dynamics anticipated in the studied region.

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One-loop contributions for $h\rightarrow \ell \bar{\ell}γ$ and $e^-e^+\rightarrow hγ$ in $U(1)_{B-L}$ extension of the standard model

We present one-loop contributing for $h\rightarrow \ell \bar{\ell}γ$ with $\ell =ν_{e,μ, τ}, e, μ$ and $e^-e^+\rightarrow hγ$ in $U(1)_{B-L}$ extension of the standard models. In phenomenological results, the signal strengths for $h\rightarrow \ell \bar{\ell}γ$ at Large Hadron Collider and for $e^-e^+\rightarrow hγ$ at future Lepton Colliders are analyzed in physical parameter space for both vector and chiral $B-L$ models. We find that the contributions from neutral gauge boson $Z'$ to the signal strengths are rather small. Consequently, the effects are hard to probe at future colliders. While the impacts of charged Higgs, CP-odd Higgs in the chiral $B-L$ model on the signal strengths are significant and can be measured with the help of the initial polarization beams at future lepton colliders.

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Reducing Uncertainties of a Chained Hydrologic-hydraulic Model to Improve Flood Forecasting Using Multi-source Earth Observation Data

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit observed data from gauge networks, e.g. water surface elevation (WSE) and/or discharge that describe the forcing time-series at the upstream and lateral boundary conditions of the model. A chained hydrologic-hydraulic model is thus interesting to allow extended lead time forecasts and overcome the limits of forecast when using only observed gauge measurements. This research work focuses on comprehensively reducing the uncertainties in the model parameters, hydraulic state and especially the forcing data in order to improve the overall flood reanalysis and forecast performance. It aims at assimilating two main complementary EO data sources, namely in-situ WSE and SAR-derived flood extent observations.

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Dealing With Non-Gaussianity of SAR-derived Wet Surface Ratio for Flood Extent Representation Improvement

Owing to advances in data assimilation, notably Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), flood simulation and forecast capabilities have greatly improved in recent years. The motivation of the research work is to reduce comprehensively the uncertainties in the model parameters, forcing and hydraulic state, and consequently improve the overall flood reanalysis and forecast capability, especially in the floodplain. It aims at assimilating SAR-derived (typically from Sentinel-1 mission) flood extent observations, expressed in terms of wet surface ratio. The non-Gaussianity of the observation errors associated with the SAR flood observations violates a major hypothesis regarding the EnKF and jeopardizes the optimality of the filter analysis. Therefore, a special treatment of such non-Gaussianity with a Gaussian anamorphosis process is thus proposed. This strategy was validated and applied over the Garonne Marmandaise catchment (Southwest of France) represented with the TELEMAC-2D hydrodynamic model, focusing on a major flood event that occurred in December 2019. The assimilation of the SAR-derived wet surface ratio observations, in complement to the in-situ water surface elevations, is illustrated to consequentially improve the flood representation.

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One-loop expressions for $h\rightarrow l\bar{l}γ$ in Higgs extensions of the Standard Model

A systematic study of one-loop contributions to the decay channels $h\rightarrow l\bar{l}γ$ with $l=ν_{e,μ, τ}, e, μ$, performed in Higgs extended versions of the Standard Model, is presented in the 't Hooft-Veltman gauge. Analytic formulas for one-loop form factors are expressed in terms of the logarithm and di-logarithmic functions. As a result, these form factors can be reduced to those relating to the loop-induced decay processes $h\rightarrow γγ, Zγ$, confirming not only previous results using different approaches but also close relations between the three kinds of the loop-induced Higgs decay rates. For phenomenological study, we focus on the two observables, namely the enhancement factors defined as ratios of the decay rates calculated between the Higgs extended versions and the standard model, and the forward-backward asymmetries of fermions, which can be used to search for Higgs extensions of the SM. We show that direct effects of mixing between neutral Higgs bosons and indirect contributions of charged Higg boson exchanges can be probed at future colliders.

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Gaussian Anamorphosis for Ensemble Kalman Filter Analysis of SAR-Derived Wet Surface Ratio Observations

Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved thanks to advances in data assimilation (DA) strategies incorporating various types of observations; many are derived from spatial Earth Observation. This paper focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood observations derived from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images acquired during a flood event with a dual state-parameter Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). Binary wet/dry maps are here expressed in terms of wet surface ratios (WSR) over a number of subdomains of the floodplain. This ratio is further assimilated jointly with in-situ water-level observations to improve the flow dynamics within the floodplain. However, the non-Gaussianity of the observation errors associated with SAR-derived measurements break a major hypothesis for the application of the EnKF, thus jeopardizing the optimality of the filter analysis. The novelty of this paper lies in the treatment of the non-Gaussianity of the SAR-derived WSR observations with a Gaussian anamorphosis process (GA). This DA strategy was validated and applied over the Garonne Marmandaise catchment (South-west of France) represented with the TELEMAC-2D hydrodynamic model, first in a twin experiment and then for a major flood event that occurred in January-February 2021. It was shown that assimilating SAR-derived WSR observations, in complement to the in-situ water-level observations significantly improves the representation of the flood dynamics. Also, the GA transformation brings further improvement to the DA analysis, while not being a critical component in the DA strategy. This study heralds a reliable solution for flood forecasting over poorly gauged catchments thanks to available remote-sensing datasets.

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Assimilation of SAR-derived Flood Observations for Improving Fluvial Flood Forecast

As the severity and occurrence of flood events tend to intensify with climate change, the need for flood forecasting capability increases. In this regard, the Flood Detection, Alert and rapid Mapping (FloodDAM) project, funded by Space for Climate Observatory initiatives, was set out to develop pre-operational tools dedicated to enabling quick responses in flood-prone areas, and to improve the reactivity of decision support systems. This work focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood extent data (expressed in terms of wet surface ratios) and in-situ water level data to improve the representation of the flood plain dynamics with a Telemac-2D model and an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The EnKF control vector was composed friction coefficients and corrective parameter to the input forcing. It is then augmented with the water level state averaged over several floodplain zones. This work was conducted in the context of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSE) based on a real flood event occurred in January-February 2021 on the Garonne Marmandaise catchment. This allows to validate the observation operator associated to the wet surface ratio observations as well as the dual state-parameter sequential correction implemented in this work. The merits of assimilating SAR- derived flood plain data complementary to in-situ water level observations are shown in the control parameter and observation spaces with 1D and 2D assessment metrics. It was also shown that the correction of the hydraulic state significantly improved the flood dynamics, especially during the recession. This proof-of-concept study paves the way towards near-real-time flood forecast, making the most of remote sensing-derived flood observations.

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Enhancing Flood Forecasting with Dual State-Parameter Estimation and Ensemble-based SAR Data Assimilation

Ensemble data assimilation in flood forecasting depends strongly on the density, frequency and statistics of errors associated with the observation network. This work focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood extent data, expressed in terms of wet surface ratio, in addition to the in-situ water level data. The objective is to improve the representation of the flood plain dynamics with a TELEMAC-2D model and an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The EnKF control vector is composed of friction coefficients and corrective parameters to the input forcing. It is augmented with the water level state averaged over selected subdomains of the floodplain. This work focuses on the 2019 flood event that occurred over the Garonne Marmandaise catchment. The merits of assimilating SAR-derived flood plain data complementary to in-situ water level observations are shown in the control parameter and observation spaces with 1D and 2D assessment metrics. It was also shown that the assimilation of Wet surface Ratio in the flood plain complementary to in-situ data in the river bed brings significative improvement when a corrective term on flood plain hydraulic state is included in the control vector. Yet, it has barely no impact in the river bed that is sufficiently well described by in-situ data. We highlighted that the correction of the hydraulic state in the flood plain significantly improved the flood dynamics, especially during the recession. This proof-of-concept study paves the way towards near-real-time flood forecast, making the most of remote sensing-derived flood observations.

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