arXiv subjects

Tharaka Fonseka

Publications and source records attributed to Tharaka Fonseka.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

PoPStat-COVID19: Leveraging Population Pyramids to Quantify Demographic Vulnerability to COVID-19

Understanding how population age structure shapes COVID-19 burden is crucial for pandemic preparedness, yet common summary measures such as median age ignore key distributional features like skewness, bimodality, and the proportional weight of high-risk cohorts. We extend the PoPStat framework, originally devised to link entire population pyramids with cause-specific mortality by applying it to COVID-19. Using 2019 United Nations World Population Prospects age-sex distributions together with cumulative cases and deaths per million recorded up to 5 May 2023 by Our World in Data, we calculate PoPDivergence (the Kullback-Leibler divergence from an optimised reference pyramid) for 180+ countries and derive PoPStat-COVID19 as the Pearson correlation between that divergence and log-transformed incidence or mortality. Optimisation selects Malta's old-skewed pyramid as the reference, yielding strong negative correlations for cases (r=-0.86, p<0.001, R^2=0.74) and deaths (r=-0.82, p<0.001, R^2=0.67). Sensitivity tests across twenty additional, similarly old-skewed references confirm that these associations are robust to reference choice. Benchmarking against eight standard indicators like gross domestic product per capita, Gini index, Human Development Index, life expectancy at birth, median age, population density, Socio-demographic Index, and Universal Health Coverage Index shows that PoPStat-COVID19 surpasses GDP per capita, median age, population density, and several other traditional measures, and outperforms every comparator for fatality burden. PoPStat-COVID19 therefore provides a concise, distribution-aware scalar for quantifying demographic vulnerability to COVID-19.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

Performance Benchmarking of Psychomotor Skills Using Wearable Devices: An Application in Sport

Mastering psychomotor skills, such as those essential in sports, rehabilitation, and professional training, often requires a precise understanding of motion patterns and performance metrics. This study proposes a versatile framework for optimizing psychomotor learning through human motion analysis. Utilizing a wearable IMU sensor system, the motion trajectories of a given psychomotor task are acquired and then linked to points in a performance space using a predefined set of quality metrics specific to the psychomotor skill. This enables the identification of a benchmark cluster in the performance space, which represents a group of reference points that define optimal performance across multiple criteria, allowing correspondences to be established between the performance clusters and sets of trajectories in the motion space. As a result, common or specific deviations in the performance space can be identified, enabling remedial actions in the motion space to optimize performance. A thorough validation of the proposed framework is done in this paper using a Table Tennis forehand stroke as a case study. The resulting quantitative and visual representation of performance empowers individuals to optimize their skills and achieve peak performance.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2025

Devising PoPStat: A Metric Bridging Population Pyramids with Global Disease Mortality

Understanding the relationship between population dynamics and disease-specific mortality is central to evidence-based health policy. This study introduces two novel metrics, PoPDivergence and PoPStat, one to quantify the difference between population pyramids and the other to assess the strength and nature of their association with the mortality of a given disease. PoPDivergence, based on Kullback-Leibler divergence, measures deviations between a countrys population pyramid and a reference pyramid. PoPStat is the correlation between these deviations and the log form of disease-specific mortality rates. The reference population is selected by a brute-force optimization that maximizes this correlation. Utilizing mortality data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 and population statistics from the United Nations, we applied these metrics to 371 diseases across 204 countries. Results reveal that PoPStat outperforms traditional indicators such as median age, GDP per capita, and Human Development Index in explaining the mortality of most diseases. Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) like neurological disorders and cancers, communicable diseases (CDs) like neglected tropical diseases, and maternal and neonatal diseases were tightly bound to the underlying demographic attributes whereas NCDs like diabetes, CDs like respiratory infections and injuries including self-harm and interpersonal violence were weakly associated with population pyramid shapes. Notably, except for diabetes, the NCD mortality burden was shared by constrictive population pyramids, while mortality of communicable diseases, maternal and neonatal causes and injuries were largely borne by expansive pyramids. Therefore, PoPStat provides insights into demographic determinants of health and empirical support for models on epidemiological transition. Code and scripts: https://github.com/Buddhi19/DevisingPoPStat.git

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

The Role of Social Interactions in Mitigating Psychological Distress During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Study in Sri Lanka

Massive changes in many aspects related to social groups of different socioeconomic backgrounds were caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and as a result, the overall state of mental health was severely affected globally. This study examined how the pandemic affected Sri Lankan citizens representing a range of socioeconomic backgrounds in terms of their mental health. The data used in this research was gathered from 3,020 households using a nationwide face-to-face survey, from which a processed dataset of 921 responses was considered for the final analysis. Four distinct factors were identified by factor analysis (FA) that was conducted and subsequently, the population was clustered using unsupervised clustering to determine which population subgroups were affected similarly. Two such subgroups were identified where the respective relationships to the retrieved principal factors and their demographics were thoroughly examined and interpreted. This resulted in the identification of contrasting perspectives between the two groups toward the maintenance and the state of social relationships during the pandemic, which revealed that one group was more 'socially connected' in nature resulting in their mental state being comparatively better in coping with the pandemic. The other group was seen to be more 'socially reserved' showing an opposite reaction toward social connections while their mental well-being declined showing symptoms such as loneliness, and emptiness in response to the pandemic. The study examined the role of social media, and it was observed that social media was perceived as a substitute for the lack of social connections or primarily used as a coping mechanism in response to the challenges of the pandemic

physics.soc-ph↗