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Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Publications and source records attributed to Theodoros Tsiligkaridis.

39 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Covariance Estimation in High Dimensions via Kronecker Product Expansions

This paper presents a new method for estimating high dimensional covariance matrices. The method, permuted rank-penalized least-squares (PRLS), is based on a Kronecker product series expansion of the true covariance matrix. Assuming an i.i.d. Gaussian random sample, we establish high dimensional rates of convergence to the true covariance as both the number of samples and the number of variables go to infinity. For covariance matrices of low separation rank, our results establish that PRLS has significantly faster convergence than the standard sample covariance matrix (SCM) estimator. The convergence rate captures a fundamental tradeoff between estimation error and approximation error, thus providing a scalable covariance estimation framework in terms of separation rank, similar to low rank approximation of covariance matrices. The MSE convergence rates generalize the high dimensional rates recently obtained for the ML Flip-flop algorithm for Kronecker product covariance estimation. We show that a class of block Toeplitz covariance matrices is approximatable by low separation rank and give bounds on the minimal separation rank $r$ that ensures a given level of bias. Simulations are presented to validate the theoretical bounds. As a real world application, we illustrate the utility of the proposed Kronecker covariance estimator for spatio-temporal linear least squares prediction of multivariate wind speed measurements.

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Convergence Properties of Kronecker Graphical Lasso Algorithms

This paper studies iteration convergence of Kronecker graphical lasso (KGLasso) algorithms for estimating the covariance of an i.i.d. Gaussian random sample under a sparse Kronecker-product covariance model and MSE convergence rates. The KGlasso model, originally called the transposable regularized covariance model by Allen ["Transposable regularized covariance models with an application to missing data imputation," Ann. Appl. Statist., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 764-790, 2010], implements a pair of $\ell_1$ penalties on each Kronecker factor to enforce sparsity in the covariance estimator. The KGlasso algorithm generalizes Glasso, introduced by Yuan and Lin ["Model selection and estimation in the Gaussian graphical model," Biometrika, vol. 94, pp. 19-35, 2007] and Banerjee ["Model selection through sparse maximum likelihood estimation for multivariate Gaussian or binary data," J. Mach. Learn. Res., vol. 9, pp. 485-516, Mar. 2008], to estimate covariances having Kronecker product form. It also generalizes the unpenalized ML flip-flop (FF) algorithm of Dutilleul ["The MLE algorithm for the matrix normal distribution," J. Statist. Comput. Simul., vol. 64, pp. 105-123, 1999] and Werner ["On estimation of covariance matrices with Kronecker product structure," IEEE Trans. Signal Process., vol. 56, no. 2, pp. 478-491, Feb. 2008] to estimation of sparse Kronecker factors. We establish that the KGlasso iterates converge pointwise to a local maximum of the penalized likelihood function. We derive high dimensional rates of convergence to the true covariance as both the number of samples and the number of variables go to infinity. Our results establish that KGlasso has significantly faster asymptotic convergence than Glasso and FF. Simulations are presented that validate the results of our analysis.

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Kronecker Sum Decompositions of Space-Time Data

In this paper we consider the use of the space vs. time Kronecker product decomposition in the estimation of covariance matrices for spatio-temporal data. This decomposition imposes lower dimensional structure on the estimated covariance matrix, thus reducing the number of samples required for estimation. To allow a smooth tradeoff between the reduction in the number of parameters (to reduce estimation variance) and the accuracy of the covariance approximation (affecting estimation bias), we introduce a diagonally loaded modification of the sum of kronecker products representation [1]. We derive a Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) on the minimum attainable mean squared predictor coefficient estimation error for unbiased estimators of Kronecker structured covariance matrices. We illustrate the accuracy of the diagonally loaded Kronecker sum decomposition by applying it to video data of human activity.

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