arXiv subjects

Theresa Fisher

Publications and source records attributed to Theresa Fisher.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The Search for Technosignatures: a Review of Possibilities

This paper reviews the diverse range of technosignatures that have been proposed in the literature. We organize the review by spatial scales from the Earth and the solar system to the edge of the Universe, not tied to a specific observatory or technical capability. This provides a more comprehensive view of technosignature science beyond the search for radio signals that has dominated SETI since its inception. We introduce the Kardashev and Barrow scales before exploring exoplanetary technosignatures, from surface, atmospheric to orbital sources. Next, we consider stellar technosignatures that may involve massive energy utilization, stellar modification or stellar pollution, and end with a section about compact objects. We then review attempts to detect interstellar communication, and discuss many dimensions of the search space from first principles. We also consider interstellar travel technosignatures, and end with galactic, extragalactic and universal signatures. The paper argues for stronger synergies between biosignature and technosignature searches, and the importance of multimodal and multimessenger strategies. Central to this is the importance of anomaly detection as a fundamental and agnostic search strategy. We highlight instruments for detecting technosignatures, as well as a science traceability matrix template.

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arXiv2026

Early Exploration of the Scientific Discovery Space for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is a future NASA flagship mission concept identified by the Astro2020 Decadal Survey as the highest priority for large space missions. HWO should conduct "transformative astrophysics" and search for biosignatures in the atmospheres of approximately 25 potentially Earth-like planets. To further the early-stage development of HWO, NASA formed the Science, Technology, Architecture Review Team (START). In turn, START invited the scientific community to join working groups to explore the potential discovery space. In this paper, we present 70 science cases that resulted from this process. The cases address four scientific pillars: growth of galaxies (15 cases), evolution of the elements (13 cases), solar systems in context (32 cases), and living worlds (10 cases). Combined, they would address 27 of the 30 science questions and discovery areas identified by Astro2020. The 140 observing programs needed for the 70 investigations encompass a rich variety of spectroscopic (for 87% of science cases) and photometric (for 30%) observations extending from the UV to the NIR. Additionally, high-contrast and polarimetric capabilities would be needed for 34% and 27% of science cases, respectively. Access to UV wavelengths is critical: 83% of science cases need data at wavelengths <400 nm, and 26% extend to <100 nm. In the NIR, 26% of science cases need observations at wavelengths >=2000 nm. Pursuing the full portfolio of science would also necessitate precise astrometry for planet mass measurement, rapid response capabilities, a large instantaneous field of regard, non-sidereal tracking, saturation mitigation strategies, and high dynamic range.

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arXiv2025

A Complex Systems Approach to Exoplanet Atmospheric Chemistry: New Prospects for Ruling Out the Possibility of Alien Life-As-We-Know-It

The near-term capability to characterize terrestrial exoplanet atmospheres may bring us closer to discovering alien life through atmospheric data. However, remotely detectable candidate biosignature gases are subject to false positive signals because they can also be produced abiotically, raising a critical need to develop methods to determine whether a gas is produced abiotically or not. To distinguish biological, abiotic and anomalous sources (unidentified as abiotic or biotic) of biosignature gases, we take a complex systems approach implementing chemical reaction network analysis of planetary atmospheres. We simulated 30,000 terrestrial atmospheres, organized in two datasets: Archean Earth-like worlds and modern Earth-like worlds. For Archean Earth-like worlds we study cases where CH4 is produced abiotically via serpentinization, biologically via methanogenesis, or from anomalous sources. We also simulate modern Earth-like atmospheres with and without industrial CFC-12. We show how network properties can effectively distinguish scenarios where CH4 is produced from methanogenesis and serpentinization. Network analysis also distinguishes modern Earth-like atmospheres with CFC-12 from those without it. Using Bayesian analysis, we demonstrate how atmospheric network statistics can provide stronger confidence for ruling out biological explanations compared to gas abundance statistics alone. Our results confirm how a network theoretic approach allows distinguishing hypotheses about biological, abiotic and anomalous atmospheric drivers, and importantly, allows ruling out life-as-we-know-it as a possible explanation. We conclude with a discussion of how further developing statistical inference methods for spectral data that incorporate network properties could significantly strengthen future biosignature detection efforts.

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arXiv2025

Network and Kinetics-based Biosignatures: Implications for the Putative Habitable World Observatory Design

The proposed Habitable Worlds Observatory is intended to observe the atmospheres of nearby terrestrial exoplanets with a resolution greater than that of any previous instrument. While these observations present a substantial opportunity for astrobiology, they also incur the risk of false positives and false negatives. Here, we explore the use of systems science (in the form of network theory and thermochemical kinetics) to mitigate these risks, and briefly describe the technical specifications HWO would require in order to use these methodologies.

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arXiv2021

Inferring Exoplanet Disequilibria with Multivariate Information in Atmospheric Reaction Networks

Inferring the properties of exoplanets from their atmospheres, while confronting low resolution and low signal-to-noise in the context of the quantities we want to derive, poses rigorous demands upon the data collected from observation. Further compounding this challenge is that inferences of exoplanet properties are built from forward models, which can include errors due to incomplete or inaccurate assumptions in atmospheric physics and chemistry. The confluence of observational noise and model error makes developing techniques to identify predictive features that are robust to both low s/n and model error increasingly important for exoplanet science. We demonstrate how both issues can be addressed simultaneously by taking advantage of underutilized multivariate information already present in current atmospheric models, including thermodynamic statistics and reaction network structure. To do so, we provide a case study of the prediction of vertical mixing (parameterized as eddy diffusion) in hot Jupiter atmospheres and show how prediction efficacy depends on what model information is used - e.g. chemical species abundances, network statistics, and/or thermodynamic statistics. We also show how the variables with the most predictive power vary with planetary properties such as temperature and metallicity. Our results demonstrate how inferences built on single metrics do not have utility across all possible use cases. We also show how statistical measures derived from network analyses tend to be better predictors when accounting for the possibility of missing data or observational uncertainty. We discuss future directions applying multivariate and network model information as a framework for increasing confidence in inferences aimed at extracting features relevant to exoplanet atmospheres and future applications to the detection of life on terrestrial worlds.

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arXiv2020

Detectability of Life Using Oxygen on Pelagic Planets and Water Worlds

The search for life on exoplanets is one of the grand scientific challenges of our time. The strategy to date has been to find (e.g., through transit surveys like Kepler) Earth-like exoplanets in their stars habitable zone, then use transmission spectroscopy to measure biosignature gases, especially oxygen, in the planets atmospheres (e.g., using JWST, the James Webb Space Telescope). Already there are more such planets than can be observed by JWST, and missions like the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite and others will find more. A better understanding of the geochemical cycles relevant to biosignature gases is needed, to prioritize targets for costly follow-up observations and to help design future missions. We define a Detectability Index to quantify the likelihood that a biosignature gas could be assigned a biological vs. non-biological origin. We apply this index to the case of oxygen gas, O2, on Earth-like planets with varying water contents. We demonstrate that on Earth-like exoplanets with 0.2 weight percent (wt%) water (i.e., no exposed continents) a reduced flux of bioessential phosphorus limits the export of photosynthetically produced atmospheric O2 to levels indistinguishable from geophysical production by photolysis of water plus hydrogen escape. Higher water contents >1wt% that lead to high-pressure ice mantles further slow phosphorus cycling. Paradoxically, the maximum water content allowing use of O2 as a biosignature, 0.2wt%, is consistent with no water based on mass and radius. Thus, the utility of an O2 biosignature likely requires the direct detection of both water and land on a planet.

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arXiv2018

Life Beyond the Solar System: Remotely Detectable Biosignatures

For the first time in human history, we will soon be able to apply the scientific method to the question "Are We Alone?" The rapid advance of exoplanet discovery, planetary systems science, and telescope technology will soon allow scientists to search for life beyond our Solar System through direct observation of extrasolar planets. This endeavor will occur alongside searches for habitable environments and signs of life within our Solar System. While the searches are thematically related and will inform each other, they will require separate observational techniques. The search for life on exoplanets holds potential through the great diversity of worlds to be explored beyond our Solar System. However, there are also unique challenges related to the relatively limited data this search will obtain on any individual world. This white paper reviews the scientific community's ability to use data from future telescopes to search for life on exoplanets. This material summarizes products from the Exoplanet Biosignatures Workshop Without Walls (EBWWW). The EBWWW was constituted by a series of online and in person activities, with participation from the international exoplanet and astrobiology communities, to assess state of the science and future research needs for the remote detection of life on planets outside our Solar System.

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