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Thibault Jeannin

Publications and source records attributed to Thibault Jeannin.

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Moments in Rough Bergomi and Boundary Attainment in Rough Heston

We study two probabilistic questions for stochastic Volterra equations arising in rough volatility. These equations underlie some of the most popular non-Markovian stochastic volatility models in mathematical finance. First, we establish subcritical positive moment bounds for stochastic exponentials driven by Gaussian Volterra processes. In the Gaussian Volterra-Bergomi setting, we prove that if $ρ\in[-1,0)$, then $\mathbb{E}[S_T^p]<\infty$ for every $0<p<p_ρ$, where $p_{-1}=\infty$ and $p_ρ=(1-ρ^2)^{-1}$ for $-1<ρ<0$. For the fractional rough Bergomi kernel, we additionally prove explosion at the critical exponent $p=p_ρ$. Combined with the known explosion above the threshold, this yields the exact criterion $\mathbb{E}[S_T^p]<\infty$ if and only if $0<p<p_ρ$ in the fractional rough Bergomi model. Second, for the fractional Volterra square-root process, equivalently the rough Heston variance process, we prove that its law has a positive atom at zero at every positive time. In particular, no Feller-type condition can make the zero boundary inaccessible in the fractional rough Heston regime.

math.PR

On the surjectivity of the conditional expectation given a real random variable

In this paper, we investigate the distributions of random couples $(X,Y)$ with $X$ real-valued such that any non-negative integrable random variable $f(X)$ can be represented as a conditional expectation, $f(X)=\mathbb{E}[g(Y)|X]$, for some non-negative measurable function $g$. It turns out that this representation property is related to the smallness of the support of the conditional law of $X$ given $Y$, and in particular fails when this conditional law almost surely has a non-zero absolutely continuous component with respect to the Lebesgue measure. We give a sufficient condition for the representation property and check that it is also necessary under some additional assumptions (for instance when $X$ or $Y$ are discrete). We also exhibit a rather involved example where the representation property holds but the sufficient condition does not. Finally, we discuss a weakened representation property where the non-negativity of $g$ is relaxed. This study is motivated by the calibration of time-discretized path-dependent volatility models to the implied volatility surface.

math.PR