arXiv subjects

Thomas B. Schön

Publications and source records attributed to Thomas B. Schön.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Accurate 3D Object Detection using Energy-Based Models

Accurate 3D object detection (3DOD) is crucial for safe navigation of complex environments by autonomous robots. Regressing accurate 3D bounding boxes in cluttered environments based on sparse LiDAR data is however a highly challenging problem. We address this task by exploring recent advances in conditional energy-based models (EBMs) for probabilistic regression. While methods employing EBMs for regression have demonstrated impressive performance on 2D object detection in images, these techniques are not directly applicable to 3D bounding boxes. In this work, we therefore design a differentiable pooling operator for 3D bounding boxes, serving as the core module of our EBM network. We further integrate this general approach into the state-of-the-art 3D object detector SA-SSD. On the KITTI dataset, our proposed approach consistently outperforms the SA-SSD baseline across all 3DOD metrics, demonstrating the potential of EBM-based regression for highly accurate 3DOD. Code is available at https://github.com/fregu856/ebms_3dod.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Learning Proposals for Practical Energy-Based Regression

Energy-based models (EBMs) have experienced a resurgence within machine learning in recent years, including as a promising alternative for probabilistic regression. However, energy-based regression requires a proposal distribution to be manually designed for training, and an initial estimate has to be provided at test-time. We address both of these issues by introducing a conceptually simple method to automatically learn an effective proposal distribution, which is parameterized by a separate network head. To this end, we derive a surprising result, leading to a unified training objective that jointly minimizes the KL divergence from the proposal to the EBM, and the negative log-likelihood of the EBM. At test-time, we can then employ importance sampling with the trained proposal to efficiently evaluate the learned EBM and produce stand-alone predictions. Furthermore, we utilize our derived training objective to learn mixture density networks (MDNs) with a jointly trained energy-based teacher, consistently outperforming conventional MDN training on four real-world regression tasks within computer vision. Code is available at https://github.com/fregu856/ebms_proposals.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

How Reliable is Your Regression Model's Uncertainty Under Real-World Distribution Shifts?

Many important computer vision applications are naturally formulated as regression problems. Within medical imaging, accurate regression models have the potential to automate various tasks, helping to lower costs and improve patient outcomes. Such safety-critical deployment does however require reliable estimation of model uncertainty, also under the wide variety of distribution shifts that might be encountered in practice. Motivated by this, we set out to investigate the reliability of regression uncertainty estimation methods under various real-world distribution shifts. To that end, we propose an extensive benchmark of 8 image-based regression datasets with different types of challenging distribution shifts. We then employ our benchmark to evaluate many of the most common uncertainty estimation methods, as well as two state-of-the-art uncertainty scores from the task of out-of-distribution detection. We find that while methods are well calibrated when there is no distribution shift, they all become highly overconfident on many of the benchmark datasets. This uncovers important limitations of current uncertainty estimation methods, and the proposed benchmark therefore serves as a challenge to the research community. We hope that our benchmark will spur more work on how to develop truly reliable regression uncertainty estimation methods. Code is available at https://github.com/fregu856/regression_uncertainty.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Guarantees for data-driven control of nonlinear systems using semidefinite programming: A survey

This survey presents recent research on determining control-theoretic properties and designing controllers with rigorous guarantees using semidefinite programming and for nonlinear systems for which no mathematical models but measured trajectories are available. Data-driven control techniques have been developed to circumvent a time-consuming modelling by first principles and because of the increasing availability of data. Recently, this research field has gained increased attention by the application of Willems' fundamental lemma, which provides a fertile ground for the development of data-driven control schemes with guarantees for linear time-invariant systems. While the fundamental lemma can be generalized to further system classes, there does not exist a comparable data-based system representation for nonlinear systems. At the same time, nonlinear systems constitute the majority of practical systems. Moreover, they include additional challenges such as data-based surrogate models that prevent system analysis and controller design by convex optimization. Therefore, a variety of data-driven control approaches has been developed with different required prior insights into the system to ensure a guaranteed inference. In this survey, we will discuss developments in the context of data-driven control for nonlinear systems. In particular, we will focus on methods based on system representations providing guarantees from finite data, while the analysis and the controller design boil down to convex optimization problems given as SDP. Thus, these approaches achieve reasonable advances compared to the state-of-the-art system analysis and controller design by models from system identification. Specifically, the paper covers system representations based on extensions of Willems' fundamental lemma, set membership, kernel techniques, the Koopman operator, and feedback linearization.

math.OC↗

arXiv2023

Regularization properties of adversarially-trained linear regression

State-of-the-art machine learning models can be vulnerable to very small input perturbations that are adversarially constructed. Adversarial training is an effective approach to defend against it. Formulated as a min-max problem, it searches for the best solution when the training data were corrupted by the worst-case attacks. Linear models are among the simple models where vulnerabilities can be observed and are the focus of our study. In this case, adversarial training leads to a convex optimization problem which can be formulated as the minimization of a finite sum. We provide a comparative analysis between the solution of adversarial training in linear regression and other regularization methods. Our main findings are that: (A) Adversarial training yields the minimum-norm interpolating solution in the overparameterized regime (more parameters than data), as long as the maximum disturbance radius is smaller than a threshold. And, conversely, the minimum-norm interpolator is the solution to adversarial training with a given radius. (B) Adversarial training can be equivalent to parameter shrinking methods (ridge regression and Lasso). This happens in the underparametrized region, for an appropriate choice of adversarial radius and zero-mean symmetrically distributed covariates. (C) For $\ell_\infty$-adversarial training -- as in square-root Lasso -- the choice of adversarial radius for optimal bounds does not depend on the additive noise variance. We confirm our theoretical findings with numerical examples.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

End-to-end Risk Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation from the 12-Lead ECG by Deep Neural Networks

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common cardiac arrhythmias that affects millions of people each year worldwide and it is closely linked to increased risk of cardiovascular diseases such as stroke and heart failure. Machine learning methods have shown promising results in evaluating the risk of developing atrial fibrillation from the electrocardiogram. We aim to develop and evaluate one such algorithm on a large CODE dataset collected in Brazil. Results: The deep neural network model identified patients without indication of AF in the presented ECG but who will develop AF in the future with an AUC score of 0.845. From our survival model, we obtain that patients in the high-risk group (i.e. with the probability of a future AF case being greater than 0.7) are 50% more likely to develop AF within 40 weeks, while patients belonging to the minimal-risk group (i.e. with the probability of a future AF case being less than or equal to 0.1) have more than 85% chance of remaining AF free up until after seven years. Conclusion: We developed and validated a model for AF risk prediction. If applied in clinical practice, the model possesses the potential of providing valuable and useful information in decision-making and patient management processes.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Image Restoration with Mean-Reverting Stochastic Differential Equations

This paper presents a stochastic differential equation (SDE) approach for general-purpose image restoration. The key construction consists in a mean-reverting SDE that transforms a high-quality image into a degraded counterpart as a mean state with fixed Gaussian noise. Then, by simulating the corresponding reverse-time SDE, we are able to restore the origin of the low-quality image without relying on any task-specific prior knowledge. Crucially, the proposed mean-reverting SDE has a closed-form solution, allowing us to compute the ground truth time-dependent score and learn it with a neural network. Moreover, we propose a maximum likelihood objective to learn an optimal reverse trajectory that stabilizes the training and improves the restoration results. The experiments show that our proposed method achieves highly competitive performance in quantitative comparisons on image deraining, deblurring, and denoising, setting a new state-of-the-art on two deraining datasets. Finally, the general applicability of our approach is further demonstrated via qualitative results on image super-resolution, inpainting, and dehazing. Code is available at https://github.com/Algolzw/image-restoration-sde.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Refusion: Enabling Large-Size Realistic Image Restoration with Latent-Space Diffusion Models

This work aims to improve the applicability of diffusion models in realistic image restoration. Specifically, we enhance the diffusion model in several aspects such as network architecture, noise level, denoising steps, training image size, and optimizer/scheduler. We show that tuning these hyperparameters allows us to achieve better performance on both distortion and perceptual scores. We also propose a U-Net based latent diffusion model which performs diffusion in a low-resolution latent space while preserving high-resolution information from the original input for the decoding process. Compared to the previous latent-diffusion model which trains a VAE-GAN to compress the image, our proposed U-Net compression strategy is significantly more stable and can recover highly accurate images without relying on adversarial optimization. Importantly, these modifications allow us to apply diffusion models to various image restoration tasks, including real-world shadow removal, HR non-homogeneous dehazing, stereo super-resolution, and bokeh effect transformation. By simply replacing the datasets and slightly changing the noise network, our model, named Refusion, is able to deal with large-size images (e.g., 6000 x 4000 x 3 in HR dehazing) and produces good results on all the above restoration problems. Our Refusion achieves the best perceptual performance in the NTIRE 2023 Image Shadow Removal Challenge and wins 2nd place overall.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

On the trade-off between event-based and periodic state estimation under bandwidth constraints

Event-based methods carefully select when to transmit information to enable high-performance control and estimation over resource-constrained communication networks. However, they come at a cost. For instance, event-based communication induces a higher computational load and increases the complexity of the scheduling problem. Thus, in some cases, allocating available slots to agents periodically in circular order may be superior. In this article, we discuss, for a specific example, when the additional complexity of event-based methods is beneficial. We evaluate our analysis in a synthetical example and on 20 simulated cart-pole systems.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Gaussian inference for data-driven state-feedback design of nonlinear systems

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these drawbacks, this work is based on a data-driven polynomial representation of general nonlinear systems exploiting Taylor polynomials. Thereby, we design state-feedback laws that render a known equilibrium point globally asymptotically stable while operating with respect to a desired quadratic performance criterion. The calculation of the polynomial state feedback boils down to a single sum-ofsquares optimization problem, and hence to computationally tractable linear matrix inequalities. Moreover, we examine state-input data in presence of Gaussian noise by Bayesian inference to overcome the conservatism of deterministic noise characterizations from recent data-driven control approaches for Gaussian noise.

math.OC↗

arXiv2023

Invertible Kernel PCA with Random Fourier Features

Kernel principal component analysis (kPCA) is a widely studied method to construct a low-dimensional data representation after a nonlinear transformation. The prevailing method to reconstruct the original input signal from kPCA -- an important task for denoising -- requires us to solve a supervised learning problem. In this paper, we present an alternative method where the reconstruction follows naturally from the compression step. We first approximate the kernel with random Fourier features. Then, we exploit the fact that the nonlinear transformation is invertible in a certain subdomain. Hence, the name \emph{invertible kernel PCA (ikPCA)}. We experiment with different data modalities and show that ikPCA performs similarly to kPCA with supervised reconstruction on denoising tasks, making it a strong alternative.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Probabilistic Estimation of Instantaneous Frequencies of Chirp Signals

We present a continuous-time probabilistic approach for estimating the chirp signal and its instantaneous frequency function when the true forms of these functions are not accessible. Our model represents these functions by non-linearly cascaded Gaussian processes represented as non-linear stochastic differential equations. The posterior distribution of the functions is then estimated with stochastic filters and smoothers. We compute a (posterior) Cramér--Rao lower bound for the Gaussian process model, and derive a theoretical upper bound for the estimation error in the mean squared sense. The experiments show that the proposed method outperforms a number of state-of-the-art methods on a synthetic data. We also show that the method works out-of-the-box for two real-world datasets.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Incorporating Sum Constraints into Multitask Gaussian Processes

Machine learning models can be improved by adapting them to respect existing background knowledge. In this paper we consider multitask Gaussian processes, with background knowledge in the form of constraints that require a specific sum of the outputs to be constant. This is achieved by conditioning the prior distribution on the constraint fulfillment. The approach allows for both linear and nonlinear constraints. We demonstrate that the constraints are fulfilled with high precision and that the construction can improve the overall prediction accuracy as compared to the standard Gaussian process.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Deep networks for system identification: a Survey

Deep learning is a topic of considerable current interest. The availability of massive data collections and powerful software resources has led to an impressive amount of results in many application areas that reveal essential but hidden properties of the observations. System identification learns mathematical descriptions of dynamic systems from input-output data and can thus benefit from the advances of deep neural networks to enrich the possible range of models to choose from. For this reason, we provide a survey of deep learning from a system identification perspective. We cover a wide spectrum of topics to enable researchers to understand the methods, providing rigorous practical and theoretical insights into the benefits and challenges of using them. The main aim of the identified model is to predict new data from previous observations. This can be achieved with different deep learning based modelling techniques and we discuss architectures commonly adopted in the literature, like feedforward, convolutional, and recurrent networks. Their parameters have to be estimated from past data trying to optimize the prediction performance. For this purpose, we discuss a specific set of first-order optimization tools that is emerged as efficient. The survey then draws connections to the well-studied area of kernel-based methods. They control the data fit by regularization terms that penalize models not in line with prior assumptions. We illustrate how to cast them in deep architectures to obtain deep kernel-based methods. The success of deep learning also resulted in surprising empirical observations, like the counter-intuitive behaviour of models with many parameters. We discuss the role of overparameterized models, including their connection to kernels, as well as implicit regularization mechanisms which affect generalization, specifically the interesting phenomena of benign overfitting ...

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Overparameterized Linear Regression under Adversarial Attacks

We study the error of linear regression in the face of adversarial attacks. In this framework, an adversary changes the input to the regression model in order to maximize the prediction error. We provide bounds on the prediction error in the presence of an adversary as a function of the parameter norm and the error in the absence of such an adversary. We show how these bounds make it possible to study the adversarial error using analysis from non-adversarial setups. The obtained results shed light on the robustness of overparameterized linear models to adversarial attacks. Adding features might be either a source of additional robustness or brittleness. On the one hand, we use asymptotic results to illustrate how double-descent curves can be obtained for the adversarial error. On the other hand, we derive conditions under which the adversarial error can grow to infinity as more features are added, while at the same time, the test error goes to zero. We show this behavior is caused by the fact that the norm of the parameter vector grows with the number of features. It is also established that $\ell_\infty$ and $\ell_2$-adversarial attacks might behave fundamentally differently due to how the $\ell_1$ and $\ell_2$-norms of random projections concentrate. We also show how our reformulation allows for solving adversarial training as a convex optimization problem. This fact is then exploited to establish similarities between adversarial training and parameter-shrinking methods and to study how the training might affect the robustness of the estimated models.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

ECG-Based Electrolyte Prediction: Evaluating Regression and Probabilistic Methods

Objective: Imbalances of the electrolyte concentration levels in the body can lead to catastrophic consequences, but accurate and accessible measurements could improve patient outcomes. While blood tests provide accurate measurements, they are invasive and the laboratory analysis can be slow or inaccessible. In contrast, an electrocardiogram (ECG) is a widely adopted tool which is quick and simple to acquire. However, the problem of estimating continuous electrolyte concentrations directly from ECGs is not well-studied. We therefore investigate if regression methods can be used for accurate ECG-based prediction of electrolyte concentrations. Methods: We explore the use of deep neural networks (DNNs) for this task. We analyze the regression performance across four electrolytes, utilizing a novel dataset containing over 290000 ECGs. For improved understanding, we also study the full spectrum from continuous predictions to binary classification of extreme concentration levels. To enhance clinical usefulness, we finally extend to a probabilistic regression approach and evaluate different uncertainty estimates. Results: We find that the performance varies significantly between different electrolytes, which is clinically justified in the interplay of electrolytes and their manifestation in the ECG. We also compare the regression accuracy with that of traditional machine learning models, demonstrating superior performance of DNNs. Conclusion: Discretization can lead to good classification performance, but does not help solve the original problem of predicting continuous concentration levels. While probabilistic regression demonstrates potential practical usefulness, the uncertainty estimates are not particularly well-calibrated. Significance: Our study is a first step towards accurate and reliable ECG-based prediction of electrolyte concentration levels.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2022

Unsupervised dynamic modeling of medical image transformation

Spatiotemporal imaging has applications in e.g. cardiac diagnostics, surgical guidance, and radiotherapy monitoring, In this paper, we explain the temporal motion by identifying the underlying dynamics, only based on the sequential images. Our dynamical model maps the inputs of observed high-dimensional sequential images to a low-dimensional latent space wherein a linear relationship between a hidden state process and the lower-dimensional representation of the inputs holds. For this, we use a conditional variational auto-encoder (CVAE) to nonlinearly map the higher-dimensional image to a lower-dimensional space, wherein we model the dynamics with a linear Gaussian state-space model (LG-SSM). The model, a modified version of the Kalman variational auto-encoder, is end-to-end trainable, and the weights, both in the CVAE and LG-SSM, are simultaneously updated by maximizing the evidence lower bound of the marginal likelihood. In contrast to the original model, we explain the motion with a spatial transformation from one image to another. This results in sharper reconstructions and the possibility of transferring auxiliary information, such as segmentation, through the image sequence. Our experiments, on cardiac ultrasound time series, show that the dynamic model outperforms traditional image registration in execution time, to a similar performance. Further, our model offers the possibility to impute and extrapolate for missing samples.

physics.med-ph↗

arXiv2022

Nonlinear System Identification: Learning while respecting physical models using a sequential Monte Carlo method

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from the input to the output. Typically, the physical models contain unknown parameters that must be learned from data. Classical methods often restrict the possible models or have to resort to approximations of the model that introduce biases. Sequential Monte Carlo methods enable learning without introducing any bias for a more general class of models. In addition, they can also be used to approximate a posterior distribution of the model parameters in a Bayesian setting. This article provides a general introduction to sequential Monte Carlo and shows how it naturally fits in system identification by giving examples of specific algorithms. The methods are illustrated on two systems: a system with two cascaded water tanks with possible overflow in both tanks and a compartmental model for the spreading of a disease.

stat.CO↗