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Tianchen Gao

Publications and source records attributed to Tianchen Gao.

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StatCite: A Large-scale Citation Network Dataset for Statistics and Data Science

In this paper, we introduce StatCite, a large-scale citation network dataset covering publications in statistics and data science from 1981 to 2025. The dataset contains 189,101 research articles collected from 62 representative journals and provides bibliographic metadata, including title, author list, publisher, published year, abstract, keywords, and reference list. Based on the collected publications, we construct four complementary citation-based networks, namely the paper citation network, the co-citation network, the bibliographic coupling network, and the journal citation network. To illustrate the utility of the dataset, we present descriptive analyses of the constructed networks and investigate the community structure of the paper citation network. The results show that StatCite preserves key structural characteristics commonly observed in large-scale citation networks and captures several major research areas in statistics and data science. By integrating multiple network representations with rich textual metadata, StatCite provides a valuable resource for statistical analysis, knowledge discovery, and data-driven studies of scientific literature.

cs.DL

An LLM-Powered Semantic Alignment Framework for Journal Recommendation

Journal recommendation is an important task in scholarly information systems. Existing approaches typically rely on supervised learning models, manually engineered features, or historical interaction data, which may limit their generalizability and interpretability. We propose an LLM-powered semantic alignment framework that formulates journal recommendation as a semantic matching problem between manuscript content and journal scope descriptions. The framework enables large language models (LLMs) to infer journal suitability directly from article titles, abstracts, keywords, and candidate journal information without task-specific training. Experiments are conducted using DeepSeek-V3 on a dataset of 23,609 articles from 49 journals in statistics and related fields. The proposed framework achieves Top-3, Top-5, and Top-10 accuracies of 40.23\%, 53.67\%, and 70.05\%, respectively. Additional analyses show that incorporating reference information generally improves recommendation performance and that recommendations remain highly stable across repeated runs, with an average Top-5 Jaccard similarity of 84\%. The framework also generates interpretable reasoning outputs that provide insights into the recommendation process. These findings demonstrate the potential of LLMs as a training-free and scalable paradigm for journal recommendation and scholarly decision support.

cs.IR

How Does LLM Help Regional CPI Forecast: An LLM-powered Deep Panel Modeling Framework

Understanding regional Consumer Price Index (CPI) dynamics is essential for timely and effective economic policymaking. However, traditional modeling procedures typically rely only on parametric panel modeling with low-frequency and high-cost macroeconomic indicators, which often fail to capture rapid market fluctuations and lead to inaccurate predictions. To this end, we propose a residual-joint-modeling framework that integrates large language model (LLM) analyses and social media narratives via a new deep neural network based panel modeling. Specifically, we construct a large narrative corpus from a newly collected {\it Sina Weibo} dataset, and develop a prompt-based GPT model and a series of fine-tuned BERT models to generate high-frequency LLM-induced surrogates for regional CPI. A novel joint modeling strategy is then advocated to transfer the information from these surrogates to the target regional CPI data and hence empower CPI prediction. To solve the joint objectives, we further introduce a new deep panel learning procedure with region-wise homogeneity pursuit, which has its own significance in panel data analysis literature. In addition, conformal-based panel prediction intervals are provided to quantify the uncertainty of the LLM-powered prediction. The proposed approach significantly reduces short-term forecasting errors and more effectively captures abrupt inflationary shifts compared to traditional econometric models. While demonstrated for regional CPI forecasting, the proposed framework is broadly applicable for incorporating insights from LLMs to enhance traditional statistical modeling.

stat.AP

LLM-powered Real-time Patent Citation Recommendation for Financial Technologies

Rapid financial innovation has been accompanied by a sharp increase in patenting activity, making timely and comprehensive prior-art discovery more difficult. This problem is especially evident in financial technologies, where innovations develop quickly, patent collections grow continuously, and citation recommendation systems must be updated as new applications arrive. Existing patent retrieval and citation recommendation methods typically rely on static indexes or periodic retraining, which limits their ability to operate effectively in such dynamic settings. In this study, we propose a real-time patent citation recommendation framework designed for large and fast-changing financial patent corpora. Using a dataset of 428,843 financial patents granted by the China National Intellectual Property Administration (CNIPA) between 2000 and 2024, we build a three-stage recommendation pipeline. The pipeline uses large language model (LLM) embeddings to represent the semantic content of patent abstracts, applies efficient approximate nearest-neighbor search to construct a manageable candidate set, and ranks candidates by semantic similarity to produce top-k citation recommendations. In addition to improving recommendation accuracy, the proposed framework directly addresses the dynamic nature of patent systems. By using an incremental indexing strategy based on hierarchical navigable small-world (HNSW) graphs, newly issued patents can be added without rebuilding the entire index. A rolling day-by-day update experiment shows that incremental updating improves recall while substantially reducing computational cost compared with rebuild-based indexing. The proposed method also consistently outperforms traditional text-based baselines and alternative nearest-neighbor retrieval approaches.

cs.IR

Are Large Language Models able to Predict Highly Cited Papers? Evidence from Statistical Publications

Predicting highly-cited papers is a long-standing challenge due to the complex interactions of research content, scholarly communities, and temporal dynamics. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) raise the question of whether early-stage textual information can provide useful signals of long-term scientific impact. Focusing on statistical publications, we propose a flexible, text-centered framework that leverages LLMs and structured prompt design to predict highly cited papers. Specifically, we utilize information available at the time of publication, including titles, abstracts, keywords, and limited bibliographic metadata. Using a large corpus of statistical papers, we evaluate predictive performance across multiple publication periods and alternative definitions of highly cited papers. The proposed approach achieves stable and competitive performance relative to existing methods and demonstrates strong generalization over time. Textual analysis further reveals that papers predicted as highly cited concentrate on recurring topics such as causal inference and deep learning. To facilitate practical use of the proposed approach, we further develop a WeChat mini program, \textit{Stat Highly Cited Papers}, which provides an accessible interface for early-stage citation impact assessment. Overall, our results provide empirical evidence that LLMs can capture meaningful early signals of long-term citation impact, while also highlighting their limitations as tools for research impact assessment.

stat.AP

BASIC: Bipartite Assisted Spectral-clustering for Identifying Communities in Large-scale Networks

Community detection, which focuses on recovering the group structure within networks, is a crucial and fundamental task in network analysis. However, the detection process can be quite challenging and unstable when community signals are weak. Motivated by a newly collected large-scale academic network dataset from the Web of Science, which includes multi-layer network information, we propose a Bipartite Assisted Spectral-clustering approach for Identifying Communities (BASIC), which incorporates the bipartite network information into the community structure learning of the primary network. The accuracy and stability enhancement of BASIC is validated theoretically on the basis of the degree-corrected stochastic block model framework, as well as numerically through extensive simulation studies. We rigorously study the convergence rate of BASIC even under weak signal scenarios and prove that BASIC yields a tighter upper error bound than that based on the primary network information alone. We utilize the proposed BASIC method to analyze the newly collected large-scale academic network dataset from statistical papers. During the author collaboration network structure learning, we incorporate the bipartite network information from author-paper, author-institution, and author-region relationships. From both statistical and interpretative perspectives, these bipartite networks greatly aid in identifying communities within the primary collaboration network.

math.ST

Academic Literature Recommendation in Large-scale Citation Networks Enhanced by Large Language Models

Literature recommendation is essential for researchers to find relevant articles in an ever-growing academic field. However, traditional methods often struggle due to data limitations and methodological challenges. In this work, we construct a large citation network and propose a hybrid recommendation framework for scientific article recommendation. Specifically, the citation network contains 190,381 articles from 70 journals, covering statistics, econometrics, and computer science, spanning from 1981 to 2022. The recommendation mechanism integrates network-based citation patterns with content-based semantic similarities. To enhance content-based recommendations, we employ text-embedding-3-small model of OpenAI to generate an embedding vector for the abstract of each article. The model has two key advantages: computational efficiency and embedding stability during incremental updates, which is crucial for handling dynamic academic databases. Additionally, the recommendation mechanism is designed to allow users to adjust weights according to their preferences, providing flexibility and personalization. Extensive experiments have been conducted to verify the effectiveness of our approach. In summary, our work not only provides a complete data system for building and analyzing citation networks, but also introduces a practical recommendation method that helps researchers navigate the growing volume of academic literature, making it easier to find the most relevant and influential articles in the era of information overload.

stat.AP

A Comparison of DeepSeek and Other LLMs

Recently, DeepSeek has been the focus of attention in and beyond the AI community. An interesting problem is how DeepSeek compares to other large language models (LLMs). There are many tasks an LLM can do, and in this paper, we use the task of "predicting an outcome using a short text" for comparison. We consider two settings, an authorship classification setting and a citation classification setting. In the first one, the goal is to determine whether a short text is written by human or AI. In the second one, the goal is to classify a citation to one of four types using the textual content. For each experiment, we compare DeepSeek with $4$ popular LLMs: Claude, Gemini, GPT, and Llama. We find that, in terms of classification accuracy, DeepSeek outperforms Gemini, GPT, and Llama in most cases, but underperforms Claude. We also find that DeepSeek is comparably slower than others but with a low cost to use, while Claude is much more expensive than all the others. Finally, we find that in terms of similarity, the output of DeepSeek is most similar to those of Gemini and Claude (and among all $5$ LLMs, Claude and Gemini have the most similar outputs). In this paper, we also present a fully-labeled dataset collected by ourselves, and propose a recipe where we can use the LLMs and a recent data set, MADStat, to generate new data sets. The datasets in our paper can be used as benchmarks for future study on LLMs.

cs.CL

Large-scale Multi-layer Academic Networks Derived from Statistical Publications

The utilization of multi-layer network structures now enables the explanation of complex systems in nature from multiple perspectives. Multi-layer academic networks capture diverse relationships among academic entities, facilitating the study of academic development and the prediction of future directions. However, there are currently few academic network datasets that simultaneously consider multi-layer academic networks; often, they only include a single layer. In this study, we provide a large-scale multi-layer academic network dataset, namely, LMANStat, which includes collaboration, co-institution, citation, co-citation, journal citation, author citation, author-paper and keyword co-occurrence networks. Furthermore, each layer of the multi-layer academic network is dynamic. Additionally, we expand the attributes of nodes, such as authors' research interests, productivity, region and institution. Supported by this dataset, it is possible to study the development and evolution of statistical disciplines from multiple perspectives. This dataset also provides fertile ground for studying complex systems with multi-layer structures.

stat.AP