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Tianruo Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Tianruo Zhang.

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Fast Rerandomization for Balancing Covariates in Randomized Experiments: A Metropolis-Hastings Framework

Balancing covariates is critical for credible and efficient randomized experiments. Rerandomization addresses this by repeatedly generating treatment assignments until covariate balance meets a prespecified threshold. By shrinking this threshold, it can achieve arbitrarily strong balance, with established results guaranteeing optimal estimation and valid inference in both finite-sample and asymptotic settings across diverse complex experimental settings. Despite its rigorous theoretical foundations, practical use is limited by the extreme inefficiency of rejection sampling, which becomes prohibitively slow under small thresholds and often forces practitioners to adopt suboptimal settings, leading to degraded performance. Existing work focusing on acceleration typically fail to maintain the uniformity over the acceptable assignment space, thus losing the theoretical grounds of classical rerandomization. Building upon a Metropolis-Hastings framework, we address this challenge by introducing an additional sampling-importance resampling step, which restores uniformity and preserves statistical guarantees. Our proposed algorithm, PSRSRR, achieves speedups ranging from 10 to 10,000 times while maintaining exact and asymptotic validity, as demonstrated by simulations and two real-data applications.

stat.ME

A Universal Framework for Factorial Matched Observational Studies with General Treatment Types: Design, Analysis, and Applications

Matching is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks in observational studies. However, all the existing matching-based causal inference methods are designed for either a single treatment with general treatment types (e.g., binary, ordinal, or continuous) or factorial (multiple) treatments with binary treatments only. To our knowledge, no existing matching-based causal methods can handle factorial treatments with general treatment types. This critical gap substantially hinders the applicability of matching in many real-world problems, in which there are often multiple, potentially non-binary (e.g., continuous) treatment components. To address this critical gap, this work develops a universal framework for the design and analysis of factorial matched observational studies with general treatment types (e.g., binary, ordinal, or continuous). We first propose a two-stage non-bipartite matching algorithm that constructs matched sets of units with similar covariates but distinct combinations of treatment doses, thereby enabling valid estimation of both main and interaction effects. We then introduce a new class of generalized factorial Neyman-type estimands that provide model-free, finite-population-valid definitions of marginal and interaction causal effects under factorial treatments with general treatment types. Randomization-based Fisher-type and Neyman-type inference procedures are developed, including unbiased estimators, asymptotically valid variance estimators, and variance adjustments incorporating covariate information for improved efficiency. Finally, we illustrate the proposed framework through a county-level application that evaluates the causal impacts of work- and non-work-trip reductions (social distancing practices) on COVID-19-related and drug-related outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

stat.ME