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Tias Guns

Publications and source records attributed to Tias Guns.

44 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Learning to rank for uplift modeling

Uplift modeling has effectively been used in fields such as marketing and customer retention, to target those customers that are most likely to respond due to the campaign or treatment. Uplift models produce uplift scores which are then used to essentially create a ranking. We instead investigate to learn to rank directly by looking into the potential of learning-to-rank techniques in the context of uplift modeling. We propose a unified formalisation of different global uplift modeling measures in use today and explore how these can be integrated into the learning-to-rank framework. Additionally, we introduce a new metric for learning-to-rank that focusses on optimizing the area under the uplift curve called the promoted cumulative gain (PCG). We employ the learning-to-rank technique LambdaMART to optimize the ranking according to PCG and show improved results over standard learning-to-rank metrics and equal to improved results when compared with state-of-the-art uplift modeling. Finally, we show how learning-to-rank models can learn to optimize a certain targeting depth, however, these results do not generalize on the test set.

cs.LG↗

Smart Predict-and-Optimize for Hard Combinatorial Optimization Problems

Combinatorial optimization assumes that all parameters of the optimization problem, e.g. the weights in the objective function is fixed. Often, these weights are mere estimates and increasingly machine learning techniques are used to for their estimation. Recently, Smart Predict and Optimize (SPO) has been proposed for problems with a linear objective function over the predictions, more specifically linear programming problems. It takes the regret of the predictions on the linear problem into account, by repeatedly solving it during learning. We investigate the use of SPO to solve more realistic discrete optimization problems. The main challenge is the repeated solving of the optimization problem. To this end, we investigate ways to relax the problem as well as warmstarting the learning and the solving. Our results show that even for discrete problems it often suffices to train by solving the relaxation in the SPO loss. Furthermore, this approach outperforms, for most instances, the state-of-the-art approach of Wilder, Dilkina, and Tambe. We experiment with weighted knapsack problems as well as complex scheduling problems and show for the first time that a predict-and-optimize approach can successfully be used on large-scale combinatorial optimization problems.

cs.LG↗

Towards Improving Solution Dominance with Incomparability Conditions: A case-study using Generator Itemset Mining

Finding interesting patterns is a challenging task in data mining. Constraint based mining is a well-known approach to this, and one for which constraint programming has been shown to be a well-suited and generic framework. Dominance programming has been proposed as an extension that can capture an even wider class of constraint-based mining problems, by allowing to compare relations between patterns. In this paper, in addition to specifying a dominance relation, we introduce the ability to specify an incomparability condition. Using these two concepts we devise a generic framework that can do a batch-wise search that avoids checking incomparable solutions. We extend the ESSENCE language and underlying modelling pipeline to support this. We use generator itemset mining problem as a test case and give a declarative specification for that. We also present preliminary experimental results on this specific problem class with a CP solver backend to show that using the incomparability condition during search can improve the efficiency of dominance programming and reduces the need for post-processing to filter dominated solutions.

cs.AI↗

Vehicle routing by learning from historical solutions

The goal of this paper is to investigate a decision support system for vehicle routing, where the routing engine learns from the subjective decisions that human planners have made in the past, rather than optimizing a distance-based objective criterion. This is an alternative to the practice of formulating a custom VRP for every company with its own routing requirements. Instead, we assume the presence of past vehicle routing solutions over similar sets of customers, and learn to make similar choices. The approach is based on the concept of learning a first-order Markov model, which corresponds to a probabilistic transition matrix, rather than a deterministic distance matrix. This nevertheless allows us to use existing arc routing VRP software in creating the actual route plans. For the learning, we explore different schemes to construct the probabilistic transition matrix. Our results on a use-case with a small transportation company show that our method is able to generate results that are close to the manually created solutions, without needing to characterize all constraints and sub-objectives explicitly. Even in the case of changes in the client sets, our method is able to find solutions that are closer to the actual route plans than when using distances, and hence, solutions that would require fewer manual changes to transform into the actual route plan.

cs.AI↗

Solution Dominance over Constraint Satisfaction Problems

Constraint Satisfaction Problems (CSPs) typically have many solutions that satisfy all constraints. Often though, some solutions are preferred over others, that is, some solutions dominate other solutions. We present solution dominance as a formal framework to reason about such settings. We define Constraint Dominance Problems (CDPs) as CSPs with a dominance relation, that is, a preorder over the solutions of the CSP. This framework captures many well-known variants of constraint satisfaction, including optimization, multi-objective optimization, Max-CSP, minimal models, minimum correction subsets as well as optimization over CP-nets and arbitrary dominance relations. We extend MiniZinc, a declarative language for modeling CSPs, to CDPs by introducing dominance nogoods; these can be derived from dominance relations in a principled way. A generic method for solving arbitrary CDPs incrementally calls a CSP solver and is compatible with any existing solver that supports MiniZinc. This encourages experimenting with different solution dominance relations for a problem, as well as comparing different solvers without having to modify their implementations.

cs.AI↗

An Efficient Algorithm for Mining Frequent Sequence with Constraint Programming

The main advantage of Constraint Programming (CP) approaches for sequential pattern mining (SPM) is their modularity, which includes the ability to add new constraints (regular expressions, length restrictions, etc). The current best CP approach for SPM uses a global constraint (module) that computes the projected database and enforces the minimum frequency; it does this with a filtering algorithm similar to the PrefixSpan method. However, the resulting system is not as scalable as some of the most advanced mining systems like Zaki's cSPADE. We show how, using techniques from both data mining and CP, one can use a generic constraint solver and yet outperform existing specialized systems. This is mainly due to two improvements in the module that computes the projected frequencies: first, computing the projected database can be sped up by pre-computing the positions at which an symbol can become unsupported by a sequence, thereby avoiding to scan the full sequence each time; and second by taking inspiration from the trailing used in CP solvers to devise a backtracking-aware data structure that allows fast incremental storing and restoring of the projected database. Detailed experiments show how this approach outperforms existing CP as well as specialized systems for SPM, and that the gain in efficiency translates directly into increased efficiency for other settings such as mining with regular expressions.

cs.DB↗

The Inductive Constraint Programming Loop

Constraint programming is used for a variety of real-world optimisation problems, such as planning, scheduling and resource allocation problems. At the same time, one continuously gathers vast amounts of data about these problems. Current constraint programming software does not exploit such data to update schedules, resources and plans. We propose a new framework, that we call the Inductive Constraint Programming loop. In this approach data is gathered and analyzed systematically, in order to dynamically revise and adapt constraints and optimization criteria. Inductive Constraint Programming aims at bridging the gap between the areas of data mining and machine learning on the one hand, and constraint programming on the other hand.

cs.AI↗

Constraint-based sequence mining using constraint programming

The goal of constraint-based sequence mining is to find sequences of symbols that are included in a large number of input sequences and that satisfy some constraints specified by the user. Many constraints have been proposed in the literature, but a general framework is still missing. We investigate the use of constraint programming as general framework for this task. We first identify four categories of constraints that are applicable to sequence mining. We then propose two constraint programming formulations. The first formulation introduces a new global constraint called exists-embedding. This formulation is the most efficient but does not support one type of constraint. To support such constraints, we develop a second formulation that is more general but incurs more overhead. Both formulations can use the projected database technique used in specialised algorithms. Experiments demonstrate the flexibility towards constraint-based settings and compare the approach to existing methods.

cs.AI↗