arXiv subjects

Timothy L. Molloy

Publications and source records attributed to Timothy L. Molloy.

25 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

Online Inverse Optimal Control for Control-Constrained Discrete-Time Systems on Finite and Infinite Horizons

In this paper, we consider the problem of computing parameters of an objective function for a discrete-time optimal control problem from state and control trajectories with active control constraints. We propose a novel method of inverse optimal control that has a computationally efficient online form in which pairs of states and controls from given state and control trajectories are processed sequentially without being stored or processed in batches. We establish conditions guaranteeing the uniqueness of the objective-function parameters computed by our proposed method from trajectories with active control constraints. We illustrate our proposed method in simulation.

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arXiv2020

An Optimal Bearing-Only-Information Strategy for Unmanned Aircraft Collision Avoidance

This paper presents a novel collision avoidance strategy for unmanned aircraft detect and avoid that requires only information about the relative bearing angle between an aircraft and hazard. It is shown that this bearing-only strategy can be conceived as the solution to a novel differential game formulation of collision avoidance, and has several intuitive properties including maximising the instantaneous range acceleration in situations where the hazard is stationary or has a finite turn rate. The performance of the bearing-only strategy is illustrated in simulations based on test cases drawn from draft minimum operating performance standards for unmanned aircraft detect and avoid systems.

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arXiv2020

Misspecified and Asymptotically Minimax Robust Quickest Change Diagnosis

The problem of quickly diagnosing an unknown change in a stochastic process is studied. We establish novel bounds on the performance of misspecified diagnosis algorithms designed for changes that differ from those of the process, and pose and solve a new robust quickest change diagnosis problem in the asymptotic regime of few false alarms and false isolations. Simulations suggest that our asymptotically robust solution offers a computationally efficient alternative to generalised likelihood ratio algorithms.

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arXiv2020

A Novel Technique for Rejecting Non-Aircraft Artefacts in Above Horizon Vision-Based Aircraft Detection

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) operations are steadily expanding into many important applications. A key technology for better enabling their commercial use is an onboard sense and avoid (SAA) technology which can detect potential mid-air collision threats in the same manner expected from a human pilot. Ideally, aircraft should be detected as early as possible whilst maintaining a low false alarm rate, however, textured clouds and other unstructured terrain make this trade-off a challenge. In this paper we present a new technique for the modelling and detection of aircraft above the horizon that is able to penalise non-aircraft artefacts (such as textured clouds and other unstructured terrain). We evaluate the performance of our proposed system on flight data of a Cessna 172 on a near collision course encounter with a ScanEagle UAV data collection aircraft. By penalising non-aircraft artefacts we are able to demonstrate, for a zero false alarm rate, a mean detection range of 2445m corresponding to an improvement in detection ranges by 9.8% (218m).

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arXiv2019

On the Informativeness of Measurements in Shiryaev's Bayesian Quickest Change Detection

This paper provides the first description of a weak practical super-martingale phenomenon that can emerge in the test statistic in Shiryaev's Bayesian quickest change detection (QCD) problem. We establish that this super-martingale phenomenon can emerge under a condition on the relative entropy between pre and post change densities when the measurements are insufficiently informative to overcome the change time's geometric prior. We illustrate this super-martingale phenomenon in a simple Bayesian QCD problem which highlights the unsuitability of Shiryaev's test statistic for detecting subtle change events.

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arXiv2019

Below Horizon Aircraft Detection Using Deep Learning for Vision-Based Sense and Avoid

Commercial operation of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) would benefit from an onboard ability to sense and avoid (SAA) potential mid-air collision threats. In this paper we present a new approach for detection of aircraft below the horizon. We address some of the challenges faced by existing vision-based SAA methods such as detecting stationary aircraft (that have no relative motion to the background), rejecting moving ground vehicles, and simultaneous detection of multiple aircraft. We propose a multi-stage, vision-based aircraft detection system which utilises deep learning to produce candidate aircraft that we track over time. We evaluate the performance of our proposed system on real flight data where we demonstrate detection ranges comparable to the state of the art with the additional capability of detecting stationary aircraft, rejecting moving ground vehicles, and tracking multiple aircraft.

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arXiv2018

Quickest Detection of Intermittent Signals With Application to Vision Based Aircraft Detection

In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping problem and establish a quickest intermittent signal detection (ISD) rule with a threshold structure. We develop bounds to characterise the performance of our ISD rule and establish a new filter for estimating its detection delays. Finally, we examine the performance of our ISD rule in both a simulation study and an important vision based aircraft detection application where the ISD rule demonstrates improvements in detection range and false alarm rates relative to the current state of the art aircraft detection techniques.

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