arXiv subjects

Ting Ye

Publications and source records attributed to Ting Ye.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2025

A More Robust Approach to Multivariable Mendelian Randomization

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater challenges with many weak instruments, which can lead to bias not necessarily toward zero and inflation of type I errors. In this work, we introduce a new asymptotic regime that allows exposures to have varying degrees of instrument strength, providing a more accurate theoretical framework for studying MVMR estimators. Under this regime, our analysis of the widely used multivariable inverse-variance weighted method shows that it is often biased and tends to produce misleadingly narrow confidence intervals in the presence of many weak instruments. To address this, we propose a simple, closed-form modification to the multivariable inverse-variance weighted estimator to reduce bias from weak instruments, and additionally introduce a novel spectral regularization technique to improve finite-sample performance. We show that the resulting spectral-regularized estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal under many weak instruments. Through simulations and real data applications, we demonstrate that our proposed estimator and asymptotic framework can enhance the robustness of MVMR analyses.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Improve the Precision of Area Under the Curve Estimation for Recurrent Events Through Covariate Adjustment

The area under the curve (AUC) of the mean cumulative function (MCF) has recently been introduced as a novel estimand for evaluating treatment effects in recurrent event settings, offering an alternative to the commonly used Lin-Wei-Yang-Ying (LWYY) model. The AUC of the MCF provides a clinically interpretable summary measure that captures the overall burden of disease progression, regardless of whether the proportionality assumption holds. To improve the precision of the AUC estimation while preserving its unconditional interpretability, we propose a nonparametric covariate adjustment approach. This approach guarantees efficiency gain compared to unadjusted analysis, as demonstrated by theoretical asymptotic distributions, and is universally applicable to various randomization schemes, including both simple and covariate-adaptive designs. Extensive simulations across different scenarios further support its advantage in increasing statistical power. Our findings highlight the importance of covariate adjustment for the analysis of AUC in recurrent event settings, offering practical guidance for its application in randomized clinical trials.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Clarifying the Role of the Mantel-Haenszel Risk Difference Estimator in Randomized Clinical Trials

The Mantel-Haenszel (MH) risk difference estimator, commonly used in randomized clinical trials for binary outcomes, calculates a weighted average of stratum-specific risk difference estimators. Traditionally, this method requires the stringent assumption that risk differences are homogeneous across strata, also known as the common (constant) risk difference assumption. In our article, we relax this assumption and adopt a modern perspective, viewing the MH risk difference estimator as an approach for covariate adjustment in randomized clinical trials, distinguishing its use from that in meta-analysis and observational studies. We demonstrate that, under reasonable restrictions on risk difference variability, the MH risk difference estimator consistently estimates the average treatment effect within a standard super-population framework, which is often the primary interest in randomized clinical trials, in addition to estimating a weighted average of stratum-specific risk differences. We rigorously study its properties under the large-stratum and sparse-stratum asymptotic regimes, as well as under mixed-regime settings. Furthermore, for either estimand, we propose a unified robust variance estimator that improves over the popular variance estimators by Greenland and Robins (1985) and Sato et al. (1989) and has provable consistency across these asymptotic regimes, regardless of assuming common risk differences. Extensions of our theoretical results also provide new insights into the Mantel-Haenszel test, the post-stratification estimator, and settings with multiple treatments. Our findings are thoroughly validated through simulations and a clinical trial example.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

A sliced Wasserstein and diffusion approach to random coefficient models

We propose a new minimum-distance estimator for linear random coefficient models. This estimator integrates the recently advanced sliced Wasserstein distance with the nearest neighbor methods, both of which enhance computational efficiency. We demonstrate that the proposed method is consistent in approximating the true distribution. Moreover, our formulation naturally leads to a diffusion process-based algorithm and is closely connected to treatment effect distribution estimation -- both of which are of independent interest and hold promise for broader applications.

math.ST↗

arXiv2025

High-rate continuous-variable quantum key distribution over 100 km fiber with composable security

Quantum key distribution (QKD), providing a way to generate secret keys with information-theoretic security,is arguably one of the most significant achievements in quantum information. The continuous-variable QKD (CV-QKD) offers the potential advantage of achieving a higher secret key rate (SKR) within a metro area, as well as being compatible with the mature telecom industry. However, the SKR and transmission distance of state-of-the-art CV-QKD systems are currently limited. Here, based on the novelly proposed orthogonal-frequency-division-multiplexing (OFDM) CV-QKD protocol, we demonstrate for the first time a high-rate multi-carrier (MC) CV-QKD with a 10 GHz symbol rate that chieves Gbps SKR within 10km and Mbps SKR over 100 km in the finite-size regime under composable security against collective attacks. The record-breaking results are achieved by suitable optimization of subcarrier number and modulation variance, well-controlled excess noise induced by both OFDM mechanism and efficient DSP scheme, and high-performance post-processing capacity realized by heterogeneous computing scheme. The composable finite-size SKR reaches 1779.45 Mbps@5km, 1025.49 Mbps@10km, 370.50 Mbps@25km, 99.93 Mbps@50km, 25.70 Mbps@75km,and 2.25 Mbps@100km, which improves the SKR by two orders of magnitude and quintuples the maximal transmission distance compared to most recently reported CV-QKD results [Nature Communications, 13, 4740 (2022)]. Interestingly, it is experimentally verified that the SKR of the proposed MC CV-QKD can approach five times larger than that of the single-carrier CV-QKD with the same symbol rate without additional hardware costs. Our work constitutes a critical step towards future high-speed quantum metropolitan and access networks.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2025

Sensitivity Analysis for Attributable Effects in Case$^2$ Studies

The case$^2$ study, also referred to as the case-case study design, is a valuable approach for conducting inference for treatment effects. Unlike traditional case-control studies, the case$^2$ design compares treatment in two types of cases with the same disease. A key quantity of interest is the attributable effect, which is the number of cases of disease among treated units which are caused by the treatment. Two key assumptions that are usually made for making inferences about the attributable effect in case$^2$ studies are 1.) treatment does not cause the second type of case, and 2.) the treatment does not alter an individual's case type. However, these assumptions are not realistic in many real-data applications. In this article, we present a sensitivity analysis framework to scrutinize the impact of deviations from these assumptions on obtained results. We also include sensitivity analyses related to the assumption of unmeasured confounding, recognizing the potential bias introduced by unobserved covariates. The proposed methodology is exemplified through an investigation into whether having violent behavior in the last year of life increases suicide risk via 1993 National Mortality Followback Survey dataset.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Adjusting for Incomplete Baseline Covariates in Randomized Controlled Trials: A Cross-World Imputation Framework

In randomized controlled trials, adjusting for baseline covariates is often applied to improve the precision of treatment effect estimation. However, missingness in covariates is common. Recently, Zhao & Ding (2022) studied two simple strategies, the single imputation method and missingness indicator method (MIM), to deal with missing covariates, and showed that both methods can provide efficiency gain. To better understand and compare these two strategies, we propose and investigate a novel imputation framework termed cross-world imputation (CWI), which includes single imputation and MIM as special cases. Through the lens of CWI, we show that MIM implicitly searches for the optimal CWI values and thus achieves optimal efficiency. We also derive conditions under which the single imputation method, by searching for the optimal single imputation values, can achieve the same efficiency as the MIM.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

A General Form of Covariate Adjustment in Randomized Clinical Trials

In randomized clinical trials, adjusting for baseline covariates can improve credibility and efficiency for demonstrating and quantifying treatment effects. This article studies the augmented inverse propensity weighted (AIPW) estimator, which is a general form of covariate adjustment that uses linear, generalized linear, and non-parametric or machine learning models for the conditional mean of the response given covariates. Under covariate-adaptive randomization, we establish general theorems that show a complete picture of the asymptotic normality, {efficiency gain, and applicability of AIPW estimators}. In particular, we provide for the first time a rigorous theoretical justification of using machine learning methods with cross-fitting for dependent data under covariate-adaptive randomization. Based on the general theorems, we offer insights on the conditions for guaranteed efficiency gain and universal applicability {under different randomization schemes}, which also motivate a joint calibration strategy using some constructed covariates after applying AIPW. Our methods are implemented in the R package RobinCar.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Behavioral Carry-Over Effect and Power Consideration in Crossover Trials

A crossover trial is an efficient trial design when there is no carry-over effect. To reduce the impact of the biological carry-over effect, a washout period is often designed. However, the carry-over effect remains an outstanding concern when a washout period is unethical or cannot sufficiently diminish the impact of the carry-over effect. The latter can occur in comparative effectiveness research where the carry-over effect is often non-biological but behavioral. In this paper, we investigate the crossover design under a potential outcomes framework with and without the carry-over effect. We find that when the carry-over effect exists and satisfies a sign condition, the basic estimator underestimates the treatment effect, which does not inflate the type I error of one-sided tests but negatively impacts the power. This leads to a power trade-off between the crossover design and the parallel-group design, and we derive the condition under which the crossover design does not lead to type I error inflation and is still more powerful than the parallel-group design. We also develop covariate adjustment methods for crossover trials. We evaluate the performance of cross-over design and covariate adjustment using data from the MTN-034/REACH study.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Organic solvent boosts charge storage and charging dynamics of conductive MOF supercapacitors

Conductive metal-organic frameworks (c-MOFs) and ionic liquids (ILs) have emerged as auspicious combinations for high-performance supercapacitors. However, the nanoconfinement from c-MOFs and high viscosity of ILs slow down the charging process. This hindrance can, however, be resolved by adding solvent. Here, we performed constant-potential molecular simulations to scrutinize the solvent impact on charge storage and charging dynamics of MOF-IL-based supercapacitors. We find conditions for >100% enhancement in capacity and ~6 times increase in charging speed. These improvements were confirmed by synthesizing near-ideal c-MOFs and developing multiscale models linking molecular simulations to electrochemical measurements. Fundamentally, our findings elucidate that the solvent acts as an ionophobic agent to induce a substantial enhancement in charge storage, and as an ion traffic police to eliminate convoluted counterion and co-ion motion paths and create two distinct ion transport highways to accelerate charging dynamics. This work paves the way for the optimal design of MOF supercapacitors.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2024

GENIUS-MAWII: For Robust Mendelian Randomization with Many Weak Invalid Instruments

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become a popular approach to study causal effects by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. We propose a new MR method, GENIUS-MAWII, which simultaneously addresses the two salient phenomena that adversely affect MR analyses: many weak instruments and widespread horizontal pleiotropy. Similar to MR GENIUS (Tchetgen Tchetgen et al., 2021), we achieve identification of the treatment effect by leveraging heteroscedasticity of the exposure. We then derive the class of influence functions of the treatment effect, based on which, we construct a continuous updating estimator and establish its consistency and asymptotic normality under a many weak invalid instruments asymptotic regime by developing novel semiparametric theory. We also provide a measure of weak identification, an overidentification test, and a graphical diagnostic tool. We demonstrate in simulations that GENIUS-MAWII has clear advantages in the presence of directional or correlated horizontal pleiotropy compared to other methods. We apply our method to study the effect of body mass index on systolic blood pressure using UK Biobank.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Combining Broad and Narrow Case Definitions in Matched Case-Control Studies: Firearms in the Home and Suicide Risk

Does having firearms in the home increase suicide risk? To test this hypothesis, a matched case-control study can be performed, in which suicide case subjects are compared to living controls who are similar in observed covariates in terms of their retrospective exposure to firearms at home. In this application, cases can be defined using a broad case definition (suicide) or a narrow case definition (suicide occurred at home). The broad case definition offers a larger number of cases but the narrow case definition may offer a larger effect size. Moreover, restricting to the narrow case definition may introduce selection bias (i.e., bias due to selecting samples based on characteristics affected by the treatment) because exposure to firearms in the home may affect the location of suicide and thus the type of a case a subject is. We propose a new sensitivity analysis framework for combining broad and narrow case definitions in matched case-control studies, that considers the unmeasured confounding bias and selection bias simultaneously. We develop a valid randomization-based testing procedure using only the narrow case matched sets when the effect of the unmeasured confounder on receiving treatment and the effect of the treatment on case definition among the always-cases are controlled by sensitivity parameters. We then use the Bonferroni method to combine the testing procedures using the broad and narrow case definitions. With the proposed methods, we find robust evidence that having firearms at home increases suicide risk.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Last-Layer Fairness Fine-tuning is Simple and Effective for Neural Networks

As machine learning has been deployed ubiquitously across applications in modern data science, algorithmic fairness has become a great concern. Among them, imposing fairness constraints during learning, i.e. in-processing fair training, has been a popular type of training method because they don't require accessing sensitive attributes during test time in contrast to post-processing methods. While this has been extensively studied in classical machine learning models, their impact on deep neural networks remains unclear. Recent research has shown that adding fairness constraints to the objective function leads to severe over-fitting to fairness criteria in large models, and how to solve this challenge is an important open question. To tackle this, we leverage the wisdom and power of pre-training and fine-tuning and develop a simple but novel framework to train fair neural networks in an efficient and inexpensive way -- last-layer fine-tuning alone can effectively promote fairness in deep neural networks. This framework offers valuable insights into representation learning for training fair neural networks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Robust Variance Estimation for Covariate-Adjusted Unconditional Treatment Effect in Randomized Clinical Trials with Binary Outcomes

To improve precision of estimation and power of testing hypothesis for an unconditional treatment effect in randomized clinical trials with binary outcomes, researchers and regulatory agencies recommend using g-computation as a reliable method of covariate adjustment. However, the practical application of g-computation is hindered by the lack of an explicit robust variance formula that can be used for different unconditional treatment effects of interest. To fill this gap, we provide explicit and robust variance estimators for g-computation estimators and demonstrate through simulations that the variance estimators can be reliably applied in practice.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Simple and Fast Polarization Tracking algorithm for Continuous-Variable Quantum Key Distribution System Using Orthogonal Pilot Tone

To reduce the influence of random channel polarization variation, especially fast polarization perturbation,for continuous-variable quantum key distribution (CV-QKD) systems, a simple and fast polarization tracking algorithm is proposed and experimentally demonstrated. The algorithm is implemented by an orthogonal pilot tone scheme, one of the pilot tones is used for estimating the polarization rotation angle, and the other one is used for compensating the polarization perturbation introduced phase noise. Meanwhile, residual effects are compensated precisely with the help of a real-valued FIR filter. In this case, the excess noise introduced by polarization perturbation is effectively suppressed. Experimental results show that the polarization scrambling rate 12.57 krad/s can be tracked by using the proposed algorithm, and a good estimated parameters performance is achieved. Compared to conventional polarization tracking algorithms such as the constant modulus algorithm (CMA), experimental results show that the polarization tracking apability of the proposed algorithm is significantly improved. Furthermore, much faster polarization tracking performance is evaluated by digital simulations, and the simulation results show that about 188.50 Mrad/s can be tracked by the proposed algorithm. Thus, our method provides effective technology for the practical application of fiber-based CV-QKD.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2023

Covariate-Adjusted Log-Rank Test: Guaranteed Efficiency Gain and Universal Applicability

Nonparametric covariate adjustment is considered for log-rank type tests of treatment effect with right-censored time-to-event data from clinical trials applying covariate-adaptive randomization. Our proposed covariate-adjusted log-rank test has a simple explicit formula and a guaranteed efficiency gain over the unadjusted test. We also show that our proposed test achieves universal applicability in the sense that the same formula of test can be universally applied to simple randomization and all commonly used covariate-adaptive randomization schemes such as the stratified permuted block and Pocock and Simon's minimization, which is not a property enjoyed by the unadjusted log-rank test. Our method is supported by novel asymptotic theory and empirical results for type I error and power of tests.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2022

Performance analysis for OFDM-based multi-carrier continuous-variable quantum key distribution with arbitrary modulation protocol

Multi-carrier continuous-variable quantum key distribution (CV-QKD) is considered to be a promising way to boost the secret key rate (SKR) over the existing single-carrier CV-QKD scheme. However, the extra excess noise induced in the imperfect multi-carrier quantum state preparation process of N subcarriers will limit the performance of the system. Here, a systematic modulation noise model is proposed for the multi-carrier CV-QKD based on the orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM). Subsequently, the performance of multi-carrier CV-QKD with arbitrary modulation protocol (e.g. QPSK, 256QAM and Gaussian modulation protocol) can be quantitatively evaluated by combining the security analysis method of the single-carrier CV-QKD. Under practical system parameters, the simulation results show that the SKR of the multi-carrier CV-QKD can still be significantly improved by increasing the carrier number N even with imperfect practical modulations. Specifically, the total SKR of multi-carrier CV-QKD can be optimized by carefully choosing N. The proposed model provides a feasible theoretical framework for the future multi-carrier CV-QKD experimental implementation.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2022

Association between author metadata and acceptance: A feature-rich, matched observational study of a corpus of ICLR submissions between 2017-2022

Many recent studies have probed status bias in the peer-review process of academic journals and conferences. In this article, we investigated the association between author metadata and area chairs' final decisions (Accept/Reject) using our compiled database of 5,313 borderline submissions to the International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR) from 2017 to 2022. We carefully defined elements in a cause-and-effect analysis, including the treatment and its timing, pre-treatment variables, potential outcomes and causal null hypothesis of interest, all in the context of study units being textual data and under Neyman and Rubin's potential outcomes (PO) framework. We found some weak evidence that author metadata was associated with articles' final decisions. We also found that, under an additional stability assumption, borderline articles from high-ranking institutions (top-30% or top-20%) were less favored by area chairs compared to their matched counterparts. The results were consistent in two different matched designs (odds ratio = 0.82 [95% CI: 0.67 to 1.00] in a first design and 0.83 [95% CI: 0.64 to 1.07] in a strengthened design). We discussed how to interpret these results in the context of multiple interactions between a study unit and different agents (reviewers and area chairs) in the peer-review system.

stat.AP↗