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Tommi Sottinen

Publications and source records attributed to Tommi Sottinen.

35 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Transfer Principle for nth Order Fractional Brownian Motion with Applications to Prediction and Equivalence in Law

The $n$th order fractional Brownian motion was introduced by Perrin et al. It is the (upto a multiplicative constant) unique self-similar Gaussian process with Hurst index $H \in (n-1,n)$, having $n$th order stationary increments. We provide a transfer principle for the $n$th order fractional Brownian motion, i.e., we construct a Brownian motion from the $n$the order fractional Brownian motion and then represent the $n$the order fractional Brownian motion by using the Brownian motion in a non-anticipative way so that the filtrations of the $n$the order fractional Brownian motion and the associated Brownian motion coincide. By using this transfer principle, we provide the prediction formula for the $n$the order fractional Brownian motion and also a representation formula for all the Gaussian processes that are equivalent in law to the $n$th order fractional Brownian motion.

math.PR↗

Conditional-Mean Hedging Under Transaction Costs in Gaussian Models

We consider so-called regular invertible Gaussian Volterra processes and derive a formula for their prediction laws. Examples of such processes include the fractional Brownian motions and the mixed fractional Brownian motions. As an application, we consider conditional-mean hedging under transaction costs in Black-Scholes type pricing models where the Brownian motion is replaced with a more general regular invertible Gaussian Volterra process.

q-fin.MF↗

Hedging in fractional Black-Scholes model with transaction costs

We consider conditional-mean hedging in a fractional Black-Scholes pricing model in the presence of proportional transaction costs. We develop an explicit formula for the conditional-mean hedging portfolio in terms of the recently discovered explicit conditional law of the fractional Brownian motion.

q-fin.PR↗

Prediction Law of fractional Brownian Motion

We calculate the regular conditional future law of the fractional Brownian motion with index $H\in(0,1)$ conditioned on its past. We show that the conditional law is continuous with respect to the conditioning path. We investigate the path properties of the conditional process and the asymptotic behavior of the conditional covariance.

math.PR↗

On the conditional small ball property of multivariate Lévy-driven moving average processes

We study whether a multivariate Lévy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional small ball property. Our main results establish the conditional small ball property for Lévy-driven moving average processes under natural non-degeneracy conditions on the kernel function of the process and on the driving Lévy process. We discuss in depth how to verify these conditions in practice. As concrete examples, to which our results apply, we consider fractional Lévy processes and multivariate Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.

math.PR↗

Yukawa Potential, Panharmonic Measure and Brownian Motion

In [25] a Walk On Spheres (WOS) algorithm for Monte Carlo simulation of the solutions of the Yukawa and the Helmholtz PDE's was developed by using the so-called Duffin correspondence. In this paper we investigate the foundations behind the algorithm for the case of the Yukawa PDE. We study the panharmonic measure that is a generalization of the harmonic measure for the Yukawa PDE. We show that there are natural stochastic definitions for the panharmonic measure in terms of the Brownian motion and that the harmonic and the panharmonic measures are all mutually equivalent. Furthermore, we calculate their Radon--Nikodym derivatives explicitly for some balls, which is a key result behind the WOS algorithm.

math.CV↗

Stochastic Analysis of Gaussian Processes via Fredholm Representation

We show that every separable Gaussian process with integrable variance function admits a Fredholm representation with respect to a Brownian motion. We extend the Fredholm representation to a transfer principle and develop stochastic analysis by using it. We show the convenience of the Fredholm representation by giving applications to equivalence in law, bridges, series expansions, stochastic differential equations and maximum likelihood estimations.

math.PR↗

Parameter Estimation for the Langevin Equation with Stationary-Increment Gaussian Noise

We study the Langevin equation with stationary-increment Gaussian noise. We show the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality with Berry--Esseen bound of the so-called alternative estimator of the mean reversion parameter. The conditions and results are stated in terms of the variance function of the noise. We consider both the case of continuous and discrete observations. As examples we consider fractional and bifractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes. Finally, we discuss the maximum likelihood and the least squares estimators.

math.PR↗

Walk on Spheres Algorithm for Helmholtz and Yukawa Equations via Duffin Correspondence

We show that a constant-potential time-independent Schrödinger equation with Dirichlet boundary data can be reformulated as a Laplace equation with Dirichlet boundary data. With this reformulation, which we call the Duffin correspondence, we provide a classical Walk On Spheres (WOS) algorithm for Monte Carlo simulation of the solutions of the boundary value problem. We compare the obtained Duffin WOS algorithm with existing modified WOS algorithms.

math.NA↗

Fredholm representation of multiparameter Gaussian processes with applications to equivalence in law and series expansions

We show that every multiparameter Gaussian process with integrable variance function admits a Wiener integral representation of Fredholm type with respect to the Brownian sheet. The Fredholm kernel in the representation can be constructed as the unique symmetric square root of the covariance. We analyze the equivalence of multiparameter Gaussian processes by using the Fredholm representation and show how to construct series expansions for multiparameter Gaussian processes by using the Fredholm kernel.

math.PR↗

Asymptotic normality of randomized periodogram for estimating quadratic variation in mixed Brownian--fractional Brownian model

We study asymptotic normality of the randomized periodogram estimator of quadratic variation in the mixed Brownian--fractional Brownian model. In the semimartingale case, that is, where the Hurst parameter $H$ of the fractional part satisfies $H\in(3/4,1)$, the central limit theorem holds. In the nonsemimartingale case, that is, where $H\in(1/2,3/4]$, the convergence toward the normal distribution with a nonzero mean still holds if $H=3/4$, whereas for the other values, that is, $H\in(1/2,3/4)$, the central convergence does not take place. We also provide Berry--Esseen estimates for the estimator.

math.PR↗

Pathwise integrals and Ito-Tanaka Formula for Gaussian processes

We prove the Ito-Tanaka formula and the existence of pathwise stochastic integrals for a wide class of Gaussian processes. Motivated by financial applications, we define the stochastic integrals as forward-type pathwise integrals introduced by Föllmer and as pathwise generalized Lebesgue-Stieltjes integrals introduced by Zähle. As an application, we illustrate the importance of Ito-Tanaka formula for pricing and hedging of financial derivatives.

math.PR↗

Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Hölder Continuity of Gaussian Processes

The continuity of Gaussian processes is extensively studied topic and it culminates in the Talagrand's notion of majorizing measures that gives complicated necessary and sufficient conditions. In this note we study the Hölder continuity of Gaussian processes. It turns out that necessary and sufficient conditions can be stated in a simple form that is a variant of the celebrated Kolmogorov-Čentsov condition.

math.PR↗

Generalized Gaussian Bridges

A generalized bridge is the law of a stochastic process that is conditioned on N linear functionals of its path. We consider two types of representations of such bridges: orthogonal and canonical. The orthogonal representation is constructed from the entire path of the underlying process. Thus, future knowledge of the path is needed. The orthogonal representation is provided for any continuous Gaussian process. In the canonical representation the filtrations and the linear spaces generated by the bridge process and the underlying process coincide. Thus, no future information of the underlying process is needed. Also, in the semimartingale case the canonical bridge representation is related to the enlargement of filtration and semimartingale decompositions. The canonical representation is provided for the so-called prediction-invertible Gaussian processes. All martingales are trivially prediction-invertible. A typical non-semimartingale example of a prediction-invertible Gaussian process is the fractional Brownian motion. We apply the canonical bridges to insider trading.

math.PR↗

Fractional processes as models in stochastic finance

We survey some new progress on the pricing models driven by fractional Brownian motion \cb{or} mixed fractional Brownian motion. In particular, we give results on arbitrage opportunities, hedging, and option pricing in these models. We summarize some recent results on fractional Black & Scholes pricing model with transaction costs. We end the paper by giving some approximation results and indicating some open problems related to the paper.

q-fin.PR↗

Application of Girsanov Theorem to Particle Filtering of Discretely Observed Continuous-Time Non-Linear Systems

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete instances of time. It is shown how the Girsanov theorem can be used for evaluating the likelihood ratios needed in importance sampling. It is also shown how the methodology can be applied to a class of models, where the driving noise process is lower in the dimensionality than the state and thus the laws of state and noise are not absolutely continuous. Rao-Blackwellization of conditionally Gaussian models and unknown static parameter models is also considered.

stat.ME↗