Tomoro Yanase | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Spontaneous Zonal Symmetry Breaking of Tropical Rain Belt

The intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is a central component of tropical climate, but the conditions under which a tropical rain belt remains zonally extended or becomes unstable to zonal organization are not well understood. We investigate this problem using idealized nonrotating kilometer-scale simulations forced by a prescribed sea surface temperature (SST) distribution that varies only in the meridional direction. This setup produces an ITCZ-like rain belt while allowing spontaneous zonal convective self-aggregation (ZCSA) to emerge. A parameter sweep shows that ZCSA occurs preferentially when both the peak SST and the meridional SST amplitude are large. ZCSA cases exhibit a temporary weakening of the meridional near-surface convergence. Boundary-layer momentum and thermodynamic analyses link this weakening to enhanced lower-tropospheric stability over the cool subsiding region, a shallower boundary layer, and stronger effective frictional damping of the meridional inflow. However, weak convergence alone is not sufficient for ZCSA. Aggregating cases also have a large meridional contrast in moist static energy forcing, implying a strong demand for meridional energy transport. Consistently, ZCSA reorganizes meridional moist static energy transport, including enhanced stationary eddy export from the warm region, and is accompanied by growing zonal moisture variability and weakening meridional moisture contrast. These results suggest that zonal symmetry breaking of an ITCZ-like rain belt is favored when weakened meridional inflow coincides with a large imposed meridional MSE-forcing contrast.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2024

Nonlocally coupled moisture model for convective self-aggregation

Clouds play a central role in climate physics by interacting with precipitation, radiation, and circulation. Despite being a fundamental issue in convective organization, the self-aggregation of clouds lacks a theoretical explanation due to its complexity. In this study, we introduce an idealized mathematical model where the system's state is represented solely by the vertically integrated water vapor content of atmospheric columns under the weak temperature gradient approximation. By analyzing the nonlinear dynamics of this simplified system, we mathematically elucidate the mechanisms that determine the onset of self-aggregation and the spatial scale of the self-aggregated state. Nonlocal coupling between atmospheric columns induces bistability, leading to dry and moist equilibria. This reflects the circulation effects driven by horizontal differential heating due to convection and radiation. The bistable self-aggregated state realizes when destabilization by nonlocal coupling, triggered by finite-amplitude disturbances in the uniform state, overcomes stabilization by diffusion. For globally coupled systems where all columns are equally coupled, perturbations with the maximum wavelength exhibit the highest growth rate. This results in a solution with an infinitely long wavelength, understood as the dynamical system's heteroclinic trajectories describing the steady state's spatial evolution. Conversely, for nonlocally coupled systems with finite filter lengths, perturbations with wavelengths close to the characteristic length of the coupling are preferred. The results reveal that the balance between nonlocal coupling and diffusion is essential for understanding convective self-aggregation. Moreover, this study suggests a physical similarity between convective self-aggregation and moisture mode.

physics.ao-ph↗