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Tony J. Mathew

Publications and source records attributed to Tony J. Mathew.

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An agent-based model of the formation and evolution of common ground

The existence of a communal common ground is vital for collective action and coordination in a population, but the micro-level cognitive and social processes that lead to the formation and evolution of common ground at the macro-level are undertheorised and have not been rigorously explored. In this work, we adopt a formal approach and develop an agent-based model that describes repeated grounding attempts between agents interacting on a network, with an explicit distinction between a sender agent and a receiver agent during an interaction involving sharing information. Several key novel features enable us to capture a range of different interaction contexts: we allow for the interaction to result in either acceptance or rejection, the receiver's response may be lost to the sender, and the sender can interpret this lack of response as either acceptance or rejection (or even something in between). A campaign of Monte Carlo simulations reveals how different interaction contexts, as well as the available information for sharing, result in different emergent phenomena, such as a global communal common ground, fragmentation into multiple clusters of differing common ground, and even the total loss of any shared common ground. This work highlights the potential for using mathematical models to study micro-macro links in cultural dynamics, including identifying ways to facilitate interactions to foster the emergence of a global communal common ground.

physics.soc-ph

Repeated and incontrovertible collective action failure leads to protester disengagement and radicalisation

Protest is ubiquitous in the 21st Century and the people who participate in such movements do so because they seek to bring about social change. However, social change takes time and involves repeated interactions between individual protesters, social movements and the authorities to whom they appeal for change. These complexities of time and scale have frustrated efforts to isolate the conditions that foster an enduring movement, on the one hand, and the adoption of more radical (unconventional, unacceptable) tactics on the other. Here, we present a novel, theoretically informed and empirically evidenced, agent-based model of collective action that provides a unified framework to address these dual challenges. We model ~10,000 iterations within a simulated society and show that where an authority is responsive, and protesters can (cognitively and/or socially) contest the failure of their movement, a moderate conventional movement prevails. Conversely, where an authority repeatedly and incontrovertibly fails the movement, the population disengages but becomes radicalised (latent radicalism). This latter finding, whereby the whole population is disengaged but prepared to use radical methods to bring about social change, likely reflects the febrile pre-cursor state to sudden, revolutionary change. Results highlight the potential for simulations to reveal emergent, as-yet under-theorized, phenomena.

cs.SI