arXiv subjects

Toyotaro Suzumura

Publications and source records attributed to Toyotaro Suzumura.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Global Data Science Project for COVID-19

This paper aims at providing the summary of the Global Data Science Project (GDSC) for COVID-19. as on May 31 2020. COVID-19 has largely impacted on our societies through both direct and indirect effects transmitted by the policy measures to counter the spread of viruses. We quantitatively analysed the multifaceted impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on our societies including people's mobility, health, and social behaviour changes. People's mobility has changed significantly due to the implementation of travel restriction and quarantine measurements. Indeed, the physical distance has widened at international (cross-border), national and regional level. At international level, due to the travel restrictions, the number of international flights has plunged overall at around 88 percent during March. In particular, the number of flights connecting Europe dropped drastically in mid of March after the United States announced travel restrictions to Europe and the EU and participating countries agreed to close borders, at 84 percent decline compared to March 10th. Similarly, we examined the impacts of quarantine measures in the major city: Tokyo (Japan), New York City (the United States), and Barcelona (Spain). Within all three cities, we found the significant decline in traffic volume. We also identified the increased concern for mental health through the analysis of posts on social networking services such as Twitter and Instagram. Notably, in the beginning of April 2020, the number of post with #depression on Instagram doubled, which might reflect the rise in mental health awareness among Instagram users. Besides, we identified the changes in a wide range of people's social behaviors, as well as economic impacts through the analysis of Instagram data and primary survey data.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2021

Finding All Bounded-Length Simple Cycles in a Directed Graph

A new efficient algorithm is presented for finding all simple cycles that satisfy a length constraint in a directed graph. When the number of vertices is non-trivial, most cycle-finding problems are of practical interest for sparse graphs only. We show that for a class of sparse graphs in which the vertex degrees are almost uniform, our algorithm can find all cycles of length less than or equal to $k$ in $O((c+n)(k-1)d^k)$ steps, where $n$ is the number of vertices, $c$ is the total number of cycles discovered, $d$ is the average degree of the graph's vertices, and $k > 1$. While our analysis for the running time addresses only a class of sparse graphs, we provide empirical and experimental evidence of the efficiency of the algorithm for general sparse graphs. This algorithm is a significant improvement over the only other deterministic algorithm for this problem known to us; it also lends itself to massive parallelism. Experimental results of a serial implementation on some large real-world graphs are presented.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2021

The Impact of COVID-19 on Flight Networks

As COVID-19 transmissions spread worldwide, governments have announced and enforced travel restrictions to prevent further infections. Such restrictions have a direct effect on the volume of international flights among these countries, resulting in extensive social and economic costs. To better understand the situation in a quantitative manner, we used the Opensky network data to clarify flight patterns and flight densities around the world and observe relationships between flight numbers with new infections, and with the economy (unemployment rate) in Barcelona. We found that the number of daily flights gradually decreased and suddenly dropped 64% during the second half of March in 2020 after the US and Europe enacted travel restrictions. We also observed a 51% decrease in the global flight network density decreased during this period. Regarding new COVID-19 cases, the world had an unexpected surge regardless of travel restrictions. Finally, the layoffs for temporary workers in the tourism and airplane business increased by 4.3 fold in the weeks following Spain's decision to close its borders.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2021

Time-Efficient and High-Quality Graph Partitioning for Graph Dynamic Scaling

The dynamic scaling of distributed computations plays an important role in the utilization of elastic computational resources, such as the cloud. It enables the provisioning and de-provisioning of resources to match dynamic resource availability and demands. In the case of distributed graph processing, changing the number of the graph partitions while maintaining high partitioning quality imposes serious computational overheads as typically a time-consuming graph partitioning algorithm needs to execute each time repartitioning is required. In this paper, we propose a dynamic scaling method that can efficiently change the number of graph partitions while keeping its quality high. Our idea is based on two techniques: preprocessing and very fast edge partitioning, called graph edge ordering and chunk-based edge partitioning, respectively. The former converts the graph data into an ordered edge list in such a way that edges with high locality are closer to each other. The latter immediately divides the ordered edge list into an arbitrary number of high-quality partitions. The evaluation with the real-world billion-scale graphs demonstrates that our proposed approach significantly reduces the repartitioning time, while the partitioning quality it achieves is on par with that of the best existing static method.

cs.DC↗

arXiv2020

Private Sources of Mobility Data Under COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic is changing the world in unprecedented and unpredictable ways. Human mobility is at the epicenter of that change, as the greatest facilitator for the spread of the virus. To study the change in mobility, to evaluate the efficiency of mobility restriction policies, and to facilitate a better response to possible future crisis, we need to properly understand all mobility data sources at our disposal. Our work is dedicated to the study of private mobility sources, gathered and released by large technological companies. This data is of special interest because, unlike most public sources, it is focused on people, not transportation means. i.e., its unit of measurement is the closest thing to a person in a western society: a phone. Furthermore, the sample of society they cover is large and representative. On the other hand, this sort of data is not directly accessible for anonymity reasons. Thus, properly interpreting its patterns demands caution. Aware of that, we set forth to explore the behavior and inter-relations of private sources of mobility data in the context of Spain. This country represents a good experimental setting because of its large and fast pandemic peak, and for its implementation of a sustained, generalized lockdown. We find private mobility sources to be both correlated and complementary. Using them, we evaluate the efficiency of implemented policies, and provide a insights into what new normal means in Spain.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Exploring Multi-Banking Customer-to-Customer Relations in AML Context with Poincaré Embeddings

In the recent years money laundering schemes have grown in complexity and speed of realization, affecting financial institutions and millions of customers globally. Strengthened privacy policies, along with in-country regulations, make it hard for banks to inner- and cross-share, and report suspicious activities for the AML (Anti-Money Laundering) measures. Existing topologies and models for AML analysis and information sharing are subject to major limitations, such as compliance with regulatory constraints, extended infrastructure to run high-computation algorithms, data quality and span, proving cumbersome and costly to execute, federate, and interpret. This paper proposes a new topology for exploring multi-banking customer social relations in AML context -- customer-to-customer, customer-to-transaction, and transaction-to-transaction -- using a 3D modeling topological algebra formulated through Poincaré embeddings.

q-fin.GN↗

arXiv2020

What are We Depressed about When We Talk about COVID19: Mental Health Analysis on Tweets Using Natural Language Processing

The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) recently has affected human life to a great extent. Besides direct physical and economic threats, the pandemic also indirectly impact people's mental health conditions, which can be overwhelming but difficult to measure. The problem may come from various reasons such as unemployment status, stay-at-home policy, fear for the virus, and so forth. In this work, we focus on applying natural language processing (NLP) techniques to analyze tweets in terms of mental health. We trained deep models that classify each tweet into the following emotions: anger, anticipation, disgust, fear, joy, sadness, surprise and trust. We build the EmoCT (Emotion-Covid19-Tweet) dataset for the training purpose by manually labeling 1,000 English tweets. Furthermore, we propose and compare two methods to find out the reasons that are causing sadness and fear.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2019

Exploring Graph Neural Networks for Stock Market Predictions with Rolling Window Analysis

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches are limited to using technical analysis to capture historical trends of each stock price and thus limited to certain experimental setups to obtain good prediction results. On the other hand, professional investors additionally use their rich knowledge of inter-market and inter-company relations to map the connectivity of companies and events, and use this map to make better market predictions. For instance, they would predict the movement of a certain company's stock price based not only on its former stock price trends but also on the performance of its suppliers or customers, the overall industry, macroeconomic factors and trade policies. This paper investigates the effectiveness of work at the intersection of market predictions and graph neural networks, which hold the potential to mimic the ways in which investors make decisions by incorporating company knowledge graphs directly into the predictive model. The main goal of this work is to test the validity of this approach across different markets and longer time horizons for backtesting using rolling window analysis. In this work, we concentrate on the prediction of individual stock prices in the Japanese Nikkei 225 market over a period of roughly 20 years. For the knowledge graph, we use the Nikkei Value Search data, which is a rich dataset showing mainly supplier relations among Japanese and foreign companies. Our preliminary results show a 29.5% increase and a 2.2-fold increase in the return ratio and Sharpe ratio, respectively, when compared to the market benchmark, as well as a 6.32% increase and 1.3-fold increase, respectively, compared to the baseline LSTM model.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

EvolveGCN: Evolving Graph Convolutional Networks for Dynamic Graphs

Graph representation learning resurges as a trending research subject owing to the widespread use of deep learning for Euclidean data, which inspire various creative designs of neural networks in the non-Euclidean domain, particularly graphs. With the success of these graph neural networks (GNN) in the static setting, we approach further practical scenarios where the graph dynamically evolves. Existing approaches typically resort to node embeddings and use a recurrent neural network (RNN, broadly speaking) to regulate the embeddings and learn the temporal dynamics. These methods require the knowledge of a node in the full time span (including both training and testing) and are less applicable to the frequent change of the node set. In some extreme scenarios, the node sets at different time steps may completely differ. To resolve this challenge, we propose EvolveGCN, which adapts the graph convolutional network (GCN) model along the temporal dimension without resorting to node embeddings. The proposed approach captures the dynamism of the graph sequence through using an RNN to evolve the GCN parameters. Two architectures are considered for the parameter evolution. We evaluate the proposed approach on tasks including link prediction, edge classification, and node classification. The experimental results indicate a generally higher performance of EvolveGCN compared with related approaches. The code is available at \url{https://github.com/IBM/EvolveGCN}.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Learning Graph Topological Features via GAN

Inspired by the generation power of generative adversarial networks (GANs) in image domains, we introduce a novel hierarchical architecture for learning characteristic topological features from a single arbitrary input graph via GANs. The hierarchical architecture consisting of multiple GANs preserves both local and global topological features and automatically partitions the input graph into representative stages for feature learning. The stages facilitate reconstruction and can be used as indicators of the importance of the associated topological structures. Experiments show that our method produces subgraphs retaining a wide range of topological features, even in early reconstruction stages (unlike a single GAN, which cannot easily identify such features, let alone reconstruct the original graph). This paper is firstline research on combining the use of GANs and graph topological analysis.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2019

Towards Federated Graph Learning for Collaborative Financial Crimes Detection

Financial crime is a large and growing problem, in some way touching almost every financial institution. Financial institutions are the front line in the war against financial crime and accordingly, must devote substantial human and technology resources to this effort. Current processes to detect financial misconduct have limitations in their ability to effectively differentiate between malicious behavior and ordinary financial activity. These limitations tend to result in gross over-reporting of suspicious activity that necessitate time-intensive and costly manual review. Advances in technology used in this domain, including machine learning based approaches, can improve upon the effectiveness of financial institutions' existing processes, however, a key challenge that most financial institutions continue to face is that they address financial crimes in isolation without any insight from other firms. Where financial institutions address financial crimes through the lens of their own firm, perpetrators may devise sophisticated strategies that may span across institutions and geographies. Financial institutions continue to work relentlessly to advance their capabilities, forming partnerships across institutions to share insights, patterns and capabilities. These public-private partnerships are subject to stringent regulatory and data privacy requirements, thereby making it difficult to rely on traditional technology solutions. In this paper, we propose a methodology to share key information across institutions by using a federated graph learning platform that enables us to build more accurate machine learning models by leveraging federated learning and also graph learning approaches. We demonstrated that our federated model outperforms local model by 20% with the UK FCA TechSprint data set. This new platform opens up a door to efficiently detecting global money laundering activity.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2019

Distributed Edge Partitioning for Trillion-edge Graphs

We propose Distributed Neighbor Expansion (Distributed NE), a parallel and distributed graph partitioning method that can scale to trillion-edge graphs while providing high partitioning quality. Distributed NE is based on a new heuristic, called parallel expansion, where each partition is constructed in parallel by greedily expanding its edge set from a single vertex in such a way that the increase of the vertex cuts becomes local minimal. We theoretically prove that the proposed method has the upper bound in the partitioning quality. The empirical evaluation with various graphs shows that the proposed method produces higher-quality partitions than the state-of-the-art distributed graph partitioning algorithms. The performance evaluation shows that the space efficiency of the proposed method is an order-of-magnitude better than the existing algorithms, keeping its time efficiency comparable. As a result, Distributed NE can partition a trillion-edge graph using only 256 machines within 70 minutes.

cs.DC↗

arXiv2018

Adaptive Pattern Matching with Reinforcement Learning for Dynamic Graphs

Graph pattern matching algorithms to handle million-scale dynamic graphs are widely used in many applications such as social network analytics and suspicious transaction detections from financial networks. On the other hand, the computation complexity of many graph pattern matching algorithms is expensive, and it is not affordable to extract patterns from million-scale graphs. Moreover, most real-world networks are time-evolving, updating their structures continuously, which makes it harder to update and output newly matched patterns in real time. Many incremental graph pattern matching algorithms which reduce the number of updates have been proposed to handle such dynamic graphs. However, it is still challenging to recompute vertices in the incremental graph pattern matching algorithms in a single process, and that prevents the real-time analysis. We propose an incremental graph pattern matching algorithm to deal with time-evolving graph data and also propose an adaptive optimization system based on reinforcement learning to recompute vertices in the incremental process more efficiently. Then we discuss the qualitative efficiency of our system with several types of data graphs and pattern graphs. We evaluate the performance using million-scale attributed and time-evolving social graphs. Our incremental algorithm is up to 10.1 times faster than an existing graph pattern matching and 1.95 times faster with the adaptive systems in a computation node than naive incremental processing.

cs.DB↗

arXiv2018

Scalable Graph Learning for Anti-Money Laundering: A First Look

Organized crime inflicts human suffering on a genocidal scale: the Mexican drug cartels have murdered 150,000 people since 2006, upwards of 700,000 people per year are "exported" in a human trafficking industry enslaving an estimated 40 million people. These nefarious industries rely on sophisticated money laundering schemes to operate. Despite tremendous resources dedicated to anti-money laundering (AML) only a tiny fraction of illicit activity is prevented. The research community can help. In this brief paper, we map the structural and behavioral dynamics driving the technical challenge. We review AML methods, current and emergent. We provide a first look at scalable graph convolutional neural networks for forensic analysis of financial data, which is massive, dense, and dynamic. We report preliminary experimental results using a large synthetic graph (1M nodes, 9M edges) generated by a data simulator we created called AMLSim. We consider opportunities for high performance efficiency, in terms of computation and memory, and we share results from a simple graph compression experiment. Our results support our working hypothesis that graph deep learning for AML bears great promise in the fight against criminal financial activity.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2018

An incremental local-first community detection method for dynamic graphs

Community detections for large-scale real world networks have been more popular in social analytics. In particular, dynamically growing network analyses become important to find long-term trends and detect anomalies. In order to analyze such networks, we need to obtain many snapshots and apply same analytic methods to them. However, it is inefficient to extract communities from these whole newly generated networks with little differences every time, and then it is impossible to follow the network growths in the real time. We proposed an incremental community detection algorithm for high-volume graph streams. It is based on the top of a well-known batch-oriented algorithm named DEMON[1]. We also evaluated performance and precisions of our proposed incremental algorithm with real-world big networks with up to 410,236 vertices and 2,439,437 edges and computed in less than one second to detect communities in an incremental fashion - which achieves up to 107 times faster than the original algorithm without sacrificing accuracies.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2018

Scalable attribute-aware network embedding with locality

Adding attributes for nodes to network embedding helps to improve the ability of the learned joint representation to depict features from topology and attributes simultaneously. Recent research on the joint embedding has exhibited a promising performance on a variety of tasks by jointly embedding the two spaces. However, due to the indispensable requirement of globality based information, present approaches contain a flaw of in-scalability. Here we propose \emph{SANE}, a scalable attribute-aware network embedding algorithm with locality, to learn the joint representation from topology and attributes. By enforcing the alignment of a local linear relationship between each node and its K-nearest neighbors in topology and attribute space, the joint embedding representations are more informative comparing with a single representation from topology or attributes alone. And we argue that the locality in \emph{SANE} is the key to learning the joint representation at scale. By using several real-world networks from diverse domains, We demonstrate the efficacy of \emph{SANE} in performance and scalability aspect. Overall, for performance on label classification, SANE successfully reaches up to the highest F1-score on most datasets, and even closer to the baseline method that needs label information as extra inputs, compared with other state-of-the-art joint representation algorithms. What's more, \emph{SANE} has an up to 71.4\% performance gain compared with the single topology-based algorithm. For scalability, we have demonstrated the linearly time complexity of \emph{SANE}. In addition, we intuitively observe that when the network size scales to 100,000 nodes, the "learning joint embedding" step of \emph{SANE} only takes $\approx10$ seconds.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2018

System G Distributed Graph Database

Motivated by the need to extract knowledge and value from interconnected data, graph analytics on big data is a very active area of research in both industry and academia. To support graph analytics efficiently a large number of in memory graph libraries, graph processing systems and graph databases have emerged. Projects in each of these categories focus on particular aspects such as static versus dynamic graphs, off line versus on line processing, small versus large graphs, etc. While there has been much advance in graph processing in the past decades, there is still a need for a fast graph processing, using a cluster of machines with distributed storage. In this paper, we discuss a novel distributed graph database called System G designed for efficient graph data storage and processing on modern computing architectures. In particular we describe a single node graph database and a runtime and communication layer that allows us to compose a distributed graph database from multiple single node instances. From various industry requirements, we find that fast insertions and large volume concurrent queries are critical parts of the graph databases and we optimize our database for such features. We experimentally show the efficiency of System G for storing data and processing graph queries on state-of-the-art platforms.

cs.DB↗

arXiv2018

On the Behavior of Convolutional Nets for Feature Extraction

Deep neural networks are representation learning techniques. During training, a deep net is capable of generating a descriptive language of unprecedented size and detail in machine learning. Extracting the descriptive language coded within a trained CNN model (in the case of image data), and reusing it for other purposes is a field of interest, as it provides access to the visual descriptors previously learnt by the CNN after processing millions of images, without requiring an expensive training phase. Contributions to this field (commonly known as feature representation transfer or transfer learning) have been purely empirical so far, extracting all CNN features from a single layer close to the output and testing their performance by feeding them to a classifier. This approach has provided consistent results, although its relevance is limited to classification tasks. In a completely different approach, in this paper we statistically measure the discriminative power of every single feature found within a deep CNN, when used for characterizing every class of 11 datasets. We seek to provide new insights into the behavior of CNN features, particularly the ones from convolutional layers, as this can be relevant for their application to knowledge representation and reasoning. Our results confirm that low and middle level features may behave differently to high level features, but only under certain conditions. We find that all CNN features can be used for knowledge representation purposes both by their presence or by their absence, doubling the information a single CNN feature may provide. We also study how much noise these features may include, and propose a thresholding approach to discard most of it. All these insights have a direct application to the generation of CNN embedding spaces.

cs.NE↗