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Tristan L. Smith

Publications and source records attributed to Tristan L. Smith.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Addressing leakage and mode suppression in angular power spectrum estimation for gravitational-wave backgrounds using pulsar timing arrays

Mapping gravitational-wave background (GWB) anisotropy with pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) is affected by harmonic-space mode suppression and mode coupling arising from an array's nonuniform sky response. Spherical harmonic expansions must be truncated at finite multipole l_max^rec, often set to l_max^N_pair$\equiv {\rm int}\left[\sqrt{\text{N_pair}}-1\right]$, where N_pair is the number of distinct pulsar pairs in an array. This choice is motivated by the counting argument that cross-correlations provide at most N_pair independent constraints. We obtain the multipole l_max^res corresponding to the maximum informative angular scale of a PTA. It is defined such that expansions to l_max^res (approximately) span the space of "observable skies" encoded in the N_pair eigenmaps of the Fisher information matrix, and therefore depends on the array configuration. We explicitly show that GWB power contained in multipoles l$\gtrsim$l_max^res do not significantly affect analyses that use expansions out to l_max^res, because the PTA response acts as a low-pass filter. In contrast, truncating at l_max^rec< l_max^res leads to leakage of small-scale angular power from l_max^rec<l$\leq$l_max^res. Even choosing l_max^rec=l_max^res, the standard frequentist estimator of the angular power spectrum C_l remains biased by the modes unobservable by the array. Although we can (partially) debias the standard estimator -- improving its agreement with an injected spectrum -- this reduction in bias comes at the expense of an increase in variance, particularly for poorly constrained modes with l$\gg$l_eff. We therefore recommend: (i) using l_max^res for PTA analyses involving spherical harmonic expansions, and (ii) using the debiased standard estimator for C_l recovery, but only out to multipoles l<l_eff ($\ll$l_max^res) corresponding to sufficiently constrained modes.

gr-qc↗

Correlated signals of ultralight scalar dark matter in pulsar timing

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are sensitive to ultralight dark matter (ULDM) in the $10^{-24}$-$10^{-20}\,\mathrm{eV}$ mass range, with existing datasets already probing otherwise open parameter space and future PTAs promising substantial improvements in reach. Thus far, however, PTA searches for ULDM have typically been formulated using limiting descriptions. Analyses are performed in either the fully correlated limit, in which the local ULDM amplitude is shared across the array, or the fully uncorrelated limit, in which each pulsar has an independent local amplitude. Because the transition between these regimes occurs within the PTA-sensitive mass range, projected sensitivities and data-derived constraints can depend on which limiting description is assumed. For the first time, we develop a self-consistent analysis that treats the ULDM field as a Gaussian random field with finite spatial correlations, allowing the amplitude prior used in PTA signal models to interpolate continuously between the fully correlated and fully uncorrelated limits. We apply the framework to both linearly and quadratically coupled scalar ULDM, the latter including the universal gravitational signal sourced by the oscillating ULDM pressure. Pulsar-distance uncertainties are incorporated through an augmented latent-field prior, and the resulting distance-marginalized latent-amplitude distribution is represented with a normalizing-flow surrogate. We validate the method on mock PTA datasets, including blinded signal injection tests.

astro-ph.CO↗

What could an emerging Big Bang Nucleosynthesis discrepancy be hinting at?

The latest measurement of the primordial deuterium abundance is in $\sim 2σ$ tension with several state-of-the-art predictions of standard Big Bang nucleosynthesis (BBN), when using the baryon density inferred from the $Λ$CDM model fit to cosmic microwave background (CMB) data. This tension increases to $\sim 3σ$ for models attempting to solve the Hubble tension, such as early dark energy (EDE), which generally predict a larger baryon density than in $Λ$CDM. We test whether this discrepancy could be pointing to a non-standard expansion history during BBN. We compute light-element abundances with PRIMAT and compare $Λ$CDM, a $ΔN_{\rm eff}$ extension, and a very early dark energy (vEDE) component. For vEDE, we sample $ΔH/H$, the fractional increase of the expansion rate while deuterium burning is freezing out and helium-4 fusion is mostly over. The Bayesian analysis using BBN plus the CMB baryon-density constraint in the EDE cosmology gives $ΔH/H = 0.087^{+0.036}_{-0.037}$ during the deuterium burning epoch, i.e. at a temperature $T_{\rm D}\simeq0.03\,{\rm MeV}$, and no residual tension. The vEDE component preserves the observed deuterium abundance at the larger CMB baryon density while only mildly affecting helium-4. By contrast, extra radiation raises the helium-4 abundance too efficiently and does not reconcile the baryon density determinations. Together with inflation, dark energy, and EDE, our results hint at the presence of another light scalar field in cosmology.

astro-ph.CO↗

Signatures of Very Early Dark Energy in the Matter Power Spectrum

Axion-like scalar fields can induce temporary deviations from the standard expansion history of the universe. The scalar field's contribution to the energy density of the universe grows while the field is held constant by Hubble friction, but when the scalar field starts to evolve, its energy density decreases faster than the radiation density for some potentials. We explore the observational signatures of such a scalar field that becomes dynamical between big bang nucleosynthesis and matter-radiation equality, which we call very Early Dark Energy (vEDE). If vEDE momentarily dominates the energy density of the universe, it generates a distinctive feature in the matter power spectrum that includes a bump on scales that enter the horizon just after the scalar field starts to evolve. For $k \gtrsim 10\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$, the amplitude of this bump can exceed the amplitude of the standard matter spectrum. The power on scales on either side of this peak is suppressed relative to the standard power spectrum, but only scales that are within the horizon while the scalar field makes a significant contribution to the total energy density are affected. We determine how vEDE scenarios are constrained by observations of the cosmic microwave background, measurements of the primordial deuterium abundance, and probes of the late-time expansion history. We find that these observations are consistent with vEDE scenarios that enhance power on scales $k \gtrsim 30\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ and nearly double the amplitude of the matter power spectrum around $200\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$. These scenarios also suppress power on scales between $0.3\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ and $30\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$.

astro-ph.CO↗

Impact of ACT DR6 and DESI DR2 for Early Dark Energy and the Hubble tension

The data release six of the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT DR6) and the second data release from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI DR2) recently became available. In light of these data, we update constraints on the Early Dark Energy (EDE) resolution to the Hubble tension. While ACT DR6 does not favor EDE over the core cosmological model $Λ$CDM, it allows for a significantly larger maximum contribution of EDE, $f_{\rm EDE}$, in the pre-recombination era than the latest analysis of {\it Planck} NPIPE despite increased precision at small angular scales. Moreover, EDE rises the value of $H_0r_s$, improving consistency between CMB and DESI DR2 data. We find a residual tension with SH0ES of $\sim 2 σ$ for the combination of {\it Planck} at $\ell <1000$ + ACT DR6 + lensing + Pantheon-plus + DESI DR2, a significant decrease from $3.7 σ$ for analyses that use NPIPE and SDSS BAO data. A profile likelihood analysis reveals significant prior-volume effects in Bayesian analyses which do not include SH$0$ES, with confidence intervals of $f_{\rm EDE}=0.09\pm 0.03$ and $H_0= 71.0\pm1.1$ km/s/Mpc. When including DESI data, the EDE model with $H_0=73$ km/s/Mpc provides a better fit than the $Λ$CDM model with $H_0=68.4$ km/s/Mpc. The inclusion of SH$0$ES data rises the preference well above $5σ$, with $Δχ^2=-35.4$. Our work demonstrates that after ACT DR6 and DESI DR2, EDE remains a potential resolution to the Hubble tension.

astro-ph.CO↗

Predictions for new physics in the CMB damping tail

Ever since the Planck satellite measured the the cosmic microwave background (CMB) down to arcminute angular scales, the mismatch between the CMB-inferred value of the Hubble constant and the value inferred from the distance ladder (i.e., the Hubble tension) has been a growing concern and is currently at the $\sim 6 σ$ level. There are a handful of proposed mechanisms operating in the early universe which have shown some promise in resolving the Hubble tension. These mechanisms are expected to leave a measurable impact on the smallest scale CMB anisotropy, deep in the damping tail. Using current CMB data, baryonic acoustic oscillation data, and the luminosities of Type Ia supernovae as a baseline, we compute the predicted small-scale CMB power spectra for a characteristic set of these models. We find that near-future CMB data should be able to distinguish some but not all of the investigated models from the core cosmological model, $Λ$CDM.

astro-ph.CO↗

Exact treatment of weak dark matter-baryon scattering for linear-cosmology observables

Elastic scattering of dark matter (DM) particles with baryons induce cosmological signals that may be detectable with modern or future telescopes. For DM-baryon scattering cross sections scaling with negative powers of relative velocity, $σ_{χb}(v) \propto v^{-2}, v^{-4}$, such interactions introduce a momentum-exchange rate that is nonlinear in DM-baryon bulk relative velocities, thus not amenable for inclusion as-is into standard linear cosmological Boltzmann codes. Linear ansatzes have been adopted in past works, but their accuracy is unknown as they do not arise from first-principles derivations. In this work, for the first time, we construct a rigorous framework for computing linear-cosmology observables as a perturbative expansion in $σ_{χb}$. We argue that this approach is accurate for Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) angular power spectra when most or all of the DM is scattering with baryons with cross section $σ_{χb}(v) \propto v^{-2}, v^{-4}$. We derive exact formal expressions for CMB power spectra at linear order in $σ_{χb}$, and show that they only depend on a specific velocity integral of the momentum-exchange rate. Consequently, we can obtain the exact power spectra at linear order in $σ_{χb}$ by substituting the original nonlinear momentum-exchange rate with a uniquely specified linear rate. Serendipitously, we find that the exact substitution we derive from first principles precisely coincides with the most widely used linear ansatz, thus placing previous CMB-anisotropy upper bounds on a more solid footing. In addition to finally providing an exact cosmological solution to the DM-baryon scattering problem in a well-defined region of parameter space, the framework we construct opens the way to computing higher-order correlation functions, beyond power spectra, which are promising yet unexplored probes of DM-baryon scattering.

astro-ph.CO↗

The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Harmonic Analysis of the Pulsar Angular Correlations

Pulsar timing array observations have found evidence for an isotropic gravitational wave background with the Hellings-Downs angular correlations, expected from general relativity. This interpretation hinges on the measured shape of the angular correlations, which is predominately quadrupolar under general relativity. Here we explore a more flexible parameterization: we expand the angular correlations into a sum of Legendre polynomials and use a Bayesian analysis to constrain their coefficients with the 15-year pulsar timing data set collected by the North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves (NANOGrav). When including Legendre polynomials with multipoles $\ell \geq 2$, we only find a significant signal in the quadrupole with an amplitude consistent with general relativity and non-zero at the $\sim 95\%$ confidence level and a Bayes factor of 200. When we include multipoles $\ell \leq 1$, the Bayes factor evidence for quadrupole correlations decreases by more than an order of magnitude due to evidence for a monopolar signal at approximately 4 nHz which has also been noted in previous analyses of the NANOGrav 15-year data. Further work needs to be done in order to better characterize the properties of this monopolar signal and its effect on the evidence for quadrupolar angular correlations.

astro-ph.HE↗

Conversations and Deliberations: Non-Standard Cosmological Epochs and Expansion Histories

This document summarizes the discussions which took place during the PITT-PACC Workshop entitled "Non-Standard Cosmological Epochs and Expansion Histories," held in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Sept. 5-7, 2024. Much like the non-standard cosmological epochs that were the subject of these discussions, the format of this workshop was also non-standard. Rather than consisting of a series of talks from participants, with each person presenting their own work, this workshop was instead organized around free-form discussion blocks, with each centered on a different overall theme and guided by a different set of Discussion Leaders. This document is not intended to serve as a comprehensive review of these topics, but rather as an informal record of the discussions that took place during the workshop, in the hope that the content and free-flowing spirit of these discussions may inspire new ideas and research directions.

astro-ph.CO↗

Towards alleviating the $H_0$ and $S_8$ tensions with Early Dark Energy - Dark Matter drag

Early dark energy, an additional component of dark energy active in the decade of redshift before recombination, has emerged as one of the most effective models at reducing the $H_0$ tension between direct measurement of the Hubble parameter $H_0$ in the late-universe and the $Λ$CDM prediction when calibrated on Planck. However, it requires a slight increase in the dark matter density $ω_{\rm cdm}$ and primordial tilt $n_s$ that worsens the $S_8$ tension between measurements of weak gravitational lensing at low redshifts and the Planck/$Λ$CDM prediction. Using a phenomenological fluid model, we investigate whether the inclusion of a drag term between dark matter and early dark energy can compensate for the effect of the increase in power at small-scales, such that both $H_0$ and $S_8$ tensions are simultaneously alleviated. We find that this works if the drag term is dynamically relevant in the post-recombination universe. However, a drag term active before or just around the time at which the early dark energy contribution to the energy density is maximum is significantly constrained due to its impact on the matter perturbations before recombination, and the subsequent modifications to the cosmic microwave background power spectra.

astro-ph.CO↗

Harmonic analysis for pulsar timing arrays

We investigate the use of harmonic analysis techniques to perform measurements of the angular power spectrum on mock pulsar timing data for an isotropic stochastic gravitational-wave background (SGWB) with a dimensionless strain amplitude $A_{\text{gw}}=2 \times 10^{-15}$ and spectral index $γ_{\text{gw}}=13/3$. We examine the sensitivity of our harmonic analysis to the number of pulsars (50, 100, and 150) and length of pulsar observation time (10, 20, and 30 years) for an isotropic distribution of pulsars. We account for intrinsic pulsar red noise and use an average value of white noise of ~100 ns. We are able to detect the quadrupole for all our mock harmonic analyses, and for the analysis with 150 pulsars observed for 30 years, we are able to detect up to the $\ell = 5$ multipole. We provide scaling laws for the SGWB amplitude, the quadrupole, and $\ell = 3$ as a function of pulsar observation time and as a function of number of pulsars. We estimate the sensitivity of our harmonic approach to deviations of general relativity that produce subluminal gravitational wave propagation speeds.

gr-qc↗

On the implications of the `cosmic calibration tension' beyond $H_0$ and the synergy between early- and late-time new physics

The `cosmic calibration tension' is a $> 5σ$ discrepancy between the cosmological distance ladder built from baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO) calibrated by the Planck/$Λ$CDM sound horizon ($r_s$) and Type Ia supernovae (SN1a) calibrated instead with the S$H_0$ES absolute magnitude, assuming the distance-duality relationship (DDR) holds. In this work, we emphasize the consequences of this tension beyond the value of the Hubble constant $H_0$, and the implications for physics beyond $Λ$CDM. Of utmost importance, it implies a larger physical matter density $ω_m\equiv Ω_m h^2$, as both the fractional matter density $Ω_m$ and $h\equiv H_0/100$ km/s/Mpc are well constrained from late-time data. New physics in the pre-recombination era must thus be able to decrease $r_s$ while either reducing the value of $Ω_m$, or increasing the value of $ω_m$. Assuming a $Λ$CDM-like primordial power spectrum, this necessarily results in an increase in the clustering amplitude $σ_8$. Deviations from $Λ$CDM in the late-time expansion history cannot resolve the calibrator tension but can help relax the required shifts to the matter density and $σ_8$: it is in that sense that a combination of early and late-time new physics may help alleviate the tension. More precisely, models that modify the pre-recombination expansion history can accommodate the increase in $ω_m$ without the need for additional modifications. It is those models which only affect recombination that require additional deviations at late-times to be successful. Hence, the `cosmic calibration tension' points either to a targeted modification of the pre-recombination expansion history, or to a broader change affecting multiple cosmic epochs.

astro-ph.CO↗

Comprehensive Constraints on Dark Radiation Injection After BBN

We derive constraints on the injection of free-streaming dark radiation after big bang nucleosynthesis (BBN) by considering the decay of a massive hidden sector particle into dark radiation. Such a scenario has the potential to alleviate the Hubble tension by introducing a new energy component to the evolution of the early universe. We employ observations of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) from $\textit{Planck}$ 2018 and the South Pole Telescope (SPT-3G), measurements of the primordial deuterium abundance, Pantheon+ Type Ia supernovae data, and baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements from BOSS DR12 to constrain these decay scenarios. Pre-recombination decays are primarily restricted by observations of the CMB via their impact on the effective number of relativistic species. On the other hand, long-lived decay scenarios in which the massive particle lifetime extends past recombination tend to decrease the late-time matter density inferred from the CMB and are thus subject to constraints from Pantheon+ and BAO. We find that, when marginalizing over lifetimes of $τ_Y = [10^{-12.08}, 10^{-1.49}]$ Gyr, the decaying particle is limited at $2σ$ to only contribute a maximum of $3\%$ of the energy density of the universe. With limits on these decays being so stringent, neither short-lived nor long-lived scenarios are successful at substantially mitigating the Hubble tension.

astro-ph.CO↗

The weak, the strong and the ugly -- A comparative analysis of interacting stepped dark radiation

Models which address both the Hubble and $S_8$ tensions with the same mechanism generically cause a pre-recombination suppression of the small scale matter power spectrum. Here we focus on two such models. Both models introduce a self-interacting dark radiation fluid scattering with dark matter, which has a step in its abundance around some transition redshift. In one model, the interaction is weak and with all of the dark matter whereas in the other it is strong but with only a fraction of the dark matter. The weakly interacting case is able to address both tensions simultaneously and provide a good fit to a the Planck measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB), the Pantheon Type Ia supernovae, and a combination of low and high redshift baryon acoustic oscillation data, whereas the strongly interacting model cannot significantly ease both tensions simultaneously. The addition of high-resolution cosmic microwave background (CMB) measurements (ACT DR4 and SPT-3G) slightly limits both model's ability to address the Hubble tension. The use of the effective field theory of large-scale structures analysis of BOSS DR12 LRG and eBOSS DR16 QSO data additionally limits their ability to address the $S_8$ tension. We explore how these models respond to these data sets in detail in order to draw general conclusions about what is required for a mechanism to address both tensions. We find that in order to fit the CMB data the time dependence of the suppression of the matter power spectrum plays a central role.

astro-ph.CO↗

Procoli: Profiles of cosmological likelihoods

Frequentist profile likelihoods have seen a resurgence in cosmology, offering an alternative to Bayesian methods as they can circumvent the impact of prior-volume effects. This paper presents Procoli, a fast and accessible package to obtain profile likelihoods in cosmology, available on GitHub and PyPI. Procoli seamlessly integrates with MontePython, incorporating all its available data likelihoods, as well as any modified versions of CLASS. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the Procoli code, detailing the simulated-annealing optimizer at its core and the sequential computation of the profile. An an example, we use the early dark energy model which is afflicted by prior-volume effects to illustrate the code's features. We validate its optimizer with mock data, and compare optimization techniques for both the global minimum and the profile. Procoli further enables splitting profiles into their component contributions from individual experiments, offering nuanced insights into the data and model. As a valuable addition to the cosmologist's toolkit, Procoli supplements existing Bayesian codes, contributing to more robust parameter constraints in cosmological studies.

astro-ph.CO↗

The Ups and Downs of Early Dark Energy solutions to the Hubble tension: a review of models, hints and constraints circa 2023

We review the current status of Early Dark Energy (EDE) models proposed to resolve the "Hubble tension", the discrepancy between "direct" measurements of the current expansion rate of the Universe and "indirect measurements" for which the values inferred rely on the $Λ$CDM cosmological model calibrated on early-universe data. EDE refers to a new form of dark energy active at early times (typically a scalar-field), that quickly dilutes away at a redshift close to matter-radiation equality. The role of EDE is to decrease the sound horizon by briefly contributing to the Hubble rate in the pre-recombination era. We summarize the results of several analyses of EDE models suggested thus far in light of recent cosmological data, including constraints from the canonical {\it Planck} data, baryonic acoustic oscillations and Type Ia supernovae, and the more recent hints driven by cosmic microwave background observations using the Atacama Cosmology Telescope. We also discuss potential challenges to EDE models, from theoretical ones (a second "cosmic coincidence" problem in particular) to observational ones, related to the amplitude of clustering on scales of $8h$/Mpc as measured by weak-lensing observables (the so-called $S_8$ tension) and the galaxy power spectrum from BOSS analyzed through the effective field theory of large-scale structure. We end by reviewing recent attempts at addressing these shortcomings of the EDE proposal. While current data remain inconclusive on the existence of an EDE phase, we stress that given the signatures of EDE models imprinted in the CMB and matter power spectra, next-generation experiments can firmly establish whether EDE is the mechanism responsible for the Hubble tension and distinguish between the various models suggested in the literature.

astro-ph.CO↗

Current small-scale CMB constraints to axion-like early dark energy

The SPT-3G 2018 TT/TE/EE cosmic microwave background (CMB) data set (temperature and polarization) is used to place constraints on an axion-like model of early dark energy (EDE). These data do not favor axion-like EDE and place an upper limit on the maximum fraction of the total energy density $f_{\rm EDE}< 0.172$ (at the 95% confidence level, CL). This is in contrast with ACT DR4 which gives $f_{\rm EDE}=0.150^{+0.050}_{-0.078}$. When combining CMB measurements with measurements of the baryon acoustic oscillations and luminosity distance to Type Ia supernovae, we show that the tension with the S$H_0$ES measurement of the Hubble parameter goes up from 2.6$σ$ with Planck to 2.9$σ$ with Planck+SPT-3G 2018. The additional inclusion of ACT DR4 data leads to a reduction of the tension to $1.6σ$, but the discrepancy between ACT DR4 and Planck+SPT-3G 2018 casts some doubt on the statistical consistency of this joint analysis. The importance of improved measurements of the CMB at both intermediate and small scales (in particular the shape of the damping tail) as well as the interplay between temperature and polarization measurements in constraining EDE are discussed. Upcoming ground-based measurements of the CMB will play a crucial role in determining whether EDE remains a viable model to address the Hubble tension.

astro-ph.CO↗

Consistency of effective field theory analyses of the BOSS power spectrum

We assess the robustness of $Λ$CDM results from the full-shape analysis of BOSS power spectrum using the one-loop prediction of the Effective Field Theory of Large-Scale Structure (EFTofLSS). The public likelihoods PyBird and CLASS-PT lead to results in agreement only at the $1σ$ level, despite the fact that they are derived from the same BOSS dataset and theory model. We perform a thorough comparison of the various analyses choices made between the two pipelines, and identify that the differences come from the choice of prior on the EFT parameters, dubbed "West-coast" (WC) and "East-coast" (EC) prior, respectively associated to PyBird and CLASS-PT. In particular, because posteriors are non-Gaussian, projection effects from the marginalization over the EFT parameters shift the posterior mean of the cosmological parameters with respect to the best-fit up to $1σ$ in the WC prior and up to $2σ$ in the EC prior. We quantify that best-fit cosmological parameters extracted from BOSS given the two prior choices are consistent at $\sim 1σ$. The consistency improves to $\sim 0.5σ$ when doubling the prior widths. While this reveals that current EFT analyses are subject to prior effects, we show that cosmological results obtained in combination with CMB, or from forthcoming large-volume data, are less sensitive to those effects. In addition, we investigate differences between BOSS measurements. We find broad agreements across all pre-reconstructed measurements considered ($<0.6σ$), but the two available BOSS post-reconstructed measurements in Fourier space, once combined with the EFT full-shape analysis, lead to discrepant Hubble parameter $H_0$ at $\sim 0.9σ$. Given the various effects we discuss, we argue that the clustering amplitude $σ_8$ measured with BOSS is not in statistical tension with that inferred from Planck under $Λ$CDM.

astro-ph.CO↗