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Tzipe Govezensky

Publications and source records attributed to Tzipe Govezensky.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

Dynamical Model for the Sustainable Development Goals

The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development of the United Nations outlines 17 goals as global challenges for countries of the world to address in their development. However, the progress of countries towards these goals has been much slower than expected. In a previous study, we analyzed the data over two decades (2000--2022), using unsupervised machine learning techniques. Based on this study, we take into account three main factors to construct a mathematical model to simulate and predict the dynamical behavior of the SDGs. These factors are: (1) the distribution of amount of resources that each country uses to meet the goals, (2) the cooperation between countries, and (3) the correlations between the goals. In this work, we show that the model is capable of reproducing the real data and therefore could be used to simulate hypothetical scenarios that could help to improve actions towards optimal fulfillment of the goals.

physics.soc-ph↗

Sustainable Visions: Unsupervised Machine Learning Insights on Global Development Goals

The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development of the United Nations outlines 17 goals for countries of the world to address global challenges in their development. However, the progress of countries towards these goal has been slower than expected and, consequently, there is a need to investigate the reasons behind this fact. In this study, we have used a novel data-driven methodology to analyze time-series data for over 20 years (2000-2022) from 107 countries using unsupervised machine learning (ML) techniques. Our analysis reveals strong positive and negative correlations between certain SDGs (Sustainable Development Goals). Our findings show that progress toward the SDGs is heavily influenced by geographical, cultural and socioeconomic factors, with no country on track to achieve all the goals by 2030. This highlights the need for a region-specific, systemic approach to sustainable development that acknowledges the complex interdependencies between the goals and the variable capacities of countries to reach them. For this our machine learning based approach provides a robust framework for developing efficient and data-informed strategies to promote cooperative and targeted initiatives for sustainable progress.

cs.LG↗

Extracting real social interactions from social media: a debate of COVID-19 policies in Mexico

A study of the dynamical formation of networks of friends and enemies in social media, in this case Twitter, is presented. We characterise the single node properties of such networks, as the clustering coefficient and the degree, to investigate the structure of links. The results indicate that the network is made from three kinds of nodes: one with high clustering coefficient but very small degree, a second group has zero clustering coefficient with variable degree, and finally, a third group in which the clustering coefficient as a function of the degree decays as a power law. This third group represents $\sim2\%$ of the nodes and is characteristic of dynamical networks with feedback. This part of the lattice seemingly represents strongly interacting friends in a real social network.

physics.soc-ph↗

Analysis and modeling of low frequency local field oscillations in a hippocampus circuit under osmotic challenge: the possible role of arginine vasopressin circuit for hippocampal function

Electrophysiological time series were taken simultaneously in two locations in the hippocampus of a rat brain previously described as receiving innervation from the osmosensitive vasopressinergic neurons of the hypothalamus. A hyperosmotic saline solution injection was administered during the time of the experiment. We analyze the recorded time series using different methods. We detect a modification of the delta and theta oscillations just after the perturbation caused by the injection. We compare the quality and information that each one of the methods exhibit and we analyze the characteristics of the perturbation based on a hypothesis that the strength of the functional connections between the vasopressinergic hypothalamic magnocellular neurons and their target in the hippocampus is modified by the perturbation. We built a model of the hypothetic neural connections and numerically calculate the time series produced by the system when simulating the perturbation caused by the saline injection. The theoretical results resemble the experimental findings concerning the frequency and amplitude alterations of the delta and theta bands.

q-bio.NC↗

Modelling Covid-19 epidemic in Mexico, Finland and Iceland

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between regions. Towards this we have devised a model of geographical spreading of viral infections due to human spatial mobility and adapted it to the latest COVID-19 pandemic. In this the region to be modelled is overlaid with a two-dimensional grid weighted with the population density defined cells, in each of which a compartmental SEIRS system of delay difference equations simulate the local dynamics (microdynamics) of the disease. The infections between cells are stochastic and allow for the geographical spreading of the virus over the two-dimensional space (macrodynamics). This approach allows to separate the parameters related to the biological aspects of the disease from the ones that represent the spatial contagious behaviour through different kinds of mobility of people acting as virus carriers. These provide sufficient information to trace the evolution of the pandemic in different situations. In particular we have applied this approach to three in many ways different countries, Mexico, Finland and Iceland and found that the model is capable of reproducing and predicting the stochastic global path of the pandemic. This study sheds light on how the diverse cultural and socioeconomic aspects of a country influence the evolution of the epidemics and also the efficacy of social distancing and other confinement measures.

physics.soc-ph↗

Modelling community formation driven by the status of individual in a society

In human societies, people's willingness to compete and strive for better social status as well as being envious of those perceived in some way superior lead to social structures that are intrinsically hierarchical. Here we propose an agent-based, network model to mimic the ranking behaviour of individuals and its possible repercussions in human society. The main ingredient of the model is the assumption that the relevant feature of social interactions is each individual's keenness to maximise his or her status relative to others. The social networks produced by the model are homophilous and assortative, as frequently observed in human communities and most of the network properties seem quite independent of its size. However, it is seen that for small number of agents the resulting network consists of disjoint weakly connected communities while being highly assortative and homophilic. On the other hand larger networks turn out to be more cohesive with larger communities but less homophilic. We find that the reason for these changes is that larger network size allows agents to use new strategies for maximizing their social status allowing for more diverse links between them.

cs.MA↗

Modelling Trading Networks and the Role of Trust

We present a simple dynamical model for describing trading interactions between agents in a social network by considering only two dynamical variables, namely money and goods or services, that are assumed conserved over the whole time span of the agents' trading transactions. A key feature of the model is that agent-to-agent transactions are governed by the price in units of money per goods, which is dynamically changing, and by a trust variable, which is related to the trading history of each agent. All agents are able to sell or buy, and the decision to do either has to do with the level of trust the buyer has in the seller, the price of the goods and the amount of money and goods at the disposal of the buyer. Here we show the results of extensive numerical calculations under various initial conditions in a random network of agents and compare the results with the available related data. In most cases the agreement between the model results and real data turns out to be fairly good, which allow us to draw some general conclusions as how different trading strategies could affect the distribution of wealth in different kinds of societies.

physics.soc-ph↗

Dynamics of deceptive interactions in social networks

In this paper we examine the role of lies in human social relations by implementing some salient characteristics of deceptive interactions into an opinion formation model, so as to describe the dynamical behaviour of a social network more realistically. In this model we take into account such basic properties of social networks as the dynamics of the intensity of interactions, the influence of public opinion, and the fact that in every human interaction it might be convenient to deceive or withhold information depending on the instantaneous situation of each individual in the network. We find that lies shape the topology of social networks, especially the formation of tightly linked, small communities with loose connections between them. We also find that agents with a larger proportion of deceptive interactions are the ones that connect communities of different opinion, and in this sense they have substantial centrality in the network. We then discuss the consequences of these results for the social behaviour of humans and predict the changes that could arise due to a varying tolerance for lies in society.

physics.soc-ph↗

Effects of Deception in Social Networks

Honesty plays a crucial role in any situation where organisms exchange information or resources. Dishonesty can thus be expected to have damaging effects on social coherence if agents cannot trust the information or goods they receive. However, a distinction is often drawn between prosocial lies ('white' lies) and antisocial lying (i.e. deception for personal gain), with the former being considered much less destructive than the latter. We use an agent-based model to show that antisocial lying causes social networks to become increasingly fragmented. Antisocial dishonesty thus places strong constraints on the size and cohesion of social communities, providing a major hurdle that organisms have to overcome (e.g. by evolving counter-deception strategies) in order to evolve large, socially cohesive communities. In contrast, 'white' lies can prove to be beneficial in smoothing the flow of interactions and facilitating a larger, more integrated network. Our results demonstrate that these group-level effects can arise as emergent properties of interactions at the dyadic level. The balance between prosocial and antisocial lies may set constraints on the structure of social networks, and hence the shape of society as a whole.

physics.soc-ph↗

Statistical properties of DNA sequences revisited: the role of inverse bilateral symmetry in bacterial chromosomes

Herein it is shown that in order to study the statistical properties of DNA sequences in bacterial chromosomes it suffices to consider only one half of the chromosome because they are similar to its corresponding complementary sequence in the other half. This is due to the inverse bilateral symmetry of bacterial chromosomes. Contrary to the classical result that DNA coding regions of bacterial genomes are purely uncorrelated random sequences, here it is shown, via a renormalization group approach, that DNA random fluctuations of single bases are modulated by log-periodic variations. Distance series of triplets display long-range correlations in each half of the intact chromosome and in intronless protein-coding sequences, or both long-range correlations and log-periodic modulations along the whole chromosome. Hence scaling analyses of distance series of DNA sequences have to consider the functional units of bacterial chromosomes.

q-bio.GN↗

Statistical analysis of the distribution of amino acids in Borrelia burgdorferi genome under different genetic codes

The genetic code is considered to be universal. In order to test if some statistical properties of the coding bacterial genome were due to inherent properties of the genetic code, we compared the autocorrelation function, the scaling properties and the maximum entropy of the distribution of distances of amino acids in sequences obtained by translating protein-coding regions from the genome of Borrelia burgdorferi, under different genetic codes. Overall our results indicate that these properties are very stable to perturbations made by altering the genetic code. We also discuss the evolutionary likely implications of the present results.

q-bio.GN↗