arXiv subjects

Vadim Indelman

Publications and source records attributed to Vadim Indelman.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2024

Anytime Probabilistically Constrained Provably Convergent Online Belief Space Planning

Taking into account future risk is essential for an autonomously operating robot to find online not only the best but also a safe action to execute. In this paper, we build upon the recently introduced formulation of probabilistic belief-dependent constraints. We present an anytime approach employing the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) method in continuous domains. Unlike previous approaches, our method assures safety anytime with respect to the currently expanded search tree without relying on the convergence of the search. We prove convergence in probability with an exponential rate of a version of our algorithms and study proposed techniques via extensive simulations. Even with a tiny number of tree queries, the best action found by our approach is much safer than the baseline. Moreover, our approach constantly finds better than the baseline action in terms of objective. This is because we revise the values and statistics maintained in the search tree and remove from them the contribution of the pruned actions.

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arXiv2024

Simplified POMDP Planning with an Alternative Observation Space and Formal Performance Guarantees

Online planning under uncertainty in partially observable domains is an essential capability in robotics and AI. The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) is a mathematically principled framework for addressing decision-making problems in this challenging setting. However, finding an optimal solution for POMDPs is computationally expensive and is feasible only for small problems. In this work, we contribute a novel method to simplify POMDPs by switching to an alternative, more compact, observation space and simplified model to speedup planning with formal performance guarantees. We introduce the notion of belief tree topology, which encodes the levels and branches in the tree that use the original and alternative observation space and models. Each belief tree topology comes with its own policy space and planning performance. Our key contribution is to derive bounds between the optimal Q-function of the original POMDP and the simplified tree defined by a given topology with a corresponding simplified policy space. These bounds are then used as an adaptation mechanism between different tree topologies until the optimal action of the original POMDP can be determined. Further, we consider a specific instantiation of our framework, where the alternative observation space and model correspond to a setting where the state is fully observable. We evaluate our approach in simulation, considering exact and approximate POMDP solvers and demonstrating a significant speedup while preserving solution quality. We believe this work opens new exciting avenues for online POMDP planning with formal performance guarantees.

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arXiv2024

Measurement Simplification in ρ-POMDP with Performance Guarantees

Decision making under uncertainty is at the heart of any autonomous system acting with imperfect information. The cost of solving the decision making problem is exponential in the action and observation spaces, thus rendering it unfeasible for many online systems. This paper introduces a novel approach to efficient decision-making, by partitioning the high-dimensional observation space. Using the partitioned observation space, we formulate analytical bounds on the expected information-theoretic reward, for general belief distributions. These bounds are then used to plan efficiently while keeping performance guarantees. We show that the bounds are adaptive, computationally efficient, and that they converge to the original solution. We extend the partitioning paradigm and present a hierarchy of partitioned spaces that allows greater efficiency in planning. We then propose a specific variant of these bounds for Gaussian beliefs and show a theoretical performance improvement of at least a factor of 4. Finally, we compare our novel method to other state of the art algorithms in active SLAM scenarios, in simulation and in real experiments. In both cases we show a significant speed-up in planning with performance guarantees.

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arXiv2024

Simplification of Risk Averse POMDPs with Performance Guarantees

Risk averse decision making under uncertainty in partially observable domains is a fundamental problem in AI and essential for reliable autonomous agents. In our case, the problem is modeled using partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs), when the value function is the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of the return. Calculating an optimal solution for POMDPs is computationally intractable in general. In this work we develop a simplification framework to speedup the evaluation of the value function, while providing performance guarantees. We consider as simplification a computationally cheaper belief-MDP transition model, that can correspond, e.g., to cheaper observation or transition models. Our contributions include general bounds for CVaR that allow bounding the CVaR of a random variable X, using a random variable Y, by assuming bounds between their cumulative distributions. We then derive bounds for the CVaR value function in a POMDP setting, and show how to bound the value function using the computationally cheaper belief-MDP transition model and without accessing the computationally expensive model in real-time. Then, we provide theoretical performance guarantees for the estimated bounds. Our results apply for a general simplification of a belief-MDP transition model and support simplification of both the observation and state transition models simultaneously.

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arXiv2024

A Slices Perspective for Incremental Nonparametric Inference in High Dimensional State Spaces

We introduce an innovative method for incremental nonparametric probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state spaces. Our approach leverages \slices from high-dimensional surfaces to efficiently approximate posterior distributions of any shape. Unlike many existing graph-based methods, our \slices perspective eliminates the need for additional intermediate reconstructions, maintaining a more accurate representation of posterior distributions. Additionally, we propose a novel heuristic to balance between accuracy and efficiency, enabling real-time operation in nonparametric scenarios. In empirical evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets, our \slices approach consistently outperforms other state-of-the-art methods. It demonstrates superior accuracy and achieves a significant reduction in computational complexity, often by an order of magnitude.

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arXiv2024

No Compromise in Solution Quality: Speeding Up Belief-dependent Continuous POMDPs via Adaptive Multilevel Simplification

Continuous POMDPs with general belief-dependent rewards are notoriously difficult to solve online. In this paper, we present a complete provable theory of adaptive multilevel simplification for the setting of a given externally constructed belief tree and MCTS that constructs the belief tree on the fly using an exploration technique. Our theory allows to accelerate POMDP planning with belief-dependent rewards without any sacrifice in the quality of the obtained solution. We rigorously prove each theoretical claim in the proposed unified theory. Using the general theoretical results, we present three algorithms to accelerate continuous POMDP online planning with belief-dependent rewards. Our two algorithms, SITH-BSP and LAZY-SITH-BSP, can be utilized on top of any method that constructs a belief tree externally. The third algorithm, SITH-PFT, is an anytime MCTS method that permits to plug-in any exploration technique. All our methods are guaranteed to return exactly the same optimal action as their unsimplified equivalents. We replace the costly computation of information-theoretic rewards with novel adaptive upper and lower bounds which we derive in this paper, and are of independent interest. We show that they are easy to calculate and can be tightened by the demand of our algorithms. Our approach is general; namely, any bounds that monotonically converge to the reward can be utilized to achieve significant speedup without any loss in performance. Our theory and algorithms support the challenging setting of continuous states, actions, and observations. The beliefs can be parametric or general and represented by weighted particles. We demonstrate in simulation a significant speedup in planning compared to baseline approaches with guaranteed identical performance.

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arXiv2023

Data Association Aware POMDP Planning with Hypothesis Pruning Performance Guarantees

Autonomous agents that operate in the real world must often deal with partial observability, which is commonly modeled as partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). However, traditional POMDP models rely on the assumption of complete knowledge of the observation source, known as fully observable data association. To address this limitation, we propose a planning algorithm that maintains multiple data association hypotheses, represented as a belief mixture, where each component corresponds to a different data association hypothesis. However, this method can lead to an exponential growth in the number of hypotheses, resulting in significant computational overhead. To overcome this challenge, we introduce a pruning-based approach for planning with ambiguous data associations. Our key contribution is to derive bounds between the value function based on the complete set of hypotheses and the value function based on a pruned-subset of the hypotheses, enabling us to establish a trade-off between computational efficiency and performance. We demonstrate how these bounds can both be used to certify any pruning heuristic in retrospect and propose a novel approach to determine which hypotheses to prune in order to ensure a predefined limit on the loss. We evaluate our approach in simulated environments and demonstrate its efficacy in handling multi-modal belief hypotheses with ambiguous data associations.

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arXiv2023

Monte Carlo Planning in Hybrid Belief POMDPs

Real-world problems often require reasoning about hybrid beliefs, over both discrete and continuous random variables. Yet, such a setting has hardly been investigated in the context of planning. Moreover, existing online Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) solvers do not support hybrid beliefs directly. In particular, these solvers do not address the added computational burden due to an increasing number of hypotheses with the planning horizon, which can grow exponentially. As part of this work, we present a novel algorithm, Hybrid Belief Monte Carlo Planning (HB-MCP) that utilizes the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to solve a POMDP while maintaining a hybrid belief. We illustrate how the upper confidence bound (UCB) exploration bonus can be leveraged to guide the growth of hypotheses trees alongside the belief trees. We then evaluate our approach in highly aliased simulated environments where unresolved data association leads to multi-modal belief hypotheses.

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arXiv2023

Risk Aware Adaptive Belief-dependent Probabilistically Constrained Continuous POMDP Planning

Although risk awareness is fundamental to an online operating agent, it has received less attention in the challenging continuous domain and under partial observability. This paper presents a novel formulation and solution for risk-averse belief-dependent probabilistically constrained continuous POMDP. We tackle a demanding setting of belief-dependent reward and constraint operators. The probabilistic confidence parameter makes our formulation genuinely risk-averse and much more flexible than the state-of-the-art chance constraint. Our rigorous analysis shows that in the stiffest probabilistic confidence case, our formulation is very close to chance constraint. However, our probabilistic formulation allows much faster and more accurate adaptive acceptance or pruning of actions fulfilling or violating the constraint. In addition, with an arbitrary confidence parameter, we did not find any analogs to our approach. We present algorithms for the solution of our formulation in continuous domains. We also uplift the chance-constrained approach to continuous environments using importance sampling. Moreover, all our presented algorithms can be used with parametric and nonparametric beliefs represented by particles. Last but not least, we contribute, rigorously analyze and simulate an approximation of chance-constrained continuous POMDP. The simulations demonstrate that our algorithms exhibit unprecedented celerity compared to the baseline, with the same performance in terms of collisions.

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arXiv2023

Probabilistic Qualitative Localization and Mapping

Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) are essential in numerous robotics applications, such as autonomous navigation. Traditional SLAM approaches infer the metric state of the robot along with a metric map of the environment. While existing algorithms exhibit good results, they are still sensitive to measurement noise, sensor quality, and data association and are still computationally expensive. Alternatively, some navigation and mapping missions can be achieved using only qualitative geometric information, an approach known as qualitative spatial reasoning (QSR). We contribute a novel probabilistic qualitative localization and mapping approach in this work. We infer both the qualitative map and the qualitative state of the camera poses (localization). For the first time, we also incorporate qualitative probabilistic constraints between camera poses (motion model), improving computation time and performance. Furthermore, we take advantage of qualitative inference properties to achieve very fast approximated algorithms with good performance. In addition, we show how to propagate probabilistic information between nodes in the qualitative map, which improves estimation performance and enables inference of unseen map nodes - an important building block for qualitative active planning. We also conduct a study that shows how well we can estimate unseen nodes. Our method particularly appeals to scenarios with few salient landmarks and low-quality sensors. We evaluate our approach in simulation and on a real-world dataset and show its superior performance and low complexity compared to the state-of-the-art. Our analysis also indicates good prospects for using qualitative navigation and planning in real-world scenarios.

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arXiv2023

A Survey on Active Simultaneous Localization and Mapping: State of the Art and New Frontiers

Active Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) is the problem of planning and controlling the motion of a robot to build the most accurate and complete model of the surrounding environment. Since the first foundational work in active perception appeared, more than three decades ago, this field has received increasing attention across different scientific communities. This has brought about many different approaches and formulations, and makes a review of the current trends necessary and extremely valuable for both new and experienced researchers. In this work, we survey the state-of-the-art in active SLAM and take an in-depth look at the open challenges that still require attention to meet the needs of modern applications. After providing a historical perspective, we present a unified problem formulation and review the well-established modular solution scheme, which decouples the problem into three stages that identify, select, and execute potential navigation actions. We then analyze alternative approaches, including belief-space planning and deep reinforcement learning techniques, and review related work on multi-robot coordination. The manuscript concludes with a discussion of new research directions, addressing reproducible research, active spatial perception, and practical applications, among other topics.

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arXiv2023

Simplified Continuous High Dimensional Belief Space Planning with Adaptive Probabilistic Belief-dependent Constraints

Online decision making under uncertainty in partially observable domains, also known as Belief Space Planning, is a fundamental problem in robotics and Artificial Intelligence. Due to an abundance of plausible future unravelings, calculating an optimal course of action inflicts an enormous computational burden on the agent. Moreover, in many scenarios, e.g., information gathering, it is required to introduce a belief-dependent constraint. Prompted by this demand, in this paper, we consider a recently introduced probabilistic belief-dependent constrained POMDP. We present a technique to adaptively accept or discard a candidate action sequence with respect to a probabilistic belief-dependent constraint, before expanding a complete set of future observations samples and without any loss in accuracy. Moreover, using our proposed framework, we contribute an adaptive method to find a maximal feasible return (e.g., information gain) in terms of Value at Risk for the candidate action sequence with substantial acceleration. On top of that, we introduce an adaptive simplification technique for a probabilistically constrained setting. Such an approach provably returns an identical-quality solution while dramatically accelerating online decision making. Our universal framework applies to any belief-dependent constrained continuous POMDP with parametric beliefs, as well as nonparametric beliefs represented by particles. In the context of an information-theoretic constraint, our presented framework stochastically quantifies if a cumulative information gain along the planning horizon is sufficiently significant (e.g. for, information gathering, active SLAM). We apply our method to active SLAM, a highly challenging problem of high dimensional Belief Space Planning. Extensive realistic simulations corroborate the superiority of our proposed ideas.

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arXiv2022

involve-MI: Informative Planning with High-Dimensional Non-Parametric Beliefs

One of the most complex tasks of decision making and planning is to gather information. This task becomes even more complex when the state is high-dimensional and its belief cannot be expressed with a parametric distribution. Although the state is high-dimensional, in many problems only a small fraction of it might be involved in transitioning the state and generating observations. We exploit this fact to calculate an information-theoretic expected reward, mutual information (MI), over a much lower-dimensional subset of the state, to improve efficiency and without sacrificing accuracy. A similar approach was used in previous works, yet specifically for Gaussian distributions, and we here extend it for general distributions. Moreover, we apply the dimensionality reduction for cases in which the new states are augmented to the previous, yet again without sacrificing accuracy. We then continue by developing an estimator for the MI which works in a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) manner, and avoids the reconstruction of future belief's surfaces. Finally, we show how this work is applied to the informative planning optimization problem. This work is then evaluated in a simulation of an active SLAM problem, where the improvement in both accuracy and timing is demonstrated.

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arXiv2022

Hybrid Belief Pruning with Guarantees for Viewpoint-Dependent Semantic SLAM

Semantic simultaneous localization and mapping is a subject of increasing interest in robotics and AI that directly influences the autonomous vehicles industry, the army industries, and more. One of the challenges in this field is to obtain object classification jointly with robot trajectory estimation. Considering view-dependent semantic measurements, there is a coupling between different classes, resulting in a combinatorial number of hypotheses. A common solution is to prune hypotheses that have a sufficiently low probability and to retain only a limited number of hypotheses. However, after pruning and renormalization, the updated probability is overconfident with respect to the original probability. This is especially problematic for systems that require high accuracy. If the prior probability of the classes is independent, the original normalization factor can be computed efficiently without pruning hypotheses. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to present these results. If the prior probability of the classes is dependent, we propose a lower bound on the normalization factor that ensures cautious results. The bound is calculated incrementally and with similar efficiency as in the independent case. After pruning and updating based on the bound, this belief is shown empirically to be close to the original belief.

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arXiv2022

D2A-BSP: Distilled Data Association Belief Space Planning with Performance Guarantees Under Budget Constraints

Unresolved data association in ambiguous and perceptually aliased environments leads to multi-modal hypotheses on both the robot's and the environment state. To avoid catastrophic results, when operating in such ambiguous environments, it is crucial to reason about data association within Belief Space Planning (BSP). However, explicitly considering all possible data associations, the number of hypotheses grows exponentially with the planning horizon and determining the optimal action sequence quickly becomes intractable. Moreover, with hard budget constraints where some non-negligible hypotheses must be pruned, achieving performance guarantees is crucial. In this work we present a computationally efficient novel approach that utilizes only a distilled subset of hypotheses to solve BSP problems while reasoning about data association. Furthermore, to provide performance guarantees, we derive error bounds with respect to the optimal solution. We then demonstrate our approach in an extremely aliased environment, where we manage to significantly reduce computation time without compromising on the quality of the solution.

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arXiv2022

Nonmyopic Distilled Data Association Belief Space Planning Under Budget Constraints

Autonomous agents operating in perceptually aliased environments should ideally be able to solve the data association problem. Yet, planning for future actions while considering this problem is not trivial. State of the art approaches therefore use multi-modal hypotheses to represent the states of the agent and of the environment. However, explicitly considering all possible data associations, the number of hypotheses grows exponentially with the planning horizon. As such, the corresponding Belief Space Planning problem quickly becomes unsolvable. Moreover, under hard computational budget constraints, some non-negligible hypotheses must eventually be pruned in both planning and inference. Nevertheless, the two processes are generally treated separately and the effect of budget constraints in one process over the other was barely studied. We present a computationally efficient method to solve the nonmyopic Belief Space Planning problem while reasoning about data association. Moreover, we rigorously analyze the effects of budget constraints in both inference and planning.

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arXiv2022

Simplified decision making in the belief space using belief sparsification

In this work, we introduce a new and efficient solution approach for the problem of decision making under uncertainty, which can be formulated as decision making in a belief space, over a possibly high-dimensional state space. Typically, to solve a decision problem, one should identify the optimal action from a set of candidates, according to some objective. We claim that one can often generate and solve an analogous yet simplified decision problem, which can be solved more efficiently. A wise simplification method can lead to the same action selection, or one for which the maximal loss in optimality can be guaranteed. Furthermore, such simplification is separated from the state inference and does not compromise its accuracy, as the selected action would finally be applied on the original state. First, we present the concept for general decision problems and provide a theoretical framework for a coherent formulation of the approach. We then practically apply these ideas to decision problems in the belief space, which can be simplified by considering a sparse approximation of their initial belief. The scalable belief sparsification algorithm we provide is able to yield solutions which are guaranteed to be consistent with the original problem. We demonstrate the benefits of the approach in the solution of a realistic active-SLAM problem and manage to significantly reduce computation time, with no loss in the quality of solution. This work is both fundamental and practical, and holds numerous possible extensions.

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arXiv2022

Adaptive Information Belief Space Planning

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on making informed decisions efficiently, using reward functions that explicitly deal with uncertainty. We formulate an approximation, namely an abstract observation model, that uses an aggregation scheme to alleviate computational costs. We derive bounds on the expected information-theoretic reward function and, as a consequence, on the value function. We then propose a method to refine aggregation to achieve identical action selection with a fraction of the computational time.

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