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Varsha Rao

Publications and source records attributed to Varsha Rao.

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Modeling the Carbon Footprint of HPC: The Top 500 and EasyC

Climate change is a critical concern for HPC systems, but GHG protocol carbon-emission accounting methodologies are difficult for a single system, and effectively infeasible for a collection of systems. As a result, there is no HPC-wide carbon reporting, and even the largest HPC sites do not do GHG protocol reporting. We assess the carbon footprint of HPC, focusing on the Top 500 systems. The key challenge lies in modeling the carbon footprint with limited data availability. With the disclosed top500 website data, and using a new tool, EasyC, we were able to model the operational carbon of 391 HPC systems and the embodied carbon of 283 HPC systems. We further show how this coverage can be enhanced by exploiting additional public information. With improved coverage, then interpolation is used to produce the first carbon footprint estimates of the Top 500 HPC systems. They are 1.4 million MT CO2e operational carbon (1 Year) and 1.9 million MT CO2e embodied carbon. We also project how the Top 500's carbon footprint will increase through 2030. A key enabler is the EasyC tool which models carbon footprint with only a few data metrics. We explore availability of data and enhancement, showing that coverage can be increased to 98% of Top 500 systems for operational and 80.8% of the systems for embodied emissions.

cs.DC

Exploding AI Power Use: an Opportunity to Rethink Grid Planning and Management

The unprecedented rapid growth of computing demand for AI is projected to increase global annual datacenter (DC) growth from 7.2% to 11.3%. We project the 5-year AI DC demand for several power grids and assess whether they will allow desired AI growth (resource adequacy). If not, several "desperate measures" -- grid policies that enable more load growth and maintain grid reliability by sacrificing new DC reliability are considered. We find that two DC hotspots -- EirGrid (Ireland) and Dominion (US) -- will have difficulty accommodating new DCs needed by the AI growth. In EirGrid, relaxing new DC reliability guarantees increases the power available to 1.6x--4.1x while maintaining 99.6% actual power availability for the new DCs, sufficient for the 5-year AI demand. In Dominion, relaxing reliability guarantees increases available DC capacity similarly (1.5x--4.6x) but not enough for the 5-year AI demand. New DCs only receive 89% power availability. Study of other US power grids -- SPP, CAISO, ERCOT -- shows that sufficient capacity exists for the projected AI load growth. Our results suggest the need to rethink adequacy assessment and also grid planning and management. New research opportunities include coordinated planning, reliability models that incorporate load flexibility, and adaptive load abstractions.

cs.DC