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Vera Hofer

Publications and source records attributed to Vera Hofer.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Deriving the Variance-Minimizing Design for Standard Addition via c-Optimality

Knowledge about optimal designs for standard addition seems to be scattered among literature and is also, at least partially, only available in mathematical literature that is not quickly accessible for readers not skilled in the field of design optimality theory. Therefore, the idea for this work was to summarize what is already available in analytical literature and to apply the respective results from optimality theory, where needed, to the special case of standard addition. It is shown, for measurement errors that are non-decreasing, e.g., are constant or increase linearly or quadratically with increasing analyte concentration, that the optimal design in the case of a linear response is a two-point design irrespective of the particular behavior of measurement error variance. In addition, it is demonstrated that the optimal allocation of measurements depends on the concrete setting, which means that the optimal distribution of measurements may deviate significantly from a 50:50 ratio. It is also investigated how the range, i.e., the largest added concentration influences the result. Last but not least, also the question of applying weighted regression is discussed and it is shown, that, in contrast to designs using more than two spiked concentrations, no weighting is necessary to achieve optimal results, when a two-point design is used. While the focus lies on the precision of the concentration estimate also the implications for the bias are investigated.

stat.ME

Statistical comparison of quality attributes_a range-based approach

A novel approach for comparing quality attributes of different products when there is considerable product-related variability is proposed. In such a case, the whole range of possible realizations must be considered. Looking, for example, at the respective information published by agencies like the EMA or the FDA, one can see that commonly accepted tests together with the proper statistical framework are not yet available. This work attempts to close this gap in the treatment of range-based comparisons. The question of when two products can be considered similar with respect to a certain property is discussed and a framework for such a statistical comparison is presented, which is based on the proposed concept of kappa-cover. Assuming normally distributed quality attributes a statistical test termed covering-test is proposed. Simulations show that this test possesses desirable statistical properties with respect to small sample size and power. In order to demonstrate the usefulness of the suggested concept, the proposed test is applied to a data set from the pharmaceutical industry

stat.ME

Functional Anomaly Detection: a Benchmark Study

The increasing automation in many areas of the Industry expressly demands to design efficient machine-learning solutions for the detection of abnormal events. With the ubiquitous deployment of sensors monitoring nearly continuously the health of complex infrastructures, anomaly detection can now rely on measurements sampled at a very high frequency, providing a very rich representation of the phenomenon under surveillance. In order to exploit fully the information thus collected, the observations cannot be treated as multivariate data anymore and a functional analysis approach is required. It is the purpose of this paper to investigate the performance of recent techniques for anomaly detection in the functional setup on real datasets. After an overview of the state-of-the-art and a visual-descriptive study, a variety of anomaly detection methods are compared. While taxonomies of abnormalities (e.g. shape, location) in the functional setup are documented in the literature, assigning a specific type to the identified anomalies appears to be a challenging task. Thus, strengths and weaknesses of the existing approaches are benchmarked in view of these highlighted types in a simulation study. Anomaly detection methods are next evaluated on two datasets, related to the monitoring of helicopters in flight and to the spectrometry of construction materials namely. The benchmark analysis is concluded by recommendation guidance for practitioners.

stat.ML

Temporal Density Extrapolation using a Dynamic Basis Approach

Density estimation is a versatile technique underlying many data mining tasks and techniques,ranging from exploration and presentation of static data, to probabilistic classification, or identifying changes or irregularities in streaming data. With the pervasiveness of embedded systems and digitisation, this latter type of streaming and evolving data becomes more important. Nevertheless, research in density estimation has so far focused on stationary data, leaving the task of of extrapolating and predicting density at time points outside a training window an open problem. For this task, Temporal Density Extrapolation (TDX) is proposed. This novel method models and predicts gradual monotonous changes in a distribution. It is based on the expansion of basis functions, whose weights are modelled as functions of compositional data over time by using an isometric log-ratio transformation. Extrapolated density estimates are then obtained by extrapolating the weights to the requested time point, and querying the density from the basis functions with back-transformed weights. Our approach aims for broad applicability by neither being restricted to a specific parametric distribution, nor relying on cluster structure in the data.It requires only two additional extrapolation-specific parameters, for which reasonable defaults exist. Experimental evaluation on various data streams, synthetic as well as from the real-world domains of credit scoring and environmental health, shows that the model manages to capture monotonous drift patterns accurately and better than existing methods. Thereby, it requires not more than 1.5-times the run time of a corresponding static density estimation approach.

cs.LG