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Vesa Kuikka

Publications and source records attributed to Vesa Kuikka.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

Comparing Probabilistic Influence-Spreading Centralities to Commonly-Used Centrality Measures in Directed and Weighted Networks

The Influence-Spreading Model (ISM) introduces three probabilistic centrality measures: out-centrality, in-centrality, and ISM betweenness centrality. Out-centrality measures the average probability that a node influences others, while in-centrality measures the average probability that others influence a node. ISM betweenness centrality measures the change in total probabilistic influence when a node is removed. These measures depend on edge transmission probabilities and allow walks up to a specified maximum length. We compare the ISM centrality measures to commonly used weighted variants of out-degree, in-degree, closeness, shortest-path betweenness, and Katz centrality in directed, weighted networks using four real-world online social networks and nine synthetic networks generated by Erdős-Rényi, navigable small-world, and directed scale-free models. For the synthetic networks, the edge probabilities are drawn from three beta distributions. We evaluate the similarity in centrality values and their ranking using Pearson correlation and Spearman's rank correlation coefficients. Results show strong correlations between the ISM out-centrality and weighted out-degree and outward Katz centrality, particularly for low edge probabilities. Conversely, relationships between the ISM in-centrality and other measures vary with network topology, sometimes yielding negative correlations. Correlations between the ISM betweenness and the shortest-path betweenness are also topology-dependent and weaken as alternative influence paths become more relevant. Overall, standard centrality measures can approximate the influence of broadcasting influence but often miss the nuances of receiving influence and probabilistic intermediary roles.

cs.SI

Importance of Overlapping Network Nodes in Influence Spreading

In complex networks there are overlapping substructures or "circles" that consist of nodes belonging to multiple cohesive subgroups. Yet the role of these overlapping nodes in influence spreading processes remains underexplored. In the present study, we analyse networks with circle structures using a probabilistic influence spreading model for processes of simple and complex contagion. We quantify the roles of nodes using three metrics, i.e., In-Centrality, Out-Centrality, and Betweenness Centrality that represent the susceptibility, spreading power, and mediatory role of nodes, respectively, and find that at each stage of the spreading process the overlapping nodes consistently exhibit greater influence than the non-overlapping ones. Furthermore, we observe that the criteria to define circles shape the overlapping effects. When we restrict our analysis to only largest circles, we find that circles reflect not only node-level attributes but also of topological importance. These findings clarify the distinction between local attribute-driven circles and global community structures, thus highlighting the strategic importanc of overlapping nodes in spreading dynamics. This provides foundation for future research on overlapping nodes in both circles and communities.

cs.SI

Integrating Network and Attack Graphs for Service-Centric Impact Analysis

Cyberattacks on enterprise networks exploit complex dependencies among infrastructure, services, and applications, which challenge traditional analysis methods that focus on attack paths or network topology in isolation. In this study, we introduce a novel probabilistic multilayer modelling framework, based on influence propagation in networks, that integrates attack graphs with the communication network topology, enabling a service-centric impact analysis of cyberattacks. Our method captures both the vulnerability exploitability and network connectivity, allowing us to assess the likelihood of attack propagation and cumulative impacts across interconnected services. By integrating standard vulnerability metrics (such as CVSS) with the network-level connectivity probabilities, the framework provides a cohesive view of the dynamics of cyberattacks. We validate this approach using a realistic case study of an enterprise network, demonstrating its ability to determine critical nodes, vulnerabilities, and service dependencies that significantly influence attack outcomes. Our findings show that integrating network and attack graph perspectives offers more actionable insights into risk assessment and mitigation planning, advancing the analysis of cyberattacks in complex networked environments.

cs.CR

Network Centrality Metrics Based on Unrestricted Paths, Walks and Cycles Compared to Standard Centrality Metrics

Traditional measures of closeness and betweenness centrality in networks rely on the shortest paths between nodes. Many standard metrics fail to accurately reflect the physical or probabilistic characteristics of nodal centrality and network flow, often overlooking processes such as cyclic and recurrent spreading. Here, we present new metrics based on our influence spreading model. These probabilistic measures consider all feasible paths, walks, and cycles within the network. We define in-centrality to assess how central a node is as a target of influence, and out-centrality for its role as a source of influence. We compare our metrics with standard ones by analyzing node rankings, using scatter plots, and calculating the Pearson correlation and Spearman's rank correlation coefficients. Our findings show that the betweenness centrality defined by the influence spreading model emphasizes the importance of alternative routes while maintaining similarity to standard betweenness centrality.

cs.SI

Shared Nodes of Overlapping Communities in Complex Networks

Overlapping communities are key characteristics of the structure and function analysis of complex networks. Shared or overlapping nodes within overlapping communities can form either subcommunities or act as intersections between larger communities. Nodes at the intersections that do not form subcommunities can be identified as overlapping nodes or as part of an internal structure of nested communities. To identify overlapping nodes, we apply a threshold rule based on the number of nodes in the nested structure. As the threshold value increases, the number of selected overlapping nodes decreases. This approach allows us to analyse the roles of nodes considered overlapping according to selection criteria, for example to reduce the effect of noise. We illustrate our method by using three small and two larger real-world network structures. In larger networks, minor disturbances can produce a multitude of slightly different solutions, but the core communities remain robust, allowing other variations to be treated as noise. While this study employs our own method for community detection, other approaches can also be applied. Exploring the properties of shared nodes in overlapping communities of complex networks is a novel area of research with diverse applications in social network analysis, cybersecurity, and other fields in network science.

cs.SI

Network Modelling in Analysing Cyber-related Graphs

In order to improve the resilience of computer infrastructure against cyber attacks and finding ways to mitigate their impact we need to understand their structure and dynamics. Here we propose a novel network-based influence spreading model to investigate event trajectories or paths in various types of attack and causal graphs, which can be directed, weighted, and / or cyclic. In case of attack graphs with acyclic paths, only self-avoiding attack chains are allowed. In the framework of our model a detailed probabilistic analysis beyond the traditional visualisation of attack graphs, based on vulnerabilities, services, and exploitabilities, can be performed. In order to demonstrate the capabilities of the model, we present three use cases with cyber-related graphs, namely two attack graphs and a causal graph. The model can be of benefit to cyber analysts in generating quantitative metrics for prioritisation, summaries, or analysis of larger graphs.

cs.SI