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Viet-Thanh Pham

Publications and source records attributed to Viet-Thanh Pham.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Noise-Induced Predictability Redistribution Across Forecast Horizons of Extreme Events in Chaotic Dynamics

Extreme events (EEs) in chaotic dynamics are rare broad excursions whose forecastability can be altered by dynamical noise. We investigate how noise changes EE occurrence and prediction skill across forecast horizons in a third-order autonomous chaotic flow. A single clean-data threshold is frozen for all realizations, broad events are defined by one maximum per excursion, and a future window W=15 is predicted from a 15-time-unit history using HistGradientBoosting with chronological data separation. As the forecast gap G between the observed history and the future event window increases, the clean Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) decreases from 0.641 at G=0 to 0.165 at G=15. Noise dependence is evaluated with ten paired realizations at eight amplitudes. The mean short-horizon score increases from 0.456 in clean data to 0.546 at sigma=0.007; the paired gain is 0.0895 (95% CI 0.0494-0.1295; Holm-adjusted p=0.0234). Noise strongly increases EE occurrence while event amplitude and width remain comparatively stable. Equalizing positive training counts across noise levels substantially attenuates the short-horizon gain, whereas strong noise reduces intermediate-horizon skill. We term this horizon-dependent, nonuniform change in forecast skill noise-induced predictability redistribution (NIPR).

nlin.CD↗

When More Data Become Less Informative: Finite-Precision Periodicization and Collapse of Forecast-Error Lyapunov Estimates

Largest Lyapunov exponents (LLEs) quantify exponential sensitivity, but data-driven estimates are often obtained from finite-precision trajectories. We show that increasing the length of a single reduced-precision chaotic record can eventually degrade a forecast-error LLE estimate. Using the logistic map at r=4, an ESP32 single-precision trajectory is reproduced bit-for-bit by NumPy float32. Across 10,000 random float32 initial conditions, every trajectory reaches an exact recurrence before iteration 7612. For one long float32 record, the estimated LLE changes from 0.6853 at N=15,000 to 0.1827 at N=20,000 and approximately zero at N=30,000 as exact train-test histories saturate. At N=100,000, the long float32 record gives 0.0016, whereas independently restarted length-100 trajectories give 0.6917; matched float64 controls remain near ln(2)=0.6931. The collapse is reproduced for 28 representative initial conditions, and its onset is strongly correlated with the recurrence scale set by transient length and digital period (Pearson r=0.982). Thus, finite-state recurrence can turn additional samples into duplicate futures rather than new dynamical information, while independent restarts substantially delay this saturation.

nlin.CD↗

Equation-Free Period-Aware Forecast-Error Contraction for Estimating Negative Largest Lyapunov Exponents from Short Trajectory Ensembles

Estimating positive largest Lyapunov exponents from data is comparatively natural because neighboring trajectories separate, whereas stable dynamics require resolving contraction before measurement noise or finite precision erases the signal. We introduce a period-aware forecast-error contraction procedure for estimating a dominant negative Lyapunov exponent from ensembles of short scalar trajectories without using governing equations or an analytical Jacobian. A k-nearest-neighbor predictor is trained on trajectory histories, the geometric-mean absolute forecast error is evaluated at phase-consistent horizons, and the exponent is obtained from the slope of the logarithmic error profile. Unlike data-driven approaches that reconstruct local evolution matrices or differentiate a learned surrogate, the proposed method extracts the contraction rate directly from out-of-sample forecast errors. Two adaptations are essential: the forecast step is synchronized with the detected orbit period, and candidate slopes are accepted only when they form a stable consensus across several transient lengths. On the logistic map, the method recovers 92 of 112 negative-exponent parameter values with a mean absolute error of 0.0253 and $R^2=0.886$. On a two-dimensional map without fixed points, independent scalar pipelines based on the three observables $x_n$, $y_n$, and $z_n$ give mean absolute errors of 0.00879--0.01145 and $R^2=0.983$--$0.986$. Because the estimation stage uses only observed trajectories, the framework provides a basis for repeated-relaxation experiments in which short sensor responses are available but the governing equations and analytical Jacobian are unknown. Experimental validation remains a subject of future work.

nlin.CD↗

Anthropogenic Regional Adaptation in Multimodal Vision-Language Model

While the field of vision-language (VL) has achieved remarkable success in integrating visual and textual information across multiple languages and domains, there is still no dedicated framework for assessing human-centric alignment in vision-language systems. We offer two contributions to address this gap. First, we introduce Anthropogenic Regional Adaptation: a novel paradigm that aims to optimize model relevance to specific regional contexts while ensuring the retention of global generalization capabilities. Second, we present a simple, but effective adaptation method named Geographical-generalization-made-easy (GG-EZ), which utilizes regional data filtering and model merging. Through comprehensive experiments on 3 VL architectures: large vision-language models, text-to-image diffusion models, and vision-language embedding models, and a case study in Southeast Asia (SEA) regional adaptation, we demonstrate the importance of Anthropogenic Regional Adaptation and the effectiveness of GG-EZ, showing 5-15% gains in cultural relevance metrics across SEA while maintaining over 98% of global performance and even occasionally surpassing it. Our findings establish Anthropogenic Regional Alignment as a foundational paradigm towards applicability of multimodal vision-language models in diverse regions and demonstrate a simple-yet-effective baseline method that optimizes regional value alignment while preserving global generalization.

cs.AI↗

Evidence-based Distributional Alignment for Large Language Models

Distributional alignment enables large language models (LLMs) to predict how a target population distributes its responses across answer options, rather than collapsing disagreement into a single consensus answer. However, existing LLM-based distribution prediction is often unstable and degrades under cultural and domain shift. Token score-based estimates can change with minor option wording or formatting, response sampling-based estimates are expensive and sensitive to prompts and decoding settings, and directly generated distributions are frequently miscalibrated. We propose Evi-DA, an evidence-based alignment technique that improves the fidelity and robustness of LLM-based distribution estimation under domain and cultural shift. Given a target country and a multiple-choice question, Evi-DA retrieves related World Values Survey items and their answer distributions, predicts a coarse Welzel value signature for each option, and infers the country-conditioned answer distribution in a structured format. We train the LLMs using a two-stage pipeline, where reinforcement learning optimizes survey-derived rewards that encourage accurate intermediate value predictions, faithful final distributions, well-formed structured outputs, and reduced cultural bias. Across in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks and multiple open-source backbones, Evi-DA reduces Jensen-Shannon divergence between predicted and gold distributions relative to strong baselines, with average relative improvements of up to 44%.

cs.LG↗

LiveCultureBench: a Multi-Agent, Multi-Cultural Benchmark for Large Language Models in Dynamic Social Simulations

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents, yet evaluations focus primarily on task success rather than cultural appropriateness or evaluator reliability. We introduce LiveCultureBench, a multi-cultural, dynamic benchmark that embeds LLMs as agents in a simulated town and evaluates them on both task completion and adherence to socio-cultural norms. The simulation models a small city as a location graph with synthetic residents having diverse demographic and cultural profiles. Each episode assigns one resident a daily goal while others provide social context. An LLM-based verifier generates structured judgments on norm violations and task progress, which we aggregate into metrics capturing task-norm trade-offs and verifier uncertainty. Using LiveCultureBench across models and cultural profiles, we study (i) cross-cultural robustness of LLM agents, (ii) how they balance effectiveness against norm sensitivity, and (iii) when LLM-as-a-judge evaluation is reliable for automated benchmarking versus when human oversight is needed.

cs.AI↗

Discourse Graph Guided Document Translation with Large Language Models

Adapting large language models to full document translation remains challenging due to the difficulty of capturing long-range dependencies and preserving discourse coherence throughout extended texts. While recent agentic machine translation systems mitigate context window constraints through multi-agent orchestration and persistent memory, they require substantial computational resources and are sensitive to memory retrieval strategies. We introduce TransGraph, a discourse-guided framework that explicitly models inter-chunk relationships through structured discourse graphs and selectively conditions each translation segment on relevant graph neighbourhoods rather than relying on sequential or exhaustive context. Across three document-level MT benchmarks spanning six languages and diverse domains, TransGraph consistently surpasses strong baselines in translation quality and terminology consistency while incurring significantly lower token overhead.

cs.CL↗

Proverbs Run in Pairs: Evaluating Proverb Translation Capability of Large Language Model

Despite achieving remarkable performance, machine translation (MT) research remains underexplored in terms of translating cultural elements in languages, such as idioms, proverbs, and colloquial expressions. This paper investigates the capability of state-of-the-art neural machine translation (NMT) and large language models (LLMs) in translating proverbs, which are deeply rooted in cultural contexts. We construct a translation dataset of standalone proverbs and proverbs in conversation for four language pairs. Our experiments show that the studied models can achieve good translation between languages with similar cultural backgrounds, and LLMs generally outperform NMT models in proverb translation. Furthermore, we find that current automatic evaluation metrics such as BLEU, CHRF++ and COMET are inadequate for reliably assessing the quality of proverb translation, highlighting the need for more culturally aware evaluation metrics.

cs.CL↗