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Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Publications and source records attributed to Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi.

24 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Tripletformer for Probabilistic Interpolation of Irregularly sampled Time Series

Irregularly sampled time series data with missing values is observed in many fields like healthcare, astronomy, and climate science. Interpolation of these types of time series is crucial for tasks such as root cause analysis and medical diagnosis, as well as for smoothing out irregular or noisy data. To address this challenge, we present a novel encoder-decoder architecture called "Tripletformer" for probabilistic interpolation of irregularly sampled time series with missing values. This attention-based model operates on sets of observations, where each element is composed of a triple of time, channel, and value. The encoder and decoder of the Tripletformer are designed with attention layers and fully connected layers, enabling the model to effectively process the presented set elements. We evaluate the Tripletformer against a range of baselines on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets and show that it produces more accurate and certain interpolations. Results indicate an improvement in negative loglikelihood error by up to 32% on real-world datasets and 85% on synthetic datasets when using the Tripletformer compared to the next best model.

cs.LG↗

Forecasting Irregularly Sampled Time Series using Graphs

Forecasting irregularly sampled time series with missing values is a crucial task for numerous real-world applications such as healthcare, astronomy, and climate sciences. State-of-the-art approaches to this problem rely on Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) which are known to be slow and often require additional features to handle missing values. To address this issue, we propose a novel model using Graphs for Forecasting Irregularly Sampled Time Series with missing values which we call GraFITi. GraFITi first converts the time series to a Sparsity Structure Graph which is a sparse bipartite graph, and then reformulates the forecasting problem as the edge weight prediction task in the graph. It uses the power of Graph Neural Networks to learn the graph and predict the target edge weights. GraFITi has been tested on 3 real-world and 1 synthetic irregularly sampled time series dataset with missing values and compared with various state-of-the-art models. The experimental results demonstrate that GraFITi improves the forecasting accuracy by up to 17% and reduces the run time up to 5 times compared to the state-of-the-art forecasting models.

cs.LG↗

Forecasting Early with Meta Learning

In the early observation period of a time series, there might be only a few historic observations available to learn a model. However, in cases where an existing prior set of datasets is available, Meta learning methods can be applicable. In this paper, we devise a Meta learning method that exploits samples from additional datasets and learns to augment time series through adversarial learning as an auxiliary task for the target dataset. Our model (FEML), is equipped with a shared Convolutional backbone that learns features for varying length inputs from different datasets and has dataset specific heads to forecast for different output lengths. We show that FEML can meta learn across datasets and by additionally learning on adversarial generated samples as auxiliary samples for the target dataset, it can improve the forecasting performance compared to single task learning, and various solutions adapted from Joint learning, Multi-task learning and classic forecasting baselines.

cs.LG↗

DCSF: Deep Convolutional Set Functions for Classification of Asynchronous Time Series

Asynchronous Time Series is a multivariate time series where all the channels are observed asynchronously-independently, making the time series extremely sparse when aligning them. We often observe this effect in applications with complex observation processes, such as health care, climate science, and astronomy, to name a few. Because of the asynchronous nature, they pose a significant challenge to deep learning architectures, which presume that the time series presented to them are regularly sampled, fully observed, and aligned with respect to time. This paper proposes a novel framework, that we call Deep Convolutional Set Functions (DCSF), which is highly scalable and memory efficient, for the asynchronous time series classification task. With the recent advancements in deep set learning architectures, we introduce a model that is invariant to the order in which time series' channels are presented to it. We explore convolutional neural networks, which are well researched for the closely related problem-classification of regularly sampled and fully observed time series, for encoding the set elements. We evaluate DCSF for AsTS classification, and online (per time point) AsTS classification. Our extensive experiments on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets verify that the suggested model performs substantially better than a range of state-of-the-art models in terms of accuracy and run time.

cs.LG↗

Fast Influence Maximization in Dynamic Graphs: A Local Updating Approach

We propose a generalized framework for influence maximization in large-scale, time evolving networks. Many real-life influence graphs such as social networks, telephone networks, and IP traffic data exhibit dynamic characteristics, e.g., the underlying structure and communication patterns evolve with time. Correspondingly, we develop a dynamic framework for the influence maximization problem, where we perform effective local updates to quickly adjust the top-k influencers, as the structure and communication patterns in the network change. We design a novel N-Family approach (N=1, 2, 3, ...) based on the maximum influence arborescence (MIA) propagation model with approximation guarantee of (1-1/e). We then develop heuristic algorithms by extending the N-Family approach to other information propagation models (e.g., independent cascade, linear threshold) and influence maximization algorithms (e.g., CELF, reverse reachable sketch). Based on a detailed empirical analysis over several real-world, dynamic, and large-scale networks, we find that our proposed solution, N-Family improves the updating time of the top-k influencers by 1-2 orders of magnitude, compared to state-of-the-art algorithms, while ensuring similar memory usage and influence spreads.

cs.SI↗

Select Your Questions Wisely: For Entity Resolution With Crowd Errors

Crowdsourcing is becoming increasingly important in entity resolution tasks due to their inherent complexity such as clustering of images and natural language processing. Humans can provide more insightful information for these difficult problems compared to machine-based automatic techniques. Nevertheless, human workers can make mistakes due to lack of domain expertise or seriousness, ambiguity, or even due to malicious intents. The state-of-the-art literature usually deals with human errors via majority voting or by assigning a universal error rate over crowd workers. However, such approaches are incomplete, and often inconsistent, because the expertise of crowd workers are diverse with possible biases, thereby making it largely inappropriate to assume a universal error rate for all workers over all crowdsourcing tasks. To this end, we mitigate the above challenges by considering an uncertain graph model, where the edge probability between two records A and B denotes the ratio of crowd workers who voted Yes on the question if A and B are same entity. In order to reflect independence across different crowdsourcing tasks, we apply the well-established notion of possible worlds, and develop parameter-free algorithms both for next crowdsourcing, as well as for entity resolution problems. In particular, using our framework, the problem of entity resolution becomes equivalent to finding the maximum-likelihood clustering; whereas for the next crowdsourcing, we identify the record pair that maximally increases the reliability of the maximum-likelihood clustering. Based on detailed empirical analysis over real-world datasets, we find that our proposed solution, PERC (probabilistic entity resolution with imperfect crowd) improves the quality by 15% and reduces the overall cost by 50% for the crowdsourcing-based entity resolution problem.

cs.DB↗