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Vincent Gauthier

Publications and source records attributed to Vincent Gauthier.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Modern Structure-Aware Simplicial Spatiotemporal Neural Network

Spatiotemporal modeling has evolved beyond simple time series analysis to become fundamental in structural time series analysis. While current research extensively employs graph neural networks (GNNs) for spatial feature extraction with notable success, these networks are limited to capturing only pairwise relationships, despite real-world networks containing richer topological relationships. Additionally, GNN-based models face computational challenges that scale with graph complexity, limiting their applicability to large networks. To address these limitations, we present Modern Structure-Aware Simplicial SpatioTemporal neural network (ModernSASST), the first approach to leverage simplicial complex structures for spatiotemporal modeling. Our method employs spatiotemporal random walks on high-dimensional simplicial complexes and integrates parallelizable Temporal Convolutional Networks to capture high-order topological structures while maintaining computational efficiency. Our source code is publicly available on GitHub\footnote{Code is available at: https://github.com/ComplexNetTSP/ST_RUM.

cs.LG

Reversible Residual Normalization Alleviates Spatio-Temporal Distribution Shift

Distribution shift severely degrades the performance of deep forecasting models. While this issue is well-studied for individual time series, it remains a significant challenge in the spatio-temporal domain. Effective solutions like instance normalization and its variants can mitigate temporal shifts by standardizing statistics. However, distribution shift on a graph is far more complex, involving not only the drift of individual node series but also heterogeneity across the spatial network where different nodes exhibit distinct statistical properties. To tackle this problem, we propose Reversible Residual Normalization (RRN), a novel framework that performs spatially-aware invertible transformations to address distribution shift in both spatial and temporal dimensions. Our approach integrates graph convolutional operations within invertible residual blocks, enabling adaptive normalization that respects the underlying graph structure while maintaining reversibility. By combining Center Normalization with spectral-constrained graph neural networks, our method captures and normalizes complex Spatio-Temporal relationships in a data-driven manner. The bidirectional nature of our framework allows models to learn in a normalized latent space and recover original distributional properties through inverse transformation, offering a robust and model-agnostic solution for forecasting on dynamic spatio-temporal systems.

cs.LG

Beyond the Laplacian: Doubly Stochastic Matrices for Graph Neural Networks

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) conventionally rely on standard Laplacian or adjacency matrices for structural message passing. In this work, we substitute the traditional Laplacian with a Doubly Stochastic graph Matrix (DSM), derived from the inverse of the modified Laplacian, to naturally encode continuous multi-hop proximity and strict local centrality. To overcome the intractable $O(n^3)$ complexity of exact matrix inversion, we first utilize a truncated Neumann series to scalably approximate the DSM, which serves as the foundation for our proposed DsmNet. Furthermore, because algebraic truncation inherently causes probability mass leakage, we introduce DsmNet-compensate. This variant features a mathematically rigorous Residual Mass Compensation mechanism that analytically re-injects the truncated tail mass into self-loops, strictly restoring row-stochasticity and structural dominance. Extensive theoretical and empirical analyses demonstrate that our decoupled architectures operate efficiently in $O(K|E|)$ time and effectively mitigate over-smoothing by bounding Dirichlet energy decay, providing robust empirical validation on homophilic benchmarks. Finally, we establish the theoretical boundaries of the DSM on heterophilic topologies and demonstrate its versatility as a continuous structural encoding for Graph Transformers.

cs.LG

DOVA-PATBM: An Intelligent, Adaptive, and Scalable Framework for Optimizing Large-Scale EV Charging Infrastructure

The accelerating uptake of battery-electric vehicles demands infrastructure planning tools that are both data-rich and geographically scalable. Whereas most prior studies optimise charging locations for single cities, state-wide and national networks must reconcile the conflicting requirements of dense metropolitan cores, car-dependent exurbs, and power-constrained rural corridors. We present DOVA-PATBM (Deployment Optimisation with Voronoi-oriented, Adaptive, POI-Aware Temporal Behaviour Model), a geo-computational framework that unifies these contexts in a single pipeline. The method rasterises heterogeneous data (roads, population, night lights, POIs, and feeder lines) onto a hierarchical H3 grid, infers intersection importance with a zone-normalised graph neural network centrality model, and overlays a Voronoi tessellation that guarantees at least one five-port DC fast charger within every 30 km radius. Hourly arrival profiles, learned from loop-detector and floating-car traces, feed a finite M/M/c queue to size ports under feeder-capacity and outage-risk constraints. A greedy maximal-coverage heuristic with income-weighted penalties then selects the minimum number of sites that satisfy coverage and equity targets. Applied to the State of Georgia, USA, DOVA-PATBM (i) increases 30 km tile coverage by 12 percentage points, (ii) halves the mean distance that low-income residents travel to the nearest charger, and (iii) meets sub-transmission headroom everywhere -- all while remaining computationally tractable for national-scale roll-outs. These results demonstrate that a tightly integrated, GNN-driven, multi-resolution approach can bridge the gap between academic optimisation and deployable infrastructure policy.

cs.LG

Enhancing Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Spatial Neighbourhood Fusion:A Case Study on COVID-19 Mobility in Peru

Accurate modeling of human mobility is critical for understanding epidemic spread and deploying timely interventions. In this work, we leverage a large-scale spatio-temporal dataset collected from Peru's national Digital Contact Tracing (DCT) application during the COVID-19 pandemic to forecast mobility flows across urban regions. A key challenge lies in the spatial sparsity of hourly mobility counts across hexagonal grid cells, which limits the predictive power of conventional time series models. To address this, we propose a lightweight and model-agnostic Spatial Neighbourhood Fusion (SPN) technique that augments each cell's features with aggregated signals from its immediate H3 neighbors. We evaluate this strategy on three forecasting backbones: NLinear, PatchTST, and K-U-Net, under various historical input lengths. Experimental results show that SPN consistently improves forecasting performance, achieving up to 9.85 percent reduction in test MSE. Our findings demonstrate that spatial smoothing of sparse mobility signals provides a simple yet effective path toward robust spatio-temporal forecasting during public health crises.

cs.LG

The NetMob2024 Dataset: Population Density and OD Matrices from Four LMIC Countries

The NetMob24 dataset offers a unique opportunity for researchers from a range of academic fields to access comprehensive spatiotemporal data sets spanning four countries (India, Mexico, Indonesia, and Colombia) over the course of two years (2019 and 2020). This dataset, developed in collaboration with Cuebiq (Also referred to as Spectus), comprises privacy-preserving aggregated data sets derived from mobile application (app) data collected from users who have voluntarily consented to anonymous data collection for research purposes. It is our hope that this reference dataset will foster the production of new research methods and the reproducibility of research outcomes.

cs.NI

Equity Scores for Public Transit Lines from Open-Data and Accessibility Measures

Current transit suffers from an evident inequity: the level of service of transit in suburbs is much less satisfying than in city centers. As a consequence, private cars are still the dominant transportation mode for suburban people, which results in congestion and pollution. To achieve sustainability goals and reduce car-dependency, transit should be (re)designed around equity. To this aim, it is necessary to (i) quantify the "level of equity" of the transit system and (ii) provide an indicator that scores the transit lines that contribute the most to keep transit equitable. This indicator could suggest on which lines the transit operator must invest to increase the service level (frequency or coverage) in order to reduce inequity in the system. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to tackle (ii). To this aim, we propose efficient scoring methods that rely solely on open data, which allows us to perform the analysis on multiple cities (7 in this paper). Our method can be used to guide large-scale iterative optimization algorithms to improve accessibility equity.

cs.CY

Pooling for First and Last Mile: Integrating Carpooling and Transit

While carpooling is widely adopted for long travels, it is by construction inefficient for daily commuting, where it is difficult to match drivers and riders, sharing similar origin, destination and time. To overcome this limitation, we present an Integrated system, which integrates carpooling into transit, in the line of the philosophy of Mobility as a Service. Carpooling acts as feeder to transit and transit stations act as consolidation points, where trips of riders and drivers meet, increasing potential matching. We present algorithms to construct multimodal rider trips (including transit and carpooling legs) and driver detours. Simulation shows that our Integrated system increases transit ridership and reduces auto-dependency, with respect to current practice, in which carpooling and transit are operated separately. Indeed, the Integrated system decreases the number of riders who are left with no feasible travel option and would thus be forced to use private cars. The simulation code is available as open source.

cs.MA

Impact of natural disasters on consumer behavior: case of the 2017 El Nino phenomenon in Peru

El Nino is an extreme weather event featuring unusual warming of surface waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. This phenomenon is characterized by heavy rains and floods that negatively affect the economic activities of the impacted areas. Understanding how this phenomenon influences consumption behavior at different granularity levels is essential for recommending strategies to normalize the situation. With this aim, we performed a multi-scale analysis of data associated with bank transactions involving credit and debit cards. Our findings can be summarized into two main results: Coarse-grained analysis reveals the presence of the El Ni\~no phenomenon and the recovery time in a given territory, while fine-grained analysis demonstrates a change in individuals' purchasing patterns and in merchant relevance as a consequence of the climatic event. The results also indicate that society successfully withstood the natural disaster owing to the economic structure built over time. In this study, we present a new method that may be useful for better characterizing future extreme events.

cs.SI

Estimation of Static and Dynamic Urban Populations with Mobile Network Metadata

Communication-enabled devices routinely carried by individuals have become pervasive, opening unprecedented opportunities for collecting digital metadata about the mobility of large populations. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology for the estimation of people density at metropolitan scales, using subscriber presence metadata collected by a mobile operator. Our approach suits the estimation of static population densities, i.e., of the distribution of dwelling units per urban area contained in traditional censuses. More importantly, it enables the estimation of dynamic population densities, i.e., the time-varying distributions of people in a conurbation. By leveraging substantial real-world mobile network metadata and ground-truth information, we demonstrate that the accuracy of our solution is superior to that granted by state-of-the-art methods in practical heterogeneous urban scenarios.

cs.NI

Stability and Performance of Coalitions of Prosumers Through Diversification in the Smart Grid

Achieving a successful energetic transition through a smarter and greener electricity grid is a major goal for the 21st century. It is assumed that such smart grids will be characterized by bidirectional electricity flows coupled with the use of small renewable generators and a proper efficient information system. All these bricks might enable end users to take part in the grid stability by injecting power, or by shaping their consumption against financial compensation. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that forms coalitions of agents, called prosumers, that both produce and consume. It is designed to be used by aggregators that aim at selling the aggregated surplus of production of the prosumers they control. We rely on real weather data sampled across stations of a given territory in order to simulate realistic production and consumption patterns for each prosumer. This approach enables us to capture geographical correlations among the agents while preserving the diversity due to different behaviors. As aggregators are bound to the grid operator by a contract, they seek to maximize their offer while minimizing their risk. The proposed graph based algorithm takes the underlying correlation structure of the agents into account and outputs coalitions with both high productivity and low variability. We show then that the resulting diversified coalitions are able to generate higher benefits on a constrained energy market, and are more resilient to random failures of the agents.

cs.MA

Population estimation from mobile network traffic metadata

Smartphones and other mobile devices are today pervasive across the globe. As an interesting side effect of the surge in mobile communications, mobile network operators can now easily collect a wealth of high-resolution data on the habits of large user populations. The information extracted from mobile network traffic data is very relevant in the context of population mapping: it provides a tool for the automatic and live estimation of population densities, overcoming the limitations of traditional data sources such as censuses and surveys. In this paper, we propose a new approach to infer population densities at urban scales, based on aggregated mobile network traffic metadata. Our approach allows estimating both static and dynamic populations, achieves a significant improvement in terms of accuracy with respect to state-of-the-art solutions in the literature, and is validated on different city scenarios.

cs.NI

CT-Mapper: Mapping Sparse Multimodal Cellular Trajectories using a Multilayer Transportation Network

Mobile phone data have recently become an attractive source of information about mobility behavior. Since cell phone data can be captured in a passive way for a large user population, they can be harnessed to collect well-sampled mobility information. In this paper, we propose CT-Mapper, an unsupervised algorithm that enables the mapping of mobile phone traces over a multimodal transport network. One of the main strengths of CT-Mapper is its capability to map noisy sparse cellular multimodal trajectories over a multilayer transportation network where the layers have different physical properties and not only to map trajectories associated with a single layer. Such a network is modeled by a large multilayer graph in which the nodes correspond to metro/train stations or road intersections and edges correspond to connections between them. The mapping problem is modeled by an unsupervised HMM where the observations correspond to sparse user mobile trajectories and the hidden states to the multilayer graph nodes. The HMM is unsupervised as the transition and emission probabilities are inferred using respectively the physical transportation properties and the information on the spatial coverage of antenna base stations. To evaluate CT-Mapper we collected cellular traces with their corresponding GPS trajectories for a group of volunteer users in Paris and vicinity (France). We show that CT-Mapper is able to accurately retrieve the real cell phone user paths despite the sparsity of the observed trace trajectories. Furthermore our transition probability model is up to 20% more accurate than other naive models.

cs.SI

Network planning tool based on network classification and load prediction

Real Call Detail Records (CDR) are analyzed and classified based on Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm. The daily classification results in three traffic classes. We use two different algorithms, K-means and SVM to check the classification efficiency. A second support vector regression (SVR) based algorithm is built to make an online prediction of traffic load using the history of CDRs. Then, these algorithms will be integrated to a network planning tool which will help cellular operators on planning optimally their access network.

cs.NI

Large Scale Model for Information Dissemination with Device to Device Communication using Call Details Records

In a network of devices in close proximity such as Device to Device ($D2D$) communication, we study the dissemination of public safety information at country scale level. In order to provide a realistic model for the information dissemination, we extract a spatial distribution of the population of Ivory Coast from census data and determine migration pattern from the Call Detail Records ($CDR$) obtained during the Data for Development ($D4D$) challenge. We later apply epidemic model towards the information dissemination process based on the spatial properties of the user mobility extracted from the provided $CDR$. We then propose enhancements by adding latent states to the epidemic model in order to model more realistic user dynamics. Finally, we study dynamics of the evolution of the information spreading through the population.

cs.NI

Coalition Formation Algorithm of Prosumers in a Smart Grid Environment

In a smart grid environment, we study coalition formation of prosumers that aim at entering the energy market. It is paramount for the grid operation that the energy producers are able to sustain the grid demand in terms of stability and minimum production requirement. We design an algorithm that seeks to form coalitions that will meet both of these requirements: a minimum energy level for the coalitions and a steady production level which leads to finding uncorrelated sources of energy to form a coalition. We propose an algorithm that uses graph tools such as correlation graphs or clique percolation to form coalitions that meet such complex constraints. We validate the algorithm against a random procedure and show that, it not only performs better in term of social welfare for the power grid, but also that it is more robust against unforeseen production variations due to changing weather conditions for instance.

cs.GT

A survey on Human Mobility and its applications

Human Mobility has attracted attentions from different fields of studies such as epidemic modeling, traffic engineering, traffic prediction and urban planning. In this survey we review major characteristics of human mobility studies including from trajectory-based studies to studies using graph and network theory. In trajectory-based studies statistical measures such as jump length distribution and radius of gyration are analyzed in order to investigate how people move in their daily life, and if it is possible to model this individual movements and make prediction based on them. Using graph in mobility studies, helps to investigate the dynamic behavior of the system, such as diffusion and flow in the network and makes it easier to estimate how much one part of the network influences another by using metrics like centrality measures. We aim to study population flow in transportation networks using mobility data to derive models and patterns, and to develop new applications in predicting phenomena such as congestion. Human Mobility studies with the new generation of mobility data provided by cellular phone networks, arise new challenges such as data storing, data representation, data analysis and computation complexity. A comparative review of different data types used in current tools and applications of Human Mobility studies leads us to new approaches for dealing with mentioned challenges.

cs.SI