arXiv subjects

Vo Hong Thanh

Publications and source records attributed to Vo Hong Thanh.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Beyond time-homogeneity for continuous-time multistate Markov models

Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over time, as is often the case in longitudinal medical data, for example. Assuming that a continuous-time Markov process is time-homogeneous, a closed-form likelihood function can be derived from the Kolmogorov forward equations -- a system of differential equations with a well-known matrix-exponential solution. Unfortunately, however, the forward equations do not admit an analytical solution for continuous-time, time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, and so researchers and practitioners often make the simplifying assumption that the process is piecewise time-homogeneous. In this paper, we provide intuitions and illustrations of the potential biases for parameter estimation that may ensue in the more realistic scenario that the piecewise-homogeneous assumption is violated, and we advocate for a solution for likelihood computation in a truly time-inhomogeneous fashion. Particular focus is afforded to the context of multistate Markov models that allow for state label misclassifications, which applies more broadly to hidden Markov models (HMMs), and Bayesian computations bypass the necessity for computationally demanding numerical gradient approximations for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs). Supplemental materials are available online.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2021

Cotranscriptional kinetic folding of RNA secondary structures including pseudoknots

Computational prediction of RNA structures is an important problem in computational structural biology. Studies of RNA structure formation often assume that the process starts from a fully synthesized sequence. Experimental evidence, however, has shown that RNA folds concurrently with its elongation. We investigate RNA secondary structure formation, including pseudoknots, that takes into account the cotranscriptional effects. We propose a single-nucleotide resolution kinetic model of the folding process of RNA molecules, where the polymerase-driven elongation of an RNA strand by a new nucleotide is included as a primitive operation, together with a stochastic simulation method that implements this folding concurrently with the transcriptional synthesis. Numerical case studies show that our cotranscriptional RNA folding model can predict the formation of conformations that are favored in actual biological systems. Our new computational tool can thus provide quantitative predictions and offer useful insights into the kinetics of RNA folding.

q-bio.BM↗

arXiv2018

Efficient Finite Difference Method for Computing Sensitivities of Biochemical Reactions

Sensitivity analysis of biochemical reactions aims at quantifying the dependence of the reaction dynamics on the reaction rates. The computation of the parameter sensitivities, however, poses many computational challenges when taking stochastic noise into account. This paper proposes a new finite difference method for efficiently computing sensitivities of biochemical reactions. We employ propensity bounds of reactions to couple the simulation of the nominal and perturbed processes. The exactness of the simulation is reserved by applying the rejection-based mechanism. For each simulation step, the nominal and perturbed processes under our coupling strategy are synchronized and often jump together, increasing their positive correlation and hence reducing the variance of the estimator. The distinctive feature of our approach in comparison with existing coupling approaches is that it only needs to maintain a single data structure storing propensity bounds of reactions during the simulation of the nominal and perturbed processes. Our approach allows to computing sensitivities of many reaction rates simultaneously. Moreover, the data structure does not require to be updated frequently, hence improving the computational cost. This feature is especially useful when applied to large reaction networks. We benchmark our method on biological reaction models to prove its applicability and efficiency.

q-bio.MN↗