Planning Waste-to-Energy-Coupled AI Data Centers Through Grade-Matched Cooling and Corridor Screening
AI data-center growth is increasingly constrained by limited deliverable electricity, interconnection capacity, and cooling demand. This study develops a boundary-consistent screening framework for waste-to-energy (WtE)-coupled AI data-center cooling. It treats cooling as an energy service that can be supplied through grade matching rather than only through electricity-driven mechanical chilling. The framework translates plant-side exportable heat into corridor-level planning metrics by accounting for thermal attenuation, absorption conversion, and parasitic electricity for delivery and auxiliaries. In a reference case, a regulated WtE plant processing 1500 t/day of municipal solid waste at 10 MJ/kg provides about 78.1 MWth of exportable heat. At a 20 km corridor, this yields about 53.0 MW of delivered cooling and 8.0 MWe of net avoided cooling electricity after parasitic loads. The coupled system is governed by operating regimes rather than a single efficiency score. Under baseline assumptions, full thermal coverage extends to about 20.9 km, the quality-adjusted criterion remains positive to about 22.9 km, and net electricity relief remains positive to about 44.7 km. For a 1 GW IT campus at 70 percent utilization and a 5 km corridor, net grid relief ranges from about 116.9 to 264.4 MW across scenarios. The required WtE footprint ranges from about 3 to 148 representative plants, or 0.6 to 40 full-load-equivalent plants at a 25 percent displacement target. The framework identifies when WtE-coupled cooling is corridor-feasible, when hybrid operation is required, and when infrastructure scale becomes the binding constraint. It is intended for screening and comparison, not project-specific hydraulic or plant-cycle design.