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Wolfgang Schadner

Publications and source records attributed to Wolfgang Schadner.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

An Explicit Solution to Black-Scholes Implied Volatility

Black-Scholes implied volatility is a quantile. The insight follows from the normalized option price being a probability on the variance scale, with the inverse Gaussian distribution providing the link. It enables analytically exact and explicit formulas for implied volatility in terms of existing quantile functions, with volatility on the left-hand side and only observable option inputs on the right-hand side. The result is not another approximation or asymptotic expansion. Instead, it rewrites the price-to-volatility map itself as a distributional transform. The representation gives implied volatility a first-passage-time interpretation, identifies variance as the natural coordinate of inversion, and reorganizes Greeks and no-arbitrage restrictions in the same variance-quantile coordinates. Numerically, the formula achieves machine precision faster than a state-of-the-art solver in the benchmark considered. The paper therefore provides a new coordinate system for computing, interpreting, and decomposing one of the central quantities in option markets.

q-fin.MF↗

Feasible Implied Correlation Matrices from Factor Structures

Forward-looking correlations are of interest in different financial applications, including factor-based asset pricing, forecasting stock-price movements or pricing index options. With a focus on non-FX markets, this paper defines necessary conditions for option implied correlation matrices to be mathematically and economically feasible and argues, that existing models are typically not capable of guaranteeing so. To overcome this difficulty, the problem is addressed from the underlying factor structure and introduces two approaches to solve it. Under the quantitative approach, the puzzle is reformulated into a nearest correlation matrix problem which can be used either as a stand-alone estimate or to re-establish positive-semi-definiteness of any other model's estimate. From an economic approach, it is discussed how expected correlations between stocks and risk factors (like CAPM, Fama-French) can be translated into a feasible implied correlation matrix. Empirical experiments are carried out on monthly option data of the S\&P 100 and S\&P 500 index (1996-2020).

q-fin.MF↗