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Xavier Warin

Publications and source records attributed to Xavier Warin.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Neural feedback approximation for stochastic control with degenerate diffusions: error estimates and numerical analysis

We study finite-horizon stochastic optimal control problems and approximate the resulting time-discrete formulation by a direct policy-learning problem over neural-network feedback maps. We prove a quantitative convergence estimate, in an averaged sense, for the error between the time-discrete value and the value induced by an approximately optimized neural policy. The bound separates the approximation of near-optimal feedback policies, the localization of stochastic trajectories on compact sets, and the optimization tolerance in training. The analysis does not require transition-density assumptions and covers possibly degenerate diffusions and deterministic controlled dynamics in a unified framework. Numerical experiments are provided for a degenerate stochastic radial target problem, a Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman benchmark, and a gas storage problem, illustrating the approach and separating the main error sources: time discretization, restriction to piecewise-constant policies, neural-network approximation, and Monte Carlo evaluation.

math.OC

Saddle Networks: Structure-Preserving Architectures for Convex-Concave Functions

Saddle-point models arise throughout optimization, optimal transport, robust learning, and control. In many applications, the relevant function f(x,y) is convex in x and concave in y, and preserving this geometry is essential for obtaining tractable min--max formulations and reliable certificates. We introduce a structured separable decomposition that preserves the convex-concave geometry and prove a complete one-dimensional approximation theorem under a mixed Monge-type convexity condition. We then describe practical saddle network architectures that preserve convexity in x and concavity in y by construction. The proposed architectures require only convexity-preserving neural networks, together with simple output transformations enforcing sign and concavity constraints. Finally, we report numerical benchmarks in dimension 1 and 5, showing that the proposed saddle networks achieve high accuracy on smooth, nonsmooth, and high-rank convex--concave test functions.

math.OC

Learning operators on labelled conditional distributions with applications to mean field control of non exchangeable systems

We study the approximation of operators acting on probability measures on a product space with prescribed marginal. Let $I$ be a label space endowed with a reference measure $\lambda$, and define $\cal M_\lambda$ as the set of probability measures on $I\times \mathbb{R}^d$ with first marginal $\lambda$. By disintegration, elements of $\cal M_\lambda$ correspond to families of labeled conditional distributions. Operators defined on this constrained measure space arise naturally in mean-field control problems with heterogeneous, non-exchangeable agents. Our main theoretical result establishes a universal approximation theorem for continuous operators on $\cal M_\lambda$. The proof combines cylindrical approximations of probability measures with DeepONet-type branch-trunk neural architecture, yielding finite-dimensional representations of such operators. We further introduce a sampling strategy for generating training measures in $\cal M_\lambda$, enabling practical learning of such conditional mean-field operators. We apply the method to the numerical resolution of mean-field control problems with heterogeneous interactions, thereby extending previous neural approaches developed for homogeneous (exchangeable) systems. Numerical experiments illustrate the accuracy and computational effectiveness of the proposed framework.

math.OC

Fast Gaussian process inference by exact Matérn kernel decomposition

To speed up Gaussian process inference, a number of fast kernel matrix-vector multiplication (MVM) approximation algorithms have been proposed over the years. In this paper, we establish an exact fast kernel MVM algorithm based on exact kernel decomposition into weighted empirical cumulative distribution functions, compatible with a class of kernels which includes multivariate Matérn kernels with half-integer smoothness parameter. This algorithm uses a divide-and-conquer approach, during which sorting outputs are stored in a data structure. We also propose a new algorithm to take into account some linear fixed effects predictor function. Our numerical experiments confirm that our algorithm is very effective for low-dimensional Gaussian process inference problems with hundreds of thousands of data points. An implementation of our algorithm is available at https://gitlab.com/warin/fastgaussiankernelregression.git.

stat.ML

Input Convex Kolmogorov Arnold Networks

This article presents an input convex neural network architecture using Kolmogorov-Arnold networks (ICKAN). Two specific networks are presented: the first is based on a low-order, linear-by-part, representation of functions, and a universal approximation theorem is provided. The second is based on cubic splines, for which only numerical results support convergence. We demonstrate on simple tests that these networks perform competitively with classical input convex neural networks (ICNNs). In a second part, we use the networks to solve some optimal transport problems needing a convex approximation of functions and demonstrate their effectiveness. Comparisons with ICNNs show that cubic ICKANs produce results similar to those of classical ICNNs.

stat.ML

Growth model with externalities for energetic transition via MFG with common external variable

This article introduces a novel mean-field game model for multi-sector economic growth in which a dynamically evolving externality, influenced by the collective actions of agents, plays a central role. Building on classical growth theories and integrating environmental considerations, the framework incorporates common noise to capture shared uncertainties among agents about the externality variable. We demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of a strong mean-field game equilibrium by reformulating the equilibrium conditions as a Forward-Backward Stochastic Differential Equation under the stochastic maximum principle and establishing a contraction argument to ensure a unique solution. We provide a numerical resolution for a specified model using a fixed-point approach combined with neural network approximations.

math.OC

Battery valuation on electricity intraday markets with liquidity costs

In this paper, we propose a complete modelling framework to value several batteries in the electricity intraday market at the trading session scale. The model consists of a stochastic model for the 24 mid-prices (one price per delivery hour) combined with a deterministic model for the liquidity costs (representing the cost of going deeper in the order book). A stochastic optimisation framework based on dynamic programming is used to calculate the value of the batteries. We carry out a back test for the years 2021, 2022 and 2023 for the German market and for the French market. We show that it is essential to take liquidity into account, especially when the number of batteries is large: it allows much higher profits and avoids high losses using our liquidity model. The use of our stochastic model for the mid-price also significantly improves the results (compared to a deterministic framework where the mid-price forecast is the spot price).

q-fin.TR

A spectral mixture representation of isotropic kernels with application to random Fourier features

Rahimi and Recht (2007) introduced the idea of decomposing positive definite shift-invariant kernels by randomly sampling from their spectral distribution for machine learning applications. This famous technique, known as Random Fourier Features (RFF), is in principle applicable to any such kernel whose spectral distribution can be identified and simulated. In practice, however, it is usually applied to the Gaussian kernel because of its simplicity, since its spectral distribution is also Gaussian. Clearly, simple spectral sampling formulas would be desirable for broader classes of kernels. In this paper, we show that the spectral distribution of positive definite isotropic kernels in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ for all $d\geq1$ can be decomposed as a scale mixture of $\alpha$-stable random vectors, and we identify the mixing distribution as a function of the kernel. This constructive decomposition provides a simple and ready-to-use spectral sampling formula for many multivariate positive definite shift-invariant kernels, including exponential power kernels, and generalized Cauchy kernels, as well as newly introduced kernels such as the generalized Mat\'ern, Tricomi, and Fox $H$ kernels. In particular, we retrieve the fact that the spectral distributions of these kernels, which can only be explicited in terms of the Fox $H$ special function, are scale mixtures of the multivariate Gaussian distribution, along with an explicit mixing distribution formula. This result has broad applications for support vector machines, kernel ridge regression, Gaussian processes, and other kernel-based machine learning techniques for which the random Fourier features technique is applicable.

cs.LG

P1-KAN: an effective Kolmogorov-Arnold network with application to hydraulic valley optimization

A new Kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN) is proposed to approximate potentially irregular functions in high dimensions. We provide error bounds for this approximation, assuming that the Kolmogorov-Arnold expansion functions are sufficiently smooth. When the function is only continuous, we also provide universal approximation theorems. We show that it outperforms multilayer perceptrons in terms of accuracy and convergence speed. We also compare it with several proposed KAN networks: it outperforms all networks for irregular functions and achieves similar accuracy to the original spline-based KAN network for smooth functions. Finally, we compare some of the KAN networks in optimizing a French hydraulic valley.

cs.LG

Representation results and error estimates for differential games with applications using neural networks

We study deterministic optimal control problems for differential games with finite horizon. We propose new approximations of the strategies in feedback form, and show error estimates and a convergence result of the value in some weak sense for one of the formulations. This result applies in particular to neural networks approximations. This work follows some ideas introduced in Bokanowski, Prost and Warin (PDEA, 2023) for deterministic optimal control problems, yet with a simplified approach for the error estimates, which allows to consider a global optimization scheme instead of a time-marching scheme. We also give a new approximation result between the continuous and the semi-discrete optimal control value in the game setting, improving the classical convergence order under some assumptions on the dynamical system. Numerical examples are performed on elementary academic problems related to backward reachability, with exact analytic solutions given, as well as a two-player game in presence of state constraints. We use stochastic gradient type algorithms in order to deal with the min-max problem.

math.OC

Deep learning algorithms for FBSDEs with jumps: Applications to option pricing and a MFG model for smart grids

In this paper, we introduce various machine learning solvers for (coupled) forward-backward systems of stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We provide a rigorous comparison of the different algorithms and demonstrate their effectiveness in various applications, such as cases derived from pricing with jumps and mean-field games. In particular, we show the efficiency of the deep-learning algorithms to solve a coupled multi-dimensional FBSDE system driven by a time-inhomogeneous jump process with stochastic intensity, which describes the Nash equilibria for a specific mean-field game (MFG) problem for which we also provide the complete theoretical resolution. More precisely, we develop an extension of the MFG model for smart grids introduced in Alasseur, Campi, Dumitrescu and Zeng (Annals of Operations Research, 2023) to the case when the random jump times correspond to the jump times of a doubly Poisson process. We first provide an existence result of an equilibria and derive its semi-explicit characterization in terms of a system of FBSDEs in the linear-quadratic setting. We then compare the MFG solution to the optimal strategy of a central planner and provide several numerical illustrations using the deep-learning solvers presented in the first part of the paper.

math.NA

Control randomisation approach for policy gradient and application to reinforcement learning in optimal switching

We propose a comprehensive framework for policy gradient methods tailored to continuous time reinforcement learning. This is based on the connection between stochastic control problems and randomised problems, enabling applications across various classes of Markovian continuous time control problems, beyond diffusion models, including e.g. regular, impulse and optimal stopping/switching problems. By utilizing change of measure in the control randomisation technique, we derive a new policy gradient representation for these randomised problems, featuring parametrised intensity policies. We further develop actor-critic algorithms specifically designed to address general Markovian stochastic control issues. Our framework is demonstrated through its application to optimal switching problems, with two numerical case studies in the energy sector focusing on real options.

math.OC

Mean-field neural networks-based algorithms for McKean-Vlasov control problems *

This paper is devoted to the numerical resolution of McKean-Vlasov control problems via the class of mean-field neural networks introduced in our companion paper [25] in order to learn the solution on the Wasserstein space. We propose several algorithms either based on dynamic programming with control learning by policy or value iteration, or backward SDE from stochastic maximum principle with global or local loss functions. Extensive numerical results on different examples are presented to illustrate the accuracy of each of our eight algorithms. We discuss and compare the pros and cons of all the tested methods.

math.OC

Mean-field neural networks: learning mappings on Wasserstein space

We study the machine learning task for models with operators mapping between the Wasserstein space of probability measures and a space of functions, like e.g. in mean-field games/control problems. Two classes of neural networks, based on bin density and on cylindrical approximation, are proposed to learn these so-called mean-field functions, and are theoretically supported by universal approximation theorems. We perform several numerical experiments for training these two mean-field neural networks, and show their accuracy and efficiency in the generalization error with various test distributions. Finally, we present different algorithms relying on mean-field neural networks for solving time-dependent mean-field problems, and illustrate our results with numerical tests for the example of a semi-linear partial differential equation in the Wasserstein space of probability measures.

math.OC

Actor critic learning algorithms for mean-field control with moment neural networks

We develop a new policy gradient and actor-critic algorithm for solving mean-field control problems within a continuous time reinforcement learning setting. Our approach leverages a gradient-based representation of the value function, employing parametrized randomized policies. The learning for both the actor (policy) and critic (value function) is facilitated by a class of moment neural network functions on the Wasserstein space of probability measures, and the key feature is to sample directly trajectories of distributions. A central challenge addressed in this study pertains to the computational treatment of an operator specific to the mean-field framework. To illustrate the effectiveness of our methods, we provide a comprehensive set of numerical results. These encompass diverse examples, including multi-dimensional settings and nonlinear quadratic mean-field control problems with controlled volatility.

stat.ML

A Common Shock Model for multidimensional electricity intraday price modelling with application to battery valuation

In this paper, we propose a multidimensional statistical model of intraday electricity prices at the scale of the trading session, which allows all products to be simulated simultaneously. This model, based on Poisson measures and inspired by the Common Shock Poisson Model, reproduces the Samuelson effect (intensity and volatility increases as time to maturity decreases). It also reproduces the price correlation structure, highlighted here in the data, which decreases as two maturities move apart. This model has only three parameters that can be estimated using a moment method that we propose here. We demonstrate the usefulness of the model on a case of storage valuation by dynamic programming over a trading session.

q-fin.ST

Reservoir optimization and Machine Learning methods

After showing the efficiency of feedforward networks to estimate control in high dimension in the global optimization of some storages problems, we develop a modification of an algorithm based on some dynamic programming principle. We show that classical feedforward networks are not effective to estimate Bellman values for reservoir problems and we propose some neural networks giving far better results. At last, we develop a new algorithm mixing LP resolution and conditional cuts calculated by neural networks to solve some stochastic linear problems.

math.OC

Quantile and moment neural networks for learning functionals of distributions

We study news neural networks to approximate function of distributions in a probability space. Two classes of neural networks based on quantile and moment approximation are proposed to learn these functions and are theoretically supported by universal approximation theorems. By mixing the quantile and moment features in other new networks, we develop schemes that outperform existing networks on numerical test cases involving univariate distributions. For bivariate distributions, the moment neural network outperforms all other networks.

stat.ML