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Xia Han

Publications and source records attributed to Xia Han.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Optimal Insurance Menu Design under the Expected-Value Premium Principle

This paper studies optimal insurance design under asymmetric information in a Stackelberg framework, where a monopolistic insurer faces uncertainty about both the insured's risk attitude, captured by a risk-aversion parameter, and the insured's risk type, characterized by the loss distribution. In particular, when the risk type is unobservable, we allow the risk-aversion parameter to depend on the risk type. We construct a menu of contracts that maximizes the mean-variance utilities of both parties under the expected-value premium principle, subject to a truth-telling constraint that ensures the truthful revelation of private information. We show that when risk attitude is private information, the optimal coverage takes the form of excess-of-loss insurance with linear pricing in terms of the risk loading (defined as the premium minus the expected loss), designed to screen risk preferences. In contrast, when risk type is unobserved, we restrict the coverage function to an excess-of-loss form and derive an ordinary differential equation that characterizes the optimal risk loading. Under mild conditions, we establish the existence and uniqueness of the solution. The results show that equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, implying that higher-risk individuals face lower risk loadings in order to induce self-selection. Finally, numerical illustrations demonstrate how parameter values and the distributions of unobserved heterogeneity affect the structure of optimal contracts and the resulting pricing schedule.

q-fin.RM

Pareto-optimal reinsurance under dependence uncertainty

This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk measures, called Range Value-at-Risk (RVaR), which includes both Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) as special cases. Recognizing the practical difficulty of accurately estimating the dependence structure among the insurers' losses, we adopt a robust optimization approach that assumes the marginal distributions are known while leaving the dependence structure unspecified. We provide a complete characterization of optimal indemnity schedules under the worst-case scenario, showing that the infinite-dimensional optimization problem can be reduced to a tractable finite-dimensional problem involving only two or three parameters for each indemnity function. Additionally, for independent and identically distributed risks, we exploit the argument of asymptotic normality to derive optimal two-parameter layer contracts. Finally, numerical applications are considered in a two-insurer setting to illustrate the influence of the dependence structures and heterogeneous risk tolerances on optimal strategies and the corresponding risk evaluation.

q-fin.RM

Robustness Assessment and Enhancement of Text Watermarking for Google's SynthID

Recent advances in LLM watermarking methods such as SynthID-Text by Google DeepMind offer promising solutions for tracing the provenance of AI-generated text. However, our robustness assessment reveals that SynthID-Text is vulnerable to meaning-preserving attacks, such as paraphrasing, copy-paste modifications, and back-translation, which can significantly degrade watermark detectability. To address these limitations, we propose SynGuard, a hybrid framework that combines the semantic alignment strength of Semantic Information Retrieval (SIR) with the probabilistic watermarking mechanism of SynthID-Text. Our approach jointly embeds watermarks at both lexical and semantic levels, enabling robust provenance tracking while preserving the original meaning. Experimental results across multiple attack scenarios show that SynGuard improves watermark recovery by an average of 11.1\% in F1 score compared to SynthID-Text. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of semantic-aware watermarking in resisting real-world tampering. All code, datasets, and evaluation scripts are publicly available at: https://github.com/githshine/SynGuard.

cs.CR

Higher-order Gini indices: An axiomatic approach

Via an axiomatic approach, we characterize the family of n-th order Gini deviation, defined as the expected range over n independent draws from a distribution, to quantify joint dispersion across multiple observations. This family extends the classical Gini deviation, which relies solely on pairwise comparisons. The normalized version is called a high-order Gini coefficient. The generalized indices grow increasingly sensitive to tail inequality as n increases, offering a more nuanced view of distributional extremes. The higher-order Gini deviations admit a Choquet integral representation, inheriting the desirable properties of coherent deviation measures. Furthermore, we show that both the n-th order Gini deviation and the n-th order Gini coefficient are statistically n-observation elicitable, allowing for direct computation through empirical risk minimization. Data analysis using World Inequality Database data reveals that higher-order Gini coefficients capture disparities that the classical Gini coefficient may fail to reflect, particularly in cases of extreme income or wealth concentration.

q-fin.MF

Empirical estimator of diversification quotient

The Diversification Quotient (DQ), introduced by Han et al. (2025), is a recently proposed measure of portfolio diversification that quantifies the reduction in a portfolio's risk-level parameter attributable to diversification. Grounded in a rigorous theoretical framework, DQ effectively captures heavy tails, common shocks, and enhances efficiency in portfolio optimization. This paper further explores the convergence properties and asymptotic normality of empirical DQ estimators based on Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES), with explicit calculation of the asymptotic variance. In contrast to the diversification ratio (DR) proposed by Tasche (2007), which may exhibit diverging asymptotic variance due to its lack of location invariance, the DQ estimators demonstrate greater robustness under various distributional settings. We further verify their asymptotic properties under elliptical distributions through simulation, and construct confidence intervals for DQ estimates using AR-GARCH models with a residual-based bootstrap on real financial data. These results establish a solid statistical foundation for applying DQ in financial risk management and decision-making.

q-fin.RM

Dynamic reinsurance design with heterogeneous beliefs under the mean-variance framework

This paper investigates the dynamic reinsurance design problem under the mean-variance criterion, incorporating heterogeneous beliefs between the insurer and the reinsurer, and introducing an incentive compatibility constraint to address moral hazard. The insurer's surplus process is modeled using the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk model, with the option to invest in a risk-free asset. To solve the extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) system, we apply the partitioned domain optimization technique, transforming the infinite-dimensional optimization problem into a finite-dimensional one determined by several key parameters. The resulting optimal reinsurance contracts are more complex than the standard proportional and excess-of-loss contracts commonly studied in the mean-variance literature with homogeneous beliefs. By further assuming specific forms of belief heterogeneity, we derive the parametric solutions and obtain a clear optimal equilibrium solution. Finally, we compare our results with models where the insurer and reinsurer share identical beliefs or where the incentive compatibility constraint is relaxed. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the impact of belief heterogeneity on optimal reinsurance strategies.

math.OC

A non-zero-sum game with reinforcement learning under mean-variance framework

In this paper, we investigate a competitive market involving two agents who consider both their own wealth and the wealth gap with their opponent. Both agents can invest in a financial market consisting of a risk-free asset and a risky asset, under conditions where model parameters are partially or completely unknown. This setup gives rise to a non-zero-sum differential game within the framework of reinforcement learning (RL). Each agent aims to maximize his own Choquet-regularized, time-inconsistent mean-variance objective. Adopting the dynamic programming approach, we derive a time-consistent Nash equilibrium strategy in a general incomplete market setting. Under the additional assumption of a Gaussian mean return model, we obtain an explicit analytical solution, which facilitates the development of a practical RL algorithm. Notably, the proposed algorithm achieves uniform convergence, even though the conventional policy improvement theorem does not apply to the equilibrium policy. Numerical experiments demonstrate the robustness and effectiveness of the algorithm, underscoring its potential for practical implementation.

math.OC

Diversification quotient based on expectiles

A diversification quotient (DQ) quantifies diversification in stochastic portfolio models based on a family of risk measures. We study DQ based on expectiles, offering a useful alternative to conventional risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES). The expectile-based DQ admits simple formulas and has a natural connection to the Omega ratio. Moreover, the expectile-based DQ is not affected by small-sample issues faced by VaR-based or ES-based DQ due to the scarcity of tail data. The expectile-based DQ exhibits pseudo-convexity in portfolio weights, allowing gradient descent algorithms for portfolio selection. We show that the corresponding optimization problem can be efficiently solved using linear programming techniques in real-data applications. Explicit formulas for DQ based on expectiles are also derived for elliptical and multivariate regularly varying distribution models. Our findings enhance the understanding of the DQ's role in financial risk management and highlight its potential to improve portfolio construction strategies.

q-fin.PM

Optimal insurance design with Lambda-Value-at-Risk

This paper explores optimal insurance solutions based on the Lambda-Value-at-Risk ($\Lambda\VaR$). If the expected value premium principle is used, our findings confirm that, similar to the VaR model, a truncated stop-loss indemnity is optimal in the $\Lambda\VaR$ model. We further provide a closed-form expression of the deductible parameter under certain conditions. Moreover, we study the use of a $\Lambda'\VaR$ as premium principle as well, and show that full or no insurance is optimal. Dual stop-loss is shown to be optimal if we use a $\Lambda'\VaR$ only to determine the risk-loading in the premium principle. Moreover, we study the impact of model uncertainty, considering situations where the loss distribution is unknown but falls within a defined uncertainty set. Our findings indicate that a truncated stop-loss indemnity is optimal when the uncertainty set is based on a likelihood ratio. However, when uncertainty arises from the first two moments of the loss variable, we provide the closed-form optimal deductible in a stop-loss indemnity.

q-fin.RM

Robust Lambda-quantiles and extremal distributions

In this paper, we investigate the robust models for $\Lambda$-quantiles with partial information regarding the loss distribution, where $\Lambda$-quantiles extend the classical quantiles by replacing the fixed probability level with a probability/loss function $\Lambda$. We find that, under some assumptions, the robust $\Lambda$-quantiles equal the $\Lambda$-quantiles of the extremal distributions. This finding allows us to obtain the robust $\Lambda$-quantiles by applying the results of robust quantiles in the literature. Our results are applied to uncertainty sets characterized by three different constraints respectively: moment constraints, probability distance constraints via the Wasserstein metric, and marginal constraints in risk aggregation. We obtain some explicit expressions for robust $\Lambda$-quantiles by deriving the extremal distributions for each uncertainty set. These results are applied to optimal portfolio selection under model uncertainty.

q-fin.MF

Optimal insurance with mean-deviation measures

This paper studies an optimal insurance contracting problem in which the preferences of the decision maker given by the sum of the expected loss and a convex, increasing function of a deviation measure. As for the deviation measure, our focus is on convex signed Choquet integrals (such as the Gini coefficient and a convex distortion risk measure minus the expected value) and on the standard deviation. We find that if the expected value premium principle is used, then stop-loss indemnities are optimal, and we provide a precise characterization of the corresponding deductible. Moreover, if the premium principle is based on Value-at-Risk or Expected Shortfall, then a particular layer-type indemnity is optimal, in which there is coverage for small losses up to a limit, and additionally for losses beyond another deductible. The structure of these optimal indemnities remains unchanged if there is a limit on the insurance premium budget. If the unconstrained solution is not feasible, then the deductible is increased to make the budget constraint binding. We provide several examples of these results based on the Gini coefficient and the standard deviation.

q-fin.RM

Monotonic mean-deviation risk measures

Mean-deviation models, along with the existing theory of coherent risk measures, are well studied in the literature. In this paper, we characterize monotonic mean-deviation (risk) measures from a general mean-deviation model by applying a risk-weighting function to the deviation part. The form is a combination of the deviation-related functional and the expectation, and such measures belong to the class of consistent risk measures. The monotonic mean-deviation measures admit an axiomatic foundation via preference relations. By further assuming the convexity and linearity of the risk-weighting function, the characterizations for convex and coherent risk measures are obtained, giving rise to many new explicit examples of convex and nonconvex consistent risk measures. Further, we specialize in the convex case of the monotonic mean-deviation measure and obtain its dual representation. The worst-case values of the monotonic mean-deviation measures are analyzed under two popular settings of model uncertainty. Further, we establish asymptotic consistency and normality of the natural estimators of the monotonic mean-deviation measures.Finally, the monotonic mean-deviation measures are applied to a problem of portfolio selection using financial data.

q-fin.RM

Exploratory mean-variance portfolio selection with Choquet regularizers

In this paper, we study a continuous-time exploratory mean-variance (EMV) problem under the framework of reinforcement learning (RL), and the Choquet regularizers are used to measure the level of exploration. By applying the classical Bellman principle of optimality, the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation of the EMV problem is derived and solved explicitly via maximizing statically a mean-variance constrained Choquet regularizer. In particular, the optimal distributions form a location-scale family, whose shape depends on the choices of the Choquet regularizer. We further reformulate the continuous-time Choquet-regularized EMV problem using a variant of the Choquet regularizer. Several examples are given under specific Choquet regularizers that generate broadly used exploratory samplers such as exponential, uniform and Gaussian. Finally, we design a RL algorithm to simulate and compare results under the two different forms of regularizers.

math.OC

Multilinear $\theta$-type Calderon--Zygmund operators and their commutators on products of weighted amalgam spaces

In this paper, we first introduce several new classes of weighted amalgam spaces. Then we discuss both strong type and weak type estimates for certain multilinear $\theta$-type Calder\'on--Zygmund operators $T_\theta$ recently introduced in the literature on products of these spaces with multiple weights. Furthermore, the strong type and weak end-point estimates for both multilinear commutators and iterated commutators of $T_\theta$ and pointwise multiplication with BMO functions are established as well.

math.CA

Multilinear $\theta$-type Calder\'on--Zygmund operators and commutators on products of weighted Morrey spaces

In this paper, we consider the boundedness properties of multilinear $\theta$-type Calder\'on--Zygmund operators $T_\theta$ recently introduced in the literature. First, we prove strong type and weak type estimates for multilinear $\theta$-type Calder\'on--Zygmund operators on products of weighted Morrey spaces with multiple weights. Then we discuss strong type estimates for both multilinear commutators and iterated commutators of $T_\theta$ on products of these spaces with multiple weights. Furthermore, the weak end-point estimates for commutators of $T_\theta$ and pointwise multiplication with functions in bounded mean oscillation are established too.

math.CA

Diversification quotients based on VaR and ES

The diversification quotient (DQ) is recently introduced for quantifying the degree of diversification of a stochastic portfolio model. It has an axiomatic foundation and can be defined through a parametric class of risk measures. Since the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the most prominent risk measures widely used in both banking and insurance, we investigate DQ constructed from VaR and ES in this paper. In particular, for the popular models of elliptical and multivariate regular varying (MRV) distributions, explicit formulas are available. The portfolio optimization problems for the elliptical and MRV models are also studied. Our results further reveal favourable features of DQ, both theoretically and practically, compared to traditional diversification indices based on a single risk measure.

q-fin.RM

Choquet regularization for reinforcement learning

We propose \emph{Choquet regularizers} to measure and manage the level of exploration for reinforcement learning (RL), and reformulate the continuous-time entropy-regularized RL problem of Wang et al. (2020, JMLR, 21(198)) in which we replace the differential entropy used for regularization with a Choquet regularizer. We derive the Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation of the problem, and solve it explicitly in the linear--quadratic (LQ) case via maximizing statically a mean--variance constrained Choquet regularizer. Under the LQ setting, we derive explicit optimal distributions for several specific Choquet regularizers, and conversely identify the Choquet regularizers that generate a number of broadly used exploratory samplers such as $\epsilon$-greedy, exponential, uniform and Gaussian.

stat.ML

Diversification quotients: Quantifying diversification via risk measures

We establish the first axiomatic theory for diversification indices using six intuitive axioms: non-negativity, location invariance, scale invariance, rationality, normalization, and continuity. The unique class of indices satisfying these axioms, called the diversification quotients (DQs), are defined based on a parametric family of risk measures. A further axiom of portfolio convexity pins down DQ based on coherent risk measures. DQ has many attractive properties, and it can address several theoretical and practical limitations of existing indices. In particular, for the popular risk measures Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall, the corresponding DQ admits simple formulas and it is efficient to optimize in portfolio selection. Moreover, it can properly capture tail heaviness and common shocks, which are neglected by traditional diversification indices. When illustrated with financial data, DQ is intuitive to interpret, and its performance is competitive against other diversification indices.

q-fin.RM