SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Xiaohong Gu

Publications and source records attributed to Xiaohong Gu.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Statistical and Deep Learning Approaches for Predicting Degradation of Polymeric Materials in Photovoltaics

Polymeric materials are widely used in photovoltaic (PV) systems, making it essential to understand their service life to ensure reliable PV performance. The primary failure mechanism of polymeric materials in PV systems is photodegradation caused by ultraviolet (UV) radiation. Degradation modeling provides a framework for predicting service life, with a key step being the development of predictive models for degradation paths. This paper presents statistical and machine learning approaches for predicting the outdoor degradation of polymeric components in PV systems. We describe the study design and data collection process for developing predictive models based on indoor laboratory testing data, which are then extended to outdoor field conditions with time-varying environmental variables, with prediction uncertainty quantified through simulation. Deep learning (DL) methods are also explored, and results are compared across modeling approaches. The parametric statistical model demonstrates good fit and predictive performance across datasets and shows greater robustness by incorporating physical and chemical knowledge. The DL model provides flexibility in capturing complex covariate relationships and often yields accurate predictions, though it is less robust across datasets. The paper concludes with remarks on key findings and their implications for PV reliability.

stat.AP

From Physician Expertise to Clinical Agents: Preserving, Standardizing, and Scaling Physicians' Medical Expertise with Lightweight LLM

Medicine is an empirical discipline refined through long-term observation and the messy, high-variance reality of clinical practice. Physicians build diagnostic and therapeutic competence through repeated cycles of application, reflection, and improvement, forming individualized methodologies. Yet outcomes vary widely, and master physicians' knowledge systems are slow to develop and hard to transmit at scale, contributing to the scarcity of high-quality clinical expertise. To address this, we propose Med-Shicheng, a general framework that enables large language models to systematically learn and transfer distinguished physicians' diagnostic-and-therapeutic philosophy and case-dependent adaptation rules in a standardized way. Built on Tianyi, Med-Shicheng consists of five stages. We target five National Masters of Chinese Medicine or distinguished TCM physicians, curate multi-source materials, and train a single model to internalize all five knowledge systems across seven tasks, including etiology-pathogenesis analysis, syndrome diagnosis, treatment principle selection, prescription generation, prescription explanation, symptom evolution with regimen adjustment, and clinical advice. Implemented on Qwen2.5-1.5B-Base, Med-Shicheng runs on resource-constrained GPUs while achieving performance comparable to DeepSeek-R1 and GPT-5. We also examine the reliability of LLM-as-a-judge versus physician evaluation: automated judging tracks overall trends but shows bias on fine-grained individualized distinctions, highlighting the need for physician involvement when ground truth is unavailable and for domain-adapted judge models.

cs.CL

Tianyi: A Traditional Chinese Medicine all-rounder language model and its Real-World Clinical Practice

Natural medicines, particularly Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), are gaining global recognition for their therapeutic potential in addressing human symptoms and diseases. TCM, with its systematic theories and extensive practical experience, provides abundant resources for healthcare. However, the effective application of TCM requires precise syndrome diagnosis, determination of treatment principles, and prescription formulation, which demand decades of clinical expertise. Despite advancements in TCM-based decision systems, machine learning, and deep learning research, limitations in data and single-objective constraints hinder their practical application. In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated potential in complex tasks, but lack specialization in TCM and face significant challenges, such as too big model scale to deploy and issues with hallucination. To address these challenges, we introduce Tianyi with 7.6-billion-parameter LLM, a model scale proper and specifically designed for TCM, pre-trained and fine-tuned on diverse TCM corpora, including classical texts, expert treatises, clinical records, and knowledge graphs. Tianyi is designed to assimilate interconnected and systematic TCM knowledge through a progressive learning manner. Additionally, we establish TCMEval, a comprehensive evaluation benchmark, to assess LLMs in TCM examinations, clinical tasks, domain-specific question-answering, and real-world trials. The extensive evaluations demonstrate the significant potential of Tianyi as an AI assistant in TCM clinical practice and research, bridging the gap between TCM knowledge and practical application.

cs.CL

Development of an Accelerated Test Methodology to the Predict Service Life of Polymeric Materials Subject to Outdoor Weathering

Service life prediction is of great importance to manufacturers of coatings and other polymeric materials. Photodegradation, driven primarily by ultraviolet (UV) radiation, is the primary cause of failure for organic paints and coatings, as well as many other products made from polymeric materials exposed to sunlight. Traditional methods of service life prediction involve the use of outdoor exposure in harsh UV environments (e.g., Florida and Arizona). Such tests, however, require too much time (generally many years) to do an evaluation. Non-scientific attempts to simply "speed up the clock" result in incorrect predictions. This paper describes the statistical methods that were developed for a scientifically-based approach to using laboratory accelerated tests to produce timely predictions of outdoor service life. The approach involves careful experimentation and identifying a physics/chemistry-motivated model that will adequately describe photodegradation paths of polymeric materials. The model incorporates the effects of explanatory variables UV spectrum, UV intensity, temperature, and humidity. We use a nonlinear mixed-effects model to describe the sample paths. The methods are illustrated with accelerated laboratory test data for a model epoxy coating. The validity of the methodology is checked by extending our model to allow for dynamic covariates and comparing predictions with specimens that were exposed in an outdoor environment where the explanatory variables are uncontrolled but recorded.

stat.AP