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Xiaojian Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Xiaojian Zhang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Design and Validation of a Grid-based Home Detection via Stay-Time (GHOST) Software for Mobile Location Data

Accurately detecting home locations from GPS data generated by mobile devices is a foundational step in human mobility research, with significant implications for transportation planning, public health, and emergency response. However, existing home detection algorithms often produce unreliable results for noisy real-world data and are barely validated due to a lack of ground-truth benchmarks. To tackle these limitations, this study presents the development and validation of a Grid-based home detection via Stay-Time (GHOST) algorithm, implemented as an open-source Python package. The algorithm infers proxy home locations by identifying the most frequently visited nighttime or weekend daytime grid cells based on customizable spatial and temporal filters. To validate its performance, we use the large-scale BostonWalks dataset, which includes over 155,000 trips from 377 participants in the Boston metropolitan area, to test robustness to noisy data. Additionally, we collected a ground-truth dataset for ten volunteers across different regions in the U.S., including Florida, Mississippi, and Colorado, along with their self-reported home coordinates, to evaluate GHOST across diverse mobility patterns and sampling conditions. We compared GHOST accuracy to that of 5 well-established home detection algorithms: All-time clustering method, Stay-point method, DBSCAN, K-MEANS++, and SciKit-Mobility Home Detection, across multiple parameter settings. Results show that GHOST outperforms all algorithms in accuracy and robustness, with average errors as low as 22.3 meters under optimal configurations. Our findings highlight the high accuracy and flexibility of our algorithm, with grid size being the most influential parameter during validation, demonstrating the potential of this algorithm for real-world mobile location data analysis.

stat.AP↗

QwenPaw-Data: Bridging Facts, Methodology, and Execution for Autonomous Enterprise Data Analytics

Enterprise data analysis is emerging as a distinct frontier for autonomous agents. Compared with general-purpose interaction and software engineering, it operates in an open, ambiguous, and continuously evolving environment. These characteristics call for a data-agent architecture that treats semantics, methodology, execution, and evolution as first-class system concerns. To this end, we introduce QwenPaw-Data, an agentic data system designed for enterprise intelligent data analysis. QwenPaw-Data consolidates heterogeneous assets from warehouses, dashboards, documents, interaction logs, and historical tasks into reusable, governable, and evolvable analysis assets, then turns natural-language requests into end-to-end analytical workflows spanning data understanding, retrieval, analysis, report generation, and decision support. Its architecture decomposes the problem into three collaborative subsystems: DataBridge provides trustworthy semantic grounding through interconnected metadata, knowledge, and trace graphs; Skill-Hub codifies expert analytical methodology into reusable and verifiable skills; and Host materializes these evidence and method assets into controllable, artifact-centric runtime execution. Across these subsystems, semantics, methods, traces, and feedback are continuously deposited back into the system, forming a self-evolving asset flywheel. Experiments on public benchmarks and real-world industrial BI workloads show that QwenPaw-Data improves both verifiable data access capability and higher-level analytical quality, offering a practical foundation for reliable, traceable, and continuously improving enterprise data agents.

cs.AI↗

Evacuation destination choices during Hurricane Ian: A direct demand modeling approach

Hurricanes are causing unprecedented damage to the natural environment, infrastructure, and communities. Understanding evacuation behavior is essential for improving emergency preparedness. Past studies have relied on surveys and interviews, which are prone to recall bias. Additionally, they urge incorporating social vulnerability in evacuation research, emphasizing its impact on evacuation capability and destination choice. This study addresses these gaps by analyzing evacuation behavior using mobile device location data from Hurricane Ian, one of Florida's deadliest hurricanes, and directly incorporating variables from the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) into a zone-to-zone (census tract level) evacuation demand model. We find that vehicle availability, residence in group quarters, road density, and English proficiency have significant effects on evacuation demand, shaping both the ability to evacuate from origin tracts and the attractiveness of destination tracts. Travel impedance, measured as distance, also plays a significant role, with evacuees substantially less likely to travel longer distances.

stat.AP↗

Harnessing Rich Multi-Modal Data for Spatial-Temporal Homophily-Embedded Graph Learning Across Domains and Localities

Modern cities are increasingly reliant on data-driven insights to support decision making in areas such as transportation, public safety and environmental impact. However, city-level data often exists in heterogeneous formats, collected independently by local agencies with diverse objectives and standards. Despite their numerous, wide-ranging, and uniformly consumable nature, national-level datasets exhibit significant heterogeneity and multi-modality. This research proposes a heterogeneous data pipeline that performs cross-domain data fusion over time-varying, spatial-varying and spatial-varying time-series datasets. We aim to address complex urban problems across multiple domains and localities by harnessing the rich information over 50 data sources. Specifically, our data-learning module integrates homophily from spatial-varying dataset into graph-learning, embedding information of various localities into models. We demonstrate the generalizability and flexibility of the framework through five real-world observations using a variety of publicly accessible datasets (e.g., ride-share, traffic crash, and crime reports) collected from multiple cities. The results show that our proposed framework demonstrates strong predictive performance while requiring minimal reconfiguration when transferred to new localities or domains. This research advances the goal of building data-informed urban systems in a scalable way, addressing one of the most pressing challenges in smart city analytics.

cs.LG↗

Synthesizing Attitudes, Predicting Actions (SAPA): Behavioral Theory-Guided LLMs for Ridesourcing Mode Choice Modeling

Accurate modeling of ridesourcing mode choices is essential for designing and implementing effective traffic management policies for reducing congestion, improving mobility, and allocating resources more efficiently. Existing models for predicting ridesourcing mode choices often suffer from limited predictive accuracy due to their inability to capture key psychological factors, and are further challenged by severe class imbalance, as ridesourcing trips comprise only a small fraction of individuals' daily travel. To address these limitations, this paper introduces the Synthesizing Attitudes, Predicting Actions (SAPA) framework, a hierarchical approach that uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to synthesize theory-grounded latent attitudes to predict ridesourcing choices. SAPA first uses an LLM to generate qualitative traveler personas from raw travel survey data and then trains a propensity-score model on demographic and behavioral features, enriched by those personas, to produce an individual-level score. Next, the LLM assigns quantitative scores to theory-driven latent variables (e.g., time and cost sensitivity), and a final classifier integrates the propensity score, latent-variable scores (with their interaction terms), and observable trip attributes to predict ridesourcing mode choice. Experiments on a large-scale, multi-year travel survey show that SAPA significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, improving ridesourcing choice predictions by up to 75.9% in terms of PR-AUC on a held-out test set. This study provides a powerful tool for accurately predicting ridesourcing mode choices, and provides a methodology that is readily transferable to various applications.

cs.AI↗

Crypto-Assisted Graph Degree Sequence Release under Local Differential Privacy

Given a graph $G$ defined in a domain $\mathcal{G}$, we investigate locally differentially private mechanisms to release a degree sequence on $\mathcal{G}$ that accurately approximates the actual degree distribution. Existing solutions for this problem mostly use graph projection techniques based on edge deletion process, using a threshold parameter $θ$ to bound node degrees. However, this approach presents a fundamental trade-off in threshold parameter selection. While large $θ$ values introduce substantial noise in the released degree sequence, small $θ$ values result in more edges removed than necessary. Furthermore, $θ$ selection leads to an excessive communication cost. To remedy existing solutions' deficiencies, we present CADR-LDP, an efficient framework incorporating encryption techniques and differentially private mechanisms to release the degree sequence. In CADR-LDP, we first use the crypto-assisted Optimal-$θ$-Selection method to select the optimal parameter with a low communication cost. Then, we use the LPEA-LOW method to add some edges for each node with the edge addition process in local projection. LPEA-LOW prioritizes the projection with low-degree nodes, which can retain more edges for such nodes and reduce the projection error. Theoretical analysis shows that CADR-LDP satisfies $ε$-node local differential privacy. The experimental results on eight graph datasets show that our solution outperforms existing methods.

cs.CR↗

Conformal Slit Mapping Based Spiral Tool Trajectory Planning for Ball-end Milling on Complex Freeform Surfaces

This study presents a spiral-based complete coverage strategy for ball-end milling on freeform surfaces, utilizing conformal slit mapping to generate milling trajectories that are more compact, smoother, and evenly distributed when machining 2D cavities with islands. This approach, an upgrade from traditional methods, extends the original algorithm to effectively address 3D perforated surface milling. Unlike conventional algorithms, the method embeds a continuous spiral trajectory within perforated surfaces without requiring cellular decomposition or additional boundaries. The proposed method addresses three primary challenges, including modifying conformal slit mapping for mesh surfaces, maintaining uniform scallop height between adjacent spiral trajectories, and optimizing the mapped origin point to ensure uniform scallop height distribution. To overcome these challenges, surface flattening techniques are incorporated into the original approach to accommodate mesh surfaces effectively. Tool path spacing is then optimized using a binary search strategy to regulate scallop height. A functional energy metric associated with scallop height uniformity is introduced for rapid evaluation of points mapped to the origin, with the minimum functional energy determined through perturbation techniques. The optimal placement of this point is identified using a modified gradient descent approach applied to the energy function. Validation on intricate surfaces, including low-quality and high-genus meshes, verifies the robustness of the algorithm. Surface milling experiments comparing this method with conventional techniques indicate a 15.63% improvement in scallop height uniformity while reducing machining time, average spindle impact, and spindle impact variance by up to 7.36%, 27.79%, and 55.98%, respectively.

cs.GR↗

Hurricane Evacuation Analysis with Large-scale Mobile Device Location Data during Hurricane Ian

Hurricane Ian is the deadliest and costliest hurricane in Florida's history, with 2.5 million people ordered to evacuate. As we witness increasingly severe hurricanes in the context of climate change, mobile device location data offers an unprecedented opportunity to study hurricane evacuation behaviors. With a terabyte-level GPS dataset, we introduce a holistic hurricane evacuation behavior algorithm with a case study of Ian: we infer evacuees' departure time and categorize them into different behavioral groups, including self, voluntary, mandatory, shadow and in-zone evacuees. Results show the landfall area (Fort Myers, Lee County) had lower out-of-zone but higher overall evacuation rate, while the predicted landfall area (Tampa, Hillsborough County) had the opposite, suggesting the effects of delayed evacuation order. Out-of-zone evacuation rates would increase from shore to inland. Spatiotemporal analysis identified three evacuation waves: during formation, before landfall, and after landfall. These insights are valuable for enhancing future disaster planning and management.

cs.CE↗

Spiral Complete Coverage Path Planning Based on Conformal Slit Mapping in Multi-connected Domains

The generation of smoother and shorter spiral complete coverage paths in multi-connected domains is a crucial research topic in path planning for robotic cavity machining and other related fields. Traditional methods for spiral path planning in multi-connected domains typically incorporate a subregion division procedure that leads to excessive subregion bridging, requiring longer, more sharply turning, and unevenly spaced spirals to achieve complete coverage. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel spiral complete coverage path planning method using conformal slit mapping. It takes advantage of the fact that conformal slit mapping can transform multi-connected domains into regular disks or annuluses without the need for subregion division. Firstly, a slit mapping calculation technique is proposed for segmented cubic spline boundaries with corners. Secondly, a spiral path spacing control method is developed based on the maximum inscribed circle radius between adjacent conformal slit mapping iso-parameters. Thirdly, the spiral coverage path is derived by offsetting iso-parameters. Numerical experiments indicate that our method shares a comparable order of magnitude in computation time with the traditional PDE-based spiral complete coverage path method, but it excels in optimizing total path length, smoothness, and spacing consistency. Finally, we performed experiments on cavity milling and dry runs to compare the new method with the traditional PDE-based method in terms of machining duration and steering impact, respectively. The comparison reveals that, with both algorithms achieving complete coverage, the new algorithm reduces machining time and steering impact by 12.34% and 22.78%, respectively, compared with the traditional PDE-based method.

cs.RO↗

Post-hurricane building damage assessment using street-view imagery and structured data: A multi-modal deep learning approach

Accurately assessing building damage is critical for disaster response and recovery. However, many existing models for detecting building damage have poor prediction accuracy due to their limited capabilities of identifying detailed, comprehensive structural and/or non-structural damage from the street-view image. Additionally, these models mainly rely on the imagery data for damage classification, failing to account for other critical information, such as wind speed, building characteristics, evacuation zones, and distance of the building to the hurricane track. To address these limitations, in this study, we propose a novel multi-modal (i.e., imagery and structured data) approach for post-hurricane building damage classification, named the Multi-Modal Swin Transformer (MMST). We empirically train and evaluate the proposed MMST using data collected from the 2022 Hurricane Ian in Florida, USA. Results show that MMST outperforms all selected state-of-the-art benchmark models and can achieve an accuracy of 92.67%, which are 7.71% improvement in accuracy compared to Visual Geometry Group 16 (VGG-16). In addition to the street-view imagery data, building value, building age, and wind speed are the most important predictors for damage level classification. The proposed MMST can be deployed to assist in rapid damage assessment and guide reconnaissance efforts in future hurricanes.

cs.CV↗

Causality-informed Rapid Post-hurricane Building Damage Detection in Large Scale from InSAR Imagery

Timely and accurate assessment of hurricane-induced building damage is crucial for effective post-hurricane response and recovery efforts. Recently, remote sensing technologies provide large-scale optical or Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) imagery data immediately after a disastrous event, which can be readily used to conduct rapid building damage assessment. Compared to optical satellite imageries, the Synthetic Aperture Radar can penetrate cloud cover and provide more complete spatial coverage of damaged zones in various weather conditions. However, these InSAR imageries often contain highly noisy and mixed signals induced by co-occurring or co-located building damage, flood, flood/wind-induced vegetation changes, as well as anthropogenic activities, making it challenging to extract accurate building damage information. In this paper, we introduced an approach for rapid post-hurricane building damage detection from InSAR imagery. This approach encoded complex causal dependencies among wind, flood, building damage, and InSAR imagery using a holistic causal Bayesian network. Based on the causal Bayesian network, we further jointly inferred the large-scale unobserved building damage by fusing the information from InSAR imagery with prior physical models of flood and wind, without the need for ground truth labels. Furthermore, we validated our estimation results in a real-world devastating hurricane -- the 2022 Hurricane Ian. We gathered and annotated building damage ground truth data in Lee County, Florida, and compared the introduced method's estimation results with the ground truth and benchmarked it against state-of-the-art models to assess the effectiveness of our proposed method. Results show that our method achieves rapid and accurate detection of building damage, with significantly reduced processing time compared to traditional manual inspection methods.

cs.LG↗

Travel Demand Forecasting: A Fair AI Approach

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning have been increasingly adopted for travel demand forecasting. The AI-based travel demand forecasting models, though generate accurate predictions, may produce prediction biases and raise fairness issues. Using such biased models for decision-making may lead to transportation policies that exacerbate social inequalities. However, limited studies have been focused on addressing the fairness issues of these models. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel methodology to develop fairness-aware, highly-accurate travel demand forecasting models. Particularly, the proposed methodology can enhance the fairness of AI models for multiple protected attributes (such as race and income) simultaneously. Specifically, we introduce a new fairness regularization term, which is explicitly designed to measure the correlation between prediction accuracy and multiple protected attributes, into the loss function of the travel demand forecasting model. We conduct two case studies to evaluate the performance of the proposed methodology using real-world ridesourcing-trip data in Chicago, IL and Austin, TX, respectively. Results highlight that our proposed methodology can effectively enhance fairness for multiple protected attributes while preserving prediction accuracy. Additionally, we have compared our methodology with three state-of-the-art methods that adopt the regularization term approach, and the results demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms them in both preserving prediction accuracy and enhancing fairness. This study can provide transportation professionals with a new tool to achieve fair and accurate travel demand forecasting.

cs.LG↗

ICN: Interactive Convolutional Network for Forecasting Travel Demand of Shared Micromobility

Accurate shared micromobility demand predictions are essential for transportation planning and management. Although deep learning models provide powerful tools to deal with demand prediction problems, studies on forecasting highly-accurate spatiotemporal shared micromobility demand are still lacking. This paper proposes a deep learning model named Interactive Convolutional Network (ICN) to forecast spatiotemporal travel demand for shared micromobility. The proposed model develops a novel channel dilation method by utilizing multi-dimensional spatial information (i.e., demographics, functionality, and transportation supply) based on travel behavior knowledge for building the deep learning model. We use the convolution operation to process the dilated tensor to simultaneously capture temporal and spatial dependencies. Based on a binary-tree-structured architecture and interactive convolution, the ICN model extracts features at different temporal resolutions, and then generates predictions using a fully-connected layer. The proposed model is evaluated for two real-world case studies in Chicago, IL, and Austin, TX. The results show that the ICN model significantly outperforms all the selected benchmark models. The model predictions can help the micromobility operators develop optimal vehicle rebalancing schemes and guide cities to better manage the shared micromobility system.

cs.CY↗

Situational-Aware Multi-Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (SA-MGCRN) for Travel Demand Forecasting During Wildfires

Real-time forecasting of travel demand during wildfire evacuations is crucial for emergency managers and transportation planners to make timely and better-informed decisions. However, few studies focus on accurate travel demand forecasting in large-scale emergency evacuations. Therefore, this study develops and tests a new methodological framework for modeling trip generation in wildfire evacuations by using (a) large-scale GPS data generated by mobile devices and (b) state-of-the-art AI technologies. The proposed methodology aims at forecasting evacuation trips and other types of trips. Based on the travel demand inferred from the GPS data, we develop a new deep learning model, i.e., Situational-Aware Multi-Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (SA-MGCRN), along with a model updating scheme to achieve real-time forecasting of travel demand during wildfire evacuations. The proposed methodological framework is tested in this study for a real-world case study: the 2019 Kincade Fire in Sonoma County, CA. The results show that SA-MGCRN significantly outperforms all the selected state-of-the-art benchmarks in terms of prediction performance. Our finding suggests that the most important model components of SA-MGCRN are evacuation order/warning information, proximity to fire, and population change, which are consistent with behavioral theories and empirical findings.

cs.LG↗

The Short-term Impact of Congestion Taxes on Ridesourcing Demand and Traffic Congestion: Evidence from Chicago

Ridesourcing is popular in many cities. Despite its theoretical benefits, a large body of studies have claimed that ridesourcing also brings (negative) externalities (e.g., inducing trips and aggravating traffic congestion). Therefore, many cities are planning to enact or have already enacted policies to regulate its use. However, these policies' effectiveness or impact on ridesourcing demand and traffic congestion is uncertain. To this end, this study applies difference-in-differences (i.e., a regression-based causal inference approach) to empirically evaluate the effects of the congestion tax policy on ridesourcing demand and traffic congestion in Chicago. It shows that this congestion tax policy significantly curtails overall ridesourcing demand but marginally alleviates traffic congestion. The results are robust to the choice of time windows and data sets, additional control variables, alternative model specifications, alternative control groups, and alternative modeling approaches (i.e., regression discontinuity in time). Moreover, considerable heterogeneity exists. For example, the policy notably reduces ridesourcing demand with short travel distances, but such an impact is gradually attenuated as the distance increases.

econ.GN↗

Real-Time Forecasting of Dockless Scooter-Sharing Demand: A Spatio-Temporal Multi-Graph Transformer Approach

Accurately forecasting the real-time travel demand for dockless scooter-sharing is crucial for the planning and operations of transportation systems. Deep learning models provide researchers with powerful tools to achieve this task, but research in this area is still lacking. This paper thus proposes a novel deep learning architecture named Spatio-Temporal Multi-Graph Transformer (STMGT) to forecast the real-time spatiotemporal dockless scooter-sharing demand. The proposed model uses a graph convolutional network (GCN) based on adjacency graph, functional similarity graph, demographic similarity graph, and transportation supply similarity graph to attach spatial dependency to temporal input (i.e., historical demand). The output of GCN is subsequently processed with weather condition information by the Transformer to capture temporal dependency. Then, a convolutional layer is used to generate the final prediction. The proposed model is evaluated for two real-world case studies in Washington, D.C. and Austin, TX, respectively, and the results show that for both case studies, STMGT significantly outperforms all the selected benchmark models, and the most important model component is the weather information. The proposed model can help the micromobility operators develop optimal vehicle rebalancing schemes and guide cities to better manage dockless scooter-sharing operations.

cs.CY↗

Examining spatial heterogeneity of ridesourcing demand determinants with explainable machine learning

The growing significance of ridesourcing services in recent years suggests a need to examine the key determinants of ridesourcing demand. However, little is known regarding the nonlinear effects and spatial heterogeneity of ridesourcing demand determinants. This study applies an explainable-machine-learning-based analytical framework to identify the key factors that shape ridesourcing demand and to explore their nonlinear associations across various spatial contexts (airport, downtown, and neighborhood). We use the ridesourcing-trip data in Chicago for empirical analysis. The results reveal that the importance of built environment varies across spatial contexts, and it collectively contributes the largest importance in predicting ridesourcing demand for airport trips. Additionally, the nonlinear effects of built environment on ridesourcing demand show strong spatial variations. Ridesourcing demand is usually most responsive to the built environment changes for downtown trips, followed by neighborhood trips and airport trips. These findings offer transportation professionals nuanced insights for managing ridesourcing services.

cs.LG↗