SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Xiaoyun

Publications and source records attributed to Xiaoyun.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Considerations for Master Protocols Using External Controls

There has been an increasing use of master protocols in oncology clinical trials because of its efficiency and flexibility to accelerate cancer drug development. Depending on the study objective and design, a master protocol trial can be a basket trial, an umbrella trial, a platform trial, or any other form of trials in which multiple investigational products and/or subpopulations are studied under a single protocol. Master protocols can use external data and evidence (e.g., external controls) for treatment effect estimation, which can further improve efficiency of master protocol trials. This paper provides an overview of different types of external controls and their unique features when used in master protocols. Some key considerations in master protocols with external controls are discussed including construction of estimands, assessment of fit-for-use real-world data, and considerations for different types of master protocols. Similarities and differences between regular randomized controlled trials and master protocols when using external controls are discussed. A targeted learning-based causal roadmap is presented which constitutes three key steps: (1) define a target statistical estimand that aligns with the causal estimand for the study objective, (2) use an efficient estimator to estimate the target statistical estimand and its uncertainty, and (3) evaluate the impact of causal assumptions on the study conclusion by performing sensitivity analyses. Two illustrative examples for master protocols using external controls are discussed for their merits and possible improvement in causal effect estimation.

stat.AP

Independent Action Models and Prediction of Combination Treatment Effects for Response Rate, Duration of Response and Tumor Size Change in Oncology Drug Development

An unprecedented number of new cancer targets are in development, and most are being developed in combination therapies. Early oncology development is strategically challenged in choosing the best combinations to move forward to late stage development. The most common early endpoints to be assessed in such decision-making include objective response rate, duration of response and tumor size change. In this paper, using independent-drug-action and Bliss-drug-independence concepts as a foundation, we introduce simple models to predict combination therapy efficacy for duration of response and tumor size change. These models complement previous publications using the independent action models (Palmer 2017, Schmidt 2020) to predict progression-free survival and objective response rate and serve as new predictive models to understand drug combinations for early endpoints. The models can be applied to predict the combination treatment effect for early endpoints given monotherapy data, or to estimate the possible effect of one monotherapy in the combination if data are available from the combination therapy and the other monotherapy. Such quantitative work facilitates efficient oncology drug development.

stat.AP