SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Xinwu Qian

Publications and source records attributed to Xinwu Qian.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Connected by Construction: Learning Tractable Near-Tour Marginals for Traveling Salesman Problems

Learning-based methods for the traveling salesman problem (TSP) are often evaluated through the tours produced after decoding or search, but the learned object itself frequently lives in a surrogate space such as heatmaps, assignments, construction policies, or search-guidance scores. This hides the fundamental question: what Hamiltonian structure has actually been learned before decoding? In this study, we directly answer this question by learning TSP through a structurally meaningful latent object, rather than leaving most of the Hamiltonian structure to the final decoding stage. Based on a connected-by-construction rooted $1$-tree Gibbs family, we propose an end-to-end unsupervised learning pipeline called \emph{C2TSP}. The pipeline learns residual edge perturbations from unbiased TSP cost through implicit differentiation. For structural correction, a smoothed Held--Karp layer restores expected degree balance, while certificate-guided sharpening further pushes the connected distribution toward more tour-like structures. Experiments show that C2TSP yields strong decoding performance while preserving interpretable structural information. Ablations further verify that edge perturbation and certificate-guided sharpening jointly improve both tour cost and tour-like structure.

cs.AI

Neural Certificate Pricing for Combinatorial Optimization Problems

Combinatorial optimization (CO) problems are difficult because certifiable discrete structure induces exponential search. One needs to search over the set exponentially many candidates to certify optimality, however, the structural feasibility of a path, packing, or cover can be verified in polynomial time once supplied. In this study, we introduce Neural Certificate Pricing (NCP) that exploits this asymmetry under an unsupervised learning framework. A neural network is trained to predict certificate-level dual prices, while a structured recovery layer constructs the induced primal marginal. NCP can be viewed as amortized separation: instead of enumerating violated inequalities, it learns the residual prices through which their aggregate effect enters recovery. When the certificate-consistency condition holds, the recovered marginal is globally feasible, and a local theory shows that first-order errors in the predicted price induce only second-order loss in objective value. Across three classes of CO problems, NCP either outperforms state-of-the-art neural baselines by large margins or matches them at a fraction of the computation time, and shows stronger out-of-distribution generalization.

cs.LG

Unsupervised Learning for the Elementary Shortest Path Problem

The Elementary Shortest-Path Problem(ESPP) seeks a minimum cost path from s to t that visits each vertex at most once. The presence of negative-cost cycles renders the problem NP-hard. We present a probabilistic method for finding near-optimal ESPP, enabled by an unsupervised graph neural network that jointly learns node value estimates and edge-selection probabilities via a surrogate loss function. The loss provides a high probability certificate of finding near-optimal ESPP solutions by simultaneously reducing negative-cost cycles and embedding the desired algorithmic alignment. At inference time, a decoding algorithm transforms the learned edge probabilities into an elementary path. Experiments on graphs of up to 100 nodes show that the proposed method surpasses both unsupervised baselines and classical heuristics, while exhibiting high performance in cross-size and cross-topology generalization on unseen synthetic graphs.

cs.LG

Robust and Flexible Microtransit Design: Chance-Constrained Dial-a-Ride Problem with Soft Time Windows

Microtransit offers a promising blend of rideshare flexibility and public transit efficiency. In practice, it faces unanticipated but spatially aligned requests, passengers seeking to join ongoing schedules, leading to underutilized capacity and degraded service if not properly managed. At the same time, it must accommodate diverse passenger needs, from routine errands to time-sensitive trips such as medical appointments. To meet these expectations, incorporating time flexibility is essential. However, existing models seldom consider both spontaneous and heterogeneous demand, limiting their real-world applicability. We propose a robust and flexible microtransit framework that integrates time flexibility and demand uncertainty via a Chance-Constrained Dial-A-Ride Problem with Soft Time Windows (CCDARP-STW). Demand uncertainty is captured through nonlinear chance constraints with controllable violation probabilities, while time flexibility is modeled with soft time windows and penalized cost. We develop a bounded-support relaxation using limited statistical information to linearize the chance constraints and solve the model using a tailored Branch-and-Cut-and-Price (BCP) algorithm with a probabilistic dominance rule. This rule improves computational efficiency, reducing explored labels by 17.40% and CPU time by 22.27% in robust cases. A case study based on real-world Chicago data shows our framework yields 11.55 minutes and 11.13 miles of savings versus conventional microtransit, and achieves the highest service reliability (96.46%) among robust models.

math.OC

Understanding the Opportunity-Centric Accessibility for Public Charging Infrastructure

In this study, we utilize data from over 28,000 public charging stations (PCSs) and 5.5 million points of interest across twenty U.S. metropolitan areas to underscore the importance of considering the availability of opportunities when assessing accessibility to PCSs, rather than relying solely on spatial proximity. Specifically, we conduct comprehensive comparisons of opportunity-centric accessibility measures with distance-based measures and perform counterfactual analyses under various PCS deployment strategies. Our findings reveal significant inequalities in PCS access across different neighborhoods under distance-based and opportunity-centric measures. However, a greater disparity exists when considering opportunities, with high-income communities having significantly better access to PCSs. Counterfactual analyses suggest that equitable deployment based on distance measures result in the least equitable outcomes when considering opportunities, primarily due to the existing disparity in opportunity distributions in our cities. Our insights highlight the complexity of locating PCSs and can guide nationwide PCS deployment for long-term societal benefits.

physics.soc-ph

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Transit Supply During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights from 232 U.S. Transit Agencies

COVID-19 introduced tremendous disruptions to the normal operation of transit agencies, led to a massive suspension of regular service, and disturbed the access to essential mobility for many transit-dependent populations. In this study, we reexamine the national-level service disruption of the public transportation system as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and investigate the disparities in the reduction of transit supply, causing certain racial-ethnic groups to be disproportionately affected. To support our analysis, we collect GTFS data from 232 transit agencies covering over 89 million people across 45 states in the U.S. Our findings suggest more disadvantaged communities and certain racial-ethnic groups have experienced disproportional reductions in transit supply, regardless of their pre-pandemic level of service. Further, we employ causal mediation analyses to address the mediation effect of the pre-pandemic level of transit service on the relationship between race/ethnicity and transit supply reduction. This analysis validates the disproportionate reduction in service quality for specific racial/ethnic groups, a trend evident across the majority of transit agencies. In particular, Black Americans are found to be associated with the greatest absolute service loss and also the largest total effects on transit supply reductions, while the White and Asian groups are less impacted. We further report that the most impacted communities by transit loss mainly consist of minority populations, where the reductions in transit are correlated with pandemic-related health and economic burdens and result in greater changes in mobility intensity. Our study contributes to a comprehensive understanding of transit inequities due to the pandemic and provides valuable insights to better prepare public transportation systems against future nationwide disasters.

physics.soc-ph

Optimal Drive-by Sensing in Urban Road Networks with Large-scale Ridesourcing Vehicles

The sensing and monitoring of the urban road network contribute to the efficient operation of the urban transportation system and the functionality of urban systems. However, traditional sensing methods, such as inductive loop sensors, roadside cameras, and crowdsourcing data from massive urban travelers (e.g., Google Maps), are often hindered by high costs, limited coverage, and low reliability. This study explores the potential of drive-by sensing, an innovative approach that employs large-scale ridesourcing vehicles (RVs) for urban road network monitoring. We first evaluate RV sensing performance by coverage and reliability through historical road segment visits. Next, we propose an optimal trip-based RV rerouting model to maximize the sensing coverage and reliability while preserving the same level of service for the RVs' mobility service. Furthermore, a scalable column generation-based heuristic is designed to guide the cruising trajectory of RVs, assuming trip independence. The effectiveness of the proposed model is validated through experiments and sensitivity analyses using real-world RV trajectory data of over 20,000 vehicles in New York City. The optimized rerouting strategy has yielded significantly improved results, elevating explicit sensing coverage of the road network by 15.0\% to 17.3\% (varies by time of day) and achieving an impressive enhancement in sensing reliability by at least 24.6\% compared to historical records. Expanding the path-searching space further improved sensing coverage of up to 4.5\% and reliability of over 4.2\%. Moreover, considering incentives for RV drivers, the enhanced sensing performance comes at a remarkably low cost of \$0.10 per RV driver, highlighting its cost-effectiveness.

physics.soc-ph

A branch-cut-and-price algorithm for a dial-a-ride problem with minimum disease-transmission risk

This paper investigates a variant of the dial-a-ride problem (DARP), namely Risk-aware DARP (RDARP). Our RDARP extends the DARP by (1) minimizing a weighted sum of travel cost and disease-transmission risk exposure for onboard passengers and (2) introducing a maximum cumulative exposure risk constraint for each vehicle to ensure a trip with lower external exposure. Both extensions require that the risk exposure of each onboard passenger is propagated in a minimized fashion while satisfying other existing constraints of the DARP. To fully describe the RDARP, we first provide a three-index arc-based formulation and reformulate the RDARP into an equivalent min-max trip-based formulation, which is solved by an exact Branch-Cut-and-Price (BCP) algorithm. For each node in the branching tree, we adopt the column generation method by decomposing the problem into a master problem and a subproblem. The latter takes the form of an elementary shortest path problem with resource constraints and minimized maximum risk (ESPPRCMMR). To solve the ESPPRCMMR efficiently, we develop a new labeling algorithm and establish families of resource extension functions in compliance with the risk-related resources. We adopt a real-world paratransit trip dataset to generate the RDARP instances ranging from 17 to 55 heterogeneous passengers with 3 to 13 vehicles during the morning and afternoon periods. Computational results show that our BCP algorithm can optimally solve all small- and medium-sized instances (32 or fewer passengers) within 5 minutes. For the large instances (39 to 55 passengers), our BCP algorithm can solve 23 of 30 instances optimally within a time limit of one hour.

math.OC

Impact of Transportation Network Companies on Labor Supply and Wages for Taxi Drivers

While the growth of TNCs took a substantial part of ridership and asset value away from the traditional taxi industry, existing taxi market policy regulations and planning models remain to be reexamined, which requires reliable estimates of the sensitivity of labor supply and income levels in the taxi industry. This study aims to investigate the impact of TNCs on the labor supply of the taxi industry, estimate wage elasticity, and understand the changes in taxi drivers' work preferences. We introduce the wage decomposition method to quantify the effects of TNC trips on taxi drivers' work hours over time, based on taxi and TNC trip record data from 2013 to 2018 in New York City. The data are analyzed to evaluate the changes in overall market performances and taxi drivers' work behavior through statistical analyses, and our results show that the increase in TNC trips not only decreases the income level of taxi drivers but also discourages their willingness to work. We find that 1% increase in TNC trips leads to 0.28% reduction in the monthly revenue of the yellow taxi industry and 0.68% decrease in the monthly revenue of the green taxi industry in recent years. More importantly, we report that the work behavior of taxi drivers shifts from the widely accepted neoclassical standard behavior to the reference-dependent preference (RDP) behavior, which signifies a persistent trend of loss in labor supply for the taxi market and hints at the collapse of taxi industry if the growth of TNCs continues. In addition, we observe that yellow and green taxi drivers present different work preferences over time. Consistently increasing RDP behavior is found among yellow taxi drivers. Green taxi drivers were initially revenue maximizers but later turned into income targeting strategy

stat.AP

DCA: Delayed Charging Attack on the Electric Shared Mobility System

An efficient operation of the electric shared mobility system (ESMS) relies heavily on seamless interconnections among shared electric vehicles (SEV), electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE), and the grid. Nevertheless, this interconnectivity also makes the ESMS vulnerable to cyberattacks that may cause short-term breakdowns or long-term degradation of the ESMS. This study focuses on one such attack with long-lasting effects, the Delayed Charge Attack (DCA), that stealthily delays the charging service by exploiting the physical and communication vulnerabilities. To begin, we present the ESMS threat model by highlighting the assets, information flow, and access points. We next identify a linked sequence of vulnerabilities as a viable attack vector for launching DCA. Then, we detail the implementation of DCA, which can effectively bypass the detection in the SEV's battery management system and the cross-verification in the cloud environment. We test the DCA model against various Anomaly Detection (AD) algorithms by simulating the DCA dynamics in a Susceptible-Infectious-Removed-Susceptible process, where the EVSE can be compromised by the DCA or detected for repair. Using real-world taxi trip data and EVSE locations in New York City, the DCA model allows us to explore the long-term impacts and validate the system consequences. The results show that a 10-min delay results in 12-min longer queuing times and 8% more unfulfilled requests, leading to a 10.7% (\$311.7) weekly revenue loss per driver. With the AD algorithms, the weekly revenue loss remains at least 3.8% (\$111.8) with increased repair costs of \$36,000, suggesting the DCA's robustness against the AD.

cs.CR

Understanding charging dynamics of fully-electrified taxi services using large-scale trajectory data

An accurate understanding of "when, where and why" of charging activities is crucial for the optimal planning and operation of E-shared mobility services. In this study, we leverage a unique trajectory of a city-wide fully electrified taxi fleet in Shenzhen, China, and we present one of the first studies to investigate charging behavioral dynamics of a fully electrified shared mobility system from both system-level and individual driver perspectives. The electric taxi (ET) trajectory data contain detailed travel information of over 20,000 ETs over one month period. By combing the trajectory and charging infrastructure data, we reveal remarkable regularities in infrastructure utilization, temporal and spatial charging dynamics as well as individual driver level charging preferences. Specifically, we report that both temporal and spatial distributions of system-level charging activities present strong within-day and daily regularities, and most charging activities are induced from drivers' shift schedules. Further, with 425 charging stations, we observe that the drivers show strong preferences over a small subset of charging stations, and the power-law distribution can well characterize the charging frequency at each charging station. Finally, we show that drivers' shift schedules also dominate the individual charging behavior, and there are strikingly stable daily charging patterns at the individual level. The results and findings of our study represent lessons and insights that may be carried over to the planning and operation of E-shared mobility in other cities and deliver important justifications for future studies on the modeling of E-shared mobility services.

physics.soc-ph

DROP: Deep relocating option policy for optimal ride-hailing vehicle repositioning

In a ride-hailing system, an optimal relocation of vacant vehicles can significantly reduce fleet idling time and balance the supply-demand distribution, enhancing system efficiency and promoting driver satisfaction and retention. Model-free deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been shown to dynamically learn the relocating policy by actively interacting with the intrinsic dynamics in large-scale ride-hailing systems. However, the issues of sparse reward signals and unbalanced demand and supply distribution place critical barriers in developing effective DRL models. Conventional exploration strategy (e.g., the $ε$-greedy) may barely work under such an environment because of dithering in low-demand regions distant from high-revenue regions. This study proposes the deep relocating option policy (DROP) that supervises vehicle agents to escape from oversupply areas and effectively relocate to potentially underserved areas. We propose to learn the Laplacian embedding of a time-expanded relocation graph, as an approximation representation of the system relocation policy. The embedding generates task-agnostic signals, which in combination with task-dependent signals, constitute the pseudo-reward function for generating DROPs. We present a hierarchical learning framework that trains a high-level relocation policy and a set of low-level DROPs. The effectiveness of our approach is demonstrated using a custom-built high-fidelity simulator with real-world trip record data. We report that DROP significantly improves baseline models with 15.7% more hourly revenue and can effectively resolve the dithering issue in low-demand areas.

cs.MA

Spatiotemporal impacts of human activities and socio-demographics during the COVID-19 outbreak in the U.S

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in the U.S. as a case study, we develop a mobility-augmented geographically and temporally weighted regression (M-GTWR) model to quantify the spatiotemporal impacts of social-demographic factors and human activities on the COVID-19 dynamics. Different from the base GTWR model, we incorporate a mobility-adjusted distance weight matrix where travel mobility is used in addition to the spatial adjacency to capture the correlations among local observations. The model residuals suggest that the proposed model achieves a substantial improvement over other benchmark methods in addressing the spatiotemporal nonstationarity. Our results reveal that the impacts of social-demographic and human activity variables present significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity. In particular, a 1% increase in population density may lead to 0.63% and 0.71% more daily cases and deaths, and a 1% increase in the mean commuting time may result in 0.22% and 0.95% increases in daily cases and deaths. Although increased human activities will, in general, intensify the disease outbreak, we report that the effects of grocery and pharmacy-related activities are insignificant in areas with high population density. And activities at the workplace and public transit are found to either increase or decrease the number of cases and deaths, depending on particular locations. The results of our study establish a quantitative framework for identifying influencing factors during a disease outbreak, and the obtained insights may have significant implications in guiding the policy-making against infectious diseases.

physics.soc-ph

Charging-as-a-Service: On-demand battery delivery for light-duty electric vehicles for mobility service

This study presents an innovative solution for powering electric vehicles, named Charging-as-a-Service (CaaS), that concerns the potential large-scale adoption of light-duty electric vehicles (LDEV) in the Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) industry. Analogous to the MaaS, the core idea of the CaaS is to dispatch service vehicles (SVs) that carry modular battery units (MBUs) to provide LDEVs for mobility service with on-demand battery delivery. The CaaS system is expected to tackle major bottlenecks of a large-scale LDEV adoption in the MaaS industry due to the lack of charging infrastructure and excess waiting and charging time. A hybrid agent-based simulation model (HABM) is developed to model the dynamics of the CaaS system with SV agents, and a trip-based stationary charging probability distribution is introduced to simulate the generation of charging demand for LDEVs. Two dispatching algorithms are further developed to support the optimal operation of the CaaS. The model is validated by assuming electrifying all 13,000 yellow taxis in New York City (NYC) that follow the same daily trip patterns. Multiple scenarios are analyzed under various SV fleet sizes and dispatching strategies. The results suggest that optimal deployment of 250 SVs may serve the LDEV fleet in NYC with an average waiting time of 5 minutes, save the travel distance at over 50 miles per minute, and gain considerable profits of up to $50 per minute. This study offers significant insights into the feasibility, service efficiency, and financial sustainability for deploying city-wide CaaS systems to power the electric MaaS industry.

math.OC

Modeling disease spreading with adaptive behavior considering local and global information dissemination

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application scenario is that commuters may adjust their behavior upon observing the symptoms and countermeasures from their physical contacts during travel, thus altering the trajectories of a disease outbreak. We introduce the heterogeneous mean-field (HMF) approach in a multiplex network setting to jointly model the spreading dynamics of the infectious disease in the contact network and the dissemination dynamics of information in the observation network. The disease spreading is captured using the classic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) process, while an SIS-alike process models the spread of awareness termed as unaware-aware-unaware (UAU). And the use of multiplex network helps capture the interplay between disease spreading and information dissemination, and how the dynamics of one may affect the other. Theoretical analyses suggest that there are three potential equilibrium states, depending on the percolation strength of diseases and information. The dissemination of information may help shape herd immunity among the population, thus suppressing and eradicating the disease outbreak. Finally, numerical experiments using the contact networks among metro travelers are provided to shed light on the disease and information dynamics in the real-world scenarios and gain insights on the resilience of transportation system against the risk of infectious diseases.

physics.soc-ph

Demand-Adaptive Route Planning and Scheduling for Urban Hub-based High-Capacity Mobility-on-Demand Services

In this study, we propose a three-stage framework for the planning and scheduling of high-capacity mobility-on-demand services (e.g., micro transit and flexible transit) at urban activity hubs. The proposed framework consists of (1) the route generation step to and from the activity hub with connectivity to existing transit systems, and (2) the robust route scheduling step which determines the vehicle assignment and route headway under demand uncertainty. Efficient exact and heuristic algorithms are developed for identifying the minimum number of routes that maximize passenger coverage, and a matching scheme is proposed to combine routes to and from the hub into roundtrips optimally. With the generated routes, the robust route scheduling problem is formulated as a two-stage robust optimization problem. Model reformulations are introduced to solve the robust optimization problem into the global optimum. In this regard, the proposed framework presents both algorithmic and analytic solutions for developing the hub-based transit services in response to the varying passenger demand over a short-time period. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, comprehensive numerical experiments are conducted for planning the HHMoD services at the JFK airport in New York City (NYC). The results show the superior performance of the proposed route generation algorithm to maximize the citywide coverage more efficiently. The results also demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of the robust route schedules under normal demand conditions and against worst-case-oriented realizations of passenger demand.

math.OC

Modeling the spread of infectious disease in urban areas with travel contagion

In this study, we develop the mathematical model to understand the coupling between the spreading dynamics of infectious diseases and the mobility dynamics through urban transportation systems. We first describe the mobility dynamics of the urban population as the process of leaving from home, traveling to and from the activity locations, and engaging in activities. We then embed the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) process over the mobility dynamics and develops the spatial SEIR model with travel contagion (Trans-SEIR), which explicitly accounts for contagions both during travel and during daily activities. We investigate the theoretical properties of the proposed model and show how activity contagion and travel contagion contribute to the average number of secondary infections. In the numerical experiments, we explore how the urban transportation system may alter the fundamental dynamics of the infectious disease, change the number of secondary infections, promote the synchronization of the disease across the city, and affect the peak of the disease outbreaks. The Trans-SEIR model is further applied to the understand the disease dynamics during the COVID-19 outbreak in New York City, where we show how the activity and travel contagion may be distributed and how effective travel control can be implemented with only limited resources. The Trans-SEIR model along with the findings in our study may have significant contributions to improving our understanding of the coupling between urban transportation and disease dynamics, the development of quarantine and control measures of disease system, and promoting the idea of disease-resilient urban transportation networks.

physics.soc-ph

Scaling of contact networks for epidemic spreading in urban transit systems

Improved mobility not only contributes to more intensive human activities but also facilitates the spread of communicable disease, thus constituting a major threat to billions of urban commuters. In this study, we present a multi-city investigation of communicable diseases percolating among metro travelers. We use smart card data from three megacities in China to construct individual-level contact networks, based on which the spread of disease is modeled and studied. We observe that, though differing in urban forms, network layouts, and mobility patterns, the metro systems of the three cities share similar contact network structures. This motivates us to develop a universal generation model that captures the distributions of the number of contacts as well as the contact duration among individual travelers. This model explains how the structural properties of the metro contact network are associated with the risk level of communicable diseases. Our results highlight the vulnerability of urban mass transit systems during disease outbreaks and suggest important planning and operation strategies for mitigating the risk of communicable diseases.

physics.soc-ph