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Xiu-Xiu Zhan

Publications and source records attributed to Xiu-Xiu Zhan.

26 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Exploring the effect of social media and spatial characteristics during the COVID-19 pandemic in China

The declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic has largely amplified the spread of related information on social media, such as Twitter, Facebook, and WeChat.Unlike the previous studies which focused on how to detect the misinformation or fake news related toCOVID-19, we investigate how the disease and information co-evolve in the population. We focus onCOVID-19and its information during the period when the disease was widely spread in China, i.e., from January 25th to March 24th, 2020. We first explore how the disease and information co-evolve via the spatial analysis of the two spreading processes. We visualize the geo-location of both disease and information at the province level and find that disease is more geo-localized compared to information. We find a high correlation between the disease and information data, and also people care about the spread only when it comes to their neighborhood. Regard to the content of the information, we find that positive messages are more negatively correlated with the disease compared to negative and neutral messages. Additionally, we introduce machine learning algorithms, i.e., linear regression and random forest, to further predict the number of infected using different disease spatial related and information-related characteristics. We obtain that the disease spatial related characteristics of nearby cities can help to improve the prediction accuracy. Meanwhile, information-related characteristics can also help to improve the prediction performance, but with a delay, i.e., the improvement comes from using, for instance, the number of messages 10 days ago, for disease prediction. The methodology proposed in this paper may shed light on new clues of emerging infections

physics.soc-ph↗

SI-spreading-based network embedding in static and temporal networks

Link prediction can be used to extract missing information, identify spurious interactions as well as forecast network evolution. Network embedding is a methodology to assign coordinates to nodes in a low dimensional vector space. By embedding nodes into vectors, the link prediction problem can be converted into a similarity comparison task. Nodes with similar embedding vectors are more likely to be connected. Classic network embedding algorithms are random-walk-based. They sample trajectory paths via random walks and generate node pairs from the trajectory paths. The node pair set is further used as the input for a Skip-Gram model, a representative language model that embeds nodes (which are regarded as words) into vectors. In the present study, we propose to replace random walk processes by a spreading process, namely the susceptible-infected (SI) model, to sample paths. Specifically, we propose two SI-spreading-based algorithms, SINE and TSINE, to embed static and temporal networks, respectively. The performance of our algorithms is evaluated by the missing link prediction task in comparison with state-of-the-art static and temporal network embedding algorithms. Results show that SINE and TSINE outperform the baselines across all six empirical datasets. We further find that the performance of SINE is mostly better than TSINE, suggesting that temporal information does not necessarily improve the embedding for missing link prediction. Moreover, we study the effect of the sampling size, quantified as the total length of the trajectory paths, on the performance of the embedding algorithms. The better performance of SINE and TSINE requires a smaller sampling size in comparison with the baseline algorithms. Hence, SI-spreading-based embedding tends to be more applicable to large-scale networks.

cs.SI↗

Information Spreading Dynamics on Adaptive Social Networks

There is currently growing interest in modeling the information diffusion on social networks across multi-disciplines. The majority of the corresponding research has focused on information diffusion independently, ignoring the network evolution in the diffusion process. Therefore, it is more reasonable to describe the real diffusion systems by the co-evolution between network topologies and information states. In this work, we propose a mechanism considering the coevolution between information states and network topology simultaneously, in which the information diffusion was executed as an SIS process and network topology evolved based on the adaptive assumption. The theoretical analyses based on the Markov approach were very consistent with simulation. Both simulation results and theoretical analyses indicated that the adaptive process, in which informed individuals would rewire the links between the informed neighbors to a random non-neighbor node, can enhance information diffusion (leading to much broader spreading). In addition, we obtained that two threshold values exist for the information diffusion on adaptive networks, i.e., if the information propagation probability is less than the first threshold, information cannot diffuse and dies out immediately; if the propagation probability is between the first and second threshold, information will spread to a finite range and die out gradually; and if the propagation probability is larger than the second threshold, information will diffuse to a certain size of population in the network. These results may shed some light on understanding the co-evolution between information diffusion and network topology.

physics.soc-ph↗

Information diffusion backbones in temporal networks

Much effort has been devoted to understand how temporal network features and the choice of the source node affect the prevalence of a diffusion process. In this work, we addressed the further question: node pairs with what kind of local and temporal connection features tend to appear in a diffusion trajectory or path, thus contribute to the actual information diffusion. We consider the Susceptible-Infected spreading process with a given infection probability per contact on a large number of real-world temporal networks. We illustrate how to construct the information diffusion backbone where the weight of each link tells the probability that a node pair appears in a diffusion process starting from a random node. We unravel how these backbones corresponding to different infection probabilities relate to each other and point out the importance of two extreme backbones: the backbone with infection probability one and the integrated network, between which other backbones vary. We find that the temporal node pair feature that we proposed could better predict the links in the extreme backbone with infection probability one as well as the high weight links than the features derived from the integrated network. This universal finding across all the empirical networks highlights that temporal information are crucial in determining a node pair's role in a diffusion process. A node pair with many early contacts tends to appear in a diffusion process. Our findings shed lights on the in-depth understanding and may inspire the control of information spread.

physics.soc-ph↗

Mutual Feedback Between Epidemic Spreading and Information Diffusion

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on the spread of disease. In this paper, using empirical results of the propagation of H7N9 and information about the disease, we clearly show that the spreading dynamics of the two-types of processes influence each other. We build a mathematical model in which both types of spreading dynamics are described using the SIS process in order to illustrate the influence of information diffusion on epidemic spreading. Both the simulation results and the pairwise analysis reveal that information diffusion can increase the threshold of an epidemic outbreak, decrease the final fraction of infected individuals and significantly decrease the rate at which the epidemic propagates. Additionally, we find that the multi-outbreak phenomena of epidemic spreading, along with the impact of information diffusion, is consistent with the empirical results. These findings highlight the requirement to maintain social awareness of diseases even when the epidemics seem to be under control in order to prevent a subsequent outbreak. These results may shed light on the in-depth understanding of the interplay between the dynamics of epidemic spreading and information diffusion.

physics.soc-ph↗

Epidemic Dynamics On Information-Driven Adaptive Networks

can evolve simultaneously. For the information-driven adaptive process, susceptible (infected) individuals who have abilities to recognize the disease would break the links of their infected (susceptible) neighbors to prevent the epidemic from further spreading. Simulation results and numerical analyses based on the pairwise approach indicate that the information-driven adaptive process can not only slow down the speed of epidemic spreading, but can also diminish the epidemic prevalence at the final state significantly. In addition, the disease spreading and information diffusion pattern on the lattice give a visual representation about how the disease is trapped into an isolated field with the information-driven adaptive process. Furthermore, we perform the local bifurcation analysis on four types of dynamical regions, including healthy, oscillatory, bistable and endemic, to understand the evolution of the observed dynamical behaviors. This work may shed some lights on understanding how information affects human activities on responding to epidemic spreading.

physics.soc-ph↗

Events Determine Spreading Patterns: Information Transmission via Internal and External Influences on Social Networks

Recently, information transmission models motivated by the classical epidemic propagation, have been applied to a wide-range of social systems, generally assume that information mainly transmits among individuals via peer-to-peer interactions on social networks. In this paper, we consider one more approach for users to get information: the out-of-social-network influence. Empirical analyses of eight typical events' diffusion on a very large micro-blogging system, \emph{Sina Weibo}, show that the external influence has significant impact on information spreading along with social activities. In addition, we propose a theoretical model to interpret the spreading process via both internal and external channels, considering three essential properties: (i) memory effect; (ii) role of spreaders; and (iii) non-redundancy of contacts. Experimental and mathematical results indicate that the information indeed spreads much quicker and broader with mutual effects of the internal and external influences. More importantly, the present model reveals that the event characteristic would highly determine the essential spreading patterns once the network structure is established. The results may shed some light on the in-depth understanding of the underlying dynamics of information transmission on real social networks.

physics.soc-ph↗

Evolution of citation networks with the hypergraph formalism

In this paper, we proposed an evolving model via the hypergraph to illustrate the evolution of the citation network. In the evolving model, we consider the mechanism combined with preferential attachment and the aging influence. Simulation results show that the proposed model can characterize the citation distribution of the real system very well. In addition, we give the analytical result of the citation distribution using the master equation. Detailed analysis showed that the time decay factor should be the origin of the same citation distribution between the proposed model and the empirical result. The proposed model might shed some lights in understanding the underlying laws governing the structure of real citation networks.

physics.soc-ph↗