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Xue Dong He

Publications and source records attributed to Xue Dong He.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

Arbitrage on Decentralized Exchanges

Decentralized exchanges using automated market makers create arbitrage opportunities with centralized exchanges, where gas fees and transaction ordering are critical. Existing models largely overlook competition among arbitrageurs, despite price discrepancies being public information. We develop the first equilibrium model of gas fee competition between two arbitrageurs under three transaction reversion settings: no-revert, auto-revert, and selectable-revert. We show that pure symmetric equilibria do not exist, but unique mixed equilibria can be characterized. Using data from Binance and Uniswap V2, we empirically confirm that arbitrageurs face positive inventory risk and validate our model's implications: gas fees increase with price discrepancies and liquidity, while trading amounts rise with both price discrepancies and gas fees. Comparative analysis reveals that under low inventory risk, the no-revert setting favors arbitrageurs in terms of profit, while auto-revert and selectable-revert settings enhance market efficiency. Under high inventory risk, the no-revert and selectable-revert settings dominate the auto-revert setting in both profitability and efficiency.

q-fin.MF

Optimal Design of Automated Market Makers on Decentralized Exchanges

Automated market makers are a popular mechanism used on decentralized exchange, through which users trade assets with each other directly and automatically through a liquidity pool and a fixed pricing function. The liquidity provider contributes to the liquidity pool by supplying assets to the pool, and in return, they earn trading fees from investors who trade in the pool. We propose a model of optimal liquidity provision in which a risk-averse liquidity provider decides the amount of wealth she would invest in the decentralized market to provide liquidity in a two-asset pool, trade in a centralized market, and consume in multiple periods. We derive the liquidity provider's optimal strategy and the optimal design of the automated market maker that maximizes the liquidity provider's utility. We find that the optimal unit trading fee increases in the volatility of the fundamental exchange rate of the two assets. We also find that the optimal pricing function is chosen to make the asset allocation in the liquidity pool efficient for the liquidity provider.

q-fin.MF

Dynamic Asset Pricing with α-MEU Model

We study a dynamic asset pricing problem in which a representative agent is ambiguous about the aggregate endowment growth rate and trades a risky stock, human capital, and a risk-free asset to maximize her preference value of consumption represented by the α-maxmin expected utility model. This preference model is known to be dynamically inconsistent, so we consider intra-personal equilibrium strategies for the representative agent and define the market equilibrium as the one in which the strategy that clears the market is an intra-personal equilibrium. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the market equilibrium and show that the asset prices in the equilibrium are the same as in the case when the agent does not perceive any ambiguity but believes in a particular probabilistic model of the endowment process. We show that with reasonable parameter values, the more ambiguity the agent perceives or the more ambiguity-averse she is, the lower the risk-free rate, the higher the stock price, the higher the stock risk premium, and the lower the stock volatility.

q-fin.PR

Reinforcement Learning for Financial Index Tracking

We propose the first discrete-time infinite-horizon dynamic formulation of the financial index tracking problem under both return-based tracking error and value-based tracking error. The formulation overcomes the limitations of existing models by incorporating the intertemporal dynamics of market information variables not limited to prices, allowing exact calculation of transaction costs, accounting for the tradeoff between overall tracking error and transaction costs, allowing effective use of data in a long time period, etc. The formulation also allows novel decision variables of cash injection or withdraw. We propose to solve the portfolio rebalancing equation using a Banach fixed point iteration, which allows to accurately calculate the transaction costs specified as nonlinear functions of trading volumes in practice. We propose an extension of deep reinforcement learning (RL) method to solve the dynamic formulation. Our RL method resolves the issue of data limitation resulting from the availability of a single sample path of financial data by a novel training scheme. A comprehensive empirical study based on a 17-year-long testing set demonstrates that the proposed method outperforms a benchmark method in terms of tracking accuracy and has the potential for earning extra profit through cash withdraw strategy.

q-fin.PM

Recursive Utility with Investment Gains and Losses: Existence, Uniqueness, and Convergence

We consider a generalization of the recursive utility model by adding a new component that represents utility of investment gains and losses. We also study the utility process in this generalized model with constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion degree, and with infinite time horizon. In a specific, finite-state Markovian setting, we prove that the utility process uniquely exists when the agent derives nonnegative gain-loss utility, and that it can be non-existent or non-unique otherwise. Moreover, we prove that the utility process, when it uniquely exists, can be computed by starting from any initial guess and applying the recursive equation that defines the utility process repeatedly. We then consider a portfolio selection problem with gain-loss utility and solve it by proving that the corresponding dynamic programming equation has a unique solution. Finally, we extend certain previous results to the case in which the state space is infinite.

q-fin.GN

Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation

Time inconsistency is prevalent in dynamic choice problems: a plan of actions to be taken in the future that is optimal for an agent today may not be optimal for the same agent in the future. If the agent is aware of this intra-personal conflict but unable to commit herself in the future to following the optimal plan today, the rational strategy for her today is to reconcile with her future selves, namely to correctly anticipate her actions in the future and then act today accordingly. Such a strategy is named intra-personal equilibrium and has been studied since as early as in the 1950s. A rigorous treatment in continuous-time settings, however, had not been available until a decade ago. Since then, the study on intra-personal equilibrium for time-inconsistent problems in continuous time has grown rapidly. In this chapter, we review the classical results and some recent development in this literature.

math.OC

Portfolio Selection under Median and Quantile Maximization

Although maximizing median and quantiles is intuitively appealing and has an axiomatic foundation, it is difficult to study the optimal portfolio strategy due to the discontinuity and time inconsistency in the objective function. We use the intra-personal equilibrium approach to study the problem. Interestingly, we find that the only viable outcome is from the median maximization, because for other quantiles either the equilibrium does not exist or there is no investment in the risky assets. The median maximization strategy gives a simple explanation to why wealthier people invest more percentage of their wealth in risky assets.

q-fin.MF

Optimal Payoff under the Generalized Dual Theory of Choice

We consider portfolio optimization under a preference model in a single-period, complete market. This preference model includes Yaari's dual theory of choice and quantile maximization as special cases. We characterize when the optimal solution exists and derive the optimal solution in closed form when it exists. The payoff of the optimal portfolio is a digital option: it yields an in-the-money payoff when the market is good and zero payoff otherwise. When the initial wealth increases, the set of good market scenarios remains unchanged while the payoff in these scenarios increases. Finally, we extend our portfolio optimization problem by imposing a dependence structure with a given benchmark payoff and derive similar results.

q-fin.MF

Some Distributional Properties of Linear Stochastic Differential Equations

In this paper, we prove a sufficient and necessary condition for the transition probability distribution of a general, time-inhomogeneous linear SDE to possess a density function and study the differentiability of the density function and the transition quantile function of the SDE. Moreover, we completely characterize the support of the marginal distribution of this SDE.

math.PR

Forward Rank-Dependent Performance Criteria: Time-Consistent Investment Under Probability Distortion

We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of forward performance criteria with the time-inconsistency stemming from probability distortions. For this, we first propose two distinct definitions, one based on the preservation of performance value and the other on the time-consistency of policies and, in turn, establish their equivalence. We then fully characterize the viable class of probability distortion processes, providing a bifurcation-type result. Specifically, it is either the case that the probability distortions are degenerate in the sense that the investor would never invest in the risky assets, or the marginal probability distortion equals to a normalized power of the quantile function of the pricing kernel. We also characterize the optimal wealth process, whose structure motivates the introduction of a new, distorted measure and a related market. We then build a striking correspondence between the forward rank-dependent criteria in the original market and forward criteria without probability distortions in the auxiliary market. This connection also provides a direct construction method for forward rank-dependent criteria. A byproduct of our work are some new results on the so-called dynamic utilities and on time-inconsistent problems in the classical (backward) setting.

q-fin.MF

Surplus-Invariant, Law-Invariant, and Conic Acceptance Sets Must be the Sets Induced by Value-at-Risk

The regulator is interested in proposing a capital adequacy test by specifying an acceptance set for firms' capital positions at the end of a given period. This set needs to be surplus-invariant, i.e., not to depend on the surplus of firms' shareholders, because the test means to protect firms' liability holders. We prove that any surplus-invariant, law-invariant, and conic acceptance set must be the set of capital positions whose value-at-risk at a given level is less than zero. The result still holds if we replace conicity with numeraire-invariance, a property stipulating that whether a firm passes the test should not depend on the currency used to denominate its assets.

q-fin.RM