arXiv subjects

Yannick Bahé

Publications and source records attributed to Yannick Bahé.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Galaxy clusters in the VIDEO fields: detection and characterisation in the context of MOONRISE

We analyse the cluster content of the $\sim 4.5 \text{ deg}^{2}$ XMM-LSS and CDFS VIDEO fields which are expected to be partially covered by the upcoming MOONRISE survey. Using AMICO and WaZP photometric redshift-based cluster finders, we construct a sample of $519$ cluster candidates detected by both finders in the redshift range $z = 0.1-3$, including $74$ detections at $z > 1.5$. For all detections, we identify the Brightest Central Galaxy (BCG) and compute a list of probabilistic cluster memberships. Our photometric redshift measurements of the clusters agree well with spectroscopic redshifts from the literature, when available. From ancillary spectroscopic data, we assign $z_\text{spec}$ measurements to $116$ cluster candidates based on their spectroscopic members and to $204$ based on their likely BCGs. We also show that candidates containing Radio-Loud members are efficiently recovered using the prior-based cluster finder PPM. We perform a preliminary analysis of the galaxy content of these candidates, focusing on the Red-Sequence components of their apparent Colour-Magnitude Diagram. By comparing with models of galaxy evolution, we show that this population is consistent with a model of passive evolution with a formation at high redshift, and is already in place at $z = 1.5-2.0$. Finally, our cluster sample is used to evaluate how these clusters would be detected and characterised, according to various MOONRISE strategies. We show that cluster spectroscopic confirmation and characterisation could be efficiently achieved up to $z\sim1.7$ even with the shallowest survey strategy. This open unprecedented insight into the physical properties of high-redshift galaxy clusters and into galaxy formation in dense environments.

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arXiv2026

Characterizing the Formation and Evolution of S0-galaxies (CaFES-0): Their formation pathways around Galaxy Clusters

The formation pathways of lenticular galaxies (S0s), which lie morphologically between elliptical and spiral galaxies, remain a topic of active research. Environmental effects, merging histories, and pre-processing mechanisms are often proposed as key factors influencing their transformation. However, the relative importance of these processes remains unclear, particularly when compared with other galaxy types. We use the Hydrangea cosmological zoom-in simulation suite to analyse the environmental histories of S0 galaxies, defined here as central and satellite quenched disk galaxies. We find that the vast majority (>85\%) of our sample of S0s are satellites in massive haloes (log$_{10}$M$_{200}/$M$_\odot$ > 13), while only $\sim10\%$ are centrals in low-mass haloes. Satellite S0s exhibit a highly quiescent merging history, with $\sim60\%$ experiencing no significant mergers since $z=2$. Centrals show more varied merging histories, although our results may be affected by limited sample size. Contrary to expectations, no clear trends in merger ratios with morphology are observed. However, mergers involving lenticular and spiral galaxies tend to occur in low-density environments and are likely gas-rich, enabling disk reformation. Pre-processing effects in groups are critical, influencing both quenching and morphological transformation.} Our results strongly suggest that S0 galaxies predominantly form from faded/stripped spirals in clusters, with a minority forming via mergers in smaller haloes. These results are in agreement with previous observations of lenticular galaxies around galaxy clusters.

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arXiv2026

Intracluster light is a close tracer of the dark matter halo shape

We investigate whether the intracluster light (ICL) can serve as a reliable tracer of the shape of the underlying dark matter (DM) haloes in galaxy clusters. Using the cosmological Hydrangea cluster simulations, we measure the 3D and projected shapes of both components with a shape tensor computed in concentric ellipsoidal shells, out to the virial radius $R_\mathrm{200c}$ for each cluster. The ICL and DM are closely aligned, with their major axes typically offset from each other by $\lesssim$10 degrees. Their axis ratios also match closely, with a typical difference of only $\approx\! 0.07$ for both the major-to-minor and major-to-intermediate axes, the DM being slightly rounder than the ICL. These trends are consistent across 2D and 3D measurements and agree well with results from isophotal fitting of mock images. In detail, the axis ratio offset is sensitive to the method used to remove satellites, and may also depend on the choice of subgrid physics models. We demonstrate that the ICL traces the DM shape better than the distribution of satellite galaxies, which exhibits larger scatter in the axis ratio and misalignment angle and is overall more elliptical. Together, these results indicate that the ICL can act as a useful proxy for DM halo ellipticity and orientation.

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arXiv2026

Mechanisms Affecting Galaxies Nearby and Environmental Trends (MAGNET)

[ABRIDGED] Galaxy evolution is shaped by internal and external mechanisms that regulate the baryon cycle and star formation activity. We present a theoretical framework based on the GAlaxy Evolution and Assembly (GAEA) semi-analytic model. We extracted portions of simulated volumes that include isolated galaxies, pairs, group, and filament members at z ~ 0, specifically avoiding massive clusters. Galaxies were classified using both intrinsic (halo-based) and observational (2D projected) parameterizations, reconstructing their environmental histories from z = 2 and identifying mergers, tidal interactions, ram pressure stripping (RPS), and starvation. 2D information decreases isolated and group fractions while doubles pairs. More than half of galaxies remain unaffected by the investigated processes since z = 2. Among affected galaxies, mergers dominate at high stellar masses (40-60% at log(M*/Msun) > 10.5). Tidal interactions are less frequent, and their incidence increases with stellar mass. RPS dominates in groups and filaments at intermediate masses (~50%), while starvation ranges from 20 to 30%. The incidence of the different mechanisms depends strongly on both mass and environment, though their imprints on global properties are often subtle. Distinct evolutionary pathways emerge: log(M*/Msun) < 9.5, galaxies in groups and filaments have a faster mass growth than galaxies in the other environments, especially those undergoing starvation, mergers and, to less extent, RPS. Differences are reduced moving to higher masses, where no clear dependence on physical mechanism emerge, even though at these masses a clear star formation suppression is evident in mergers and starved galaxies. This theoretical investigation provides essential context for the recently started multi-wavelength program Mechanisms Affecting Galaxies Nearby and Environmental Trends (MAGNET), which we introduce here.

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arXiv2025

Distinct origins of environmentally quenched galaxies in the core and outer virialised regions of massive clusters at $0.8<z<1.5$

High-redshift ($z\sim1$) galaxy clusters are the domain where environmental quenching mechanisms are expected to emerge as important factors in the evolution of the quiescent galaxy population. Uncovering these initially subtle effects requires exploring multiple dependencies of quenching across the cluster environment, and through time. We analyse the stellar-mass functions (SMFs) of 17 galaxy clusters within the GOGREEN and GCLASS surveys between $0.8 9.5$. The data are fit simultaneously with a Bayesian model that allows the Schechter function parameters of the quiescent and star-forming populations to vary smoothly with cluster-centric radius and redshift. The model also fits the radial galaxy number density profile of each population, allowing the global quenched fraction to be parameterised as a function of redshift and cluster velocity dispersion. We find the star-forming SMF to not depend on radius or redshift. For the quiescent population however, there is $\sim2σ$ evidence for a radial dependence. Outside the cluster core ($R>0.3\,R_{\rm200}$), the quenched fraction above $\log{(M/{\rm{M_\odot}})}=9.5$ is $\sim40{\rm\;per\,cent}$, and the quiescent SMF is similar in shape to the star-forming field. In contrast, the cluster core has an elevated quenched fraction ($\sim70{\rm\;per\,cent}$), and a quiescent SMF similar in shape to the quiescent field population. We explore contributions of 'early mass-quenching' and mass-independent 'environmental-quenching' models in each of these radial regimes. The core is well-described primarily by early mass-quenching, which we interpret as accelerated quenching of massive galaxies in protoclusters, possibly through merger-driven feedback mechanisms. The non-core is better described through mass-independent, environmental-quenching of the infalling field population.

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arXiv2025

Insights into environmental quenching at $z\sim1$: an enhancement of faint, low-mass passive galaxies in clusters

Understanding the processes that transform star-forming galaxies into quiescent ones is key to unraveling the role of environment in galaxy evolution. We present measurements of the luminosity functions (LFs) and stellar mass functions (SMFs) of passive red-sequence galaxies in four galaxy clusters at $0.8 < z < 1.3$, selected using deep VLT observations complemented with data from the GCLASS and GOGREEN surveys. We find a significant enhancement in the abundance of faint/low-mass passive galaxies in both the LFs and SMFs of all four clusters compared to the field. This is further evidenced by a shallower low-mass slope in the composite passive cluster SMF, which yields a Schechter parameter $α= -0.54^{+\,0.03}_{-0.03}$, compared to $α= 0.12^{+\,0.01}_{-0.01}$ for the field. Our findings indicate that quenching processes that act in clusters are enhanced compared to the field, suggesting that environmental quenching mechanisms may already be active by $z\sim1$. To reproduce the observed passive cluster SMF, we estimate that $25\pm5\%$ of the star-forming field population that falls into the cluster must have been quenched. Our results largely support traditional quenching models but highlight the need for deeper studies of larger cluster samples to better understand the role of environmental quenching in the distant Universe.

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arXiv2025

Virgo Filaments IV: Using WISE to Measure the Modification of Star-Forming Disks in the Extended Regions Around the Virgo Cluster

Recent theoretical work and targeted observational studies suggest that filaments are sites of galaxy preprocessing. The aim of the WISESize project is to directly probe galaxies over the full range of environments to quantify and characterize extrinsic galaxy quenching in the local Universe. In this paper, we use GALFIT to measure the infrared 12$μ$m ($R_{12}$) and 3.4$μ$m ($R_{3.4}$) effective radii of 603 late-type galaxies in and surrounding the Virgo cluster. We find that Virgo cluster galaxies show smaller star-forming disks relative to their field counterparts at the $2.5σ$ level, while filament galaxies show smaller star-forming disks to almost $1.5σ$. Our data, therefore, show that cluster galaxies experience significant effects on their star-forming disks prior to their final quenching period. There is also tentative support for the hypothesis that galaxies are preprocessed in filamentary regions surrounding clusters. On the other hand, galaxies belonging to rich groups and poor groups do not differ significantly from those in the field. We additionally find hints of a positive correlation between stellar mass and size ratio for both rich group and filament galaxies, though the uncertainties on these data are consistent with no correlation. We compare our size measurements with the predictions from two variants of a state-of-the-art semi-analytic model (SAM), one which includes starvation and the other incorporating both starvation and ram-pressure stripping (RPS). Our data appear to disfavor the SAM, which includes RPS for the rich group, filament, and cluster samples, which contributes to improved constraints for general models of galaxy quenching.

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arXiv2024

SWIFT: A modern highly-parallel gravity and smoothed particle hydrodynamics solver for astrophysical and cosmological applications

Numerical simulations have become one of the key tools used by theorists in all the fields of astrophysics and cosmology. The development of modern tools that target the largest existing computing systems and exploit state-of-the-art numerical methods and algorithms is thus crucial. In this paper, we introduce the fully open-source highly-parallel, versatile, and modular coupled hydrodynamics, gravity, cosmology, and galaxy-formation code SWIFT. The software package exploits hybrid shared- and distributed-memory task-based parallelism, asynchronous communications, and domain-decomposition algorithms based on balancing the workload, rather than the data, to efficiently exploit modern high-performance computing cluster architectures. Gravity is solved for using a fast-multipole-method, optionally coupled to a particle mesh solver in Fourier space to handle periodic volumes. For gas evolution, multiple modern flavours of Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics are implemented. SWIFT also evolves neutrinos using a state-of-the-art particle-based method. Two complementary networks of sub-grid models for galaxy formation as well as extensions to simulate planetary physics are also released as part of the code. An extensive set of output options, including snapshots, light-cones, power spectra, and a coupling to structure finders are also included. We describe the overall code architecture, summarise the consistency and accuracy tests that were performed, and demonstrate the excellent weak-scaling performance of the code using a representative cosmological hydrodynamical problem with $\approx$$300$ billion particles. The code is released to the community alongside extensive documentation for both users and developers, a large selection of example test problems, and a suite of tools to aid in the analysis of large simulations run with SWIFT.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2024

$Spitzer$-selected $z > 1.3$ protocluster candidates in the LSST Deep Drilling Fields

We have identified 189 candidate $z > 1.3$ protoclusters and clusters in the LSST Deep Drilling Fields. This sample will enable the measurement of the metal enrichment and star formation history of clusters during their early assembly period through the direct measurement of the rate of supernovae identified through the LSST. The protocluster sample was selected from galaxy overdensities in a $Spitzer$/IRAC colour-selected sample using criteria that were optimised for protocluster purity using a realistic lightcone. Our tests reveal that $60-80\%$ of the identified candidates are likely to be genuine protoclusters or clusters, which is corroborated by a $\sim4σ$ stacked X-ray signal from these structures. We provide photometric redshift estimates for 47 candidates which exhibit strong peaks in the photo-$z$ distribution of their candidate members. However, the lack of a photo-$z$ peak does not mean a candidate is not genuine, since we find a stacked X-ray signal of similar significance from both the candidates that exhibit photo-$z$ peaks and those that do not. Tests on the lightcone reveal that our pursuit of a pure sample of protoclusters results in that sample being highly incomplete ($\sim4\%$) and heavily biased towards larger, richer, more massive, and more centrally concentrated protoclusters than the total protocluster population. Most ($\sim75\%$) of the selected protoclusters are likely to have a maximum collapsed halo mass of between $10^{13}-10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$, with only $\sim25\%$ likely to be collapsed clusters above $10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$. However, the aforementioned bias ensures our sample is $\sim50\%$ complete for structures that have already collapsed into clusters more massive than $10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$.

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arXiv2023

Roman-Cosmic Noon: A Legacy Spectroscopic Survey of Massive Field and Protocluster Galaxies at $2<z<3$

Protoclusters are the densest regions in the distant universe ($z>2$) and are the progenitors of massive galaxy clusters ($M_{halo}>10^{14}{\rm M}_\odot$) in the local universe. They undoubtedly play a key role in early massive galaxy evolution and they may host the earliest sites of galaxy quenching or even induce extreme states of star formation. Studying protoclusters therefore not only gives us a window into distant galaxy formation but also provides an important link in our understanding of how dense structures grow over time and modify the galaxies within them. Current protocluster samples are completely unable to address these points because they are small and selected in a heterogeneous way. We propose the Roman-Cosmic Noon survey, whose centerpiece is an extremely deep (30ksec) and wide area (10 deg$^2$) prism slitless spectroscopy survey to identify the full range of galaxy structures at $2 10^{10.5} {\rm M}_\odot$ across the full range of star formation histories as well as many more lower mass star-forming galaxies. The survey will also contain field galaxies to much lower masses than in the High Latitude Wide Area Survey, but over an area dwarfing any current or planned deep spectroscopy probe at $z>2$. With the prism spectroscopy and some modest additional imaging this survey will measure precise stellar mass functions, quenched fractions, galaxy and protocluster morphologies, stellar ages, emission-line based SFRs, and metallicities. It will have extensive legacy value well beyond the key protocluster science goals.

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arXiv2023

A machine learning approach to mapping baryons onto dark matter haloes using the EAGLE and C-EAGLE simulations

High-resolution cosmological hydrodynamic simulations are currently limited to relatively small volumes due to their computational expense. However, much larger volumes are required to probe rare, overdense environments, and measure clustering statistics of the large scale structure. Typically, zoom simulations of individual regions are used to study rare environments, and semi-analytic models and halo occupation models applied to dark matter only (DMO) simulations are used to study the Universe in the large-volume regime. We propose a new approach, using a machine learning framework to explore the halo-galaxy relationship in the periodic EAGLE simulations, and zoom C-EAGLE simulations of galaxy clusters. We train a tree based machine learning method to predict the baryonic properties of galaxies based on their host dark matter halo properties. The trained model successfully reproduces a number of key distribution functions for an infinitesimal fraction of the computational cost of a full hydrodynamic simulation. By training on both periodic simulations as well as zooms of overdense environments, we learn the bias of galaxy evolution in differing environments. This allows us to apply the trained model to a larger DMO volume than would be possible if we only trained on a periodic simulation. We demonstrate this application using the $(800 \; \mathrm{Mpc})^3$ P-Millennium simulation, and present predictions for key baryonic distribution functions and clustering statistics from the EAGLE model in this large volume.

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arXiv2023

Early results from GLASS-JWST. XIV: A spectroscopically confirmed protocluster 650 million years after the Big Bang

We present the spectroscopic confirmation of a protocluster at $z=7.88$ behind the galaxy cluster Abell2744 (hereafter A2744-z7p9OD). Using JWST NIRSpec, we find seven galaxies within a projected radius of 60kpc. Although the galaxies reside in an overdensity around $>20\times$ greater than a random volume, they do not show strong Lyman-alpha emission. We place 2-$σ$ upper limits on the rest-frame equivalent width $<16$-$28$AA. Based on the tight upper limits to the Lyman-alpha emission, we constrain the volume-averaged neutral fraction of hydrogen in the intergalactic medium to be $x_{\rm HI} > 0.45$ (68% CI). Using an empirical $M_{\rm UV}$-$M_{\rm halo}$ relation for individual galaxies, we estimate that the total halo mass of the system is $\gtrsim 4\times10^{11}\,M_\odot$. Likewise, the line of sight velocity dispersion is estimated to be $1100 \pm 200$km/s. Using an empirical relation, we estimate the present-day halo mass of A2744-z7p9OD to be $\sim2\times10^{15}\,M_\odot$, comparable to the Coma cluster. A2744-z7p9OD is the highest redshift spectroscopically confirmed protocluster to date, demonstrating the power of JWST to investigate the connection between dark-matter halo assembly and galaxy formation at very early times with medium-deep observations at $<20$hrs total exposure time. Follow-up spectroscopy of the remaining photometric candidates of the overdensity will further refine the features of this system and help characterize the role of such overdensities in cosmic reionization.

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arXiv2022

X-IFU/Athena view of the most distant galaxy clusters in the Universe

The X-ray Integral Field Unit (X-IFU) on-board the second large ESA mission ''Athena'' will be a high spatial (5'') and spectral (2.5eV) resolution X-ray imaging spectrometer, operating in the 0.2-12 keV energy band. It will address the science question of the assembly and evolution through cosmic time of the largest halos of matter in the Universe, groups and clusters of galaxies. To this end, we present an on-going feasibility study to demonstrate the X-IFU capabilities to unveil the physics of massive halos at their epoch of formation. Starting from a distant (z=2) group of galaxies ($M_{500} = 7\cdot 10^{13} M_\odot/h$) extracted from the HYDRANGEA cosmological and hydrodynamical numerical simulations, we perform an end-to-end simulation of X-IFU observations. From the reconstruction of the global, 1D and 2D quantities, we plan to investigate the various X-IFU science cases for clusters of galaxies, such as the chemical enrichment of the intra-cluster medium (ICM), the dynamical assembly of groups and clusters and the impact of feedback from galaxy and super-massive black hole evolution.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

The luminosity of cluster galaxies in the Cluster-EAGLE simulations

We computed the luminosity of simulated galaxies of the C-EAGLE project, a suite of 30 high-resolution zoom-in simulations of galaxy clusters based on the EAGLE simulation. The AB magnitudes are derived for different spectral bands, from ultraviolet to infrared, using the simple stellar population modeling based on the E-MILES stellar spectra library. We take into account obscuration due to dust in star forming regions and diffuse interstellar medium. The $g-r$ colour-stellar mass diagram, at z=0.1, presents a defined red sequence, reaching $g-r \simeq 0.8$, 0.05 dex redder than EAGLE at high masses, and a well populated blue cloud, when field galaxies are included. The clusters' inner regions are dominated by red-sequence galaxies at all masses, although a non-negligible amount of blue galaxies are still present. We adopt Bayesian inference to compute the clusters LFs, testing for statistical significance of both single and double Schechter functions. The multicolour LFs at z=0 show a knee luminosity that peaks in the infrared and increases with the cluster's mass. The faint-end is weakly dependent on colour and mass and shows an upturn in the optical, bounded between -1.25 and -1.39, just moderately steeper than the field. The simulations reproduce, within the observational errors, the spectroscopic LFs of the Hercules and Abell 85 clusters, including their faint end upturn. C-EAGLE LFs are in broad agreement with observed LFs taken from SDSS and XXL surveys, up to z=0.67, showing a rather flat faint end when the observational constrains are taken into account.

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arXiv2021

Simulating Groups and the IntraGroup Medium: The Surprisingly Complex and Rich Middle Ground Between Clusters and Galaxies

Galaxy groups are more than an intermediate scale between clusters and halos hosting individual galaxies, they are crucial laboratories capable of testing a range of astrophysics from how galaxies form and evolve to large scale structure (LSS) statistics for cosmology. Cosmological hydrodynamic simulations of groups on various scales offer an unparalleled testing ground for astrophysical theories. Widely used cosmological simulations with ~(100 Mpc)^3 volumes contain statistical samples of groups that provide important tests of galaxy evolution influenced by environmental processes. Larger volumes capable of reproducing LSS while following the redistribution of baryons by cooling and feedback are essential tools necessary to constrain cosmological parameters. Higher resolution simulations can currently model satellite interactions, the processing of cool (T~10^4 K) multi-phase gas, and non-thermal physics including turbulence, magnetic fields, and cosmic ray transport. We review simulation results regarding the gas and stellar contents of groups, cooling flows and the relation to the central galaxy, the formation and processing of multi-phase gas, satellite interactions with the intragroup medium, and the impact of groups for cosmological parameter estimation. Cosmological simulations provide evolutionarily consistent predictions of these observationally difficult-to-define objects, and have untapped potential to accurately model their gaseous, stellar, and dark matter distributions.

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arXiv2020

Constraining the inner density slope of massive galaxy clusters

We determine the inner density profiles of massive galaxy clusters (M$_{200}$ > $5 \times 10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$) in the Cluster-EAGLE (C-EAGLE) hydrodynamic simulations, and investigate whether the dark matter density profiles can be correctly estimated from a combination of mock stellar kinematical and gravitational lensing data. From fitting mock stellar kinematics and lensing data generated from the simulations, we find that the inner density slopes of both the total and the dark matter mass distributions can be inferred reasonably well. We compare the density slopes of C-EAGLE clusters with those derived by Newman et al. for 7 massive galaxy clusters in the local Universe. We find that the asymptotic best-fit inner slopes of "generalized" NFW (gNFW) profiles, $γ_{\rm gNFW}$, of the dark matter haloes of the C-EAGLE clusters are significantly steeper than those inferred by Newman et al. However, the mean mass-weighted dark matter density slopes of the simulated clusters are in good agreement with the Newman et al. estimates. We also find that the estimate of $γ_{\rm gNFW}$ is very sensitive to the constraints from weak lensing measurements in the outer parts of the cluster and a bias can lead to an underestimate of $γ_{\rm gNFW}$.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

CCCP and MENeaCS: (updated) weak-lensing masses for 100 galaxy clusters

Large area surveys have detected significant samples of galaxy clusters that can be used to constrain cosmological parameters, provided that the masses of the clusters are measured robustly. To improve the calibration of cluster masses using weak gravitational lensing we present new results for 48 clusters at $0.05<z<0.15$, observed as part of the Multi Epoch Nearby Cluster Survey (MENeaCS), and reevaluate the mass estimates for 52 clusters from the Canadian Cluster Comparison Project (CCCP). Updated high-fidelity photometric redshift catalogues of reference deep fields are used in combination with advances in shape measurements and state-of-the-art cluster simulations, yielding an average systematic uncertainty in the lensing signal below 5%, similar to the statistical uncertainty for our cluster sample. We derive a scaling relation with Planck measurements for the full sample and find a bias in the Planck masses of $1-b=0.84 \pm 0.04$. We find no statistically significant trend of the mass bias with redshift or cluster mass, but find that different selections could change the bias by up to 1.5$σ$. We find a gas fraction of $0.139 \pm 0.014$ for 8 relaxed clusters in our sample, which can also be used to infer cosmological parameters.

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arXiv2018

The signal of decaying dark matter with hydrodynamical simulations

Dark matter particles may decay, emitting photons. Drawing on the EAGLE family of hydrodynamic simulations of galaxy formation -- including the APOSTLE and C-EAGLE simulations -- we assess the systematic uncertainties and scatter on the decay flux from different galaxy classes, from Milky Way satellites to galaxy clusters, and compare our results to studies of the 3.55~keV line. We demonstrate that previous detections and non-detections of this line are consistent with a dark matter interpretation. For example, in our simulations the width of the the dark matter decay line for Perseus-analogue galaxy clusters lies in the range 1300-1700~\kms. Therefore, the non-detection of the 3.55~keV line in the centre of the Perseus cluster by the {\it Hitomi} collaboration is consistent with detections by other instruments. We also consider trends with stellar and halo mass and evaluate the scatter in the expected fluxes arising from the anisotropic halo mass distribution and from object-to-object variations. We provide specific predictions for observations with {\it XMM-Newton} and with the planned X-ray telescopes {\it XRISM} and {\it ATHENA}. If future detections of unexplained X-ray lines match our predictions, including line widths, we will have strong evidence that we have discovered the dark matter.

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