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Yanping Lu

Publications and source records attributed to Yanping Lu.

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Moment estimator for an AR(1) model with non-zero mean driven by a long memory Gaussian noise

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as $|k|^{2H-2}$ times a positive constant when $k$ tends to infinity, and the fractional Gaussian noise and the fractional ARIMA model are special examples that satisfy this assumption. We propose moment estimators and prove the strong consistency, the asymptotic normality and joint asymptotic normality.

math.ST

Parameter estimation of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck

In this paper, we consider the statistical inference of the drift parameter $\theta$ of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck~(O-U) process driven by a general Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. When $H \in (0, \frac 12) \cup (\frac 12,1) $ the second order mixed partial derivative of $R (t, s) = E [G_t G_s] $ can be decomposed into two parts, one of which coincides with that of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), and the other of which is bounded by $|ts|^{H-1}$. This condition covers a large number of common Gaussian processes such as fBm, sub-fractional Brownian motion and bi-fractional Brownian motion. Under this condition, we verify that $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$ satisfies the four assumptions in references \cite{El2016}, that is, noise has H\"{o}lder continuous path; the variance of noise is bounded by the power function; the asymptotic variance of the solution $X_T$ in the case of ergodic O-U process $X$ exists and strictly positive as $T \to \infty$; for fixed $s \in [0,T)$, the noise $G_s$ is asymptotically independent of the ergodic solution $X_T$ as $T \to \infty$, thus ensure the strong consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the estimator $\tilde{\theta}_T$ based on continuous observations of $X$. Verify that $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$ satisfies the assumption in references \cite{Es-Sebaiy2019}, that is, the variance of the increment process $\{ \zeta_{t_i}-\zeta_{t_{i -1}}, i =1,..., n \}$ is bounded by the product of a power function and a negative exponential function, which ensure that $\hat{\theta}_n$ and $\check{\theta}_n $ are strong consistent and the sequences $\sqrt{T_n} (\hat {\theta}_n - \theta)$ and $\sqrt {T_n} (\check {\theta}_n - \theta)$ are tight based on discrete observations of $X$

math.ST