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Yaqing Chen

Publications and source records attributed to Yaqing Chen.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

DFNN: A Deep Fréchet Neural Network Framework for Learning Metric-Space-Valued Responses

Regression with non-Euclidean responses---e.g., probability distributions, networks, symmetric positive-definite matrices, and compositions---has become increasingly important in modern applications. In this paper, we propose deep Fréchet neural networks (DFNNs), an end-to-end deep learning framework for predicting non-Euclidean responses---which are considered as random objects in a metric space---from Euclidean predictors. Our method utilizes the representation-learning power of deep neural networks (DNNs) to the task of approximating conditional Fréchet means of the response given the predictors, the metric-space analogue of conditional expectations, by minimizing a Fréchet risk. The framework is highly flexible, accommodating diverse metrics and high-dimensional predictors. We establish a universal approximation theorem for DFNNs, advancing the state-of-the-art of neural network approximation theory to general metric-space-valued responses, without making model assumptions or relying on local smoothing. We further establish rigorous generalization guarantees for DFNNs and derive corresponding risk bounds, providing, to the best of our knowledge, the first such theoretical results for deep learning regression with metric-space-valued responses. Empirical studies on synthetic distributional and network-valued responses, as well as real-world applications to predicting compositional responses in an Aitchison simplex and spherical responses, demonstrate that DFNNs consistently outperform all existing methods.

stat.ML

DiPMInd: Distance Profile based Mutual Independence testing for random objects

This paper develops a novel unified framework for testing mutual independence among random objects residing in possibly different metric spaces. The framework generalizes existing methodologies and introduces new measures of mutual independence, and proposes associated tests that achieve minimax rate optimality and exhibit strong empirical power. The foundation of the proposed tests is the new concept of joint distance profiles, which uniquely characterize the joint law of random objects under a mild condition on either the joint law or the metric spaces. Our test statistics quantify the difference of the joint distance profiles of each data point with respect to the joint law and the product of marginal laws of the vector of random objects. To enhance power, we consider integrating this difference with respect to different measures and incorporate flexible data-adaptive weight profiles in the test statistics. We derive the limiting distribution of the test statistics under the null hypothesis of mutual independence and show that the proposed tests with certain weight profiles are asymptotically distribution-free if the marginal distance profiles are continuous. Furthermore, we establish the consistency of the tests under sequences of alternative hypotheses converging to the null. For practical implementations, we employ a permutation scheme to approximate the $p$-values and provide theoretical guarantees that the permutation-based tests maintain type I error control under the null and achieve consistency under alternatives. We demonstrate the power of the proposed tests across various types of data objects through simulations and real data applications, where the new tests exhibit better performance compared with popular existing approaches.

stat.ME

A Riemannian Factor Model for Manifold-Valued Time Series

We propose a Riemannian factor model (RFM), a novel framework for analyzing potentially high-dimensional time series data observed on Riemannian manifolds. Such time series are encountered in various applications, including economics, finance, medical imaging, and genomics and microbiome research. The proposed model is geometry-aware and accounts for the inherent nonlinearity in the data. In a high-dimensional asymptotic regime, where the manifold dimension is allowed to diverge with the sample size $n$, we establish convergence rates for the estimated loading space. In particular, under short-memory and strong factor conditions, we obtain a dimension-free $n^{-1/2}$ rate, which matches the convergence rate of the high-dimensional linear factor model. Finite-sample performance of the proposed RFM is demonstrated with simulated time series on the Bures--Wasserstein manifolds and products of spheres, as well as an application to monthly realized covariances of selected U.S. stock returns---modeled as time series in the Bures--Wasserstein manifold, where the RFM provides demonstrably interpretable factors and yields competitive predictive performance.

stat.ME

Metric Statistics: Exploration and Inference for Random Objects With Distance Profiles

This article provides an overview on the statistical modeling of complex data as increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. It is argued that such data can often be described as elements of a metric space that satisfies certain structural conditions and features a probability measure. We refer to the random elements of such spaces as random objects and to the emerging field that deals with their statistical analysis as metric statistics. Metric statistics provides methodology, theory and visualization tools for the statistical description, quantification of variation, centrality and quantiles, regression and inference for populations of random objects, inferring these quantities from available data and samples. In addition to a brief review of current concepts, we focus on distance profiles as a major tool for object data in conjunction with the pairwise Wasserstein transports of the underlying one-dimensional distance distributions. These pairwise transports lead to the definition of intuitive and interpretable notions of transport ranks and transport quantiles as well as two-sample inference. An associated profile metric complements the original metric of the object space and may reveal important features of the object data in data analysis. We demonstrate these tools for the analysis of complex data through various examples and visualizations.

stat.ME

AI-Generated Content Enhanced Computer-Aided Diagnosis Model for Thyroid Nodules: A ChatGPT-Style Assistant

An artificial intelligence-generated content-enhanced computer-aided diagnosis (AIGC-CAD) model, designated as ThyGPT, has been developed. This model, inspired by the architecture of ChatGPT, could assist radiologists in assessing the risk of thyroid nodules through semantic-level human-machine interaction. A dataset comprising 19,165 thyroid nodule ultrasound cases from Zhejiang Cancer Hospital was assembled to facilitate the training and validation of the model. After training, ThyGPT could automatically evaluate thyroid nodule and engage in effective communication with physicians through human-computer interaction. The performance of ThyGPT was rigorously quantified using established metrics such as the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. The empirical findings revealed that radiologists, when supplemented with ThyGPT, markedly surpassed the diagnostic acumen of their peers utilizing traditional methods as well as the performance of the model in isolation. These findings suggest that AIGC-CAD systems, exemplified by ThyGPT, hold the promise to fundamentally transform the diagnostic workflows of radiologists in forthcoming years.

cs.CV

Learning delay dynamics for multivariate stochastic processes, with application to the prediction of the growth rate of COVID-19 cases in the United States

Delay differential equations form the underpinning of many complex dynamical systems. The forward problem of solving random differential equations with delay has received increasing attention in recent years. Motivated by the challenge to predict the COVID-19 caseload trajectories for individual states in the U.S., we target here the inverse problem. Given a sample of observed random trajectories obeying an unknown random differential equation model with delay, we use a functional data analysis framework to learn the model parameters that govern the underlying dynamics from the data. We show existence and uniqueness of the analytical solutions of the population delay random differential equation model when one has discrete time delays in the functional concurrent regression model and also for a second scenario where one has a delay continuum or distributed delay. The latter involves a functional linear regression model with history index. The derivative of the process of interest is modeled using the process itself as predictor and also other functional predictors with predictor-specific delayed impacts. This dynamics learning approach is shown to be well suited to model the growth rate of COVID-19 for the states that are part of the U.S., by pooling information from the individual states, using the case process and concurrently observed economic and mobility data as predictors.

math.AP

Wasserstein Regression

The analysis of samples of random objects that do not lie in a vector space is gaining increasing attention in statistics. An important class of such object data is univariate probability measures defined on the real line. Adopting the Wasserstein metric, we develop a class of regression models for such data, where random distributions serve as predictors and the responses are either also distributions or scalars. To define this regression model, we utilize the geometry of tangent bundles of the space of random measures endowed with the Wasserstein metric for mapping distributions to tangent spaces. The proposed distribution-to-distribution regression model provides an extension of multivariate linear regression for Euclidean data and function-to-function regression for Hilbert space valued data in functional data analysis. In simulations, it performs better than an alternative transformation approach where one maps distributions to a Hilbert space through the log quantile density transformation and then applies traditional functional regression. We derive asymptotic rates of convergence for the estimator of the regression operator and for predicted distributions and also study an extension to autoregressive models for distribution-valued time series. The proposed methods are illustrated with data on human mortality and distributional time series of house prices.

stat.ME

Uniform convergence of local Fréchet regression, with applications to locating extrema and time warping for metric space valued trajectories

Local Fréchet regression is a nonparametric regression method for metric space valued responses and Euclidean predictors, which can be utilized to obtain estimates of smooth trajectories taking values in general metric spaces from noisy metric space valued random objects. We derive uniform rates of convergence, which so far have eluded theoretical analysis of this method, for both fixed and random target trajectories, where we utilize tools from empirical processes. These results are shown to be widely applicable in metric space valued data analysis. In addition to simulations, we provide two pertinent examples where these results are important: The consistent estimation of the location of properly defined extrema in metric space valued trajectories, which we illustrate with the problem of locating the age of minimum brain connectivity as obtained from fMRI data; Time warping for metric space valued trajectories, illustrated with yearly age-at-death distributions for different countries.

stat.ME

Wasserstein Gradients for the Temporal Evolution of Probability Distributions

Many studies have been conducted on flows of probability measures, often in terms of gradient flows. We utilize a generalized notion of derivatives with respect to time to model the instantaneous evolution of empirically observed one-dimensional distributions that vary over time and develop consistent estimates for these derivatives. Employing local Fréchet regression and working in local tangent spaces with regard to the Wasserstein metric, we derive the rate of convergence of the proposed estimators. The resulting time dynamics are illustrated with time-varying distribution data that include yearly income distributions and the evolution of mortality over calendar years.

stat.ME

Rank Dynamics for Functional Data

The study of the dynamic behavior of cross-sectional ranks over time for functional data and the ranks of the observed curves at each time point and their temporal evolution can yield valuable insights into the time dynamics of functional data. This approach is of interest in various application areas. For the analysis of the dynamics of ranks, estimation of the cross-sectional ranks of functional data is a first step. Several statistics of interest for ranked functional data are proposed. To quantify the evolution of ranks over time, a model for rank derivatives is introduced, where rank dynamics are decomposed into two components. One component corresponds to population changes and the other to individual changes that both affect the rank trajectories of individuals. The joint asymptotic normality for suitable estimates of these two components is established. The proposed approaches are illustrated with simulations and three longitudinal data sets: Growth curves obtained from the Zürich Longitudinal Growth Study, monthly house price data in the US from 1996 to 2015 and Major League Baseball offensive data for the 2017 season.

stat.ME

Towards Randomized Testing of $q$-Monomials in Multivariate Polynomials

Given any fixed integer $q\ge 2$, a $q$-monomial is of the format $\displaystyle x^{s_1}_{i_1}x^{s_2}_{i_2}...x_{i_t}^{s_t}$ such that $1\le s_j \le q-1$, $1\le j \le t$. $q$-monomials are natural generalizations of multilinear monomials. Recent research on testing multilinear monomials and $q$-monomails for prime $q$ in multivariate polynomials relies on the property that $Z_q$ is a field when $q\ge 2 $ is prime. When $q>2$ is not prime, it remains open whether the problem of testing $q$-monomials can be solved in some compatible complexity. In this paper, we present a randomized $O^*(7.15^k)$ algorithm for testing $q$-monomials of degree $k$ that are found in a multivariate polynomial that is represented by a tree-like circuit with a polynomial size, thus giving a positive, affirming answer to the above question. Our algorithm works regardless of the primality of $q$ and improves upon the time complexity of the previously known algorithm for testing $q$-monomials for prime $q>7$.

cs.CC

Enhanced Gas-Flow-Induced Voltage in Graphene

We show by systemically experimental investigation that gas-flow-induced voltage in monolayer graphene is more than twenty times of that in bulk graphite. Examination over samples with sheet resistances ranging from 307 to 1600 Ω/sq shows that the induced voltage increase with the resistance and can be further improved by controlling the quality and doping level of graphene. The induced voltage is nearly independent of the substrate materials and can be well explained by the interplay of Bernoulli's principle and the carrier density dependent Seebeck coefficient. The results demonstrate that graphene has great potential for flow sensors and energy conversion devices.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci