arXiv subjects

Yerong Feng

Publications and source records attributed to Yerong Feng.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Diffusion Precipitation Generation with Medium-range Weather Forecasting

Accurate daily precipitation forecasts are important for weather-sensitive decisions. Although recent Weather Foundation Models (WFMs) have achieved significant progress, they are trained on reanalysis data, which exhibit regional and intensity-dependent biases. Since retraining WFMs on observation-based targets is costly, we study Dynamics-Precipitation Decoupling, a plug-and-play framework that uses a separately trained generator to map non-precipitation forecasts from a frozen weather model to observation-aligned daily precipitation. Its key challenges are to capture heterogeneous rainfall distributions and align daily accumulations with atmospheric signals that evolve across space and time. To address them, we train a diffusion generator conditional on atmospheric states and satellite-gauge estimates of precipitation. A multi-scale recurrent encoder summarizes atmospheric evolution, while cross-attention aligns atmospheric and precipitation features during denoising. Extensive evaluation of various backbones, including Pangu-Weather, GraphCast, and HRES, on global and regional forecasting shows improved daily precipitation accuracy and event detection, with better representation of localized accumulation patterns. Global ensemble evaluation shows lower Brier scores than ENS and training-from-scratch GenCast at all reported lead times, with lower CRPS in most comparisons. Remarkably, a heavy-rainfall case study using 2,288 stations in China further supports improved daily accumulation patterns and event detection against ground observations.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

AGCD: Agent-Guided Cross-Modal Decoding for Weather Forecasting

Accurate weather forecasting is more than grid-wise regression: it must preserve coherent synoptic structures and physical consistency of meteorological fields, especially under autoregressive rollouts where small one-step errors can amplify into structural bias. Existing physics-priors approaches typically impose global, once-for-all constraints via architectures, regularization, or NWP coupling, offering limited state-adaptive and sample-specific controllability at deployment. To bridge this gap, we propose Agent-Guided Cross-modal Decoding (AGCD), a plug-and-play decoding-time prior-injection paradigm that derives state-conditioned physics-priors from the current multivariate atmosphere and injects them into forecasters in a controllable and reusable way. Specifically, We design a multi-agent meteorological narration pipeline to generate state-conditioned physics-priors, utilizing MLLMs to extract various meteorological elements effectively. To effectively apply the priors, AGCD further introduce cross-modal region interaction decoding that performs region-aware multi-scale tokenization and efficient physics-priors injection to refine visual features without changing the backbone interface. Experiments on WeatherBench demonstrate consistent gains for 6-hour forecasting across two resolutions (5.625 degree and 1.40625 degree) and diverse backbones (generic and weather-specialized), including strictly causal 48-hour autoregressive rollouts that reduce early-stage error accumulation and improve long-horizon stability.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Physics-Assisted and Topology-Informed Deep Learning for Weather Prediction

Although deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable potential in weather prediction, most of them overlook either the \textbf{physics} of the underlying weather evolution or the \textbf{topology} of the Earth's surface. In light of these disadvantages, we develop PASSAT, a novel Physics-ASSisted And Topology-informed deep learning model for weather prediction. PASSAT attributes the weather evolution to two key factors: (i) the advection process that can be characterized by the advection equation and the Navier-Stokes equation; (ii) the Earth-atmosphere interaction that is difficult to both model and calculate. PASSAT also takes the topology of the Earth's surface into consideration, other than simply treating it as a plane. With these considerations, PASSAT numerically solves the advection equation and the Navier-Stokes equation on the spherical manifold, utilizes a spherical graph neural network to capture the Earth-atmosphere interaction, and generates the initial velocity fields that are critical to solving the advection equation from the same spherical graph neural network. In the $5.625^\circ$-resolution ERA5 data set, PASSAT outperforms both the state-of-the-art deep learning-based weather prediction models and the operational numerical weather prediction model IFS T42. Code and checkpoint are available at https://github.com/Yumenomae/PASSAT_5p625.

cs.LG↗