arXiv subjects

Yeying Zhu

Publications and source records attributed to Yeying Zhu.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Toward Deployable Satellite Anomaly Detection: A Benchmark Study on Large-Scale ESA-ADB Telemetry

Satellite anomaly detection is essential for maintaining mission reliability and spacecraft health, yet remains challenging due to the high-dimensional, irregular, and imbalanced nature of spacecraft telemetry data. This paper presents a systematic benchmark study evaluating supervised and unsupervised anomaly detection approaches on the large-scale ESA-ADB dataset across two mission settings of varying temporal scales. Supervised models, including Multiscale Convolutional Neural Networks (Multiscale CNN), Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN), and Graph Attention Networks (GAT), are compared against unsupervised methods, namely Elliptic Envelope (EE) and Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function-based Outlier Detection (ECOD). Beyond detection performance, we rigorously analyze computational runtime and scalability, which are critical for practical deployment in spacecraft operations. Results show that supervised models achieve stronger overall performance, while unsupervised methods offer competitive precision with significantly lower computational overhead. These findings underscore a fundamental trade-off between detection capacity and operational efficiency, offering practical guidance for mission engineers designing scalable satellite health monitoring systems.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2026

Two-stage Estimation for Causal Inference Involving a Semi-continuous Exposure

Methods for causal inference are well developed for binary and continuous exposures, but in many settings, the exposure has a substantial mass at zero-such exposures are called semi-continuous. We propose a general causal framework for such semi-continuous exposures, together with a novel two-stage estimation strategy. A two-part propensity structure is introduced for the semi-continuous exposure, with one component for exposure status (exposed vs unexposed) and another for the exposure level among those exposed, and incorporates both into a marginal structural model that disentangles the effects of exposure status and dose. The two-stage procedure sequentially targets the causal dose-response among exposed individuals and the causal effect of exposure status at a reference dose, allowing flexibility in the choice of propensity score methods in the second stage. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality for the resulting estimators, and characterise their limiting values under misspecification of the propensity score models. Simulation studies evaluate finite sample performance and robustness, and an application to a study of prenatal alcohol exposure and child cognition demonstrates how the proposed methods can be used to address a range of scientific questions about both exposure status and exposure intensity.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Prenatal alcohol exposure and child cognition: semi-continuous exposures, causal inference and evidence synthesis

We address the challenge of causal inference status and the dose-response effects with a semi-continuous exposure. A two-stage approach is proposed using estimating equation for multiple outcomes with large sample properties derived for the resulting estimators. Homogeneity tests are developed to assess whether causal effects of exposure status and the dose-response effects are the same across multiple outcomes. A global homogeneity test is also developed to assess whether the effect of exposure status (exposed/not exposed) and the dose-response effect of the continuous exposure level are each equal across all outcomes. The methods of estimation and testing are rigorously evaluated in simulation studies and applied to a motivating study on the effects of prenatal alcohol exposure on childhood cognition defined by executive function (EF), academic achievement in math, and learning and memory (LM).

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Gender disparities in rehospitalisations after coronary artery bypass grafting: evidence from a sparse functional causal mediation analysis of the MIMIC-IV data

Hospital readmissions following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) not only impose a substantial cost burden on healthcare systems but also serve as a potential indicator of the quality of medical care. Previous studies of gender effects on complications after CABG surgery have consistently revealed that women tend to suffer worse outcomes. To better understand the causal pathway from gender to the number of rehospitalisations, we study the postoperative central venous pressure (CVP), recorded over the first 24 hours of patients' intensive care unit (ICU) stay after the CABG surgery, as sparse observations of a functional mediator. Confronted with time-varying CVP measurements and zero-inflated rehospitalisation counts within 60 days following discharge, we propose a parameter-simulating quasi-Bayesian Monte Carlo approximation method that accommodates a sparse functional mediator and a zero-inflated count outcome for causal mediation analysis. We find a causal relationship between the female gender and increased rehospitalisation counts after CABG, and that time-varying central venous pressure mediates this causal effect.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Model Selection for Causal Modeling in Missing Exposure Problems

In causal inference, properly selecting the propensity score (PS) model is an important topic and has been widely investigated in observational studies. There is also a large literature focusing on the missing data problem. However, there are very few studies investigating the model selection issue for causal inference when the exposure is missing at random (MAR). In this paper, we discuss how to select both imputation and PS models, which can result in the smallest root mean squared error (RMSE) of the estimated causal effect in our simulation study. Then, we propose a new criterion, called ``rank score'' for evaluating the overall performance of both models. The simulation studies show that the full imputation plus the outcome-related PS models lead to the smallest RMSE and the rank score can help select the best models. An application study is conducted to quantify the causal effect of cardiovascular disease (CVD) on the mortality of COVID-19 patients.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

UAV-Assisted Space-Air-Ground Integrated Networks: A Technical Review of Recent Learning Algorithms

Recent technological advancements in space, air, and ground components have made possible a new network paradigm called space-air-ground integrated network (SAGIN). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) play a key role in SAGINs. However, due to UAVs' high dynamics and complexity, real-world deployment of a SAGIN becomes a significant barrier to realizing such SAGINs. UAVs are expected to meet key performance requirements with limited maneuverability and resources with space and terrestrial components. Therefore, employing UAVs in various usage scenarios requires well-designed planning in algorithmic approaches. This paper provides an essential review and analysis of recent learning algorithms in a UAV-assisted SAGIN. We consider possible reward functions and discuss the state-of-the-art algorithms for optimizing the reward functions, including Q-learning, deep Q-learning, multi-armed bandit, particle swarm optimization, and satisfaction-based learning algorithms. Unlike other survey papers, we focus on the methodological perspective of the optimization problem, applicable to various missions on a SAGIN. We consider real-world configurations and the 2-dimensional (2D) and 3-dimensional (3D) UAV trajectories to reflect deployment cases. Our simulations suggest the 3D satisfaction-based learning algorithm outperforms other approaches in most cases. With open challenges discussed at the end, we aim to provide design and deployment guidelines for UAV-assisted SAGINs.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Causal Inference on Missing Exposure via Robust Estimation

How to deal with missing data in observational studies is a common concern for causal inference. When the covariates are missing at random (MAR), multiple approaches have been provided to help solve the issue. However, if the exposure is MAR, few approaches are available and careful adjustments on both missingness and confounding issues are required to ensure a consistent estimate of the true causal effect on the response. In this article, a new inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimator based on weighted estimating equations (WEE) is proposed to incorporate weights from both the missingness and propensity score (PS) models, which can reduce the joint effect of extreme weights in finite samples. Additionally, we develop a triple robust (TR) estimator via WEE to further protect against the misspecification of the missingness model. The asymptotic properties of WEE estimators are proved using properties of estimating equations. Based on the simulation studies, WEE methods outperform others including imputation-based approaches in terms of bias and variability. Finally, an application study is conducted to identify the causal effect of the presence of cardiovascular disease on mortality for COVID-19 patients.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

HAPS-UAV-Enabled Heterogeneous Networks: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach

The integrated use of non-terrestrial network (NTN) entities such as the high-altitude platform station (HAPS) and low-altitude platform station (LAPS) has become essential elements in the space-air-ground integrated networks (SAGINs). However, the complexity, mobility, and heterogeneity of NTN entities and resources present various challenges from system design to deployment. This paper proposes a novel approach to designing a heterogeneous network consisting of HAPSs and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) being LAPS entities. Our approach involves jointly optimizing the three-dimensional trajectory and channel allocation for aerial base stations, with a focus on ensuring fairness and the provision of quality of service (QoS) to ground users. Furthermore, we consider the load on base stations and incorporate this information into the optimization problem. The proposed approach utilizes a combination of deep reinforcement learning and fixed-point iteration techniques to determine the UAV locations and channel allocation strategies. Simulation results reveal that our proposed deep learning-based approach significantly outperforms learning-based and conventional benchmark models.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Satellite Anomaly Detection Using Variance Based Genetic Ensemble of Neural Networks

In this paper, we use a variance-based genetic ensemble (VGE) of Neural Networks (NNs) to detect anomalies in the satellite's historical data. We use an efficient ensemble of the predictions from multiple Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) by leveraging each model's uncertainty level (variance). For prediction, each RNN is guided by a Genetic Algorithm (GA) which constructs the optimal structure for each RNN model. However, finding the model uncertainty level is challenging in many cases. Although the Bayesian NNs (BNNs)-based methods are popular for providing the confidence bound of the models, they cannot be employed in complex NN structures as they are computationally intractable. This paper uses the Monte Carlo (MC) dropout as an approximation version of BNNs. Then these uncertainty levels and each predictive model suggested by GA are used to generate a new model, which is then used for forecasting the TS and AD. Simulation results show that the forecasting and AD capability of the ensemble model outperforms existing approaches.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

An Anomaly Detection Method for Satellites Using Monte Carlo Dropout

Recently, there has been a significant amount of interest in satellite telemetry anomaly detection (AD) using neural networks (NN). For AD purposes, the current approaches focus on either forecasting or reconstruction of the time series, and they cannot measure the level of reliability or the probability of correct detection. Although the Bayesian neural network (BNN)-based approaches are well known for time series uncertainty estimation, they are computationally intractable. In this paper, we present a tractable approximation for BNN based on the Monte Carlo (MC) dropout method for capturing the uncertainty in the satellite telemetry time series, without sacrificing accuracy. For time series forecasting, we employ an NN, which consists of several Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) layers followed by various dense layers. We employ the MC dropout inside each LSTM layer and before the dense layers for uncertainty estimation. With the proposed uncertainty region and by utilizing a post-processing filter, we can effectively capture the anomaly points. Numerical results show that our proposed time series AD approach outperforms the existing methods from both prediction accuracy and AD perspectives.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2017

Matching Using Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Causal Inference

To estimate casual treatment effects, we propose a new matching approach based on the reduced covariates obtained from sufficient dimension reduction. Compared to the original covariates and the propensity score, which are commonly used for matching in the literature, the reduced covariates are estimable nonparametrically under a mild assumption on the original covariates, and are sufficient and effective in imputing the missing potential outcomes. Under the ignorability assumption, the consistency of the proposed approach requires a weaker common support condition. In addition, the researchers are allowed to use different reduced covariates to find matched subjects for different treatment groups. We develop relative asymptotic results, and conduct simulation studies as well as real data analysis to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed approach.

stat.ME↗