arXiv subjects

Yiding Feng

Publications and source records attributed to Yiding Feng.

32 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2025

Persuasive Calibration

We introduce and study the persuasive calibration problem, where a principal aims to provide trustworthy predictions about underlying events to a downstream agent to make desired decisions. We adopt the standard calibration framework that regulates predictions to be unbiased conditional on their own value, and thus, they can reliably be interpreted at the face value by the agent. Allowing a small calibration error budget, we aim to answer the following question: what is and how to compute the optimal predictor under this calibration error budget, especially when there exists incentive misalignment between the principal and the agent? We focus on standard Lt-norm Expected Calibration Error (ECE) metric. We develop a general framework by viewing predictors as post-processed versions of perfectly calibrated predictors. Using this framework, we first characterize the structure of the optimal predictor. Specifically, when the principal's utility is event-independent and for L1-norm ECE, we show: (1) the optimal predictor is over-(resp. under-) confident for high (resp. low) true expected outcomes, while remaining perfectly calibrated in the middle; (2) the miscalibrated predictions exhibit a collinearity structure with the principal's utility function. On the algorithmic side, we provide a FPTAS for computing approximately optimal predictor for general principal utility and general Lt-norm ECE. Moreover, for the L1- and L-Infinity-norm ECE, we provide polynomial-time algorithms that compute the exact optimal predictor.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

On the Efficiency of Fair and Truthful Trade Mechanisms

We consider the impact of fairness requirements on the social efficiency of truthful mechanisms for trade, focusing on Bayesian bilateral-trade settings. Unlike the full information case in which all gains-from-trade can be realized and equally split between the two parties, in the private information setting, equitability has devastating welfare implications (even if only required to hold ex-ante). We thus search for an alternative fairness notion and suggest requiring the mechanism to be KS-fair: it must ex-ante equalize the fraction of the ideal utilities of the two traders. We show that there is always a KS-fair (simple) truthful mechanism with expected gains-from-trade that are half the optimum, but always ensuring any better fraction is impossible (even when the seller value is zero). We then restrict our attention to trade settings with a zero-value seller and a buyer with value distribution that is Regular or MHR, proving that much better fractions can be obtained under these conditions.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2025

Competitive Information Design for Pandora's Box

We study a natural competitive-information-design strategic variant for the celebrated Pandora's Box problem (Weitzman, 1979), where each box is associated with a strategic information sender who can design what information about the box's prize value to be revealed to the agent when the agent inspects the box. This variant with strategic boxes is motivated by a wide range of real-world economic applications for Pandora's Box. Our contributions are three-fold: (1) given the boxes' information policies, we characterize the agent's optimal search and stopping strategy; (2) we fully characterize the pure symmetric equilibrium for the game of boxes' competitive information revelation in a symmetric environment; and (3) we reveal various insights regarding information competition and the resultant agent payoff at equilibrium, and additionally, we study informational properties of Pandora's Box by establishing an intrinsic connection between informativeness of any box's value distribution and the utility order of the search agent.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2024

Beyond Regularity: Simple versus Optimal Mechanisms, Revisited

A large proportion of the Bayesian mechanism design literature is restricted to the family of regular distributions $\mathbb{F}_{\tt reg}$ [Mye81] or the family of monotone hazard rate (MHR) distributions $\mathbb{F}_{\tt MHR}$ [BMP63], which overshadows this beautiful and well-developed theory. We (re-)introduce two generalizations, the family of quasi-regular distributions $\mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-reg}$ and the family of quasi-MHR distributions $\mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-MHR}$. All four families together form the following hierarchy: $\mathbb{F}_{\tt MHR} \subsetneq (\mathbb{F}_{\tt reg} \cap \mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-MHR}) \subsetneq \mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-reg}$ and $\mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-MHR} \subsetneq (\mathbb{F}_{\tt reg} \cup \mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-MHR}) \subsetneq \mathbb{F}_{\tt Q-reg}$. The significance of our new families is manifold. First, their defining conditions are immediate relaxations of the regularity/MHR conditions (i.e., monotonicity of the virtual value functions and/or the hazard rate functions), which reflect economic intuition. Second, they satisfy natural mathematical properties (about order statistics) that are violated by both original families $\mathbb{F}_{\tt reg}$ and $\mathbb{F}_{\tt MHR}$. Third but foremost, numerous results [BK96, HR09a, CD15, DRY15, HR14, AHN+19, JLTX20, JLQ+19b, FLR19, GHZ19b, JLX23, LM24] established before for regular/MHR distributions now can be generalized, with or even without quantitative losses.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2023

Mobility Data in Operations: The Facility Location Problem

The recent large scale availability of mobility data, which captures individual mobility patterns, poses novel operational problems that are exciting and challenging. Motivated by this, we introduce and study a variant of the (cost-minimization) facility location problem where each individual is endowed with two locations (hereafter, her home and work locations), and the connection cost is the minimum distance between any of her locations and its closest facility. We design a polynomial-time algorithm whose approximation ratio is at most 2.497. We complement this positive result by showing that the proposed algorithm is at least a 2.428-approximation, and there exists no polynomial-time algorithm with approximation ratio $2-ε$ under UG-hardness. We further extend our results and analysis to the model where each individual is endowed with K locations. Finally, we conduct numerical experiments over both synthetic data and US census data (for NYC, greater LA, greater DC, Research Triangle) and evaluate the performance of our algorithms.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2023

Strategic Budget Selection in a Competitive Autobidding World

We study a game played between advertisers in an online ad platform. The platform sells ad impressions by first-price auction and provides autobidding algorithms that optimize bids on each advertiser's behalf, subject to advertiser constraints such as budgets. Crucially, these constraints are strategically chosen by the advertisers. The chosen constraints define an "inner'' budget-pacing game for the autobidders. Advertiser payoffs in the constraint-choosing "metagame'' are determined by the equilibrium reached by the autobidders. Advertiser preferences can be more general than what is implied by their constraints: we assume only that they have weakly decreasing marginal value for clicks and weakly increasing marginal disutility for spending money. Nevertheless, we show that at any pure Nash equilibrium of the metagame, the resulting allocation obtains at least half of the liquid welfare of any allocation and this bound is tight. We also obtain a 4-approximation for any mixed Nash equilibrium or Bayes-Nash equilibria. These results rely on the power to declare budgets: if advertisers can specify only a (linear) value per click or an ROI target but not a budget constraint, the approximation factor at equilibrium can be as bad as linear in the number of advertisers.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2023

Rationality-Robust Information Design: Bayesian Persuasion under Quantal Response

Classic mechanism/information design imposes the assumption that agents are fully rational, meaning each of them always selects the action that maximizes her expected utility. Yet many empirical evidence suggests that human decisions may deviate from this full rationality assumption. In this work, we attempt to relax the full rationality assumption with bounded rationality. Specifically, we formulate the bounded rationality of an agent by adopting the quantal response model (McKelvey and Palfrey, 1995). We develop a theory of rationality-robust information design in the canonical setting of Bayesian persuasion (Kamenica and Gentzkow, 2011) with binary receiver action. We first identify conditions under which the optimal signaling scheme structure for a fully rational receiver remains optimal or approximately optimal for a boundedly rational receiver. In practice, it might be costly for the designer to estimate the degree of the receiver's bounded rationality level. Motivated by this practical consideration, we then study the existence and construction of robust signaling schemes when there is uncertainty about the receiver's bounded rationality level.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2022

Batching and Optimal Multi-stage Bipartite Allocations

In several applications of real-time matching of demand to supply in online marketplaces, the platform allows for some latency to batch the demand and improve the efficiency. Motivated by these applications, we study the optimal trade-off between batching and inefficiency under adversarial arrival. As our base model, we consider K-stage variants of the vertex weighted b-matching in the adversarial setting, where online vertices arrive stage-wise and in K batches -- in contrast to online arrival. Our main result for this problem is an optimal (1-(1-1/K)^K)- competitive (fractional) matching algorithm, improving the classic (1-1/e) competitive ratio bound known for its online variant (Mehta et al., 2007; Aggarwal et al., 2011). We also extend this result to the rich model of multi-stage configuration allocation with free-disposals (Devanur et al., 2016), which is motivated by the display advertising in video streaming platforms. Our main technique is developing tools to vary the trade-off between "greedy-ness" and "hedging" of the algorithm across stages. We rely on a particular family of convex-programming based matchings that distribute the demand in a specifically balanced way among supply in different stages, while carefully modifying the balancedness of the resulting matching across stages. More precisely, we identify a sequence of polynomials with decreasing degrees to be used as strictly concave regularizers of the maximum weight matching linear program to form these convex programs. At each stage, our algorithm returns the corresponding regularized optimal solution as the matching of this stage (by solving the convex program). Using structural properties of these convex programs and recursively connecting the regularizers together, we develop a new multi-stage primal-dual framework to analyze the competitive ratio. We further show this algorithm is optimally competitive.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2022

Simple Mechanisms for Agents with Non-linear Utilities

We show that economic conclusions derived from Bulow and Roberts (1989) for linear utility models approximately extend to non-linear utility models. Specifically, we quantify the extent to which agents with non-linear utilities resemble agents with linear utilities, and we show that the approximation of mechanisms for agents with linear utilities approximately extend for agents with non-linear utilities. We illustrate the framework for the objectives of revenue and welfare on non-linear models that include agents with budget constraints, agents with risk aversion, and agents with endogenous valuations. We derive bounds on how much these models resemble the linear utility model and combine these bounds with well-studied approximation results for linear utility models. We conclude that simple mechanisms are approximately optimal for these non-linear agent models.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2022

Two-stage Stochastic Matching and Pricing with Applications to Ride Hailing

Matching and pricing are two critical levers in two-sided marketplaces to connect demand and supply. The platform can produce more efficient matching and pricing decisions by batching the demand requests. We initiate the study of the two-stage stochastic matching problem, with or without pricing, to enable the platform to make improved decisions in a batch with an eye toward the imminent future demand requests. This problem is motivated in part by applications in online marketplaces such as ride hailing platforms. We design online competitive algorithms for vertex-weighted (or unweighted) two-stage stochastic matching for maximizing supply efficiency, and two-stage joint matching and pricing for maximizing market efficiency. In the former problem, using a randomized primal-dual algorithm applied to a family of ``balancing'' convex programs, we obtain the optimal $3/4$ competitive ratio against the optimum offline benchmark. Using a factor revealing program and connections to submodular optimization, we improve this ratio against the optimum online benchmark to $(1-1/e+1/e^2)\approx 0.767$ for the unweighted and $0.761$ for the weighted case. In the latter problem, we design optimal $1/2$-competitive joint pricing and matching algorithm by borrowing ideas from the ex-ante prophet inequality literature. We also show an improved $(1-1/e)$-competitive algorithm for the special case of demand efficiency objective using the correlation gap of submodular functions. Finally, we complement our theoretical study by using DiDi's ride-sharing dataset for Chengdu city and numerically evaluating the performance of our proposed algorithms in practical instances of this problem.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2022

Bias-Variance Games

Firms engaged in electronic commerce increasingly rely on predictive analytics via machine-learning algorithms to drive a wide array of managerial decisions. The tuning of many standard machine learning algorithms can be understood as trading off bias (i.e., accuracy) with variance (i.e., precision) in the algorithm's predictions. The goal of this paper is to understand how competition between firms affects their strategic choice of such algorithms. To this end, we model the interaction of two firms choosing learning algorithms as a game and analyze its equilibria. Absent competition, players care only about the magnitude of predictive error and not its source. In contrast, our main result is that with competition, players prefer to incur error due to variance rather than due to bias, even at the cost of higher total error. In addition, we show that competition can have counterintuitive implications -- for example, reducing the error incurred by a firm's algorithm can be harmful to that firm -- but we provide conditions under which such phenomena do not occur. In addition to our theoretical analysis, we also validate our insights by applying our metrics to several publicly available datasets.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2021

Revelation Gap for Pricing from Samples

This paper considers prior-independent mechanism design, in which a single mechanism is designed to achieve approximately optimal performance on every prior distribution from a given class. Most results in this literature focus on mechanisms with truthtelling equilibria, a.k.a., truthful mechanisms. Feng and Hartline (2018) introduce the revelation gap to quantify the loss of the restriction to truthful mechanisms. We solve a main open question left in Feng and Hartline (2018); namely, we identify a non-trivial revelation gap for revenue maximization. Our analysis focuses on the canonical problem of selling a single item to a single agent with only access to a single sample from the agent's valuation distribution. We identify the sample-bid mechanism (a simple non-truthful mechanism) and upper-bound its prior-independent approximation ratio by 1.835 (resp. 1.296) for regular (resp. MHR) distributions. We further prove that no truthful mechanism can achieve prior-independent approximation ratio better than 1.957 (resp. 1.543) for regular (resp. MHR) distributions. Thus, a non-trivial revelation gap is shown as the sample-bid mechanism outperforms the optimal prior-independent truthful mechanism. On the hardness side, we prove that no (possibly non-truthful) mechanism can achieve prior-independent approximation ratio better than 1.073 even for uniform distributions.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2020

Optimal Auctions vs. Anonymous Pricing: Beyond Linear Utility

The revenue optimal mechanism for selling a single item to agents with independent but non-identically distributed values is complex for agents with linear utility (Myerson,1981) and has no closed-form characterization for agents with non-linear utility (cf. Alaei et al., 2012). Nonetheless, for linear utility agents satisfying a natural regularity property, Alaei et al. (2018) showed that simply posting an anonymous price is an e-approximation. We give a parameterization of the regularity property that extends to agents with non-linear utility and show that the approximation bound of anonymous pricing for regular agents approximately extends to agents that satisfy this approximate regularity property. We apply this approximation framework to prove that anonymous pricing is a constant approximation to the revenue optimal single-item auction for agents with public-budget utility, private-budget utility, and (a special case of) risk-averse utility.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2018

An End-to-end Argument in Mechanism Design (Prior-independent Auctions for Budgeted Agents)

This paper considers prior-independent mechanism design, namely identifying a single mechanism that has near optimal performance on every prior distribution. We show that mechanisms with truthtelling equilibria, a.k.a., revelation mechanisms, do not always give optimal prior-independent mechanisms and we define the revelation gap to quantify the non-optimality of revelation mechanisms. This study suggests that it is important to develop a theory for the design of non-revelation mechanisms. Our analysis focuses on welfare maximization in single-item auctions for agents with budgets and a natural regularity assumption on their distribution of values. The all-pay auction (a non-revelation mechanism) is the Bayesian optimal mechanism; as it is prior-independent it is also the prior-independent optimal mechanism (a 1-approximation). We prove a lower bound on the prior-independent approximation of revelation mechanisms of 1.013 and that the clinching auction (a revelation mechanism) is a prior-independent $e \approx 2.714$ approximation. Thus the revelation gap for single-item welfare maximization with public budget agents is in $[1.013, e]$. Some of our analyses extend to the revenue objective, position environments, and irregular distributions.

cs.GT↗