arXiv subjects

Yihuang Kang

Publications and source records attributed to Yihuang Kang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Silicon Sampling via Cross-Survey Transfer

Silicon sampling-using large language models (LLMs) to simulate human survey respondents-has emerged as a promising approach for augmenting traditional survey research. However, most evaluations rely on distributional comparisons rather than individual-level prediction, which risks conflating pattern matching with coherent respondent-level prediction. We propose cross-survey transfer, a more rigorous evaluation framework in which an LLM is given a respondent's answers to one set of questions and must predict their answers to entirely different questions from the same survey. Using data from the Taiwan Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) 2024, three open-weight LLMs (27B-120B parameters), and supervised machine learning baselines, we find that: (1) zero-shot LLMs achieve 52% accuracy on genuinely unseen items, closing to within 6 percentage points (pp) of a supervised random forest trained on same-population data; (2) a stable construct predictability hierarchy emerges, from 67% for partisan attitudes to 23% for sovereignty; and (3) variance collapse and safety alignment effects-two commonly cited LLM limitations-turn out to be more nuanced than previously reported, with variance collapse affecting supervised models as well and alignment effects varying dramatically across model families. These findings clarify both the promise and boundaries of silicon sampling.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

ADVENT: LLM-Driven Automatic Predicate Invention for ILP

Predicate invention (PI), the creation of new predicates to extend the hypothesis space, remains a critical bottleneck in Inductive Logic Programming (ILP). Existing methods rely on domain expertise and produce semantically opaque predicates, hindering adaptation to unfamiliar domains and cross-task reuse. We present ADVENT, an LLM-driven PI mechanism for ILP. ADVENT pairs LLM abductive generation with Prolog deductive verification, forming an iterative loop in which concrete execution results guide the LLM to refine candidate predicates. The mechanism leverages Large Language Models to identify implicit patterns in structured relational data and invent auxiliary predicates with meaningful names and definitions. Invented predicates and learned rules accumulate in a knowledge pool for cross-task reuse. Experiments on nine poker-hand concepts across seven LLMs show that LLM-driven PI achieves 58% success rate where ILP alone fails entirely, formal verification raises this to 80%, and the knowledge pool yields gains up to +31 percentage points, while producing human-interpretable rules. These results suggest that ADVENT offers a promising direction for automating predicate invention and enabling cross-task knowledge reuse in ILP.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2026

ForEx: A Formal Verification Framework for Explainable Reasoning in Logical Fallacy Detection and Annotation

Current evaluations of Large Language Models (LLMs) on logical fallacy detection focus on predicted labels, but do not establish whether those labels are supported by the reasoning the models provide. We propose ForEx (Formal Verification for Explainable Reasoning), a framework that translates LLM-generated explanations into Lean4 and verifies whether the translated rationale is derivable under encoded premises, not the logical validity of the original natural language argument. To distinguish prediction outcomes from the formal status of the supporting reasoning, we introduce the LLM Argument Verification Matrix, which separates label consistency from formal verification status. Experiments on LOGIC-Climate show that over 90% of LLM outputs can be translated into formal reasoning chains that pass verification, while agreement with human annotations remains around 20%. These results expose a systematic gap between formal derivability and label agreement, a distinction invisible to prediction-based metrics. ForEx moves LLM evaluation beyond label correctness toward machine-checkable analysis of formalized reasoning chains.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Latent Confidence Alignment for LLM Self-Assessment

Confidence calibration in large language models (LLMs) is commonly evaluated by comparing predicted confidence with observed accuracy. However, such approaches do not model item difficulty, making it difficult to interpret discrepancies and to determine whether model confidence reflects genuine self-assessment or is merely a byproduct of the response generation process. To address this, we adopt a Rasch model-based latent ability framework and a metacognitive perspective, and propose Latent Confidence Alignment Error (LCAE) to measure the consistency between model self-assessment and the latent error probability implied by model ability and item difficulty. We further incorporate item difficulty as an external signal with a reasoning mechanism. Experiments on a medical-domain dataset with 20 models show that the proposed approach improves self-assessment quality without affecting model ability, and reveals an association between reliability and inference cost.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

LLM-based Agents for Automated Confounder Discovery and Subgroup Analysis in Causal Inference

Estimating individualized treatment effects from observational data presents a persistent challenge due to unmeasured confounding and structural bias. Causal Machine Learning (causal ML) methods, such as causal trees and doubly robust estimators, provide tools for estimating conditional average treatment effects. These methods have limited effectiveness in complex real-world environments due to the presence of latent confounders or those described in unstructured formats. Moreover, reliance on domain experts for confounder identification and rule interpretation introduces high annotation cost and scalability concerns. In this work, we proposed Large Language Model-based agents for automated confounder discovery and subgroup analysis that integrate agents into the causal ML pipeline to simulate domain expertise. Our framework systematically performs subgroup identification and confounding structure discovery by leveraging the reasoning capabilities of LLM-based agents, which reduces human dependency while preserving interpretability. Experiments on real-world medical datasets show that our proposed approach enhances treatment effect estimation robustness by narrowing confidence intervals and uncovering unrecognized confounding biases. Our findings suggest that LLM-based agents offer a promising path toward scalable, trustworthy, and semantically aware causal inference.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Towards Interpretable Renal Health Decline Forecasting via Multi-LMM Collaborative Reasoning Framework

Accurate and interpretable prediction of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is essential for managing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and supporting clinical decisions. Recent advances in Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) have shown strong potential in clinical prediction tasks due to their ability to process visual and textual information. However, challenges related to deployment cost, data privacy, and model reliability hinder their adoption. In this study, we propose a collaborative framework that enhances the performance of open-source LMMs for eGFR forecasting while generating clinically meaningful explanations. The framework incorporates visual knowledge transfer, abductive reasoning, and a short-term memory mechanism to enhance prediction accuracy and interpretability. Experimental results show that the proposed framework achieves predictive performance and interpretability comparable to proprietary models. It also provides plausible clinical reasoning processes behind each prediction. Our method sheds new light on building AI systems for healthcare that combine predictive accuracy with clinically grounded interpretability.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Towards Simulating Social Influence Dynamics with LLM-based Multi-agents

Recent advancements in Large Language Models offer promising capabilities to simulate complex human social interactions. We investigate whether LLM-based multi-agent simulations can reproduce core human social dynamics observed in online forums. We evaluate conformity dynamics, group polarization, and fragmentation across different model scales and reasoning capabilities using a structured simulation framework. Our findings indicate that smaller models exhibit higher conformity rates, whereas models optimized for reasoning are more resistant to social influence.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2025

CodEv: An Automated Grading Framework Leveraging Large Language Models for Consistent and Constructive Feedback

Grading programming assignments is crucial for guiding students to improve their programming skills and coding styles. This study presents an automated grading framework, CodEv, which leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to provide consistent and constructive feedback. We incorporate Chain of Thought (CoT) prompting techniques to enhance the reasoning capabilities of LLMs and ensure that the grading is aligned with human evaluation. Our framework also integrates LLM ensembles to improve the accuracy and consistency of scores, along with agreement tests to deliver reliable feedback and code review comments. The results demonstrate that the framework can yield grading results comparable to human evaluators, by using smaller LLMs. Evaluation and consistency tests of the LLMs further validate our approach, confirming the reliability of the generated scores and feedback.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2024

Understanding eGFR Trajectories and Kidney Function Decline via Large Multimodal Models

The estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) is an essential indicator of kidney function in clinical practice. Although traditional equations and Machine Learning (ML) models using clinical and laboratory data can estimate eGFR, accurately predicting future eGFR levels remains a significant challenge for nephrologists and ML researchers. Recent advances demonstrate that Large Language Models (LLMs) and Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) can serve as robust foundation models for diverse applications. This study investigates the potential of LMMs to predict future eGFR levels with a dataset consisting of laboratory and clinical values from 50 patients. By integrating various prompting techniques and ensembles of LMMs, our findings suggest that these models, when combined with precise prompts and visual representations of eGFR trajectories, offer predictive performance comparable to existing ML models. This research extends the application of foundation models and suggests avenues for future studies to harness these models in addressing complex medical forecasting challenges.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Causal Rule Forest: Toward Interpretable and Precise Treatment Effect Estimation

Understanding and inferencing Heterogeneous Treatment Effects (HTE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) are vital for developing personalized treatment recommendations. Many state-of-the-art approaches achieve inspiring performance in estimating HTE on benchmark datasets or simulation studies. However, the indirect predicting manner and complex model architecture reduce the interpretability of these approaches. To mitigate the gap between predictive performance and heterogeneity interpretability, we introduce the Causal Rule Forest (CRF), a novel approach to learning hidden patterns from data and transforming the patterns into interpretable multi-level Boolean rules. By training the other interpretable causal inference models with data representation learned by CRF, we can reduce the predictive errors of these models in estimating HTE and CATE, while keeping their interpretability for identifying subgroups that a treatment is more effective. Our experiments underscore the potential of CRF to advance personalized interventions and policies, paving the way for future research to enhance its scalability and application across complex causal inference challenges.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Subgroup Analysis via Model-based Rule Forest

Machine learning models are often criticized for their black-box nature, raising concerns about their applicability in critical decision-making scenarios. Consequently, there is a growing demand for interpretable models in such contexts. In this study, we introduce Model-based Deep Rule Forests (mobDRF), an interpretable representation learning algorithm designed to extract transparent models from data. By leveraging IF-THEN rules with multi-level logic expressions, mobDRF enhances the interpretability of existing models without compromising accuracy. We apply mobDRF to identify key risk factors for cognitive decline in an elderly population, demonstrating its effectiveness in subgroup analysis and local model optimization. Our method offers a promising solution for developing trustworthy and interpretable machine learning models, particularly valuable in fields like healthcare, where understanding differential effects across patient subgroups can lead to more personalized and effective treatments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Toward Transparent Sequence Models with Model-Based Tree Markov Model

In this study, we address the interpretability issue in complex, black-box Machine Learning models applied to sequence data. We introduce the Model-Based tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model (MOB-HSMM), an inherently interpretable model aimed at detecting high mortality risk events and discovering hidden patterns associated with the mortality risk in Intensive Care Units (ICU). This model leverages knowledge distilled from Deep Neural Networks (DNN) to enhance predictive performance while offering clear explanations. Our experimental results indicate the improved performance of Model-Based trees (MOB trees) via employing LSTM for learning sequential patterns, which are then transferred to MOB trees. Integrating MOB trees with the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM) in the MOB-HSMM enables uncovering potential and explainable sequences using available information.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Towards Model-informed Precision Dosing with Expert-in-the-loop Machine Learning

Machine Learning (ML) and its applications have been transforming our lives but it is also creating issues related to the development of fair, accountable, transparent, and ethical Artificial Intelligence. As the ML models are not fully comprehensible yet, it is obvious that we still need humans to be part of algorithmic decision-making processes. In this paper, we consider a ML framework that may accelerate model learning and improve its interpretability by incorporating human experts into the model learning loop. We propose a novel human-in-the-loop ML framework aimed at dealing with learning problems that the cost of data annotation is high and the lack of appropriate data to model the association between the target tasks and the input features. With an application to precision dosing, our experimental results show that the approach can learn interpretable rules from data and may potentially lower experts' workload by replacing data annotation with rule representation editing. The approach may also help remove algorithmic bias by introducing experts' feedback into the iterative model learning process.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2020

Topic Diffusion Discovery Based on Deep Non-negative Autoencoder

Researchers have been overwhelmed by the explosion of research articles published by various research communities. Many research scholarly websites, search engines, and digital libraries have been created to help researchers identify potential research topics and keep up with recent progress on research of interests. However, it is still difficult for researchers to keep track of the research topic diffusion and evolution without spending a large amount of time reviewing numerous relevant and irrelevant articles. In this paper, we consider a novel topic diffusion discovery technique. Specifically, we propose using a Deep Non-negative Autoencoder with information divergence measurement that monitors evolutionary distance of the topic diffusion to understand how research topics change with time. The experimental results show that the proposed approach is able to identify the evolution of research topics as well as to discover topic diffusions in online fashions.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

Discovering Drug-Drug and Drug-Disease Interactions Inducing Acute Kidney Injury Using Deep Rule Forests

Patients with Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) increase mortality, morbidity, and long-term adverse events. Therefore, early identification of AKI may improve renal function recovery, decrease comorbidities, and further improve patients' survival. To control certain risk factors and develop targeted prevention strategies are important to reduce the risk of AKI. Drug-drug interactions and drug-disease interactions are critical issues for AKI. Typical statistical approaches cannot handle the complexity of drug-drug and drug-disease interactions. In this paper, we propose a novel learning algorithm, Deep Rule Forests (DRF), which discovers rules from multilayer tree models as the combinations of drug usages and disease indications to help identify such interactions. We found that several disease and drug usages are considered having significant impact on the occurrence of AKI. Our experimental results also show that the DRF model performs comparatively better than typical tree-based and other state-of-the-art algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy and model interpretability.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2019

Towards Interpretable Deep Extreme Multi-label Learning

Many Machine Learning algorithms, such as deep neural networks, have long been criticized for being "black-boxes"-a kind of models unable to provide how it arrive at a decision without further efforts to interpret. This problem has raised concerns on model applications' trust, safety, nondiscrimination, and other ethical issues. In this paper, we discuss the machine learning interpretability of a real-world application, eXtreme Multi-label Learning (XML), which involves learning models from annotated data with many pre-defined labels. We propose a two-step XML approach that combines deep non-negative autoencoder with other multi-label classifiers to tackle different data applications with a large number of labels. Our experimental result shows that the proposed approach is able to cope with many-label problems as well as to provide interpretable label hierarchies and dependencies that helps us understand how the model recognizes the existences of objects in an image.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2018

Topic Diffusion Discovery based on Sparseness-constrained Non-negative Matrix Factorization

Due to recent explosion of text data, researchers have been overwhelmed by ever-increasing volume of articles produced by different research communities. Various scholarly search websites, citation recommendation engines, and research databases have been created to simplify the text search tasks. However, it is still difficult for researchers to be able to identify potential research topics without doing intensive reviews on a tremendous number of articles published by journals, conferences, meetings, and workshops. In this paper, we consider a novel topic diffusion discovery technique that incorporates sparseness-constrained Non-negative Matrix Factorization with generalized Jensen-Shannon divergence to help understand term-topic evolutions and identify topic diffusions. Our experimental result shows that this approach can extract more prominent topics from large article databases, visualize relationships between terms of interest and abstract topics, and further help researchers understand whether given terms/topics have been widely explored or whether new topics are emerging from literature.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2018

Process Discovery using Classification Tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By analyzing these logs, we can learn process models that describe system procedures, predict the development of the system, or check whether the changes are expected. In this paper, we consider a novel technique that models these sequences of events in temporal-probabilistic manners. Specifically, we propose a probabilistic process model that combines hidden semi-Markov model and classification trees learning. Our experimental result shows that the proposed approach can answer a kind of question-"what are the most frequent sequence of system dynamics relevant to a given sequence of observable events?". For example, "Given a series of medical treatments, what are the most relevant patients' health condition pattern changes at different times?"

stat.ML↗