Critical Inertia Estimation for the Three U.S. Interconnections
The rapid integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) is reducing system inertia across U.S. power grids, raising concerns about frequency stability following large contingencies. This paper presents a simulation-based assessment of critical inertia--the minimum system inertia required to prevent first-stage under-frequency load shedding (UFLS) after the largest credible contingency--across the three major U.S. interconnections: Eastern Interconnection (EI), WECC, and ERCOT. Reduced-inertia scenarios are created by progressively replacing synchronous generators with IBRs, and dynamic simulations are performed using full-scale PSS(R)E and PowerWorld models. The results show that ERCOT reaches critical inertia at approximately 20% IBR penetration under the strict first-stage UFLS criterion--or approximately 58% if only the final UFLS stage must be avoided--compared with above 90% for EI and approximately 67%-68% for WECC. IBR shares in 2024 in the U.S. portions of EI, WECC, and ERCOT were 16%, 33%, and 44%, respectively, indicating varying proximity to critical inertia thresholds. These findings highlight the importance of full dynamic simulations to accurately estimate critical inertia and guide transmission planning under high renewable penetration scenarios.