arXiv subjects

Yinbo Hu

Publications and source records attributed to Yinbo Hu.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Full-Stack Performance Evaluation Infrastructure for 3D-DRAM-based LLM Accelerators

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit memory-intensive behavior during decoding, making it a key bottleneck in LLM inference. To accelerate decoding execution, hybrid-bonding-based 3D-DRAM has been adopted in LLM accelerators. While this emerging technology provides strong performance gains over existing hardware, current 3D-DRAM accelerators (3D-Accelerators) rely on closed-source evaluation tools, limiting access to publicly available performance analysis methods. Moreover, existing designs are highly customized for specific scenarios, lacking a general and reusable full-stack modeling for 3D-Accelerators across diverse usecases. To bridge this fundamental gap, we present ATLAS, the first silicon-proven Architectural Three-dimesional-DRAM-based LLM Accelerator Simulation framework. Built on commercially deployed multi-layer 3D-DRAM technology, ATLAS introduces unified abstractions for both 3D-Accelerator system architecture and programming primitives to support arbitrary LLM inference scenarios. Validation against real silicon shows that ATLAS achieves $\le$8.57% simulation error and 97.26-99.96\% correlation with measured performance. Through design space exploration with ATLAS, we demonstrate its ability to guide architecture design and distill key takeaways for both 3D-DRAM memory system and 3D-Accelerator microarchitecture across scenarios. ATLAS will be open-sourced upon publication, enabling further research on 3D-Accelerators.

cs.AR↗

arXiv2025

CapOptix: An Options-Framework for Capacity Market Pricing

Electricity markets are under increasing pressure to maintain reliability amidst rising renewable penetration, demand variability, and occasional price shocks. Traditional capacity market designs often fall short in addressing this by relying on expected-value metrics of energy unserved, which overlook risk exposure in such systems. In this work, we present CapOptix, a capacity pricing framework that interprets capacity commitments as reliability options, i.e., financial derivatives of wholesale electricity prices. CapOptix characterizes the capacity premia charged by accounting for structural price shifts modeled by the Markov Regime Switching Process. We apply the framework to historical price data from multiple electricity markets and compare the resulting premium ranges with existing capacity remuneration mechanisms.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

IISE PG&E Energy Analytics Challenge 2025: Hourly-Binned Regression Models Beat Transformers in Load Forecasting

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their effectiveness in long-term electricity load prediction remains uncertain. This study evaluates forecasting models ranging from classical regression techniques to advanced deep learning architectures using data from the ESD 2025 competition. The dataset includes two years of historical electricity load data, alongside temperature and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) across five sites, with a one-day-ahead forecasting horizon. Since actual test set load values remain undisclosed, leveraging predicted values would accumulate errors, making this a long-term forecasting challenge. We employ (i) Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction and (ii) frame the task as a regression problem, using temperature and GHI as covariates to predict load for each hour, (iii) ultimately stacking 24 models to generate yearly forecasts. Our results reveal that deep learning models, including TimeGPT, fail to consistently outperform simpler statistical and machine learning approaches due to the limited availability of training data and exogenous variables. In contrast, XGBoost, with minimal feature engineering, delivers the lowest error rates across all test cases while maintaining computational efficiency. This highlights the limitations of deep learning in long-term electricity forecasting and reinforces the importance of model selection based on dataset characteristics rather than complexity. Our study provides insights into practical forecasting applications and contributes to the ongoing discussion on the trade-offs between traditional and modern forecasting methods.

cs.LG↗